Markrs240b's recent activity

  1. Comment on The five futures of Russia in ~misc

    Markrs240b
    Link
    Although not necessarily a likely scenario, it is imaginable that Russia may end up fragmenting further, shedding some territories into more independent nations. There are some territories that...

    Although not necessarily a likely scenario, it is imaginable that Russia may end up fragmenting further, shedding some territories into more independent nations.

    There are some territories that tried to gain independence in the early 90's but were unable to break away for a variety of reasons. Tatarstan is one such region. If Moscow becomes sufficiently unstable then independence for these regions might be feasible.

    Another source of independent nations could be resource-rich areas further from Moscow. If Russia ends up in either the "Chaos" or "North Korea" scenario as described above, investment to get those resources might be difficult. Russia has shown that rule of law isn't a high priority, and recently foreign investments have been seized with little pretense. Instead, there may be some instigation to break away some resource-rich area to form a stable government that could provide legal protection and/or consistency for investments in resource extraction.

    Lastly, some of the more rural parts of Russia are quite impoverished compared to Moscow and St. Petersburg. Some impoverished region might be the ideal place for some would-be dictator to try to make an empire for themselves by instigating an independence movement on the basis of improving the standard of living. Blame for current standard of living could be put on Moscow, and independence plus alignment towards Ukraine, Uzbekistan, or some other neighboring former soviet country may offer the promise of better lives.

    None of these scenarios are especially likely, but they are theoretically possible. If even one such movement was able to gain any noticeable traction in an unstable Russia it would invite all kinds of foreign influence that could make independence possible. And if one region was able to break away, who knows what would happen after that?

    3 votes
  2. Comment on What games have you been playing, and what's your opinion on them? in ~games

    Markrs240b
    Link Parent
    This is so true. It's an incredibly fun game if I'm diving with friends, and it's sometimes cool with randos, but soloing is almost painful, and crappy randos just ruin the game.

    This is so true. It's an incredibly fun game if I'm diving with friends, and it's sometimes cool with randos, but soloing is almost painful, and crappy randos just ruin the game.

  3. Comment on "Dune: Part Three" in the works, in addition to Denis Villeneuve adapation of "Nuclear War: A Scenario" in ~movies

    Markrs240b
    Link
    Imagine if a movie adaptation of Shakespeare's Hamlet ended with a surprise twist in which not only does Hamlet not die, but also Rosencranz and Guildenstern also survive to start a war between...

    Imagine if a movie adaptation of Shakespeare's Hamlet ended with a surprise twist in which not only does Hamlet not die, but also Rosencranz and Guildenstern also survive to start a war between Hamlet's kingdom and Denmark. As "Hamlet the Movie" ends a new war is kicked off. That might be an exciting movie, and it might easily lend itself to an exciting sequel, but that is not Hamlet.

    That's basically what's happened to Dune. Dune part 2 was a good movie, but it's simply not Dune. I'm sure part 3 or whatever will also be a good movie, but it really is just a guarantee that Dune will never get a faithful movie adaptation.

    7 votes
  4. Comment on VHEMT: the Voluntary Human Extinction Movement in ~life

    Markrs240b
    Link Parent
    The sad fact is that we are not experiencing a shortage of resources to support the current population, or even the much expanded future populations. We are experiencing a shortage of distribution...

    The sad fact is that we are not experiencing a shortage of resources to support the current population, or even the much expanded future populations. We are experiencing a shortage of distribution of resources.

    Working out major interstellar-scale megastructures would be easier if everyone is educated, well fed, etc., but that doesn't require there be less of us.

    Last point: if you have two groups, one is pro-growth and the other is anti-growth, eventually no matter how small a minority the pro-growth group start out as, eventually it will be the majority. Even if you could convince 99.9% of all humans to reduce the population by not having kids, the remaining .1% would eventually become a pro-growth majority again. For that reason alone voluntary extinction will never amount to more than a drop in the ocean. Add to that the fact that you'll never convince a notable minority of people, let alone a majority, to reduce the population. And then add to that the fact that the people most likely to cooperate in a population reduction effort are also the people most likely to cooperate for the good of humankind in some other, more productive way. Instead of ridding the Earth of humans willing to cooperate, I recommend trying to influence the world by making as many cooperators as possible in the hopes of vastly outnumbering the people who selfishly cause artificial shortages.

