scroll_lock's recent activity

  1. Comment on Donald Trump administration issues stop-work order for US offshore wind project in ~enviro

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    Comment box Scope: comment response, opinion Tone: snide Opinion: yes Sarcasm/humor: none Culture war grandstanding. TACO. The federal admin will back down just like they did in New York, lie or...
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    Culture war grandstanding. TACO. The federal admin will back down just like they did in New York, lie or exaggerate about having won a negotiation, the base will cheer (or, more likely, not notice), and the media will move on.

    This wind farm is a great project that I have been following since construction began. The worst-case scenario is that the company cannot connect the project to the grid until 2029. Unfortunate, but whatever. The rest of the world is still electrifying. US electricity bills will just be higher than they need to be.

    Here's how you know this manufactured opposition won't last:

    The administration’s subsequent consideration of rules to further restrict access to tax credits for wind and solar projects alarmed even some Republicans, prompting Iowa Sen. Chuck Grassley and Utah Sen. John Curtis to place holds on Treasury nominees as they awaited the department’s formal guidance.

    Clean energy is an economic benefit. Despite the pressure of the culture war, GOP politicians know that it benefits their constituents and are already having doubts about this maniacal fossil fuel obsession. The moment the media consensus declares the next American recession, you can be sure that they will be building wind and solar farms at a pace never before seen, because they'll ease up and let developers build anything: the most cost-effective energy system will be green.

    13 votes
  2. Comment on How “grid-forming inverters” are paving the way for 100% renewable energy in ~enviro

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    Comment box Scope: comment response, opinion Tone: neutral Opinion: yes Sarcasm/humor: none Yes, they will. Corporations respond to profit incentives based on previous experience or speculation....
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    Yes, they will. Corporations respond to profit incentives based on previous experience or speculation. Public companies have a statutory obligation to provide shareholder value. If it becomes more profitable to adopt clean energy technology, that's what they'll do. Almost all large energy companies are public.

    Private corporations can be more capricious, but they are still for-profit.

    Now, politicians are different. Politicians who hate clean energy for culture war reasons may legislatively enact financial incentives (tax breaks, etc) to keep it more profitable to burn fossil fuels than use solar panels. Then the corporations have no reason to switch to clean energy. But note that the politicians who benefit most from solar panels are actually in red states that otherwise have this whole culture wars animosity toward clean energy. Indiana etc have so much wind that the politicians there are less inclined to protect the fossil fuel industry if it'll hurt wind.

    The biggest political opposition will be from entrenched petrostates whose economies and government both rely on oil for authority.

    The bet I'd make is that clean energy technology can be made so much more efficient to deploy, scale, and maintain than fossil fuels that politicians and corporations (even in petrostates) have no recourse but to accept it. The extremely low upfront cost of solar makes it very attractive over large energy plants. Developments in modern geothermal tech are very similar to oil drilling and fracking with less risk for the corporation (not handling explosive chemicals anymore).

    The biggest barrier in the US is probably local NIMBY opposition. State-level politicians will eventually all support clean energy development because it boosts economic growth. Local politicians, like private corporations, can get away with being capricious because they only answer to local stakeholders. They will try not to issue permits to clean energy projects. Mostly, this is an anti-development thing, not specifically anti-clean energy. But if clean energy is the cheapest kind of energy project (which is already almost always true), then making it easier to build all projects results in 90%+ clean energy projects. NEPA and other environmental laws are often weaponized by NIMBYs for ostensibly ecological reasons, but really they are just opposing all development, regardless of its overarching environmental benefits.

    This is why solar is exciting to me personally, because it's so modular. It's easier to convince skeptical NIMBYs to let you add solar panels on your house than to add a field of them nearby. And once they see a few solar panels, suddenly they stop being this horrible evil thing, and they stop opposing larger developments quite as much.

    2 votes
  3. Comment on How “grid-forming inverters” are paving the way for 100% renewable energy in ~enviro

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    Comment box Scope: summary, information, opinion Tone: neutral Opinion: yes Sarcasm/humor: none Accessible coverage of a technical solution to the electric grid stability problem of the transition...
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    Accessible coverage of a technical solution to the electric grid stability problem of the transition to renewable energy.

