Nmg's recent activity

  1. Comment on With 95% of Israeli election counted, Blue and White leads Likud 33-32, deadlock persists in ~news

    Nmg
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    I feel like Joint List is still somewhat untouchable, and in it of itself, unstable, considering it ran as two separate parties just a few months ago. Many of their demands seem quite reasonable....

    I feel like Joint List is still somewhat untouchable, and in it of itself, unstable, considering it ran as two separate parties just a few months ago. Many of their demands seem quite reasonable.

    Like, I would personally favor a coalition with them as a center-left potential voter, but I understand why the Blue & White politicians would not.

  2. Comment on With 95% of Israeli election counted, Blue and White leads Likud 33-32, deadlock persists in ~news

    Nmg
    (edited )
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    So this might be a bit complicated for those not in the know of Israeli politics... The way it works is that whichever parties can build a coalition, form the government. The head of the largest...

    So this might be a bit complicated for those not in the know of Israeli politics...

    The way it works is that whichever parties can build a coalition, form the government. The head of the largest party in the coalition is Prime Minister. Parties must negotiate with each other on what sort of policies they will seek to enact, leading to messy arrangements where the only way any coalition can be created is if everyone is at least a little unhappy. On top of that parties are frequently created, destroyed, coalesced, and separated, so you can't really keep track of anything. These are the second elections in the past year, and I would say there is miniscule probability that there will be a third. No one wants that.

    I am going to assume that no parties change between now and the time a coalition is formed...a messy assumption.

    I guess we will start with the obvious...since both Likud (led by Netanyahu) and Blue & White (Led by Gancz and Lapid) have more than 30 votes out of 120 total, there is no coalition that does not include one or both of them.

    The Joint List, a coalition of 4 different Israeli Arab parties who themselves have widely different political views, currently has 12 votes. You can assume that they won't be part of any coalition. Nor do they expect to be. Rather, the leader of the Joint List is looking forward to heading the opposition, which gives him access to security briefings. Presumably this only happens if Likud and Blue & White are in a unity government together.

    That leaves the following:
    Shas – 9
    Yisrael Beytenu – 8
    United Torah Judaism – 8
    Yamina – 7
    Labor-Gesher – 6
    Democratic Camp – 5

    Labor-Gesher, and Democratic Camp are reasonably in a coalition with Blue & White. That puts them at 44 seats. They need 17 more. They aren't going to get it from the Joint List. Joining with the "Kingmaker", Liberman of Yisrael Beytenu (=Israel Our Home), still won't get them to 61, neither in the event that they siphoned off only one of the religious parties (Shas and United Torah Judaism). Yisrael Beytenu will never sit with religious parties because they want the mandatory draft to be universal. The religious parties haven't sat with a left-wing government in decades, though it is technically possible if the center-left is willing to capitulate enough to the things that the religious parties find important. So the only real way I see Blue & White being in the coalition without Likud is if they somehow convince the religious parties to join up, a difficult proposal.

    Likud + Yamina is 39, if you add both religious parties, that is 56. The only way Likud gets a coalition without Blue & White is if they convince Yisrael Beytenu to join, something Liberman has vowed against because he doesn't like favoritism towards religious Jews. In fact, the entire reason that there is a second election is because Liberman refused exactly that coalition last time.

    Finally, I think the most likely result, that will leave pretty much everyone unhappy, is if center-left joins center-right in a Likud + Blue & White coalition. Whether that includes Netanyahu as the head of Likud and involved in government, or not, I couldn't tell you. This unity coalition would be at least 65 seats, enough to form a majority, and could add on other parties as typically the largest coalition possible is desirable.

    10 votes
  3. Comment on What would a climate crisis doomday bunker need in ~talk

    Nmg
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    It scales in the scenario where pollinators go instinct, which I think is rather unlikely.

    Right, but you see how that doesn't scale beyond hobbyists, right?

    It scales in the scenario where pollinators go instinct, which I think is rather unlikely.

    3 votes
  4. Comment on What would a climate crisis doomday bunker need in ~talk

    Nmg
    Link Parent
    First of all, we do know how to replicate it. It's as simple as getting a worker to use an electric toothbrush to pollinate flowers. Greenhouse hobbyists are known to use that technique. A number...

    We still don't fully understand how to replicate something as "simple" as how bees pollinate plants

    First of all, we do know how to replicate it. It's as simple as getting a worker to use an electric toothbrush to pollinate flowers. Greenhouse hobbyists are known to use that technique.

    A number of calorically dense food crops do not to be bee pollinated. Corn and potatoes come into mind.

    Finally, the food system will become more efficient (and less greenhouse gas producing) as more people transition to a plant-based diet.

    4 votes
  5. Comment on What would a climate crisis doomday bunker need in ~talk

    Nmg
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    This is a little silly. You don't need a bunker. Climate change will challenge humanity. We may need to implement new irrigation techniques, build housing with wildfires and hurricanes in mind (or...

