“I have become convinced that Kremlin has made a decision to invade Ukraine later this winter.” (Dec 21, 2021)
@Dmitri Alperovitch: In the last few weeks, I have become increasingly convinced that Kremlin has unfortunately made a decision to invade Ukraine later this winter. While it is still possible for Putin to deescalate, I believe the likelihood is now quite low. Allow me to explain why 🧵
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