raze2012's recent activity
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Comment on US President Donald Trump says he will impose fifty percent tariffs on Canadian goods in thirty days in ~society
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Comment on US President Donald Trump says he will impose fifty percent tariffs on Canadian goods in thirty days in ~society
raze2012 Link ParentOur media was bought out long ago. It's not even surprising that most media have soft mitts towards Trump's rampant destruction at this point. I think the huge realization point for me was when...Our media has completely failed us.
Our media was bought out long ago. It's not even surprising that most media have soft mitts towards Trump's rampant destruction at this point. I think the huge realization point for me was when Gallup of all places decided this year to simply stop tracking presidential approval ratings. It's not much by itself, but it really shows how much of this environment is at best scared of Trump, and at worst cheering it on in the shadows.
The worst part is how you'll suddenly watch them go "hard journalism" the minute Trump is out of office. Zero conviction, zero shame.
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Comment on Linus Torvalds says Linux is not "anti-AI", tells haters to 'fork it' and 'just walk away' in ~tech
raze2012 Link ParentI'm talking about companies in the 2000's and 2010's who defended and bolstered copyright. in the 2020's they want to bypass all that for training. The biggest irony was LinkedIn (Microsoft)...I still don't know who you are referring to that thinks that copyright infringement is okay, but AI training isn't.
I'm talking about companies in the 2000's and 2010's who defended and bolstered copyright. in the 2020's they want to bypass all that for training. The biggest irony was LinkedIn (Microsoft) winning a case in 2022 about web scrapers being infringement on the site. And then less than a year later they are scraping terabytes of data along the web for Copilot. And now there's several high profile lawsuits over how they obtain the data and what they produce.
It's the other way around. They want it to be okay to AI train, but still want strong copyright for whatever slop they produce. Though they seem to have already lost that battle, considering pretty much every court hearing so far confirmed that AI generated works are not able to be copywritten.
I don't know too many cases of non-companies defending copyright. I do know quite a few (especially in the tech space) who are more than gleeful to discuss fully abolishing copyright. I'm probably one of the stronger defenders, but the current rules we have are absurd and go against the spirit of why copyright was created. so we do need need to large overhauls.
When it comes to software development, we haven't been hiring juniors long before the AI boom
This was more of a general statistic than tech specific. You are correct because the inflection point was indeed around 2018-2019. The pandemic kind of threw a wrench in that, but the overall decade seems to have accelerated what was already happening.
I could (and probably have) make an entire essay aimed at the point on how companies expect talent but lost the interest to train for it1. But I'll save that for a later topic that will inevitably come up. I just brought up that to point to emphasize that the an entire up and coming generation being displaced before they even got a foot in the door is a surefire road to radicalization.
I highly doubt it's going anywhere, ever. Even if AI companies shut down or something, we would invest in it on our own.
Okay. Come back to me in a year or so.
And yes, I agree. Local models will be a much better means to make a sustainable workflow around this stuff. You'll lose out in computation time in software, and agentic software will be too expensive for a long time coming (either in budget or compute time), but most people who just want a local chatbot or some auto-gen text will be fine... eventually2.
That's the direction China is going. And when the US is caught with its pants down (again), we'll be years behind what they figured out pretty quickly.
1. and college was never that cheat code to get around it. corporate culture is so different from acedemia, so you're just getting hard fundamentals at best. The only changes were company practices
2. as usual, software without a ton of funding behind it falls behind on UI/UX, instead being made for programmers. He first local/OS model to break through that after the crash will be the true gold rush winner
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Comment on Linus Torvalds says Linux is not "anti-AI", tells haters to 'fork it' and 'just walk away' in ~tech
raze2012 Link ParentYou're usually right. But I've definitely been surprised the last few years over events that I expected to died down and then just kept going. I don't think the AI discoure is disappearing anytime...You're usually right. But I've definitely been surprised the last few years over events that I expected to died down and then just kept going. I don't think the AI discoure is disappearing anytime soon.
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Comment on Linus Torvalds says Linux is not "anti-AI", tells haters to 'fork it' and 'just walk away' in ~tech
raze2012 Link ParentIt was a pretty long post as is. I assumed the context would fit that this goes back to the mid 90's when software was just starting to get regulated, with the good ol' DMCA put in in 2000....It would help if you didn't just vaguely allude to things.
