31
votes
US-made M270 and HIMARS hammer targets inside Russia, first cross-border strikes since Joe Biden green light
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- Authors
- Stefan Korshak
- Published
- Jun 3 2024
- Word count
- 1410 words
Either one of two things will happen, really.
Either we'll get WW3. In which case, gg everyone. Unlikely, but quite unsettling.
Alternatively, Russia will end up getting their arse kicked even more badly. Given the crazy high manpower costs on it's own already and the long straining affects of Western sanctions, demographics collapse already occurring before the war and even before the Covid pandemic, brain drain due to mobilization, and corruption.... Russia will end up just a shadow of its former self, which already is a shadow of its former self.
Whether Ukraine will win is still not certain, and an Ukrainian defeat would be a dark day. But Russia has already lost. The question is when and how they'll pay the price.
I wish that were true. Unfortunately Russia is still advancing. And there's of course the risk of "Trump ending the war in 24 hours" - meaning stopping US military aid to Ukraine.
Russia's military performance has been pathetic at the individual infantryman and the small unit level, but that's always been true. This is how they won on the Eastern Front of WW2.
The war in Ukraine is fundamentally down to Western support. If we drop it, they will lose. Saying that Russia already lost isn't helpful, it breeds complacency.
That's a fair assessment. To clarify, we should absolutely keep sending arms to Ukraine. And Russia is a threat, even if its inner workings are getting cracked down.
To rephrase my former statement then, Russia has no future no matter how the war ends. However, it can take down entire countries with it.
There's one major difference this time around though, and that's the fact that Russia's population growth was already halting before the war. Not nearly as bad as some in East-Asia, but Covid and this war is making it worse, fast.
That's not to say it may necessary be a good thing though. Russia may well end up destabilising internally as a result. The consequences of that could be very ugly.
You should see the level of "advancing" the Russians have been doing. It's a pitiful amount of meters they've managed to take. While troubling, it's very minimal and mostly at the regions where they could freely lob missiles from across the border without consequence. Until now.