    This is a little silly. You don't need a bunker. Climate change will challenge humanity. We may need to implement new irrigation techniques, build housing with wildfires and hurricanes in mind (or withdraw from wildfire or flood prone areas), and green cities to mitigate the urban heat island effect.

    We don't need to build bunkers.

    6 votes
  6. Comment on Is a meat-free diet really as healthy as vegetarians claim? in ~health

    Nmg
    (edited )
    Link Parent
    B12 is created by soil bacteria. It can be found in animal products because animals tend to be exposed to the outside... But there is nothing special about getting it from animals. Some countries...

    B12 is created by soil bacteria. It can be found in animal products because animals tend to be exposed to the outside... But there is nothing special about getting it from animals. Some countries fortify common foods with B12.

    Anecdotally, I just take a 2500mcg sublingual capsule once a week. My yearly blood test for the past 3 years of being vegan show that I am not deficient.

    ...and I will just cite NutritionFacts.org, which just verifies everything I just said:

    Vitamin B12 is not made by plants or animals but by microbes that blanket the earth. In today’s sanitized, modern world, the water supply is commonly chlorinated to kill off any bacteria. So, while we don’t get much B12 in the water anymore, we don’t get much cholera, either, which is a good thing!

    A regular, reliable source of vitamin B12 is critical for anyone eating a plant-based diet. Though deficiency for those starting out with adequate stores may take years to develop, the results of B12 deficiency can be devastating, with cases reported of paralysis, psychosis, blindness, and even death. Newborn infants of mothers who eat a plant-based diet and who fail to supplement may develop deficiency much more rapidly with disastrous results. Getting enough vitamin B12 is absolutely nonnegotiable for those centering their diets around plant-based foods.

    For adults under age 65, the easiest way to get B12 is to take at least one 2,500 mcg supplement each week or a daily dose of 250 mcg. Note that these doses are specific to cyanocobalamin, the preferred supplemental form of vitamin B12, as there is insufficient evidence to support the efficacy of the other forms, like methylcobalamin.

    As we age, our ability to absorb vitamin B12 may decline. For those over 65 who eat plant-based diets, the supplementation should probably be increased up to 1,000 mcg of cyanocobalamin each day.

    Instead of taking B12 supplements, it is possible to get sufficient amounts from B12-fortified foods, but we would have to eat three servings a day of foods each providing at least 25 percent of the Daily Value (on the Nutrition Facts label), with each serving eaten at least four to six hours after the last. For B12-fortified nutritional yeast, for example, two teaspoons three times a day would suffice. For most of us, though, it would probably be cheaper and more convenient to just take a supplement. Our fellow great apes get all the B12 they need eating bugs, dirt, and feces, but I’d suggest supplements instead!

    5 votes
  7. Comment on The rise of the electric scooter in ~tech

    Nmg
    Link Parent
    Streetside parking takes up as much space if not more than many sidewalks, yet that seems to be a kind of "littering" that society has accepted and ingrained as a right.

    Streetside parking takes up as much space if not more than many sidewalks, yet that seems to be a kind of "littering" that society has accepted and ingrained as a right.

    1 vote
  8. Comment on The rise of the electric scooter in ~tech

    Nmg
    Link Parent
    I haven't rented them often, prefering my bicycle or public transit as you do, but of the times I have rented, it was because it was I just missed the last bus of the night or because I was going...

    I haven't rented them often, prefering my bicycle or public transit as you do, but of the times I have rented, it was because it was I just missed the last bus of the night or because I was going somewhere far that was not designed for transit.

    So far as they are parked responsibly, I think they are a net societal benefit. I will take whatever gets people out of dangerous, polluting motorized vehicles.

    3 votes
  9. Comment on MoviePass is shutting down tomorrow in ~movies

    Nmg
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    Question: Now that AMC and Regal followed suit, can Moviepass be considered a trailblazer just as early search engines were?

    Question: Now that AMC and Regal followed suit, can Moviepass be considered a trailblazer just as early search engines were?

    1 vote
  10. Comment on Do you ever feel like you want to commit asymmetric, vengeful acts of violence, despite feeling that you are otherwise well-adjusted? in ~talk

    Nmg
    Link Parent
    I appreciate your concern. I unfondly recall my father's anger issues. That being said, this was a largely internal outburst, and I would never take it out on my friends or family members.

    I appreciate your concern. I unfondly recall my father's anger issues. That being said, this was a largely internal outburst, and I would never take it out on my friends or family members.

  11. Comment on Why I’m No Longer Traveling for Conferences in ~enviro

  12. I was crossing the street at an intersection in the Banker's Hill neighborhood of San Diego. Like many neighborhoods of my new home, this area was sorely, sorely, lacking in street lighting. Along...

    I was crossing the street at an intersection in the Banker's Hill neighborhood of San Diego. Like many neighborhoods of my new home, this area was sorely, sorely, lacking in street lighting. Along with this deficiency, the crosswalks were of the "unmarked" kind, and you can forget about additional safety features like raised crosswalks and HAWK beacons.

