Amarok's recent activity
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Comment on Let's talk orchestrated objective reduction! in ~science
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Comment on George Carlin - We Like War! (1992) in ~society
Amarok LinkWhen it comes to foreign policy, I think that Dylan Moran said it best. Honorable mentions to Eddie Izzard and Al Murray.When it comes to foreign policy, I think that Dylan Moran said it best.
Honorable mentions to Eddie Izzard and Al Murray. -
Comment on George Carlin - We Like War! (1992) in ~society
Amarok Link ParentCarlin's comedy specials are in the must-see category for anyone coming to the USA - to be watched in reverse chronological order. You may as well find out what you're in for before you get here,...- Exemplary
Carlin's comedy specials are in the must-see category for anyone coming to the USA - to be watched in reverse chronological order. You may as well find out what you're in for before you get here, and you just might want to reconsider the trip once you've seen this.
- It's Bad For You (2008)
- Life Is Worth Losing (2005)
- Complaints & Grievances (2001)
- You Are All Diseased (1999)
- 40 Years Of Comedy (1997)
- Back In Town (1996)
- Jammin' In New York (1992)
- Doing It Again (1990)
- What Am I Doing In New Jersey (1988)
- Playin' With Your Head (1986)
- Carlin On Campus (1984)
The older ones are harder to track down. Don't forget to listen to him read his book Brain Droppings. There's also 'Napalm and Silly Putty', 'Sometimes a Little Brain Damage Can Help', and 'When Will Jesus Bring the Pork Chops' amongst others. Then there's several audio-only albums from the 70s: FM & AM, Class Clown, