Ferris's recent activity
-
Comment on Does anyone want to talk about stocks/options? in ~finance
-
Comment on How nine popular YouTubers helped US President Donald Trump win a second term in ~society
Ferris The majority of American already say Democrats are unlikeable, elitist and out of touch. Relentlessly bullying people and hoping they decide not to vote sounds like a guaranteed losing strategy.The majority of American already say Democrats are unlikeable, elitist and out of touch. Relentlessly bullying people and hoping they decide not to vote sounds like a guaranteed losing strategy.
-
Comment on How nine popular YouTubers helped US President Donald Trump win a second term in ~society
Ferris Not sure what you mean by this or how you think this would be an effective strategyor be downright mean in such a way that the person just sorta drops out of political participation entirely.
Not sure what you mean by this or how you think this would be an effective strategy
-
Comment on <deleted topic> in ~news
Ferris The New York Times has confirmed it was an Islamic State flagThe New York Times has confirmed it was an Islamic State flag
-
Comment on Man suspected of killing UnitedHealthcare CEO is ordered held without bail after brief court appearance in Pennsylvania in ~news
Ferris (edited )Link ParentThe whole thing was sloppy I'm not surprised at all he got caught. I doubt there is some kind of big conspiracy. Occam's Razor theory - the simple explanation is often the correct one. Everyone...I'm not one for conspiracy theories, but I can't imagine why most of this sloppy stuff is happening. At least ditch the gun.
The whole thing was sloppy I'm not surprised at all he got caught. I doubt there is some kind of big conspiracy. Occam's Razor theory - the simple explanation is often the correct one. Everyone wants to believe we live in a movie. It's fun to imagine the killer as a badass Robinhood figure fighting against the shadowy government and big corporations.
If I had to speculate, it sounds like he was a very intelligent kid who had some sort of psychotic break - killed someone - and is now going to spend his life in prison. He was probably panicking after actually murdering someone and unable to think clearly. This isn't as sexy of a plot so people don't want to believe it.
-
Comment on Donald Trump didn't win on the US economy. He won on the perception of it. in ~society
Ferris It doesn’t matter. If the “vibes” are unpopular then the policies are unpopular.It doesn’t matter. If the “vibes” are unpopular then the policies are unpopular.
-
Comment on Donald Trump didn't win on the US economy. He won on the perception of it. in ~society
Ferris I agree it’s hard but if the Democrats want to win in the future they’re gonna need to find a way to compete with it. Running the unpopular Biden administration’s VP is surely not the way.I agree it’s hard but if the Democrats want to win in the future they’re gonna need to find a way to compete with it. Running the unpopular Biden administration’s VP is surely not the way.
-
Comment on Donald Trump didn't win on the US economy. He won on the perception of it. in ~society
Ferris Exactly. I don’t think you even need to have a solution you just need to seem genuinely empathetic to the people who are struggling. Trump does this in a way that Harris could never do. No one...Exactly. I don’t think you even need to have a solution you just need to seem genuinely empathetic to the people who are struggling. Trump does this in a way that Harris could never do. No one wants to hear about how great things are when they are struggling.
People like to joke about Trump’s McDonals and Garbage truck schtick but I think a lot of working class folks really appreciated it.
-
Comment on Donald Trump didn't win on the US economy. He won on the perception of it. in ~society
Ferris Yeah I don’t know how you compete against it. I really don’t think Harris stood a chance no matter what she said. People aren’t happy with the Biden administration. It doesn’t matter if the...Yeah I don’t know how you compete against it. I really don’t think Harris stood a chance no matter what she said.
People aren’t happy with the Biden administration. It doesn’t matter if the reasons for being unhappy are legitimate or not. They aren’t going to be enthusiastic about voting for his VP.
I think running a candidate who was unaffiliated with Biden and letting them distance themself from his administration would have been a better move.
Dems also need a candidate who can publicly distance themself from the far left. Leftist policies and ideas are very unpopular among the majority of Americans. Trying to appease these people is a losing game, all you are doing is giving republicans ammo to attack you with.
-
Comment on Donald Trump's team mulls postponing Ukraine's NATO membership for at least twenty years, WSJ reports in ~society
Ferris You really want Biden to send American kids to go die in Ukraine? Biden escalating the war his last two months in office would make things considerably worse for the Ukrainian people. It would be...One thing that occurred to me is Biden could deploy active forces if he wanted, and push for a resolution by dislodging Russian troops from Ukraine's borders
You really want Biden to send American kids to go die in Ukraine? Biden escalating the war his last two months in office would make things considerably worse for the Ukrainian people. It would be extremely unpopular among the American people, the majority of whom want nothing to with this war.
The benefit to Ukraine is that the war would be over. They are losing. People who lose wars typically lose territory. It sucks but that is reality.
-
Comment on Weekly Middle East war megathread - week of October 28 in ~news
Ferris You are still being hyperbolic. Nine does not equal dozens.You are still being hyperbolic. Nine does not equal dozens.
-
Comment on Donald Trump didn't win on the US economy. He won on the perception of it. in ~society
Ferris (edited )LinkIf you own assets the economy is great. The lower and middle class don't care that the stock market is at all time highs. Sure we beat inflation, but the reality is that homes are twice as...- Exemplary
Yes—inflation is real. But the Biden economy has been great in many ways. The U.S. economy, wrote The Economist in mid-October, is “the envy of the world.”