It was a pretty long post as is. I assumed the context would fit that this goes back to the mid 90's when software was just starting to get regulated, with the good ol' DMCA put in in 2000.
Assuming you mean copyright infringement being punishable, I don't think I've met a single person in my entire life that seriously thought piracy or copyright infringement were as serious as theft.
Regardless of your thoughts on it, I'm mainly pointing out the hypocrisy of those who defended it last decade, and now want to bypass the gates of their own making when it became more profitable to (in their lens) steal. I won't pity such folk caught in their own snare.
I am talking in a very real, practical sense that is available to pretty much all right now.
Right now, Gen Z can't even get in the door. I don't know the future, obviously, but this upcoming generation is at best going to create a bitter one who sees the ladder lifted up before their eyes and will be chomping at the bit to regulate if they ever get a chance to be a serious voting bloc.
And that's the "best" case.
now in a "real" sense: I think it's too late and the hype train behind AI is dying out. The free money train already ran out in that there's no nigh-unlimited token usage on a subscription anymore. So you better get used to open-source models. Investors are growing more scrutiny and want more than just buzzwords in your pitch. And data centers are undergoing a massive civil war across a few dozen states. The line is starting to go up slower.
Moreoever, If you're starting today, by the time you gain expertise we're going to be in a very different situation economically. That's why I fundamentally hate chasing trends; they are pretty much the opposite of building fundamental understanding of your chosen pursuit over hopes that you "go viral", as we say nowadays. You're gambling with your career.
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Comment on Linus Torvalds says Linux is not "anti-AI", tells haters to 'fork it' and 'just walk away' in ~tech
raze2012 Link ParentRather have a smowball than a hailstorm. A giant snowball may be the only true counter to apathy.Rather have a smowball than a hailstorm. A giant snowball may be the only true counter to apathy.
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Comment on Linus Torvalds says Linux is not "anti-AI", tells haters to 'fork it' and 'just walk away' in ~tech
raze2012 Link ParentThere was never talk about "replacing" artists. It changed how they developed art. No CEO nor programmer was under the impression they could open Photoshop and make the art or edit the photo in a...It did replace a bunch of traditional artists and then we all moved on and adapted to the new reality.
There was never talk about "replacing" artists. It changed how they developed art. No CEO nor programmer was under the impression they could open Photoshop and make the art or edit the photo in a convincing way without specialized training. So they still needed an artist to do the heavy lifting.
If anything, the camera was a better analog for this; it can quickly capture moments in nature, and later produce moving pictures at a rate no hand artist can ever hope to keep up with. That probably did displace a lot of traditional painters who'd be used to depict moments in time. But such painters could adapt because they were not limited to capturing reality.
I would think fearing for your career would push you to learn about the new thing and utilize it to your advantage.
And the big question mark if you really think AI meets the hype is: what career is left?
That's issue 2 of this that makes it incomparable to a calculator or photoshop or even the industrial revolution. AI is selling itself on replacing 90% of labor as we know it. If you're not into
- childcare (which I am sadly plalcing teaching into, if we assume an AI surpasses a traditional teacher)
- nursing (a career which will have its own reckoning once its biggest customer base dies out)
- a very narrow slice of influencer (internet or traditional) who sells on their own unique image
- Policy maker, I suppose (one often limited in tenure)
I genuinely do not see what is left to do in life. Hospitality would be annihilated by robotics servers and payment processing, manufacturing was already dying out before AI came around the corner, art will just become an endless slop machine, Ai will mostly program itself for iteration. Does everyone really need to become a Youtuber serving ads to afford a home?
Now, I don't think such a future will come to that point soon, nor easily. Not without another war or 2. And by then we probably angered Earth enough for it to cook us all alive. But I just don't understand the mindset of someone who thinks this is just some new tool that will magically make us more productive. The Technobarons aren't even trying to hide their intentions this time around.
at best you can say it's copyright infringement which is much different than theft.