    Grid operators currently receive some slack from power plants that spin turbines—including the dirtiest fossil fuels. The turbines have inertia that ensures grid frequency is stable. Wind and solar energy don’t really have this feature, and an unstable frequency can crash the grid.

    As with all things in the energy transition, very smart people are working on engineering solutions to this problem. Just Have a Think talks about how “grid-forming inverters” (as opposed to grid-following inverters) are being used successfully and at scale to maintain grid frequency stability with a highly renewable power mix.

    Every day, more of our electricity is generated through clean sources. Solar (in particular) and wind are winning economically. Increasingly, the “silver linings” of fossil fuel power are shown to be unnecessary from a technical perspective.

    Technology like this puts us on a great track for 100% renewable electricity generation.

    9 votes
  4. Comment on Aerophobia is having a moment in ~health.mental

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    Comment box Scope: information, opinion Tone: wry at first, neutral mostly, later kind of pondering Opinion: yes Sarcasm/humor: there is 1 joke here I normally care about Facts and Logic, but if...
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    I normally care about Facts and Logic, but if irrational aerophobia convinces people to fly less and take trains more, that has substantial environmental benefits. As vehicle electrification grows, even a mode shift to cars is an unequivocal enviro improvement. The number of lives saved due to fewer CO2 emissions due to this “irrational” decision is consequential. (Directly from asthma and other respiratory conditions and indirectly from the numerous forms of climate change happening.)

    The net social mental health benefit to avoiding premature deaths is high!

    The counterargument is that a mode shift to cars results in more traffic fatalities (~1.2m baseline global). This is true, but still outweighed by avoided climate deaths from not emitting so much CO2 (~8m baseline global), plus incalculable indirect deaths. (Any mode shift would be a fraction of each, but a roughly proportional one.)

    I guess the response to this depends on how narrowly or broadly you think about mental health. Even if aerophobia is silly, and even if it’s indicative of a larger pattern of people being unable to reconcile numbers with emotions, in this case it happens to be something of a benefit. Personally, I won’t fight it.

    3 votes
  5. Comment on Today is Overshoot Day in ~enviro

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    Comment box Scope: comment response, opinion, speculation Tone: neutral Opinion: yes Sarcasm/humor: none That’s a reasonable concern. Keep in mind that climate scientists make predictions using...
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    That’s a reasonable concern. Keep in mind that climate scientists make predictions using models based on past data. The overshoot chart seems to track largely with population growth and industrialization/QOL changes. That won’t necessarily continue.

    Some animals, like coyotes, have the ability to change litter sizes according to their environmental conditions or stress. I don’t think humans have this ability biologically, but we emulate it economically.

    Birth rates have dropped in industrialized countries for many reasons, but I think the biggest is that there’s less structural economic incentive to have children. It’s not like they’re going to help out on the family farm anymore; while children bring much emotional joy they are almost exclusively a financial expense and not an asset. Even later in life, parents are increasingly expected to manage their own retirements and live alone rather than being taken care of by children in a multigenerational household. Even one child is expensive and having several is a particular strain. Households can acquire even more capital if women work rather than taking care of children. It’s more efficient to spend capital on gaining more capital, rather than spending it on a child/labor. People still have children, but in industrialized places it is basically for fun/emotional fulfillment or by accident. And evidently it seems like having 1–2 children can provide most or all of those benefits without costing toooo much.

    Inevitably this will result in population decline and therefore substantially less stress on earth’s resources. It is already happening locally in some countries and scientists seem to think that this will happen globally by around 2050–2080. The world will continue to industrialize and human labor will probably become less relevant in the economy as automation spreads and capital further establishes itself as the mechanism for financial prosperity, and tax policies are probably not going to be able to reverse it.

    Environmentally, I think this means that we avoid some of the dreaded “tipping points.” No comment on how this affects culture.

