DanBC's recent activity

  1. Comment on What are your opinions on how Boris Johnson has handled the COVID-19 crisis? in ~health.coronavirus

    DanBC
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    Yes, I agree with all of this. On top of that we've had years of austerity aimed at the NHS, which means we go into the Covid-19 pandemic with fewer doctors, nurses, other HCPs, ITU beds, regular...

    Yes, I agree with all of this.

    On top of that we've had years of austerity aimed at the NHS, which means we go into the Covid-19 pandemic with fewer doctors, nurses, other HCPs, ITU beds, regular hospital beds, ventilators, etc per capita than most other EU nations.

    Our capacity has pretty quickly been overwhelmed which has led to the cancelling of a lot of other treatment.

    The advice to the public was confusing and late. Even today the messages are mixed, because the law doesn't match the guidance.

    We had mass sporting events in mid-March (eg, Cheltenham Gold Cup (a 4 day horse racing event) which brought 250,000 people from all over to Cheltenham, (which has a population of about 100,000 normally), and then those people went home probably taking covid-19 with them.

    9 votes
  2. Comment on Australia should be moving to utilise people who have recovered from coronavirus and developed immunity against the virus to bolster essential services, a leading expert says in ~health.coronavirus

    DanBC
    Link Parent
    We don't have a vaccine against SARS or MERS, and it may be tricky to get a working vaccine for SARS-CoV-2

    We don't have a vaccine against SARS or MERS, and it may be tricky to get a working vaccine for SARS-CoV-2

    2 votes
  3. Comment on Are motorcycle tires a ripoff? The Darkside car tire experiment in ~hobbies

    DanBC
    Link
    This is a fun video. I really want to see them try it with a motorcycle + sidecar combo.

    This is a fun video.

    I really want to see them try it with a motorcycle + sidecar combo.

    2 votes
  4. Comment on Claire makes Sourdough Crêpes Suzette | It's Alive in ~food

    DanBC
    Link Parent
    Gourmet Makes got a bit confusing for me because sometimes she aims for a faithful representation, and sometimes she decides to avoid faithful representation and goes for a better product. Either...

    Gourmet Makes got a bit confusing for me because sometimes she aims for a faithful representation, and sometimes she decides to avoid faithful representation and goes for a better product. Either is fine, but it makes the struggle feel somewhat artificial.

    She did the Baking School in 2019 and that was a nice change of pace. I enjoy watching people who know and enjoy what they're doing just doing it, and talking about it. https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLKtIunYVkv_S1fOYtFjuQ3znZsSnZksyU

    3 votes
  5. Comment on Now is not the time to lose our humanity: Some DOs and DO NOTs in ~talk

    DanBC
    (edited )
    Link Parent
    1% risk of death for all ages over 18. That risk significantly increases for all ages who are hospitalised. You need to re-assess your understanding of the risks of being hospitalised for covid-19...

    situation where they'd gladly risk a week in the hospital for some normal human affection. Especially given the risk.

    1% risk of death for all ages over 18. That risk significantly increases for all ages who are hospitalised.

    You need to re-assess your understanding of the risks of being hospitalised for covid-19 because you've got it badly wrong. The reason we're commandeering ice-rinks to act as temporary morgues, and we're getting car makers to build healthcare ventilators, is because the prognosis for hospitalised covid-19 patients is not good.

    You're going by the Wuhan data, but it's likely a lot of that is wrong.

    "All of our ICU patients are in their 50s or younger": https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ejlbCmRJMW4

    3 votes
  6. Comment on Now is not the time to lose our humanity: Some DOs and DO NOTs in ~talk

    DanBC
    Link Parent
    PLEASE DON'T. People can be infectious without knowing it, partly because we've focussed on new persistent dry cough or fever, and ignored diarrhoea or anosmia . People can transmit covid-19...

    Quite obviously: Don't be daft by rubbing yourself in the metro and then go around hugging people. But if you're careful and wash your hands & face before and after, yes you can still hug your loved ones. And you absolutely fucking should, because everyone needs it more than ever right now.

    PLEASE DON'T.

    People can be infectious without knowing it, partly because we've focussed on new persistent dry cough or fever, and ignored diarrhoea or anosmia . People can transmit covid-19 before they have symptoms, and after those symptoms have ended, and they can transmit covid-19 if they have no symptoms.