30 years of political theatre from the same class of people trying to take it back today say differently. It's clear they think its theft at worst. At best they want us to think its theft until it's not convenient for them. Either way, it's theft under their lens.
legally speaking in what jurisdiction? To my (utterly uneducated in legal matters) knowledge pretty much all/absolute most court cases have concluded that AI training is not copyright infringement.
The US has quite a few high profile cases over AI as we speak.
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cg5vjqdm1ypo
Even the partial win from misanthropic on copyright came with the caveat of needing to legally purchase the (written) work, which puts the idea of scraping the internet haphazardly into a gray area. I don't see any of these companies mass scanning books to their servers to justify training.
So you have a point. Things look favorable (for now) on the idea of AI training. They don't look promising for how they current find training material .
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Comment on Linus Torvalds says Linux is not "anti-AI", tells haters to 'fork it' and 'just walk away' in ~tech
raze2012 Link ParentYeah, and he has a very vivid history of berating very well-established engineers over what was ultimately architectural opinions, not (usually) code quality . He doesn't seem like the kind of...Yeah, and he has a very vivid history of berating very well-established engineers over what was ultimately architectural opinions, not (usually) code quality . He doesn't seem like the kind of person who'd just recklessly let some vibe-code in because it was fast.
But it sounds like the fuller context comes from AI-assisted, non-front facing tools used specifically to aid a developer and not specifically to generate PR-worthy code. In Torvald's lens, I can see why that's more acceptable.
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Comment on Claude Code is the ceiling on vibe-coded software in ~tech
raze2012 Link ParentThere will definitely be a correction. But I cannot guarantee justice will be served and those pumping up the bubble will get their just desserts. There's a non-zero chance the government bails...I'm not sure if there's gonna be a correction man that's actually one of the things I worry about the most. I really hope you are right and there is one.
There will definitely be a correction. But I cannot guarantee justice will be served and those pumping up the bubble will get their just desserts. There's a non-zero chance the government bails out such companies, despite almost all of them having he capital to take the hit. OpenAI seems to be the only one truly screwed, but we'll see how their IPO goes. Google and its like will be fine. Anthropic will be an interesting one to observe.
It also won't mean that AI drops off a cliff. In fact, the real battles will begin only after everyone isn't blinded by wild speculation. It's more that we should be much more mindful where and how AI is inserted and budgeted, and establish proper etiquette and regulations around it. The most ravenous defenders will fade out, because they will have moved on to finding the next hype train. hey go where the money goes.
It's a reflection of the US right now; it won't be fixed by one big inflection point. We just hope that such a point allows us to let adults in the room again and we can start to pick up the pieces.
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Comment on Linus Torvalds says Linux is not "anti-AI", tells haters to 'fork it' and 'just walk away' in ~tech
raze2012 Link ParentRoger. I'll see if I get back around to it. I did try some local models first, but the issue became me spending more time plumbing the model in than I did actually solving my problem. classic...Roger. I'll see if I get back around to it.
I did try some local models first, but the issue became me spending more time plumbing the model in than I did actually solving my problem. classic programmer dilemma
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Comment on Linus Torvalds says Linux is not "anti-AI", tells haters to 'fork it' and 'just walk away' in ~tech
raze2012 Link ParentKinda sad we had to let GitHub crumble to learn that lesson, but sure. it will eventually work itself out. The Great Depression worked itself out, too. We're in an attention economy, sadly. Logic...Let those people fall on their ass and be responsible for a security issue. Let people stupid enough to trust vibe coding or a vibe coder developer get screwed and learn their lessons so we can move forward as a society.
Kinda sad we had to let GitHub crumble to learn that lesson, but sure. it will eventually work itself out. The Great Depression worked itself out, too.
I just don't see the point of constantly criticizing it into the ground.
We're in an attention economy, sadly. Logic and ideas aren't prevailing, deep pockets and subterfuge is. I don't have deep pockets so the best I can do is bring as much light to the issue as I can.
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Comment on Linus Torvalds says Linux is not "anti-AI", tells haters to 'fork it' and 'just walk away' in ~tech
raze2012 Link ParentI've already seen it happening, sadly. I do agree that it ultimately hasn't changed the conversation. I don't think anyone staunchly anti-AI suddenly changed their stance. They've heard similar...I've already seen it happening, sadly. I do agree that it ultimately hasn't changed the conversation. I don't think anyone staunchly anti-AI suddenly changed their stance. They've heard similar statements (especially "well it was bad a year ago but it's so much better now, you haven't used it).
