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Megathread for news/updates/discussion of Russian invasion of Ukraine - April 29-May 1
This thread is posted Monday/Wednesday/Friday - please try to post relevant content in here, such as news, updates, opinion articles, etc. Especially significant updates may warrant a separate topic, but most should be posted here.
If you'd like to help support Ukraine, please visit the official site at https://help.gov.ua/ - an official portal for those who want to provide humanitarian or financial assistance to people of Ukraine, businesses or the government at the times of resistance against the Russian aggression.
Here's an archived Twitter thread about how Ukrainians are building drones to drop grenades on Russian soldiers.
Content warning: videos of soldiers being bombed. (The videos don't autoplay on the threadreaderapp website, though.)
Russians plunder $5M farm vehicles from Ukraine -- to find they've been remotely disabled (CNN)
Scholz at a labor day rally -
At 2:30 or so, the chants you can hear are saying "ohne Waffen Frieden schaffen" - "create peace without arms". Apparently quite a few pacifists present. Gets Scholz wound up, apparently, as he's got quite the pathos going when he then declares:
That is quite the unusual demeanor for our chancellor. Not that I mind. (E: To expand on that, there's a lot of internal resistance in his party, SPD, to military aid. I suspect it's exactly this kind of crowd here that is resisting. This and their political representation within SPD. So for him to speak this clearly for military aid with this kind of crowd, I suspect it's not that he's been unwilling to deliver military aid to Ukraine (as has been said), but rather that this policy is lacking support within his party.
Also, Germany seems ready to support an oil embargo - follow-up to my post from a few days back about Habeck's statement that we're making great progress on that front.
And the opposition leader Friedrich Merz wants to go to Kyiv - his chief of staff calls it a matter of national policy (as opposed to party policy), but I'm calling BS. This is entirely so he can later say "I went to Kyiv first", get some nice pictures with Zelenskyy and use it in the next election to call Scholz weak. I hope Zelenskyy has the presence of mind to see it for what it is and stand the bastard up. The general narrative I see is that a visit of Scholz (or Merz, even more so) would not achieve anything: Aid is best organized from Berlin, and such a visit would have mere symbolical value. So for an opposition leader to go there would be quite the symbol too; a symbol I don't think we need.
I assume "has fallen out of time" is a translation of an idiom meaning something like "is out of date" in English?
Correct. Couldn't find a good phrase myself, so I relied on a dictionary. The fact you have to ask means the dictionary lied to me.
It's a phrase that is sometimes used but not often. To me it sounds rather literary or poetic. From search results it seems to sometimes be used to describe places that haven't changed much.
Ukraine Says Russia Army Top General Wounded in Command Post Strike, ‘Dozens’ Killed
https://www.kyivpost.com/ukraine-politics/ukraine-says-russia-army-top-general-wounded-in-command-post-strike-dozens-killed.html
This report is still not widely confirmed, so wait for further news. Most reports are saying that General did not suffer serious injuries. But, if true, the simple fact that he was there in person and was injured shortly after arriving is informative about the state of the Russian military organization and about the state of Ukrainian intelligence.
EDIT: Here’s another report about General Getasimov’s presence in Ukraine, this one not mentioning him being injured:
Russia’s top officer visited the front line to change the offensive’s course, U.S. and Ukraine officials say.
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/05/01/world/europe/russian-general-dead-valery-gerasimov.html
For context, Gerasimov is the most senior member of the armed forces of the Russian Federation. He's developed their military doctrine, and his loss would be a huge blow.
Evacuations underway in Mariupol; Pelosi visits Ukraine (AP)
Is there a path for Ukraine to re-take, either with ir without arms?
The Ukrainian army eventually retaking Mariupol certainly isn't outside the realm of possibility, but the battle lines are currently still a long ways off (65+km to the NNW), so I wouldn't count on it happening anytime soon.
Without arms? I don't really know what you mean by that. In a peace agreement? Who knows. But I highly doubt Putin would give it up willingly at this point.