    Lots of people will get infected with covid-19 and will suffer mild symptoms. But lots of people will be hospitalised, and that will create enormous pressure on hospitals who'll have to stop doing elective surgeries or stop other treatment (eg, cancer treatment has just stopped for lots of people in the UK and we're not even at peak covid-19 yet). Some of these hospitalised people will need intensive care -- intubation, ventilation, sedation -- and these are not trivial things, they are heavy duty interventions that cause harm as well as sometimes (but not always) saving life. And lots of people will die. They will die alone, in hospital or a care home, away from their loved ones.

    STAY HOME

    3 votes
  7. Comment on How is site growth? I have joined a year ago, looks like comment and upvote activity has died down a bit in ~tildes

    DanBC
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    Have a look at a group like TV. Order it by votes, from all time. We see on the front page only 6 posts from this year, 18 from 2019, and 26 from 2018. Order it by comments, from all time. Just 5...

    Have a look at a group like TV.

    Order it by votes, from all time. We see on the front page only 6 posts from this year, 18 from 2019, and 26 from 2018.

    Order it by comments, from all time. Just 5 posts for this year so far. 17 from 2019, and 28 from 2018.

    This is a slow but sure decline. We need to understand why this is happening. Why do people stop using Tildes? Why do the people who browse not post more topics or reply more?

    3 votes
  8. Comment on Would you look down on a normal citizen wearing an N95 mask? in ~talk

    DanBC
    Link
    When I see someone wearing a mask in the UK I see a person who has decided to ignore the Public Health England advice. Most of the people I've seen wear a mask have done something wrong. They keep...

    When I see someone wearing a mask in the UK I see a person who has decided to ignore the Public Health England advice.

    Most of the people I've seen wear a mask have done something wrong. They keep touching the mask to readjust it, one woman took it off to cough, they're often not doing essential activity, and a single one of them had it fitted correctly.

    For these reasons I don't trust people wearing face masks.

    6 votes
  9. Comment on Simple DIY masks could help flatten the curve. We should all wear them in public in ~health.coronavirus

    DanBC
    Link
    This is the arrogance of tech bros facing up against WHO and coming to weird conclusions. All those papers they've found? In a laboratory, with a researcher fitting a mask, and carefully...

    This is the arrogance of tech bros facing up against WHO and coming to weird conclusions.

    All those papers they've found? In a laboratory, with a researcher fitting a mask, and carefully controlled calibrated aerosolized droplets and research bacteria we find an almost insignificant benefit to wearing masks. But these settings are not replicable to real world conditions and they're (for obvious reasons) not testing using SARS-CoV-2.

    And the three reasons given for not wearing masks -- they promote risky behaviour; they are by definition contaminated and people can't handle nor use them correctly -- are just dismissed as "not evidence based" when he means "I didn't bother to look for the evidence".

    tl;dr tech bros are going to kill you. Reject their pseudo-rationalist scientism bullshit and focus on real science instead.

    13 votes
  10. Comment on How 3M plans to make more than a billion masks by end of year in ~finance

    DanBC
    Link Parent
    Because this... ...is what you see in a lab under controlled conditions using calibrated mists containing research bacteria. In the real world we need people to wash their hands and to avoid going...

    Because this...

    can reduce risk of infection from coughs at close range by between 68% and 96% alone

    ...is what you see in a lab under controlled conditions using calibrated mists containing research bacteria.

    In the real world we need people to wash their hands and to avoid going out unless they have no option. There's no evidence that masks help in real world use, and plenty that they hurt.

    2 votes
  11. Comment on What are the best, most interesting TV shows from outside the US? in ~tv

    DanBC
    Link
    Not dramas: Prison, a documentary from Channel 4 in the UK. Six episodes split across two series. The first three look at men in prison. The second three look at women in prison. It focuses mostly...