    3 votes
  6. Comment on Today is Overshoot Day in ~enviro

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    Comment box Scope: comment response, information, opinion Tone: neutral Opinion: yes Sarcasm/humor: none While humans have been burning coal for a long time, the global population was low enough...
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    While humans have been burning coal for a long time, the global population was low enough and resource use in general was low enough for most of that duration that the aggregate “overshoot” could have been negligible.

    The population in 1970 was about 3.7 billion compared to over 8 billion today. In the 1970s far less of the world was industrialized than present, and even in industrialized places, absolute and per capita energy use was substantially lower.

    Environmental destruction at that time was still occurring, and has occurred for most of human history, but the scale of our society and resource consumption now is on a different level!

    5 votes
  7. Comment on Steel reinvented: inside the world’s first plant to burn no fossil fuels [tour] in ~enviro

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    Comment box Scope: summary, information, opinion Tone: neutral at the beginning, optimistic throughout, a bit wry at the end Opinion: yes Sarcasm/humor: last paragraph is supposed to be a little...
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    Rosie Barnes is an engineer in the renewable sector. "Engineering with Rosie" is her professional channel discussing clean energy technology.

    One of the more difficult sectors to decarbonize is INDUSTRIAL HEAT, which is 18% of global emissions. the production of steel in heavy industry in particular is a big part of this. Steel is essential to our lives, including most machines and almost all structures (rebar in concrete). Modern steel-making is heavily reliant on fossil fuels, especially old blast furnaces. Electric arc furnaces can sustain high temperatures with much lower emissions, but the end-stages of steel production usually require burning something dirty and stinky and fossilized.

    Barnes takes us through a steel facility by Ovako in Sweden which does away with the grime and manages to use basically completely renewable energy to produce steel. The key is using electric arc furnaces for the first stages of steel production and then hydrogen-powered reheating furnaces for rolling. Burning hydrogen produces only water and heat as waste. (They can also use liquid propane, or any combination of both, but the hydrogen isn't just a gimmick.) Hydrogen can be produced using fully renewable electricity.

    Its a good thing to see this built and being used in practice. It demonstrates that full decarbonization is technically possible AND commercially viable.

    Every day I wake up and someone has made it their life's mission to despair in a new way about the inevitable failure of renewable energy to defeat fossil fuels.....no thanks. Boring and primitive. As you people know, I am pretty confident that the energy [generation] transition is happening and will continue to happen, and also that electric vehicles will dominate within a decade or so. I am preparing to add industrial heat (at least for steel) to my Arsenal of Optimism, assuming I see this tech proliferate further among early adopters, which seems reasonable.

    7 votes
  8. Comment on China's tech giant claims 1,800-mile range for new solid-state EV battery in ~transport

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    Comment box Scope: comment response, opinion, speculation, inquiry Tone: neutral, explorative, curious Opinion: yes Sarcasm/humor: none That’s a good comment. I wonder how monopolistic the gas...
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    That’s a good comment. I wonder how monopolistic the gas station industry is? I mean, off the top of my head, I can think of about dozen gas brands on interstate highways… though I am not sure if they’re all independent.

    At least where I live, there’s a reasonable amount of price variation station-to-station (not sure how they’re capable of that considering they’re all buying oil from the same global market, I think?)

    In theory the federal government has the ability to break up monopolies. I am not sure if there is a special characteristic of EV charging that makes it resistant to that, or more resistant than gas.

    I guess one could make the argument that electric charging is necessarily less monopolistic than gas fueling because electric power generation is much more decentralized than the oil industry, which seems to be a few giant political price-fixing blocs. (Whereas one can generate electricity in 5+ cost-competitive methods.) It’s not clear to me exactly how much that structural efficiency affects end-user costs.

    1 vote
  9. Comment on Why America built a forest from Canada to Texas in ~enviro

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    Comment box Scope: summary, information, takeaway Tone: neutral Opinion: final paragraph only Sarcasm/humor: none A video describing the New Deal project to create a protective “wall” of tree...
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    A video describing the New Deal project to create a protective “wall” of tree shelterbelts for Dust Bowl farms in the 1930s and ‘40s. The benefits were great: increasing agricultural yields, reducing unhealthy and dangerous dust storms, and promoting ecological diversity.

