6 votes

Israel's population growth drops below 1% for the first time

Posted by brews_hairy_cats
Tags: politics, israel, population, demographics, birth rates, immigration, studies, source.jpost
https://www.jpost.com/israel-news/article-881859

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Title
Israel's population growth lowest since foundation of state | The Jerusalem Post
Published
Dec 31 2025

3 comments

  1. [2]
    MimicSquid
    Link
    I think this is it the notable bit. Outside of the Haredi Jews, Jewish population growth in Israel is already lower than Arab population growth in Israel. While the Jewish population is 75% of the...

    The study mentions that there will be a significant decrease in fertility rates by 2030, with secular Jewish women projected to have 1.7 children by then.

    Among religious women, including traditional-religious women, fertility is projected to decline to about 2.3 children per woman, and among Haredi women, it is projected to decline to 4.3 children per woman, up to the year 2040.

    In the Arab Israeli society, there is an expected parallel trend that projects a decline to 2.7 among religious women and to 2.0 among non-religious women by the next decade.

    I think this is it the notable bit. Outside of the Haredi Jews, Jewish population growth in Israel is already lower than Arab population growth in Israel. While the Jewish population is 75% of the total, that's a percentage that's going to decrease over time. It also means that Haredi Jews as a percentage of all Israeli Jews is growing, and they will be the majority of all Israeli Jews by 2060 at current rates. I imagine we'll see more and more big moves from Israel as they try to change the situation. I imagine that for a lot of Israeli Jews, the thought of being in the minority in Israel feels like an existential threat.

    4 votes
    1. donn
      Link Parent
      It's likely part of the reason the Nation-State Law was passed; provides a somewhat flimsy pretext to avoid having to give citizenship to Palestinians when they annex the West Bank. Arab Israeli...

      It's likely part of the reason the Nation-State Law was passed; provides a somewhat flimsy pretext to avoid having to give citizenship to Palestinians when they annex the West Bank. Arab Israeli citizens + Palestinians under Israeli military control, population count-wise, are just shy of the Jewish Israeli population and if Palestinians were enfranchised, well… the country's politics would be a lot less stable, let's just put it that way.

      3 votes
  2. brews_hairy_cats
    Link

    Israel’s fertility rate is declining in all sectors, with the population growth rate sinking under 1% for the first time since the foundation of the state, a new study by the TAUB Center for Social Policy Studies in Israel revealed on Wednesday.

    The study revealed that the main factors for this decrease were a negative net migration rate, a stagnation in birth rates, and an expected increase in the absolute number of deaths in 2025.

    As a result, the population growth rate fell to 0.9%, the lowest since 1.42% in 1981 and 1.35% in 1983.

    2 votes