    Not dramas:

    Prison, a documentary from Channel 4 in the UK. Six episodes split across two series. The first three look at men in prison. The second three look at women in prison. It focuses mostly on how prisoners respond to prison life. https://www.channel4.com/programmes/prison/episode-guide/series-1

    Crime and Punishment from Channel 4 in the UK. Weirdly, this has now been erased and Channel 4 have deleted their page for it. It was a comprehensive look at the English criminal justice system, and gave useful information about some of the problems caused by some of our sentencing, especially the "IPP" sentences. https://www.channel4.com/programmes/crime-and-punishment https://www.theguardian.com/tv-and-radio/2019/sep/16/crime-and-punishment-review

    2 votes
  12. Comment on Feature suggestion: One-to-many user thread format in ~tildes

    DanBC
    Link Parent
    Tineye feels like it's for close copies only. Yandex image search is pretty good at finding "pictures that look like this other picture", so give it a try.

    Tineye feels like it's for close copies only.

    Yandex image search is pretty good at finding "pictures that look like this other picture", so give it a try.

    1 vote
  13. Comment on A twitter thread about the UK's response to Covid-19 and the Nudge Unit in ~health.coronavirus

    DanBC
    Link
    Behavioural science and nudge theory is very popular in UK politics at the moment. This thread is a nice discussion of the key figures in Whitehall and how they use bad science or misrepresent...

    Behavioural science and nudge theory is very popular in UK politics at the moment. This thread is a nice discussion of the key figures in Whitehall and how they use bad science or misrepresent good science.

    David Halpern is one of the people involved in the now discredited herd immunity planning.

    2 votes
  14. Comment on A thread about the UK "nudge unit" and their response to covid-19 in ~health.coronavirus

    DanBC
    Link Parent
    Sorry! I used the wrong link. I'll delete and re-submit.

    Sorry! I used the wrong link. I'll delete and re-submit.

    1 vote
  15. Comment on A thread about the UK "nudge unit" and their response to covid-19 in ~health.coronavirus

    DanBC
    Link
    This is a long, detailed, thread talking about the nudge unit. It doesn't much mention covid-19 until the end of the thread, but David Halpern was involved in the now discredited "herd immunity"...

    This is a long, detailed, thread talking about the nudge unit.

    It doesn't much mention covid-19 until the end of the thread, but David Halpern was involved in the now discredited "herd immunity" plans, and this thread is a useful look at how scientific evidence has been misused in the UK response to covid-19.

  16. Comment on London woman dies of suspected Covid-19 after being told she was 'not priority' in ~health.coronavirus

    DanBC
    Link
    People look at the figures from China and Italy and say "this only affects old people; it only affects those with comorbidities". We need to be clearer. Your risk if you are a young person with no...

    People look at the figures from China and Italy and say "this only affects old people; it only affects those with comorbidities".

    We need to be clearer. Your risk if you are a young person with no co-existing conditions your risk is low, but not zero, and you will transmit the disease to others if you have it.

    As you get older your risk increases.

    If you have co-existing conditions (including things like obesity, diabetes, high blood pressure, which aren't always in the high priority lists for some countries) your risk increases.

    4 votes
  17. Comment on Prince Charles tests positive for coronavirus in ~health.coronavirus

  18. Have you ever watched a zeitgeisty show a long time after it finished? What did you think?

    I live in the UK and Channel 4 got the rights to Seinfeld. I never saw them before, so I'm watching them all now. It's weird, because people make (still!) a lot of noise about the show, and so far...

    I live in the UK and Channel 4 got the rights to Seinfeld. I never saw them before, so I'm watching them all now.

    It's weird, because people make (still!) a lot of noise about the show, and so far (although I'm only 5 episodes in) I don't get it.

    I had a similar experience when I re-watched Allie McBeal -- I enjoyed it the first time around, but the second time it just felt tedious.

    I watched Lost a long time after that finished, and I mostly enjoyed it, and I could understand why at the time it was so popular.

    So, I was wondering, have you watched any of the zeitgeisty shows long after the buzz died down, and what did you think of them?

    15 votes
  19. Comment on Guidance against wearing masks for the coronavirus is wrong – you should cover your face in ~health.coronavirus

    DanBC
    Link Parent
    That's the point. The masks are contaminated, they touch the mask, now their hands are contaminated. Epidemiologists and infection control experts say that masks should only be worn by ill people,...

    when they're wearing a mask they almost always touch it instead.

    That's the point. The masks are contaminated, they touch the mask, now their hands are contaminated.

    Epidemiologists and infection control experts say that masks should only be worn by ill people, or health care professionals delivering care.

    6 votes