    This stuff needs oversight though. Without a bureaucracy to maintain healthy forests, private individuals rarely have the wherewithal to upkeep anything beyond the bare minimum (their crops themselves).

    We’ve had nasty droughts since then, but the federal government agencies responsible for land management have done a relatively good job encouraging a minimum level of tree and shrub planting in conjunction with crops. As a result, the dust storms from the Depression haven’t been quite as much of an issue.

    We should be striving to replicate these successes with additional sustainable agricultural practices to properly integrate humanity into the earth’s ecosystems, not stomp on them.

    13 votes
  10. Comment on China's tech giant claims 1,800-mile range for new solid-state EV battery in ~transport

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    Comment box Scope: comment response, opinion, speculation Tone: neutral, explorative Opinion: yes Sarcasm/humor: none If gas station density currently meets market demand, EV charging definitely...
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    If gas station density currently meets market demand, EV charging definitely can. They serve the same overall market need (public vehicle fueling). With DC fast charging of only a few minutes, EV charging stations have a similar spatial requirement to gas stations.

    You’re right that there’s a political element here too. My assumption is that there will be a certain point where constituents economically benefit enough from EVs specifically, as opposed to ICEs, that that problem handles itself. (This is a separate economic question from car-free/car-lite paradigms because adopting an EV is way easier than getting rid of a car altogether.)

    Most development limitations in the US are the direct result of local permitting restrictions. In housing, we’re already seeing states take control of regional zoning (California etc) to increase market responsiveness to demand. EV charging land use is just a lagging version of that, because transportation is usually the 2nd or 3rd cost behind housing in most household budgets.

    4 votes
  11. Comment on China's tech giant claims 1,800-mile range for new solid-state EV battery in ~transport

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    Comment box Scope: comment response, opinion, speculation Tone: neutral, explorative Opinion: yes Sarcasm/humor: dryly, a bit My suggestion is that the EV charging market is resilient enough to...
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    My suggestion is that the EV charging market is resilient enough to manage itself. Whether it’s a flat cap or a market-based cap, it’s still an explicit auto subsidy vs. other energy uses. We would be better off with additional negative incentives for gas stations and gas-powered vehicle use.

    To be honest I’m not sure that’s strictly necessary either, though it would speed things up a lot—I’m usually on the other side of the tech futurism bandwagon, arguing for policies and incentives, but the engineering simplicity of EVs and, as we see, rapidly increasing energy density per area and weight just leave ICEs in the dust.

    Personally I am less interested in working on problems that already have the inertial weight of physics, industry, and technical media behind them, which EVs essentially do. It’s not literally solved yet, but it’s a ball rolling down a hill. The writing is on the wall, internationally; China’s industrial direction is electric and we’re going to be living in that world sooner than we think. In contrast, de-carifying our built environment is not even close to a solved problem in the United States and for the most part doesn’t benefit from those inertial forces as easily. Our policy efforts have to be designed accordingly.

    With exceptions for edge cases, I don’t like legally mandating EV infrastructure as an incremental step toward car-free/car-lite cities because once a municipality makes that investment, it’s going to be unpopular to remove it. Just see how hard it currently is to remove free on-street parking even in highly transit-accessible neighborhoods. Once people feel entitled to a particular lifestyle amenity, they’re going to fight bitterly to retain it—even logically understanding the tragedy of the commons and recognizing the environmental and financial peril it puts our society in.

    Mandating specific charging infrastructure by ZIP is a variation of zoning-based minimum parking requirements, which are generally antithetical to successful human civilization (see Shoup/Parking Reform Network). I see why they’re appealing, but American local governments are broadly structurally incapable of managing land use in a way that isn’t waaay ecologically destructive. It basically creates a new paradigm where charging (parking) is doubly enforced rather than one where it can be whittled away through better urban planning.

    We can do this car incentive stuff now for EVs, but we have to undo it all in 10 years anyway. The activist organizing effort necessary for that is higher than getting it right the first time.

