6 votes

How accurate have Senate polls been, and what could that mean for November?

Posted by Kuromantis
Tags: politics, usa, polling, us senate, 2020 us presidential election, author.nathaniel rakich, source.fivethirtyeight
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/how-accurate-have-senate-polls-been-and-what-could-that-mean-for-november/

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Authors
Nathaniel Rakich
Published
Jun 1 2020
Word count
1145 words

3 comments

  1. [2]
    Silbern
    Link
    I really wonder how the recent protests will affect the Senate polls, if at all. My intuition is that it shouldn't change much either way because it's still several months out and Senate races are...

    I really wonder how the recent protests will affect the Senate polls, if at all. My intuition is that it shouldn't change much either way because it's still several months out and Senate races are likely more isolated from events than the presidential...

    4 votes
    1. MimicSquid
      Link Parent
      Good news, then: 8 states and DC have elections today. We'll see exactly how much these protests move the needle on the downticket races.

      Good news, then: 8 states and DC have elections today. We'll see exactly how much these protests move the needle on the downticket races.

      3 votes
  2. Kuromantis
    Link
    Tl;Dr most states fall within 3-5 points of their polling which isn't bad but isn't good enough for the US's races..

    Tl;Dr most states fall within 3-5 points of their polling which isn't bad but isn't good enough for the US's races..

    2 votes