gary's recent activity

  1. Comment on Thoughts on a Democratic postmortem in ~society

    gary
    Link Parent
    No, it does not mean that there was a substantial amount of people that searched it. It only means that it cleared the bar enough for Google to decide to show a number greater than 0, but we don't...

    No, it does not mean that there was a substantial amount of people that searched it. It only means that it cleared the bar enough for Google to decide to show a number greater than 0, but we don't have any insight into what that means. For all we know, that could mean 1000 people searched it on that day, which would not be a substantial amount considering the population.

    The numbers also don't mean much. "100" just represents the highest point in searches. So if there were 1000 searches over 30 days, and the highest was 50 in 1 day, then "100" would mean "50 searches".

    Of course, I suspect that more than 1000 searches is required to trigger this graph, but we don't know what the magic number is. You seem to want to believe that this graph proves that a lot of Americans were not aware that Biden dropped out, but it proves nothing. It merely shows that the number of searches increased on that day significantly but it doesn't tell us if it was from 1000 searches or 10 million.

  2. Comment on Joe Biden allows Ukraine to strike Russia with US long-range missiles in ~society

    gary
    Link Parent
    We can't know how Russia feels yet; it's still trying to get through this war. Possibly the next time that they think about starting a war, they'll remember that last time, they lost hundreds of...

    We can't know how Russia feels yet; it's still trying to get through this war. Possibly the next time that they think about starting a war, they'll remember that last time, they lost hundreds of thousands of troops, wrecked their economy, became a bit of a pariah state, ran through their Soviet stockpile, had to beg North Korea for supplies, drove away their most important customers of their exports, lost their air defenses to old equipment, and all while the West held back the good stuff.

    Lines are by definition imaginary and they shift partially because of the way Biden acts, so I don't see that as a valid criticism. No, of course we don't allow long range strikes. These ATACMs will only operate in Ukraine. Russia is not happy, but not that upset with that either. Oh, wait, drones flew from Kursk to strike into Russia? That's not ATACMs; can't be that mad at the US. Well, now that drones have hit, what's the difference between that and ATACMs? Not that much.

    Boiling the frog, as they say.

    14 votes
  3. Comment on Joe Biden allows Ukraine to strike Russia with US long-range missiles in ~society

    gary
    Link Parent
    Biden's goal is not to help Ukraine win, but to not lose. And to do so in a way that doesn't make Russia feel like its existence is under threat. By that lens, Biden has been threading the needle...

    Biden's goal is not to help Ukraine win, but to not lose. And to do so in a way that doesn't make Russia feel like its existence is under threat. By that lens, Biden has been threading the needle very well during his term.

    22 votes
  4. Comment on How do I trick my brain into accepting eating less? in ~health

    gary
    Link Parent
    Ah, my bad, I misunderstood you. Still, this study observed that the extra metabolic rate lasted 14 hours post-exercise and expended 190 calories. So 2 eggs and change if your initial exercise was...

    Ah, my bad, I misunderstood you. Still, this study observed that the extra metabolic rate lasted 14 hours post-exercise and expended 190 calories. So 2 eggs and change if your initial exercise was 519 calories.

  5. Comment on How do I trick my brain into accepting eating less? in ~health

    gary
    Link Parent
    If you gain 10 pounds of muscle, you can eat an extra egg a day (roughly) from the extra calorie burn. The increase in metabolism has a very negligible impact on burning calories throughout the...

    If you gain 10 pounds of muscle, you can eat an extra egg a day (roughly) from the extra calorie burn. The increase in metabolism has a very negligible impact on burning calories throughout the day and it would be better to pretend there's no increase in metabolism, else you'd be tempted to eat more and go over the extra burn.

  6. Comment on How do I trick my brain into accepting eating less? in ~health

    gary
    Link
    Just my two cents, but I don't think you have an eating disorder. Changing eating habits is just incredibly hard. You know yourself best though, so if you do suspect you have a disorder, you...

    Just my two cents, but I don't think you have an eating disorder. Changing eating habits is just incredibly hard. You know yourself best though, so if you do suspect you have a disorder, you should disregard everything in this post and go seek professional help.

    I get what you're going through because I have similar habits to you and only recently have I made any meaningful change. I'm similar down to the bagels; I eat one every day. But I'm down 12 pounds in 11 weeks, so something's working. I wrote out a bunch of steps and then deleted them because it started to look overwhelming. Make progress one step at a time. So my hack would be:

    • Reduce the 2 pre-workout bagels to 1 bagel. If you would have had the post-workout meal anyway, then by reducing the pre-workout meal from 2 bagels to 1 bagel, you've at least reduced the caloric intake by 300+ calories (a plain bagel is roughly 300 calories; more if flavored).