    9 votes
  12. Comment on China's tech giant claims 1,800-mile range for new solid-state EV battery in ~transport

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    Comment box Scope: comment response, opinion, speculation Tone: neutral, explorative Opinion: yes Sarcasm/humor: none The price should be market rate. Capping the price of charging-specific...
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    The price should be market rate. Capping the price of charging-specific electricity is a car subsidy that incentivizes wasteful long-distance driving over other uses of electricity.

    While EV adoption could slightly accelerate with such subsidies in the next 5–10 years, it will happen by itself. The technology is leaping forward at such astonishing rates that ICEs simply will not be economically viable within a decade. All consumers respond to pricing. (The American market’s obsession with oversized luxury vehicles will fade once the economic reality of the new world order sets in.)

    Once a subsidy as broad as that goes in, assuming uptake is large, it’s probably never going away -too much political support from drivers. Because what politician will voluntarily raise the cost of [gas|electricity]? They’d have to be sneaky about it. Good luck.

    Charging stations can presently raise prices because there is a relatively low supply of them on certain routes. But if you look at the Alternative Fuels Data Center datasets on charging trends, the number of public L2/DC charging ports is increasing by 5–8% every quarter. That’s stock market-level growth… but 3–4x as fast. When there is truly enough supply, prices will go own. If they don’t, tough—that means we’re already at equilibrium. Long-distance driving is more resource-intensive than short-distance and should be priced accordingly; the real cost per mile including externalities is definitely more than linear.

    The end goal is ecological sustainability, and that’s only possible if people aren’t driving cars everywhere. They have their place, but it should really be a niche method of transport.

    9 votes
  13. Comment on Trains.FYI is a real-time map of passenger trains in North America in ~transport

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    Comment box Scope: comment response, opinion Tone: relatively neutral Opinion: yes Sarcasm/humor: none FWIW this map omits several datasets. It focuses on mainline/long-ish distance trains, mostly...
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    FWIW this map omits several datasets. It focuses on mainline/long-ish distance trains, mostly Amtrak and suburban commuter trains, omitting many of the heavily utilized metro systems in the USA. (I think it’s missing some suburban systems too.)

    For example, the NYC MTA is completely untracked, even though it’s the biggest and most active subway on the continent. NY/NJ PATH missing too. Most Philly SEPTA trains are untracked, heavy rail metros, light rail trollies, and the high-speed line, and also NJ PATCO. Los Angeles suburban Metrolink is tracked, but not the rather extensive subway. etc

    There are lots of empty swaths of land with no trains on this map, but there are also zero people in much of that land area. By not tracking local trains (where people live), the situation seems worse than it really is. Trains don’t need to cover every inch of the continent.

    But to your point, the US and Canada have absolutely dropped the ball on what is the most energy-efficient, space-efficient, and with modern technology time-efficient form of transportation for large numbers of people. In addition to mainstream obliviousness to transportation science (and subsequent reluctance to fund it), the Anglosphere and especially the USA are uniquely terrible at building transit. It’s not just political will, it’s also hardened professional incompetence, project bloat, and myopic national exceptionalism. Alon Levy’s Pedestrian Observations blog describes many of the reasons why in more depth and with more authority.

    8 votes
  14. Comment on Abundance meets resistance: Are US Democrats finally ready to go all in on building housing? in ~society

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    Comment box Scope: comment response, information, opinion Tone: fairly neutral Opinion: a bit Sarcasm/humor: none I love buses and think urbanists (including myself) need to better advocate for...
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    I love buses and think urbanists (including myself) need to better advocate for them. They're not really in the public consciousness, or only something for "poor people." It's also important for bus infrastructure to be high-quality; enclosed/heated bus stops (at least partially), real-time arrival tracking, better route detouring, etc. Dedicated bus lanes along highways and arterials, as well as intersection signal priority, would also dramatically improve travel times.

    Like you said, bus fleets in Silicon Valley and other places can be super attractive. Jarrett Walker from Human Transit has a lot of good materials about bus networks.

    I grew up in a small town and never even took a transit bus until I was in my 20s. Unfortunately, I think that's pretty common.