    As I am crossing, I notice an incoming driver, who seems to be stopping at the stop sign. Knowing that I am likely invisible, I start waving, hoping to get some sort of acknowledgement so I can cross in front of them. He just looks at me bemusingly, and continues on driving in front of me as I am trying to cross the street.

    I am likely to regret having this feeling at all. And I know I am unlikely to have this feeling next week, or even tomorrow. But some primal part of me, despite not knowing this person or even their perspective, deeply wants to hurt them. And frankly, I am having trouble dealing with it.

    I keep imagining acts of violence I can commit. As I was walking I picked up a nice rock, in case of, nay, hoping that another inconsiderate jerk proves my theory that the DMV hands out licenses like candy. I feel inspired by violent scenes like this one from 28 days later, at 7:50, and I imagine myself committing the same sort of violence against someone who has wronged me in a comparatively minor way. I feel as if the public safety system has failed me and failed society, and the only manner to fix it is to take justice in my own hands, and in a narcissistic manner assign myself the role of judge, jury, and executioner. And the great irony is, is that I feel like I must commit a great act of unjust violence in order to prevent a great act of unjust violence.

    And amazingly, after writing out a diatribe on my dangerously hypocritical feelings, I feel lesser temptations to react on my revenge fantasy. Somehow, writing it out feels therapeutic, and my brain seems less fixated on fight or flight and moreso on introspection. I feel more normal again. I acknowledge my previous beliefs that karma isn't real, bad things happen to good people, and that doing bad things to others, even if I think it is just, isn't going to solve anything.

    So what the hell just happened to me?

    15 votes
  13. Comment on Why I’m No Longer Traveling for Conferences in ~enviro

    Nmg
    (edited )
    Link Parent
    Coast starlight is seattle to LA, combine with pacific surfliner to get to San Diego.

    Coast starlight is seattle to LA, combine with pacific surfliner to get to San Diego.

    1 vote
  14. Comment on Why I’m No Longer Traveling for Conferences in ~enviro

    Nmg
    Link Parent
    Acela NE Corridor, Pacific Corridor, Chicago has a huge hub...

    Acela NE Corridor, Pacific Corridor, Chicago has a huge hub...

    2 votes
  15. Comment on Why I’m No Longer Traveling for Conferences in ~enviro

    Nmg
    Link Parent
    Or you can ride an efficient train today. The more you ride them, the better the service will be.

    Or you can ride an efficient train today. The more you ride them, the better the service will be.

    8 votes
  16. Comment on Will Governments Lose Monetary Control to Facebook’s Libra Cryptocurrency? in ~finance

    Nmg
    Link
    Will considering how many governments don't have control of their own currencies.... I think any government concerned about this would have no problem banning use of the Libra cryptocurrency.

    Will considering how many governments don't have control of their own currencies....

    I think any government concerned about this would have no problem banning use of the Libra cryptocurrency.

    1 vote
  17. Comment on 'A human need': Disability groups say people on NDIS should have access to sex workers in ~life

    Nmg
    Link Parent
    In this clause of the first sentence of the article, it's about orgasms.

    Disabled Australians should be able to access sex toys,

    In this clause of the first sentence of the article, it's about orgasms.

  18. Comment on 'A human need': Disability groups say people on NDIS should have access to sex workers in ~life

    Nmg
    Link Parent
    Have you considered that you are perceiving it this way precisely because sex is a sensitive subject? I don't see my comment as a "cheap shot" in any way. I just don't see how sex toys and sex...

    rhetorically to mock and patronise. (Especially because the subject of sex is one that is so heavily stigmatized and misunderstood, so it invites cheap shots.)

    Have you considered that you are perceiving it this way precisely because sex is a sensitive subject? I don't see my comment as a "cheap shot" in any way. I just don't see how sex toys and sex workers should be covered on the public's dime.* Can you explain it to me?

    *with the acknowledgement that I am not a member of the Australian public

    Your description feels lifeless, cheap, and vulgar, as though all that's necessary to meet a person's human needs is the bare minimum for orgasm.

    Is not sex ultimately the shoving of genitials together? Is that not what sex is? There is nothing wrong with that. Certainly, the act of sex can and often does nclude intimacy. But the article discusses, and I am addressing, the use of sex toys and sex workers, who, other than under rather rare and specific circumstances, are not so focused on intimacy.

    When I think of sex workers, I think of most of the examples listed on the Wikipedia page for sex workers:

    • prostitutes
    • professional dominants
    • pornographic models and actors
    • Phone sex operators
    • Webcam models
    • Performers and live models
    • erotic dancers

    If you aren't referring to one of these examples, then perhaps use a different terminology so members of the public know what you are referring to.

    I am not going to shame someone for wanting to seek therapy concerning their intimacy problems, but certainly I would be against my own government giving anyone a voucher to spend an hour with a prostitute once a month.

    3 votes