Hah I was just about to post this but decided to check if someone had beaten me to it. It's interesting reading. Not so much for the actual predictions but just to see his thought process. He was...
Hah I was just about to post this but decided to check if someone had beaten me to it.
It's interesting reading. Not so much for the actual predictions but just to see his thought process. He was overall much more optimistic than I expected him to be. Like predicting we'd have far more leisure time and that education could be far relaxed and productive (I wouldn't say those things have come true).
I've been listening to some of Asimov's short stories on audible, narrated by the man himself. There was one story, The Immortal Bard, written in the early fifties, where he envisioned a story...
I've been listening to some of Asimov's short stories on audible, narrated by the man himself.
There was one story, The Immortal Bard, written in the early fifties, where he envisioned a story telling device built out of vacuum tubes that could tell different stories stored on tape. It sadly became obsolete, as it lacked the ability to be reprogrammed or repurposed.
While he didn't get all the details right, it is incredible how close he really was in a big picture sort of way.
I believe that his predictions regarding improved education, population control and stopping/reversing climate change will become true somewhere between 2050 to 2080. By that time the older "...
I believe that his predictions regarding improved education, population control and stopping/reversing climate change will become true somewhere between 2050 to 2080. By that time the older "
transitional" generation would have died off, and replaced by a more educated and technologically literate generation.
The scary thing to me is that none of us will be part of it. By the latter half of the 21st century all of us here would either be dead, or too old to contribute. I fear that anyone between the ages 20-40 today will never see the 'next big step' of humanity, when the computers are really put to work and we actually go out to live outside of Earth.
Well, we seem to have gotten a handle on population growth, and we haven't yet fought a nuclear war. That's about it in terms of optimistic predictions that came through. One thing I find amusing...
Well, we seem to have gotten a handle on population growth, and we haven't yet fought a nuclear war. That's about it in terms of optimistic predictions that came through.
One thing I find amusing is how common the belief in a near future of domestic robots used to be. I suppose it's a bit counterntuitive what jobs are easy for a computer to do, but it's likely that's going to be one of the last things to be automated.
Hah I was just about to post this but decided to check if someone had beaten me to it.
It's interesting reading. Not so much for the actual predictions but just to see his thought process. He was overall much more optimistic than I expected him to be. Like predicting we'd have far more leisure time and that education could be far relaxed and productive (I wouldn't say those things have come true).
I've been listening to some of Asimov's short stories on audible, narrated by the man himself.
There was one story, The Immortal Bard, written in the early fifties, where he envisioned a story telling device built out of vacuum tubes that could tell different stories stored on tape. It sadly became obsolete, as it lacked the ability to be reprogrammed or repurposed.
While he didn't get all the details right, it is incredible how close he really was in a big picture sort of way.
I believe that his predictions regarding improved education, population control and stopping/reversing climate change will become true somewhere between 2050 to 2080. By that time the older "
transitional" generation would have died off, and replaced by a more educated and technologically literate generation.
The scary thing to me is that none of us will be part of it. By the latter half of the 21st century all of us here would either be dead, or too old to contribute. I fear that anyone between the ages 20-40 today will never see the 'next big step' of humanity, when the computers are really put to work and we actually go out to live outside of Earth.
Well, we seem to have gotten a handle on population growth, and we haven't yet fought a nuclear war. That's about it in terms of optimistic predictions that came through.
One thing I find amusing is how common the belief in a near future of domestic robots used to be. I suppose it's a bit counterntuitive what jobs are easy for a computer to do, but it's likely that's going to be one of the last things to be automated.