    Rail is ultimately the safer, greener, more energy-efficient, and more space-efficient method of transportation, but a good rail network is only as good as its branch lines—which in practice is its bus network.

    Rail guideways have conflict points that need to be carefully engineered, or grade separated. Rail is very high-capacity and necessarily isn't cost-effective (from a market perspective) on all routes, although government subsidies could change that. Buses can take grades that rail can't, and so bus routes don't necessarily need as many expensive tunnels and bridges in mountainous areas. More importantly, rail supply chains are fairly slow and producing rolling stock takes a while, so municipalities have to be really serious about it. Bus fleets are very easy to deploy, and bus drivers don't necessarily need as much training as train conductors.

    They resent private companies using bus stops maintained by the city. I’m not sure how valid those complaints are, though?

    Bus headway is basically a non-issue. They all travel at roughly the same speed. The only issue is that express buses need to pass local buses. That's not a problem along arterials which necessarily have more than 1 travel lane in each direction, and even on local roads, bus zones at bus stops allow express vehicles to pass. Traffic in bus corridors is fundamentally caused by too many cars, not too many buses. There are occasional congestion issues in downtown areas if private companies allow buses to queue (park) on public roads rather than in off-street bus depots. But that's the result of not having... a public bus depot that private buses can use.

    I say that private usage of public transit stations is WAY better than the other way around. NYC's publicly-owned Port Authority is successful; my city's privately-owned Greyhound station (which was sold because Greyhound could make a profit that way) stupendously fails residents.

    It's possible there are some specific bottlenecks in Silicon Valley (due to cars creating congestion), but this is an unreasonable critique. Highways are publicly funded too... why not "resent the vibes" of private companies driving cars and trucks? Or private airlines flying planes in public airports? You can make an argument about market share profitability—but it's pretty weak considering the externalities it's avoiding. "Vibes" are a bad excuse. People just like to hate on Silicon Valley. The government's whole purpose is to subsidize things. If people are going to hate on anything, it should be things that are fundamentally bad, and public transport is not that.

    Possibly, driverless cars could be used to extend these fleets to places where there aren’t enough people to support a bus line?

    This is interesting and I am curious to see where driverless tech goes. But I am wary of all taxis. Uber's contribution to traffic is ridiculous; some figures I've seen suggest up to 40% of urban traffic at some times of day is simply due to EMPTY taxis circling blocks, looking for passengers. This is presumably less of an issue in rural areas. The advantage of robo-taxis is that they don't need to park near transit stops, so parking lots near train stations don't need to be nearly as big; the taxis can park under a highway or something. But they necessarily have pretty high mileage.

    It would be better if people who work office jobs just didn't live in exurbs.

    7 votes
  15. Comment on Abundance meets resistance: Are US Democrats finally ready to go all in on building housing? in ~society

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    Comment box Scope: comment response, information Tone: neutral Opinion: a little Sarcasm/humor: none Historically this was how all factory workers got to work. If you're asking about heavy rail...
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    If it’s so easy, why doesn’t anyone do it?

    Historically this was how all factory workers got to work.

    If you're asking about heavy rail specifically, private railroads don't exist anymore. Corporations don't want to pay for the capital cost of maintaining a completely new set of rolling stock or dealing with regulatory agencies. This service would have to be subsidized and run by government.

    But there are still corporate benefits to public transportation, which is why many large companies offer public transit passes to employees that want them. Many transit lines go straight to employment centers.

    The only passenger rail I know of that shares tracks with freight rail is Amtrak

    Plenty of local railroads share tracks with freight. The NJ Transit River Line is an example; daytime passenger, nighttime freight. SEPTA shares freight lines. Metro-North shares freight lines. Metrolink shares freight lines. I feel like it's harder to name a regional railroad that doesn't share track with freight.

    My point was not about the finicky details of shared rights-of-way; I'm not here to talk about track alignment. Hence my follow-up paragraph it doesn't all have to be heavy rail. Rather, a company's willingness to invest into a heavy rail line means that its business is extraordinarily stationary on a long time horizon. This also applies to factory equipment and anything else with capital cost, even office buildings themselves.