Nowadays, I literally can't afford to use it even if I wanted to. I briefly dabbled with Gemini but even on a tiny project I was getting rate limited hard after dozens of requests. And Google will probably be the cheapest plan if history serves.
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Comment on Linus Torvalds says Linux is not "anti-AI", tells haters to 'fork it' and 'just walk away' in ~tech
raze2012 Link ParentI went a decade without Ai helping me. Why stop now? I guess if a future employer forces me to and I'm choosing between AI or homelessness, sure. But that's not my choice, it's coercion. And I...I'm also not sure wtf an anti-ai stance means in practice. You could mean being against 100% generated content, which is fine. But that term alone implies you can't use AI to help you.
I went a decade without Ai helping me. Why stop now?
I guess if a future employer forces me to and I'm choosing between AI or homelessness, sure. But that's not my choice, it's coercion. And I sure will plan my move around not being coerced. Fundamentally, I don't want to touch any AI until we put a huge glacier on it, slow the hell down for once in the tech industry, and start to highlight ethical, logistical, and legal lines for it.
It also needs to go hand-in-hand with stronger labor laws because no: you can't just threaten to remove 80% of the workforce without some plan in place. Asia is much more open to AI than North America and that's probably in part due to how you can't just lay off employees unless you are genuinely in the red. So people are structured less around being replaced and more around training to maximize productivity. It all comes around to how crappy the US labor market it.
but do they really want to see the code I wrote by myself? I can assure you that is significantly worse.
To use the quote of yet another man I highly disagree with on a dozen fronts:
“When you’re a carpenter making a beautiful chest of drawers, you’re not going to use a piece of plywood on the back, even though it faces the wall and nobody will ever see it. You’ll know it’s there, so you’re going to use a beautiful piece of wood on the back. For you to sleep well at night, the aesthetic, the quality, has to be carried all the way through.”
There's been constant discourse of if software developers should even be called "engineers". But I do see the beauty of code and strive for such code if I can help it. Sadly, I rarely can. But that's not an ideal I want to throw away easily. Call it my experience in games and being exposed to artists who truly take pride in their work, but even if my code is never read, I want it to be felt. Those little touches in a game add up in ways that can make a good experience great.
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Comment on Linus Torvalds says Linux is not "anti-AI", tells haters to 'fork it' and 'just walk away' in ~tech
raze2012 Link ParentIn the discourse, I suppose. The talk isn't about empowering artists, but replacing them. You talk like that and it doesn't matter that you made an artist 10x more productive. They are still going...Pretty much everything that AI offers has been more or less integrated.
In the discourse, I suppose. The talk isn't about empowering artists, but replacing them. You talk like that and it doesn't matter that you made an artist 10x more productive. They are still going to (rightfully) fear for their career. Especially given how history has treated them.
People who do not know much about the tech, but have made their mind up that it is theft
Doesn't help that the jury is literally not out on that yet. Legally speaking, you can't disprove that it's theft.
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Comment on Linus Torvalds says Linux is not "anti-AI", tells haters to 'fork it' and 'just walk away' in ~tech
raze2012 Link ParentGiven the weight and utterly exhausting discourse over it, I wouldn't call it a "purity" troll to be staunchly against AI. You push your extremes and you create opposing extremists back. Not...It’s 100% posturing from purity trolls who have lost all sight of what it is they’re fighting over.
Given the weight and utterly exhausting discourse over it, I wouldn't call it a "purity" troll to be staunchly against AI. You push your extremes and you create opposing extremists back. Not everyone just accepts being squished into submission.
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Comment on Linus Torvalds says Linux is not "anti-AI", tells haters to 'fork it' and 'just walk away' in ~tech
raze2012 Link ParentYeah, we know plenty of things in history can be useful. Some aspects need to be regulated anyway or ruled illegal. Or at least respect exisiting laws because when has "but this will slow us down"...Yeah, we know plenty of things in history can be useful. Some aspects need to be regulated anyway or ruled illegal. Or at least respect exisiting laws because when has "but this will slow us down" ever been a valid legal defense?