    8 votes
  5. Comment on VHEMT: the Voluntary Human Extinction Movement in ~life

    Markrs240b
    Link Parent
    In about a billion years or so the Sun will have gotten hot enough to bake all life off Earth, and then it will swallow Earth within about 5 billion years. Without intelligent intervention those...

    There hasn't been any mass extinction event previously which has ended 100% of life on earth. Certainly there have been times that it's come close; I think the Permian extinction did something mad like 80% - 90% of known life, but there have always been survivors to cling on, adapt and fill the niches.

    In about a billion years or so the Sun will have gotten hot enough to bake all life off Earth, and then it will swallow Earth within about 5 billion years. Without intelligent intervention those are the hard limits for life on Earth.

    However, intelligent life is capable of preserving nature beyond that point not only by colonizing other star systems, bringing life with them wherever they go, but also by extending the Sun's life far beyond its natural limits.

    3 votes
  6. Comment on Sci-fi author Vernor Vinge dead at 79 in ~books

    Markrs240b
    Link
    Aw, what the hell. He was supposed to write another book for the Tines world. What happens after Children of the Sky now?

    Aw, what the hell. He was supposed to write another book for the Tines world. What happens after Children of the Sky now?

    6 votes
  7. Comment on Canadian pet DNA company sends back dog breed results from human sample a second time in ~life.pets

    Markrs240b
    Link Parent
    FYI - Rich people don't get DNA tests to brag about their purebreed dog. Real "certified purebreed" dogs will come with paperwork verifying parentage. Dog DNA tests are for commoners with mutts,...

    FYI - Rich people don't get DNA tests to brag about their purebreed dog. Real "certified purebreed" dogs will come with paperwork verifying parentage.

    Dog DNA tests are for commoners with mutts, like me.

    37 votes
  8. Comment on Electric cars are not the future – In cities at least, e-bikes make more cultural and consumer sense in ~transport

    Markrs240b
    Link Parent
    I think if you asked your insurance company they could cover it under a "valuable property" policy extension.

    I think if you asked your insurance company they could cover it under a "valuable property" policy extension.

    2 votes
  9. Comment on The West needs to show it values all human life – Accusations of double standards sting because they have a point in ~misc

    Markrs240b
    Link Parent
    The current war in Ukraine is a continuation of an invasion that Russia started in 2014 in response to the Euromaidan revolution, which was about Ukraine trying to build stronger ties to EU, not...

    First, the point of the war was that Ukraine was drifting toward NATO,

    The current war in Ukraine is a continuation of an invasion that Russia started in 2014 in response to the Euromaidan revolution, which was about Ukraine trying to build stronger ties to EU, not NATO.

    This war was never about NATO, and we know this because in the early days of the war one of the first things offered for negotiation was a promise from Ukraine to never join NATO if Russia would just leave and return to the Jan. 2022 borders. Later, they even offered to promise not to join the EU as well, but both offers were withdrawn after it was obvious that Russia wasn't interested in either.

    This war is about Ukraine trying to leave Russia's orbit for good, and many in Ukraine regard this as their war of independence.

    3 votes
  10. Comment on Peter Watts on conscious ants and human hives in ~books

    Markrs240b
    Link
    Coincidentally, I just finished Blindsight. It's a pretty amazing book. This talk brings up a pretty scary idea. If we start using neurolink type interfaces we might accidentally make ourselves...

    Coincidentally, I just finished Blindsight. It's a pretty amazing book.

    This talk brings up a pretty scary idea. If we start using neurolink type interfaces we might accidentally make ourselves into a single consciousness that destroys all attached individuals. I hope some excellent firewalls are built into these systems.

    3 votes
  11. Comment on How Russia punched an $11 billion hole in the West’s oil sanctions in ~finance

    Markrs240b
    Link Parent
    The summer offensive didn't achieve its goals because it was pushed back to the summer due to shortages in armor and a lack of air support. If we'd committed tanks and jets early in the war, the...

    The summer offensive didn't achieve its goals because it was pushed back to the summer due to shortages in armor and a lack of air support. If we'd committed tanks and jets early in the war, the offensive would have launched much earlier in the year, and Russia wouldn't have had time to build its extensive fortifications and mine fields that are now causing problems.