    Wahab's claim is that TOD fails because many workers have jobs outside downtown urban hubs. The latter observation is true, but her conclusion downplays the fact that employment centers are necessarily hubs in and of themselves. Medium to large employers have enough employees for some sort of public transport to make sense. The stationary infrastructure that already exists around the industries Wahab in part refers to indicates that TOD along consistent branch lines would be feasible.

    I will clarify my earlier statement. Passenger heavy rail to factories would not necessarily be easy. But in conjunction with TOD and government support it would still be realistic. If Wahab were serious about housing reform she would be thinking bigger picture than micro-level zoning. While important, everything is interconnected.

    8 votes
  16. Comment on Abundance meets resistance: Are US Democrats finally ready to go all in on building housing? in ~society

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    Comment box Scope: comment response, personal take Tone: slightly uppity Opinion: yes Sarcasm/humor: none Wahab is an example of a politician who utterly lacks visionary capability with regard to...
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    Wahab is an example of a politician who utterly lacks visionary capability with regard to urban planning. The reason she believes TOD "doesn't work" is because her conceptualization of TOD is sporadic radial transit lines rather than networks of lines; and because she fundamentally cannot imagine a world in which it is atypical to have to drive to work.

    This is ironic for someone from New York City. Admittedly she's from Queens, a borough with an infamously "radial" and therefore disconnected transit system.

    She even argues that development around transit hubs “doesn’t necessarily work” because many working people have jobs with car commutes

    Yes, obviously. The point of TOD is not just about housing, it's also about job centers.

    Contrary to popular belief, TOD isn't just for office workers. Industrial workers benefit from it too. Steel mills do not move. Any factory that has a freight railroad can also easily have at least one passenger railroad from a nearby transit hub. These places are huge job centers and just because they're not necessarily urban doesn't mean people can't still get there by transit. Will it take a connection for some workers? Probably.

    But it doesn't all have to be heavy rail. There are such things as trams, and buses, and shuttles, all of which can take workers from transit depots to basically anywhere. But housing development ultimately needs to connect to those depots, and that's what Wahab is giving up on. The most basic first step.

    Obviously a plumber making household calls needs a car in southern California (currently). That's not the target of short-term TOD. You really have to aim for the 80% of low-hanging-fruit, not the 20% in the higher branches.

    all the streamlining efforts haven’t necessarily translated to cost savings

    Wahab is actually correct about one thing, which is that "streamlining efforts" don't necessarily work... because they're inadequate.

    Local municipalities all over the USA continue to require absolutely behemoth parking structures for new construction. You have no idea how expensive these things are. Legally mandated parking requirements can easily double the cost of a 5-over-1. The worst part? 99.9% of local minimum parking requirements are completely arbitrary and unscientific, justified retroactively through manipulation of statistical data. But they do have a big negative impact, which is making it extremely difficult for developers to build affordable housing. Landlords have to charge high rents if half the building is a parking garage, or else they'll literally never make back their purchase price.

    Unfortunately, Wahab believes that minimum parking requirements should be strengthened. She either doesn't understand or doesn't care about induced modal demand.

    15 votes
  17. Comment on Climate non-profits anticipate fight with US President Donald Trump over tax status in ~society

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    Comment box Scope: summary, information, opinion Tone: seething Opinion: yes Sarcasm/humor: none The administration is considering pressuring the IRS to revoke the tax-exempt status of nonprofits...
    Comment box
    • Scope: summary, information, opinion
    • Tone: seething
    • Opinion: yes
    • Sarcasm/humor: none

    The administration is considering pressuring the IRS to revoke the tax-exempt status of nonprofits dealing with climate activism and some other matters.

    Because Trump is an unapologetic fascist, the list of targeted organizations will grow until he wields absolute authority over civil life. That's right: you're next.

    If you are on the board of a nonprofit organization, I suggest you speak with your treasurer to secure your organization's financial stability. You might have to pay taxes for a while.

    This article is pretty optimistic, but the president controls the Treasury Department, and that department contains the Internal Revenue Service.

    7 votes