What an odd article. It sounds like a scenario 12 year old me would have come up with. I mean it does sound awful, but a 1 in 6 chance of it happening? I find that hard to believe.
What an odd article. It sounds like a scenario 12 year old me would have come up with. I mean it does sound awful, but a 1 in 6 chance of it happening? I find that hard to believe.
How is this worse than extinction? Is it that the odds for extinction are lower than the rise of a worldwide totalitarian government using AI to manage its population? Also why odds at all? I get...
How is this worse than extinction? Is it that the odds for extinction are lower than the rise of a worldwide totalitarian government using AI to manage its population? Also why odds at all? I get why you wanna have a ballpark number for the chance of it happening, but "odds"? I'm not gonna go down to the local bookie and do a blanket bet for "End of the Human Species" and a safe-bet for "Pandemic"?
Toby Ord, a senior research fellow at the Future of Humanity Institute (FHI) at Oxford University, believes that the odds of an existential catastrophe happening this century from natural causes are less than one in 2,000, because humans have survived for 2,000 centuries without one. However, when he adds the probability of human-made disasters, Ord believes the chances increase to a startling one in six. He refers to this century as “the precipice” because the risk of losing our future has never been so high.
Also - the way the odds are calculated... "What have happened in 2000 years" and then go for that seems kind of odd as a way to sum up chances for things happening. In reality I guess the method is a bit more complex but I kinda hope not and that Toby Ord (great name) runs around the streets of Oxford telling people that the chance of being invaded by the Huns and shanghaied in to its army is amazingly high and we should set up traps for their horses now.
I mean AI controlled fascist state sound awful but compared to "everything we know for certain exists in the universe beyond physics is gone" - its not that bad.
What an odd article. It sounds like a scenario 12 year old me would have come up with. I mean it does sound awful, but a 1 in 6 chance of it happening? I find that hard to believe.
How is this worse than extinction? Is it that the odds for extinction are lower than the rise of a worldwide totalitarian government using AI to manage its population? Also why odds at all? I get why you wanna have a ballpark number for the chance of it happening, but "odds"? I'm not gonna go down to the local bookie and do a blanket bet for "End of the Human Species" and a safe-bet for "Pandemic"?
Also - the way the odds are calculated... "What have happened in 2000 years" and then go for that seems kind of odd as a way to sum up chances for things happening. In reality I guess the method is a bit more complex but I kinda hope not and that Toby Ord (great name) runs around the streets of Oxford telling people that the chance of being invaded by the Huns and shanghaied in to its army is amazingly high and we should set up traps for their horses now.
I mean AI controlled fascist state sound awful but compared to "everything we know for certain exists in the universe beyond physics is gone" - its not that bad.