If you own assets the economy is great. The lower and middle class don't care that the stock market is at all time highs. Sure we beat inflation, but the reality is that homes are twice as expensive as they were five years ago, mortgage rates are above 7%, their grocery bill is still double, childcare is completely unaffordable, etc. People don't need fox news to tell them this. Telling voters "you are stupid the economy is actually great" isn't going to make them come out and vote for you.
The democrats need to completely change their messaging. What they are doing is not appealing to voters. The rhetoric in this article is part of the reason why they lost.
-
Comment on Why US Democrats won't build their own Joe Rogan in ~society
Ferris This. The you can't keep pushing people away and then wonder why they don't show up to vote.This. The you can't keep pushing people away and then wonder why they don't show up to vote.
-
Comment on Thoughts on a Democratic postmortem in ~society
Ferris Here are my miscellaneous thoughts as someone who lives in the NYC suburbs. I have been a registered Democrat since 2016. Prior to that I was registered as an Independent voting for Obama in 2008,...Here are my miscellaneous thoughts as someone who lives in the NYC suburbs. I have been a registered Democrat since 2016. Prior to that I was registered as an Independent voting for Obama in 2008, 2012. I admit I have been drifting more right the past few years as I have gotten older/moved out of NYC.
-
The Economy. The Economy. The Economy. This is all most voters care about. Its basically the only thing that voters on both sides of the aisle can agree about.
-
Democrats are losing the culture war. It's anecdotal but among my Republican family, friends, neighbors, and co-workers, Democrats are seen as the party of anti-semites, Karens, and weirdos.
-
Relating to the above point, it's not cool among young people to be a Democrat.
-
I think the pro-palestine protests on college campuses did a lot more damage to the Democrats then people on here realize.
-
The Donal Trump, JD Vance podcast tour was very effective.
-
Biden dropping out at the last minute and then not having a primary was an huge fumble. Everyone knew Biden was going senile. He should have dropped out months earlier. Kamala was set up for failure.
-
Kamala was not a good candidate. I doubt she would have won a primary if there was one. Donal Trump was a very good candidate (not saying he's a good person). The RNC gave its voters exactly what they wanted and they won.
-
-
Comment on 2024 United States election megathread in ~society
Ferris (edited )Link ParentI agree ranked choice voting would be a good idea. It's still a form of democracy.I agree ranked choice voting would be a good idea. It's still a form of democracy.
-
Comment on 2024 United States election megathread in ~society
Ferris It's not perfect but so far it has proven to be better then any other system. Which form of government do you propose we replace it with?It's not perfect but so far it has proven to be better then any other system. Which form of government do you propose we replace it with?
-
Comment on 2024 United States election megathread in ~society
Ferris Every latino immigrant I know is pretty conservative. They are usually religious, anti-abortion, anti-crime, anti-open borders and not huge fans of the lgbt community. It's foolish and a mistake...Every latino immigrant I know is pretty conservative. They are usually religious, anti-abortion, anti-crime, anti-open borders and not huge fans of the lgbt community. It's foolish and a mistake for Democrats to just assume they will get their votes because they are brown.
-
Comment on 2024 United States election megathread in ~society
Ferris A look at some states that were predicted as safe blue. State 2020 margin 2024 margin New Jersey D+15.19 D+4.7 Illinois D+16.9 D+7 New York D+23.1 D+9.8 Connecticut D+20.1 D+11.7 Rhode Island...A look at some states that were predicted as safe blue.
State 2020 margin 2024 margin New Jersey D+15.19 D+4.7 Illinois D+16.9 D+7 New York D+23.1 D+9.8 Connecticut D+20.1 D+11.7 Rhode Island D+20.7 D+13.1 -
Comment on Weekly Middle East war megathread - week of October 21 in ~news
Ferris I agree 100%. Unfortunately, Iran, Hamas and Hezbollah have no problem escalating. It does no one in Israel any favors to just sit on their hands and do nothing while they are attacked on all...A lack of escalation is absolutely beneficial to Israeli citizenry. A lack of escalation means less likelihood of regional wars, which tend to have negative impacts on local populaces.
I agree 100%. Unfortunately, Iran, Hamas and Hezbollah have no problem escalating. It does no one in Israel any favors to just sit on their hands and do nothing while they are attacked on all sides by enemies chanting from the river to the sea.
Iran is the one destabilizing the region not Israel.
-
Comment on US mortgage rates back to 7% in ~finance
Ferris While we should expect the election to continue making for a volatile rate environment, it's not the only game in town. This week sees the return of highly relevant economic data with Friday's jobs report being the most important, by far. Each of the past two jobs reports has had a huge impact on rates due to wide deviations from expectations. If Friday's report is anywhere nearly as surprising, the impact on rates should play out on a similar scale.
Another boglehead here. 90% stocks, 10% bonds. 20% of my stock allocation is international. My main holdings are VOO, BND, and VFFVX (2055 Target Date Fund). I enjoy following the stock market but gave up on picking stocks a while ago.