    That's not some magic hack that makes eating at 2am suddenly healthy, but it's a relatively easy thing you can do that has benefits. Optimize 1 thing in your daily eating habit, do it for a week, then optimize another thing, and keep doing it until you have changed your mindset with some more permanence.

    6 votes
  7. Comment on Tips for increasing online privacy (without going insane)? in ~tech

    gary
    Link Parent
    If you use AdGuard on Safari and only use the content blockers and don't enable the one that requests extra permissions, there's zero risk. The content blockers (the one that doesn't require any...

    If you use AdGuard on Safari and only use the content blockers and don't enable the one that requests extra permissions, there's zero risk. The content blockers (the one that doesn't require any permissions) is just a text file telling Safari what to block and doesn't share any info back.

    EDIT: Well if AdGuard wanted to not block Russian trackers, they could omit that from the content blockers I guess. Almost* no risk. I like Wipr as my Safari Adblock if you're down to drop a few dollars.

    1 vote
  8. Comment on AirPods or not? in ~music

    gary
    Link
    If you're in the US, AirPods Pro 2 have been $170-$180 3 times in the past month. They're $190 at Best Buy and Amazon right now. Just make sure you don't buy from Amazon (elevated risk of fakes;...

    If you're in the US, AirPods Pro 2 have been $170-$180 3 times in the past month. They're $190 at Best Buy and Amazon right now. Just make sure you don't buy from Amazon (elevated risk of fakes; this bit me) and instead price match to Best Buy or something if they're not already selling it for that price.

    2 votes
  9. Comment on Who is allowed to practice identity politics? in ~society

    gary
    Link Parent
    What is useful about BIPOC as a grouping? If you mean that black people and indigenous people have a very similar experience, then create a term that adds those two. If you mean that black people,...

    What is useful about BIPOC as a grouping? If you mean that black people and indigenous people have a very similar experience, then create a term that adds those two. If you mean that black people, indigenous people, Latinos, and Asians have similar experiences, then POC already existed.

    6 votes
  10. Comment on How Donald Trump won, and how Kamala Harris lost in ~society

    gary
    Link Parent
    That is a misunderstanding of how sample sizes work with confidence intervals. I wish I could mathematically disprove it to you, but my statistics class was a long time ago and I didn't pay the...

    That is a misunderstanding of how sample sizes work with confidence intervals. I wish I could mathematically disprove it to you, but my statistics class was a long time ago and I didn't pay the most attention. But you only need to survey a very small subset of the population assuming that your sample is good. There are calculators for this if you don't believe me.

    7 votes
  11. Comment on Donald Trump didn't win on the US economy. He won on the perception of it. in ~society

    gary
    Link Parent
    It's nuanced. The Democrats pushed on abortion hard this election cycle, and while the majority of Americans do support abortion, the majority do not support it in the second or third trimester....

    It's nuanced. The Democrats pushed on abortion hard this election cycle, and while the majority of Americans do support abortion, the majority do not support it in the second or third trimester. The support for abortion drops off a cliff after the first trimester. The topic of abortion should have been a slam dunk for the Democrats, but instead, the Republicans were able to 1) question whether people actually supported the Democrats with their handwaving of abortions after the first trimester, and 2) focus on topics that touch people's lives more often than abortion does (price of food).

    Democrats did not want to commit to any messaging on third or even second trimester abortions because they didn't want to anger progressives, but now that they lost the election, we've just set back the pro-choice movement by at least half a decade, probably more.

    8 votes
  12. Comment on How Donald Trump won, and how Kamala Harris lost in ~society

    gary
    Link Parent
    Your quoted paragraph says this survey is done monthly and that the government is not reliant on looking at people on unemployment benefits to determine the unemployment rate.

    If you no longer receive unemployment and living off savings, etc., you won't be counted as unemployed unless a census is due

    Your quoted paragraph says this survey is done monthly and that the government is not reliant on looking at people on unemployment benefits to determine the unemployment rate.

    3 votes
  13. Comment on How Donald Trump won, and how Kamala Harris lost in ~society

    gary
    Link Parent
    Yeah bringing attention to the topic would have been a losing situation for Harris. Better to change the narrative to something that's not already associated negatively with Dems.

    Yeah bringing attention to the topic would have been a losing situation for Harris. Better to change the narrative to something that's not already associated negatively with Dems.

    5 votes
  14. Comment on How Donald Trump won, and how Kamala Harris lost in ~society

    gary
    Link Parent
    I don't think we know enough about where the ads were played and if it was just limited to swing states though, at least I didn't see it in this article when I skimmed that section.

    I don't think we know enough about where the ads were played and if it was just limited to swing states though, at least I didn't see it in this article when I skimmed that section.