    We're now in a situation where a thousand tanks wouldn't turn the tide immediately because we didn't commit a thousand tanks a year and a half ago. That's why I think we should just commit to doing whatever it takes to win as quickly as possible.

    1 vote
  12. Comment on How Russia punched an $11 billion hole in the West’s oil sanctions in ~finance

    Markrs240b
    Link
    I really wish we would turn 'war fatigue' into a commitment to ending this war with a total defeat for Russia as soon as possible. The slow trickle of sanctions for Russia and slow trickle of...

    I really wish we would turn 'war fatigue' into a commitment to ending this war with a total defeat for Russia as soon as possible. The slow trickle of sanctions for Russia and slow trickle of weapons for Ukraine is dragging this war on far longer than necessary. At this point I'm willing to bet that Russia doesn't have the balls to use nukes and just go all in.

    13 votes
  13. Comment on Plagiarism and You(Tube) in ~tech

    Markrs240b
    Link
    I actually watched that entire video, and it's really entertaining. Thanks for sharing.

    I actually watched that entire video, and it's really entertaining. Thanks for sharing.

    14 votes
  14. Comment on Israel knew Hamas’s attack plan more than a year ago in ~news

  15. Comment on Can someone please recommend me a no BS printer I can use like half a dozen times a year in ~tech

    Markrs240b
    Link Parent
    MFC-L2750DW. Printer, scanner, two-sided copier, wi-fi connectivity, mostly gathers dust until suddenly I need to print something important. Highly recommend.

    MFC-L2750DW. Printer, scanner, two-sided copier, wi-fi connectivity, mostly gathers dust until suddenly I need to print something important. Highly recommend.

    20 votes
  16. Comment on Sarah Silverman hits stumbling block in AI copyright infringement lawsuit against Meta in ~tech

    Markrs240b
    Link Parent
    That was kind of my point. You can make two very similar movies without violating copyright, as long as they are different movies somehow. Here's an even better example: Ian Fleming's novel...

    That was kind of my point. You can make two very similar movies without violating copyright, as long as they are different movies somehow.

    Here's an even better example: Ian Fleming's novel "Thunderball" was adapted into a movie in 1965 starring Sean Connery. In 1983 a different movie studio adapted the same novel into "Never Say Never Again" also starring Sean Connery as James Bond. They are literally the exact same story with minor cosmetic differences.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thunderball_(film)

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Never_Say_Never_Again

    8 votes
  17. Comment on Sarah Silverman hits stumbling block in AI copyright infringement lawsuit against Meta in ~tech

    Markrs240b
    Link Parent
    I'm making fun of the Marvel movies, which despite different aesthetics (different characters, setting, music, etc.) the actual plot of each movie has gotten pretty repetitive.

    I'm making fun of the Marvel movies, which despite different aesthetics (different characters, setting, music, etc.) the actual plot of each movie has gotten pretty repetitive.

    5 votes
  18. Comment on Sarah Silverman hits stumbling block in AI copyright infringement lawsuit against Meta in ~tech

    Markrs240b
    Link Parent
    I would say you're right, but then again, people have been accused of writing the Marvel movies, and plot-wise they can be very hard to tell apart. Nevertheless, I haven't heard of anyone being...

    I would say you're right, but then again, people have been accused of writing the Marvel movies, and plot-wise they can be very hard to tell apart. Nevertheless, I haven't heard of anyone being accused of copyright infringement for making another film that reuses a plot with different comic book characters.

    10 votes
  19. Comment on Sarah Silverman hits stumbling block in AI copyright infringement lawsuit against Meta in ~tech

    Markrs240b
    Link
    I wonder if anyone's made the argument that using copyrighted material in training data in a way that does not actually reproduce the copyrighted material as output is sort of like me reading a...

    I wonder if anyone's made the argument that using copyrighted material in training data in a way that does not actually reproduce the copyrighted material as output is sort of like me reading a bunch of books by a single author and then writing a book that follows that other author's style.

    23 votes
  20. Comment on Amazon is warning employees they risk undermining their own promotion prospects unless they return to the office (RTO) for three days a week, as was mandated by CEO Andy Jassy months ago in ~life

    Markrs240b
    Link
    Employees warn Amazon it risks employee retention prospects if it requires Zoom meetings to be done from inside the office.

    Employees warn Amazon it risks employee retention prospects if it requires Zoom meetings to be done from inside the office.

    6 votes