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Steven Pinker's arguments are flawed; this article shows why

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    This is a good thinking article, and really shows how to show flaws and argue and debate. Graph 6 which explains what happened to global health is quite interesting because it shows how a supposed...

    This is a good thinking article, and really shows how to show flaws and argue and debate.

    Graph 6 which explains what happened to global health is quite interesting because it shows how a supposed correlation between GDP and life expectancy had a flaw in it explained away with a bit of hand-waving by Pinker:

    He refers to a figure called the Preston curve, from a paper by Samuel Preston published in 1975 showing a correlation between GDP and life expectancy that become foundational to the field of developmental economics. “Most obviously,” Pinker declares, “GDP per capita correlates with longevity, health, and nutrition.” While he pays lip service to the scientific principle that “correlation is not causation,” he then clearly asserts causation, claiming that “economic development does seem to be a major mover of human welfare.”
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    Lutz and Kebede, however, used sophisticated multi-level regression models to analyze how closely education correlated with life expectancy compared with GDP. They found that a country’s average level of educational attainment explained rising life expectancy much better than GDP, and eliminated the anomaly in Preston’s Curve (Figure 6, right). The correlation with GDP was spurious. In fact, their model suggests that both GDP and health are ultimately driven by the amount of schooling children receive.

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