10 votes

Biden campaign ramps up campaign staffing and posts electoral college map

9 comments

  1. [9]
    Kuromantis
    Link
    The map. While I believe Texas, Ohio and Iowa are nearly safe Republican states (although I presume the wording is intentionally lofty, also Texas is put at the bottom of the list), this isn't too...

    The map.

    While I believe Texas, Ohio and Iowa are nearly safe Republican states (although I presume the wording is intentionally lofty, also Texas is put at the bottom of the list), this isn't too unreasonable, and also acknowledges the states that Hillary won in 2016 should probably not be taken for granted either.

    Anyway:

    Biden’s campaign will also be growing their battleground state staffing, which still lags significantly behind President Trump's operation, in the coming month, according to O’Malley Dillon, who said they planned to have more than 600 organizing staffers hired on.

    While the organizers are expected to carry out traditional on-the-ground campaigning duties, the campaign stressed decisions on when that activity would begin would be made taking into account public safety.

    “We will never make any choices that put our staff or voters in harm's way or volunteers...Our expectation is we will have people on the ground in this campaign doing the traditional work of of organizing, but we will do that when safety allows,” O’Malley Dillon said, stressing that those decisions are dependent on the conditions on the ground in specific states.

    The campaign also announced that they are continuing to expand their digital footprint, and that a new website and live-streaming platform will be rolled out this weekend.

    Biden’s campaign made it clear they intend to push forward with a focus on the virtual campaign trail as the coronavirus continues to redefine the 2020 campaign, with a strategy that includes a “high volume of social-first” content.

    The campaign did not offer any timetable for Biden’s physical return to the campaign trail amid the COVID-19 pandemic, which has taken in-person events off the table for the 78-year-old candidate.

    2 votes
    1. [3]
      NaraVara
      Link Parent
      One of the things I underestimated in 2016 was the extent to which urbanization has radicalized rural parts of the country. It seems places like Iowa have just lost massive amounts of their young,...

      One of the things I underestimated in 2016 was the extent to which urbanization has radicalized rural parts of the country. It seems places like Iowa have just lost massive amounts of their young, educated people to places like Minneapolis and Chicago and what’s left is just the folks who couldn’t go. It was genuinely surprising how conservative and how old most of those places had gotten since 2008. Sometimes it seems like the only people past school age and under 40 are Hispanic, which can’t possibly help with the racism thing.

      6 votes
      1. emmanuelle
        Link Parent
        same thing happened in Missouri, innit? (and probably a lot of other “flyover” states) it used to be a swingy state, but now is ruby red.

        same thing happened in Missouri, innit? (and probably a lot of other “flyover” states) it used to be a swingy state, but now is ruby red.

        5 votes
    2. viridian
      Link Parent
      Ohio is certainly up for grabs for the Democratic party for a lot of races, but I don't think it's up for grabs in the Biden V. Trump matchup. The state has shifted from a bluish purple to a...

      Ohio is certainly up for grabs for the Democratic party for a lot of races, but I don't think it's up for grabs in the Biden V. Trump matchup. The state has shifted from a bluish purple to a reddish purple in the last twenty years, but even outside of that Biden is a hard sell in a lot of key areas. If he can't win the Akron-Canton-Youngstown area he has zero chance of taking the state. The GOP doesn't sell there, but neither do the dems as of late. My home county on the other hand I'm convinced has flipped from blue to deep red permanently unless the Dems do a 180 on certain policy and rhetoric.

      4 votes
    3. [4]
      BuckeyeSundae
      Link Parent
      I think there's a huge and crucial difference between "winnable" which seems is this map, and "tipping point to 270". Texas, Georgia, Iowa and Ohio are all extremely unlikely to be tipping point...

      I think there's a huge and crucial difference between "winnable" which seems is this map, and "tipping point to 270". Texas, Georgia, Iowa and Ohio are all extremely unlikely to be tipping point states--that state whose margin is the difference between 269 and 270 for Biden. If Biden wins those states, and polling is showing they are competitive this cycle, it would be because Biden is up nationally by 8-10 points. States like Arizona, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and (awkwardly) North Carolina are more likely to be that tipping point state.

      Edit: I'd put Florida in that awkward zone where Democrats want it to be a tipping point state but it'll probably be a weirdo +4 R leaning Florida man anyway.

      4 votes
      1. [3]
        NaraVara
        Link Parent
        I think there is real value for political and cultural development to crush Trump and the GOP as decisively as possible. It's not enough to win this in a squeaker. We need to run up the score. The...

        Texas, Georgia, Iowa and Ohio are all extremely unlikely to be tipping point states--that state whose margin is the difference between 269 and 270 for Biden.

        I think there is real value for political and cultural development to crush Trump and the GOP as decisively as possible. It's not enough to win this in a squeaker. We need to run up the score. The defeat needs to be so crushing that history and the world remembers the Trump administration as an aberration or an interregnum. That's the only way to make the GOP turn from this path they've taken. It's also the way to make it clear to institutional powers (like the police, military, national guard, federal bureaucracy, etc.) where the midpoint of the country is and how out of step Trumpism is from it, just in case they think there is some kind of secret, silent majority behind them.

        10 votes
        1. [2]
          BuckeyeSundae
          Link Parent
          Totally get that desire (I share it), but it's most important to win. It will be a repudiation of everything Trumpism represents to crush it, and that would let us pay down some of the debt that...

          Totally get that desire (I share it), but it's most important to win. It will be a repudiation of everything Trumpism represents to crush it, and that would let us pay down some of the debt that built up in the past four years.

          4 votes
          1. NaraVara
            Link Parent
            Well the other aspect is that I think showing a large constituency for progressive policy will also push Joe Biden to be more progressive. It’s like the saying about how only Nixon could go to...

            Well the other aspect is that I think showing a large constituency for progressive policy will also push Joe Biden to be more progressive. It’s like the saying about how only Nixon could go to China. Biden’s a tribune for Reagan Democrat types. If they’re in the coalition for things like trans rights or immigration reform that’s going to be a BFD.

            It’s kind of how LBJ was kinda racist and not particularly progressive his whole career and ended up being the signatory to the Great Society.

            5 votes