Megathread for news/updates/discussion of Russian invasion of Ukraine - April 27-28
This thread is posted Monday/Wednesday/Friday - please try to post relevant content in here, such as news, updates, opinion articles, etc. Especially significant updates may warrant a separate topic, but most should be posted here.
If you'd like to help support Ukraine, please visit the official site at https://help.gov.ua/ - an official portal for those who want to provide humanitarian or financial assistance to people of Ukraine, businesses or the government at the times of resistance against the Russian aggression.
They Flooded Their Own Village, and Kept the Russians at Bay (NYT)
Article has lots of photos, along with more details of the Ukrainian defensive efforts, and interviews with the locals.
Lots of talk on social media recently about two things that I'd request info on if any of you have it:
Explosions and fires in Russia, some of which far away from Ukraine. Is there any info beyond "yeah, that happened", e.g. Ukrainian statements on the matter.
Transdnistria. I have no clue WTF is going on, except that people are talking about it again. What exactly happened?
Related post from the last megathread:
Russia reports blasts in south that Ukraine calls payback for invasion (Reuters)
This Guardian article has a good overview of the situation there, including some background info:
Where is Transnistria and why is it being drawn into Ukraine war?
But also worth mentioning is this gov.ua post:
Explosions in Transnistrian Region of the Republic of Moldova Are Planned Provocations by Russia’s Special Services. Document
Ukraine will defend itself by attacking Russian warehouses and bases: the world recognises that we have the right to do so - Podoliak
Regarding the explosions in Russia, it seems notable that the US isn't warning about false flag attacks like they do in other places?
People were reportedly fleeing Transnistria in the last 48 hours, and the government has now said that all males of enlistment age are prohibited from leaving. Moldova is worried that they are going to try and mobilize. The government of Ukraine has said that they are happy to assist, if invited to.
German parliament approves petition to deliver heavy arms to Ukraine (Reuters)
I'm not sure this will have a material effect. As in, I'm not sure to what degree it compels the government to act in ways it otherwise wouldn't have.
As far as I can tell, this is mostly about posturing of opposition vs coalition parties: The coalition parties had this petition in the works, when the major opposition party (CDU) was going to come out with a similar petition that would have put pressure on Greens and FDP (pro arms deliveries) to choose between their conscience and party/coalition lines. Basically, if I'm a Green MP, I can't vote for the CDU proposal because it's by the opposition and the senior coalition partner disagrees. But I can't vote against it, because in essence it's a stance I agree with. Basically, this is the kind of stuff that -under the right circumstances- can fracture a coalition government and lose a government its support in parliament.
In order to avoid this bind, the coalition cut the CDU a deal: You get to make some light changes, we all vote on this together, no one gets hurt. The changes the coalition wanted to make were largely symbolic in nature, it seems, and they largely didn't happen.
Again, not so sure what to think of the matter, aside from the usual posturing described above. As far as I can tell, what's in it largely encodes existing political consensus, and I was not aware the government needed an invitation or permission to act on that. I know I'm the resident German voice in this thread, but I really can't give a concrete statement as to the significance of this petition.
Poland confirms T-72 tank delivery to Ukraine, with Challenger 2 tanks to fill gap
Challenger 2s? Doesn't Poland operate Leopard 2s? And they want to introduce another tank to their fleet? Sad KMW noises.
What do you mean?
KMW is the manufacturer of the German Leo 2 tanks. I was thinking if they want to backfill, they'd do it using more of the modern tanks they already operate.
That said, the above was a joke. I'm not sad because KMW didn't get the deal or anything.
Poland spent decades trying to quit Russian gas. Now it has no choice. (Washington Post)
The US's Lend-Lease act (2.0) has passed 417-10 and is on its say to Biden's desk.
Bulgaria will repair Ukrainian military hardware. They will also, IIRC, be providing tanks of their own, along with Poland, Czechia and Slovenia. Slovenia will receive German military hardware to replace their own tanks.
Britain will replenish Poland's tank stocks with Challenger 2 tanks, while also sending Stormer IFVs with Starstreak missile systems to Ukraine.
Speaking of heavy weaponry, here's another interesting bit of news related to the German Gepards:
Ammo problem solved? Brazil wants to equip German Gepard tanks for Ukraine with 300,000 rounds (Business Insider DE, auto translated)
Here's a long Twitter thread talking about US (mostly) missile logistics and how it can be screwed up: https://twitter.com/TrentTelenko/status/1519401885534498816
Unrolled for easier reading (and for whose who want to avoid Twitter now ;):
Canada lawmakers vote unanimously to label Russia's acts in Ukraine as 'genocide' (Reuters)
In Ukraine, destroyed Russian tanks are the newest roadside attraction (Washington Post)
How Kyiv was saved by Ukrainian ingenuity as well as Russian blunders
From April 9. I think I've read most of these stories before, but not this one detail.
#RF economy weekly April 19, 2022 — April 25, 2022
This Medium account has weekly updates on the Russian economy, by a Ukrainian economist or journalist it seems?
Found via a Twitter thread from the Ukrainian economist Tymofiy Mylovanov, which retweets similar information. Mylovanov has been awarded funds by Marginal Revolution.