Interesting article, gives a bit more background on putin and prighozin. Though it looks like it is already slightly outdated as now we know that prighozin supposed to leave to Belarus. Putin...
Interesting article, gives a bit more background on putin and prighozin. Though it looks like it is already slightly outdated as now we know that prighozin supposed to leave to Belarus.
Putin desperately wanted to avoid this war, even though he likely would prevail, but it still creates complications:
Wagner was holding Rostov-on-Don which pretty much supplies the whole Russian army in Ukraine. Wagner wouldn't let Russian MoD get the equipment
if Wagner would actually end up fighting in Russia, putin might need to call Russian army to come from Ukraine, to help defending Russia
These things would give huge opportunity to Ukraine to get back their land. Also calling soldiers from Ukraine to Moscow, also comes with a risk what if they start fighting against gun as well?
And lastly, while in the old Soviet block countries it is mostly Russian army, globally Russia was using Wagner for its operations. This would mean that after Prighozin was now persona non grata, Russia would have to shut down all those bases, and also only if the governments of those countries would have to be ok with it.
Putin must have been very desperate and I wouldn't be surprised that the part of sending Prighozin to Belarus might be too replace Lukashenko.
Anyway I agree this made putin very weak, for example he files charges that Prighozin committed a treason and not even 24 hours later lifts the charges as soon as Prighozin stopped. There probably will be more of this in the future.
Interesting article, gives a bit more background on putin and prighozin. Though it looks like it is already slightly outdated as now we know that prighozin supposed to leave to Belarus.
Putin desperately wanted to avoid this war, even though he likely would prevail, but it still creates complications:
These things would give huge opportunity to Ukraine to get back their land. Also calling soldiers from Ukraine to Moscow, also comes with a risk what if they start fighting against gun as well?
And lastly, while in the old Soviet block countries it is mostly Russian army, globally Russia was using Wagner for its operations. This would mean that after Prighozin was now persona non grata, Russia would have to shut down all those bases, and also only if the governments of those countries would have to be ok with it.
Putin must have been very desperate and I wouldn't be surprised that the part of sending Prighozin to Belarus might be too replace Lukashenko.
Anyway I agree this made putin very weak, for example he files charges that Prighozin committed a treason and not even 24 hours later lifts the charges as soon as Prighozin stopped. There probably will be more of this in the future.