4 votes

Does anyone remember the population clock/timer that came on Doordarshan channel in 1990s?

Disclaimer: This post is written in the context of India but also relevant globally today in many other countries.

Millennials who lived in India in the 90s era will recall that growing population used to be a serious problem back then, in fact to such an extent that they used to highlight the number of kids born every second and displayed a population timer every morning.

Now, don't you feel it's strange that at 90 crore it was such a serious problem but at 140 crore, it's not even discussed today? Each time this topic comes up, it's cleverly deflected by holding some minority responsible for it. But there is a need for a serious debate for this today and to understand the consequences of a society with over burdened population.

Any serious economist or socio-religious scholar will tell you that growing population is the root of all problems in society, be it illiteracy, crime, corruption, nepotism, religious extremism, etc., these are all resource allocation problems if you think about it. Too many mouths to feed will eventually make people prioritize at all roles and positions and many of those will be left out, this will eventually result in increased polarization between the "haves" and "have nots" in society - which is pretty much a recipe for disaster in longer term.

However, the above situation is a fertile ground for the political class (rich politicians, industrialists, motivated journalists, etc.) as both dumb vote banks and cheap labor is supplied plentifully with a growing working class. This is the reason you'll never see this topic discussed in popular narrative or on any TV channel. They want us to live compressed lives in small ghettos, that's the environment that creates cynical people filled with ignorance who can then be easily prodded towards a certain agenda with fear mongering. Look at the distrust we have developed towards other people in the last two decades? Today, we would rather trust a govt. issued ID like Aadhar or PAN card than trust a live person. Shows like CID and Crime Patrol which pushed the subtle narrative that the unknown person you're about to meet could be the worst scammer in known history were also responsible for this.

Narratives like these create the kind of distrust and polarization in society which become fertile ground for politicians to then do their thing. They tend to arm twist our psyche into thinking that the authority is always the "good guy" whereas people are the "bad guys" which isn't a very healthy thing for the society at all. But in order for this to happen, ghettos with over burdened population must be created.

A lean population will be well-educated, thinking and progressive. It will tend to reject the idea of authoritarianism and start thinking about real change in society like better living standards, technological progress, etc. For this very reason, the problem of overpopulation will never reach mainstream journalism or even youtube journalism. For this very reason, smart cities will ever remain a distant promise, they will never actually materialize. For this very reason, big tech and corporates will ever remain in select ghettos/metros like Delhi/Mumbai/Bengaluru, they will never go to smaller tier-2 cities and build stuff there. The moment they go there, this ghettoization and authoritarianism will stop and that will be a problem.

But I really hope that at least some people will have the vision to see the larger picture of what's going on and start doing something about it, or at least start acknowledging that over population or ghettoization is a problem.

2 comments

  1. Flocculencio
    Link
    Isn't the rate of population growth declining though? I agree that the massive population of India is a huge problem but fertility rates are below replacement level IIRC? The demographic inertia...

    Isn't the rate of population growth declining though? I agree that the massive population of India is a huge problem but fertility rates are below replacement level IIRC? The demographic inertia is going to taper off in mid-century.

    There are other problems of course such as the fact that the already overpopulated and underdeveloped Northern states are going to bear the brunt of this while the more developed Southern states shrink. Every time I go back to Kerala I'm always struck by the fact that an increasing proportion of lower-skill/manual labour jobs are being filled by immigrant workers from Bihar/UP and I'm sure that this will lead to medium term tensions as that tendency grows.

    2 votes
  2. rish
    (edited )
    Link
    You mean Muslim population in India? Just say it. By 2050 India is expected to largest population of Muslims in the world and they'll be still be minority religion in India. They also have highest...

    Each time this topic comes up, it's cleverly deflected by holding some minority responsible for it.

    You mean Muslim population in India? Just say it.

    By 2050 India is expected to largest population of Muslims in the world and they'll be still be minority religion in India. They also have highest fertility among religious groups in India. Please see the PewResearch link below. We can't have a discussion on overpopulation without including them. I don't know where you get the idea they alone are being held responsible for rising population.

    State governments in UP/Bihar were really incompetent in development of the states, specially Bihar. There is a saying in Bihar, kauno jeete CM toh Niishwa hi bani (doesn't matter which party wins, Nitish Kumar will become Chief Minister). UP has big hopes with Yogi Adityanath, best CM in any state imo. Huge devlopment and investments going on in UP which will create better employment and poverty alleviation. Poor tend to have more children then well good families.

    Shows like CID and Crime Patrol

    CSI, NCIS, every other crime based TV?? Every country has a variant of these shows, I don't think they are anywhere related to distrust and paranoia these days. They are for entertainment and can be easily identified as fiction. Imo, rise of 24x7 News Channels is more to blame here. They will turn a minor family issue National matter of grave concern, have experts panel discussing it whole month and then move on next stupid news.

    https://www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2015/04/21/by-2050-india-to-have-worlds-largest-populations-of-hindus-and-muslims/

    1 vote