26 votes

Bernie-backed Andrew Gillum wins Florida gubernatorial primary in upset

3 comments

  1. Amarok
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    Turnout very nearly doubled over past election maximums. In a nutshell, that's why this happens. All the gerrymandering and dirty politics in the world aren't able to hold back a turnout boost of...

    Turnout very nearly doubled over past election maximums.

    In a nutshell, that's why this happens. All the gerrymandering and dirty politics in the world aren't able to hold back a turnout boost of larger than 10-15% (and this was almost 50%). In fact, gerrymandering tends to backfire and have the opposite effect when turnout is this high, since it ends up weakening the strongest districts to shore up support in nearby districts. That makes the strongest districts vulnerable when there's a massive turnout spike that breaks past the expected margins.

    If turnout stays at this level through November, it's going to be a bloodbath for establishment politicians in both parties. It's one thing to beat the republicans right now - thanks to Trump pissing off everyone with ears they are sitting ducks even in deep red areas. That's easy pickings. It's quite another for outsider Democrats to beat the establishment Democrats so easily and so quickly. That might get us some real change.

    16 votes
  2. edward
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    This could have further reaching effects on other races as well. If he increases overall turnout in November it could help Bill Nelson in his close Senate race against Rick Scott. And since the...

    This could have further reaching effects on other races as well. If he increases overall turnout in November it could help Bill Nelson in his close Senate race against Rick Scott.

    And since the Republican nominee Ron DeSantis is a Trump guy, the gubernatorial race could be a preview of a potential Bernie vs. Trump race in 2020. Or at least a preview of said race's result in Florida.

    10 votes
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