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Comment on Linus Torvalds says Linux is not "anti-AI", tells haters to 'fork it' and 'just walk away' in ~tech
raze2012 Link ParentGood thing I don't need billions. Make a few nice creations, be happy with it fueling a career and maybe inspiring some people, and then enjoy whats left of my life afterwards. I'm not trying to...you can’t be a main player in software today, while still doing 100% human written code.
Good thing I don't need billions. Make a few nice creations, be happy with it fueling a career and maybe inspiring some people, and then enjoy whats left of my life afterwards.
I'm not trying to revolutionize the world, just leave my mark.
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Comment on Linus Torvalds says Linux is not "anti-AI", tells haters to 'fork it' and 'just walk away' in ~tech
raze2012 Link ParentUseful for what, though? A hammer is useful. A hammer sure won't feel good if I'm working with screws all day, even if I "technically" can hammer in screws. We haven't exactly nailed down what are...but "is it useful" is no longer one of
those questions. Anybody who doubts that clearly hasn't actually used
it.
Useful for what, though? A hammer is useful. A hammer sure won't feel good if I'm working with screws all day, even if I "technically" can hammer in screws. We haven't exactly nailed down what are hammers and what are screws.
Meanwhile, the Linux project is a precision built particle accelerator. I imagine that isn't the nail we're looking for either.
But Christ, anybody who points to the
problems at AI had better be looking in the mirror and pointing at
themselves at the same time.That's part of the problem. I can point at myself in the mirror and admit fault. an LLM sure as heck will try to avoid it without an argument, and I feel that's a small reflection of its most evangelical users.
There's a lot of moral issues amok, but a under-talked about factor is simply the kinds of people AI attracts as of now. It's not really the kinds of people you'd hope would be subject matter experts who want to work towards a larger project. That's the issue Godot ran into recently.
Because it's not like natural intelligence is always all that great either.
Yeah, I agree. That's why we regulate it quite a bit. I feel like the "we do open source because it results in better technology" is quite a dangerous line to follow to its natural conclusion. Better technology being used to justify over potential social risk is a classic sci-fi dystopia trope for a reason; because at some point we (or worse yet: the next creation) realizes humanity itself isn't all that great either.
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Comment on Claude Code is the ceiling on vibe-coded software in ~tech
raze2012 Link Parentwe're sadly getting less of those engineers, as some atrophy from over-relying on AI. and worse yet, students are overrelying on it because their metrics are also messed up (which is an entire...Any software engineer worth their salt knows that you can't really just prompt and reprompt, use loops and goals and then throw infinite money to get good software that thousands of people will use.
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we're sadly getting less of those engineers, as some atrophy from over-relying on AI. and worse yet, students are overrelying on it because their metrics are also messed up (which is an entire other discussions w';ll need to have after this bubble pops).
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Sadly it's not software engineers (primarily) driving this hype bubble. The goal isn't to even appear productive, it's to yell how much AI we;re using and juicing the stock that way. It's only very recently starting to not be a magic money button.
I can't wait for the market to become rational. II just worry it won't be before a huge, very avoidable, correction.
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Comment on Claude Code is the ceiling on vibe-coded software in ~tech
raze2012 Link ParentThat's what their stakeholders (and likely, every other businessmen in the US) wants to hear. Not that it's high quality, but that it can get stuff done fast and cheap. And we're in a market that...If anything, being too deep in AI qua AI probably makes you distinctly bad at understanding how to use AI for anything useful.
That's what their stakeholders (and likely, every other businessmen in the US) wants to hear. Not that it's high quality, but that it can get stuff done fast and cheap. And we're in a market that is trying to be as fast and cheap without literally collapsing the floor it stands on (and IMO, the cracks are forming).
That's the big issue with this whole craze. The engineers are ignored (as usual), and this hype is starting to choke on its own fumes it hyped up.
70% of me keeps going out of spite at tihs point. Spite to survive and see them either see their day in court or flee like cockroaches. Either will be satisfying to behold.
If we still try to compromise with this even after al this destruction... well, maybe that will be my time to get out of the country. We can't keep repeating the same mistakes every 4-8 years like this.