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  1. Comment on Can Windows make the jump to ARM like Apple did? in ~comp

    kbuck
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    I don't think it's likely to happen. There are a confluence of factors that allowed Apple to make the jump that are significantly more difficult barriers for the PC industry, which is lacking the...

    I don't think it's likely to happen. There are a confluence of factors that allowed Apple to make the jump that are significantly more difficult barriers for the PC industry, which is lacking the vertical integration Apple can leverage.

    1. Sufficiently performant hardware is a chicken-and-egg problem. Qualcomm's hardware is getting better, but it's still nowhere near Apple's.
    2. Apple developers are used to keeping up with the platform, whereas PC users and developers are used to even ancient applications continuing to work.
    3. Even though Apple could still rely on (2) to get everyone to produce Arm native builds, Apple still provided a translation layer (Rosetta2) which, in combination with their excellent hardware performance, delivered almost-native performance for x86 apps that hadn't yet been ported.
    4. Apple's Arm CPUs have a proprietary extension to provide increased performance for Rosetta2.
    5. Apple's Intel integration was already lackluster (insufficient cooling in MacBook products), which made upgrading to Arm machines a very easy sell, especially given the excellent performance of Rosetta2.

    It's been very frustrating to watch the rest of the industry essentially watch this happen and not bother to compete. I personally don't like Apple software, but I've already switched my primary work machine to an Apple device anyway, because PC simply cannot and seemingly does not want to compete.

    Long-term, I think desktop computing's market share is likely to continue to shrink over time, and the lack of investment in decent hardware is one of the biggest driving factors. In the glory days of the '00s, a desktop or laptop computer at home was a necessity. Nowadays, I think most people can get by with a tablet, or even a phone. Mobile devices are eating away at the PC sector the same way they ate away at landlines (by making them obsolete), although the process has been slower.