14 votes

Four years of war in Ukraine - the battlefield balance, losses and counterattacks

5 comments

  1. KapteinB
    Link
    Exclusive: Ukraine's F-16 jets were starved of US-made missiles for weeks (Reuters)

    Exclusive: Ukraine's F-16 jets were starved of US-made missiles for weeks (Reuters)

    KYIV, March 5 (Reuters) - Ukraine's F-16 fighter jets didn't have enough missiles to shoot down Russian drones and missiles for more than three weeks after supplies from Kyiv's partners dried up just as Moscow was preparing a massive winter air campaign, three sources said.

    The acute shortage from late November to mid-December, which has not been previously reported, lays bare the vulnerability of Ukraine's air defences which ​rely heavily on Western allies for missiles and defence systems to repel frequent Russian strikes.

    3 votes
  2. KapteinB
    Link
    US grants waiver to allow India to buy Russian oil amid Iran war (The Guardian)

    US grants waiver to allow India to buy Russian oil amid Iran war (The Guardian)

    The US treasury issued a 30-day waiver on Thursday allowing India to buy Russian oil currently stuck at sea.

    “To enable oil to keep flowing into the global market, the treasury department is issuing a temporary 30-day waiver to allow Indian refiners to purchase Russian oil,” treasury secretary Scott Bessent said in a statement posted to social media.

    3 votes
  3. l_one
    Link
    Sorry, no proper links in the description, too much on my to-do list. Description from Perun below, view page on YouTube to be able to click on the source links. ... 2026 has shown both how easy...

    Sorry, no proper links in the description, too much on my to-do list. Description from Perun below, view page on YouTube to be able to click on the source links.

    ...

    2026 has shown both how easy it is to start a war, and how difficult it can be to end one.

    As conflicts flare in the Middle East and Afghanistan, the war in Ukraine entered its fifth year since the Feb 2022 invasion.

    In those four years, the armies have changed, and so to has our understanding of modern warfare.

    And so in this episode, I take a big picture look at how the military situation has evolved, and stands, in 2026. That will hopefully set the stage for a number of data driven deep dives in the coming weeks.

    Patreon:
    / perunau

    Reading and Sourcing (partial due to delayed release, to be expanded):

    Credit on Russian equipment storage tracking to:
    Jompy - @Jonpy99
    Covert Cabal - / covertcabal

    Visually confirmed loss figures per Oryx

    Battlemapping per Deepstate and ISW as marked

    CSIS - Russia's Grinding War in Ukraine
    https://www.csis.org/analysis/russias...

    Ukraine to complete shift to corps structure by end of 2025
    https://militarnyi.com/en/news/ukrain...

    Reporting on Russian fiber optic imports
    https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2026/0...

    Reporting on the UAS kill zone in Ukraine
    https://militarnyi.com/en/articles/th...

    Reporting on relevant combat UGV employment
    https://militarnyi.com/en/news/ugv-ru...

    Reported FP-7 test
    https://x.com/bayraktar_1love/status/...

    Ukrainian Counterattack claims (UA media)
    https://understandingwar.org/research...
    Featured chart of rising EU defence spending
    https://www.consilium.europa.eu/en/po...

    Russian demands for Donbas persist
    https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/...

    https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cp8...

    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articl...

    Ukrainian statements on ceasefire line
    https://www.aa.com.tr/en/russia-ukrai...

    CSIS - Russia-Ukraine war in 10 charts
    https://www.csis.org/analysis/russia-...

    Caveats & Comments:

    All normal caveats and comments apply. In particular – I would like to note as always that this material has been created for entertainment purposes and is not intended to be a complete or comprehensive examination of the topic in question and should not be relied upon to inform financial or other similar decisions.

    Any content relating to the conduct, views, activities or any aspect of any person or character in this video is included for entertainment purposes and does not represent an assertion of fact on those matters or any matters in relation to that person or character.

    Care has been taken in compiling data, quotes, and other inputs from various sources but errors can occur. Quotes and included data should be considered illustrative, not definitive and their veracity should not be relied on.

    Timestamps:
    00:00:00 — Opening Words
    00:01:18 — What Am I Talking About?
    00:03:16 — the Battle Lines
    00:08:39 — Losses & the Changing Force
    00:22:07 — the Nature of the Fighting
    00:30:53 — Features of the Fighting
    00:44:07 — the Big Picture
    00:53:36 — Channel Update

    2 votes
  4. [2]
    KapteinB
    Link
    Poland prepares to start production of Ukraine's Bohdana self-propelled howitzer (Ukrainska Pravda)

    Poland prepares to start production of Ukraine's Bohdana self-propelled howitzer (Ukrainska Pravda)

    A Polish-Ukrainian company PK MIL SA has prepared to begin producing Ukraine's Bohdana self-propelled howitzers in Poland.

    2 votes
    1. CptBluebear
      Link Parent
      The Ukrainians are really revving up their homegrown manufacturing. This SPG is battle tested and proven to work, but they're also leading in UAV, UGV, USV, even UUV, as well as drone interceptor...

      The Ukrainians are really revving up their homegrown manufacturing. This SPG is battle tested and proven to work, but they're also leading in UAV, UGV, USV, even UUV, as well as drone interceptor development and manufacturing.

      There will be a great deal of military technological leaps that this war will bring forth.

      1 vote