The model presumes that the lock-downs will continue to be effective, and that everyone will continue to take recommended precautions. We're about to have a major breakout in my community because...
The model presumes that the lock-downs will continue to be effective, and that everyone will continue to take recommended precautions.
We're about to have a major breakout in my community because an employee came to work sick at the biggest senior independent living facility in town, and that facility hadn't shut down group activities and its cafeteria. Probably 70 - 80 new cases shortly, in a town with only 15,000 people. This is going to be a typical pattern in the U.S. Each state's curve is going to have a lot of ongoing bumps indefinitely unless we can establish proper testing and contact tracing.
Trying to predict the future is always questionable, but this at least seems to generally indicate that most states should see things starting to get better in a week or two. Just having that to...
Trying to predict the future is always questionable, but this at least seems to generally indicate that most states should see things starting to get better in a week or two. Just having that to look forward to is at least somewhat comforting.
The model presumes that the lock-downs will continue to be effective, and that everyone will continue to take recommended precautions.
We're about to have a major breakout in my community because an employee came to work sick at the biggest senior independent living facility in town, and that facility hadn't shut down group activities and its cafeteria. Probably 70 - 80 new cases shortly, in a town with only 15,000 people. This is going to be a typical pattern in the U.S. Each state's curve is going to have a lot of ongoing bumps indefinitely unless we can establish proper testing and contact tracing.
Trying to predict the future is always questionable, but this at least seems to generally indicate that most states should see things starting to get better in a week or two. Just having that to look forward to is at least somewhat comforting.
I wonder how much the recent primary will affect the forecast for Wisconsin...