    1 vote
  15. Comment on How Donald Trump won, and how Kamala Harris lost in ~society

    gary
    Link Parent
    That would have worked on people that are already voting D, but not the people voting R.. I don't think non-college educated white males would have been persuaded by more arguments over genitalia....

    That would have worked on people that are already voting D, but not the people voting R.. I don't think non-college educated white males would have been persuaded by more arguments over genitalia. They want jobs and affordable homes.

    Edit: I grew up working class and no one's top priority was "culture war" stuff. Parents, aunts, and uncles are still working class and they only talk about the economy.

    9 votes
  16. Comment on Omnivore alternatives? in ~tech

    gary
    Link
    This is from an iOS user's perspective. For the last few days I've been using a mix of GoodLinks, Shortcuts, and markdown files to replace Omnivore. I use GoodLinks to save and read articles...

    This is from an iOS user's perspective. For the last few days I've been using a mix of GoodLinks, Shortcuts, and markdown files to replace Omnivore.

    I use GoodLinks to save and read articles later. The UI is decent and leagues ahead of trying to shoehorn Obsidian into a reader. Apps that are editor focused first tend to be poor readers and vice versa. GoodLinks has two drawbacks though. The first is that it cannot save content that you see on the page, the way that Omnivore did, so paywalls can be an issue. I rely on archive.is here.

    The second is that it only syncs links, not content. If you save the webpage on one device, then it changes, your next device that installs GoodLinks will not have the original content. Dead links can break you here and data is not permanent. The dev has stated before that they're looking into syncing content, but I do not rely on promises here. For backup, I use GoodLinks's excellent iOS Shortcuts integration to export data of links I've starred or read. The markdown (and plaintext version) files go into iCloud Drive and I am considering putting them into a git repo.

    The other benefit of exporting data is that I can delete older articles in the future when I've saved too many links. Since GoodLinks downloads links anew on new devices, having 5000 saved links could mean all 5000 get re-downloaded on install, but I suspect that read links do not automatically download (have not tested).

    I've watched enough apps die that data export is my only criteria, in case I need to search the raw data in the future, so I am grateful to the GoodLinks dev for building in Shortcuts integrations. Still, the solution feels a bit messy and I'm looking forward to the next generation of apps in this area.

    Edit: I will share the Shortcut if anyone is interested; it's a very straightforward one.

  17. Comment on 2024 United States election megathread in ~society

    gary
    Link Parent
    I think you'd be surprised at how racist minority groups are. Remember the Venezuelan migrant crisis? In my city, the most anti-migrant voices were from Latinos, Asians, and blacks. Minority...

    I think you'd be surprised at how racist minority groups are. Remember the Venezuelan migrant crisis? In my city, the most anti-migrant voices were from Latinos, Asians, and blacks. Minority groups usually look out for their own but otherwise don't view themselves as in a coalition. And by "own", I mean by their country or even more granular. Chinese people could not care less about Laotian people, for example.

    Not saying it's right, just how it is.

    11 votes
  18. Comment on 2024 United States election megathread in ~society

    gary
    Link Parent
    I don't know this for sure, but in my opinion, it is this attitude of attributing conservatives' feelings to "lizard brain" and not genuine experiences or thought processes that galvanizes them to...

    I don't know this for sure, but in my opinion, it is this attitude of attributing conservatives' feelings to "lizard brain" and not genuine experiences or thought processes that galvanizes them to vote in such strong numbers.

    In my very blue city, in a blue enough neighborhood, people recently have adopted gun ownership at crazy high rates! Democrats kept telling them how violent crime is not actually an issue, but everyone now knows someone who was mugged or carjacked or shot. So a group that was generally gun avoidant is now pro-2A, and it's disgusting to watch that change in realtime.

    I'm pissed about what happened tonight. I hope we spend the upcoming months and years reflecting about what we think we know about the Other Side, which we'll never do if we assume they're just voting out of a knee jerk reaction.

    15 votes
  19. Comment on 2024 United States election megathread in ~society

    gary
    Link Parent
    That's used as an insult. The insult being that the person is a lesser one that is driven by a base animal instinct in contrast to the intellectual that is able to resist.

    That's used as an insult. The insult being that the person is a lesser one that is driven by a base animal instinct in contrast to the intellectual that is able to resist.

    18 votes
  20. Comment on Google asked to remove ten billion “pirate” search results in ~tech

    gary
    Link Parent
    You and I think about this very similarly then. I particularly like "I give what I'm willing to pay". I think that about sums up my decision making when I choose to pirate or pay.

    You and I think about this very similarly then. I particularly like "I give what I'm willing to pay". I think that about sums up my decision making when I choose to pirate or pay.

    5 votes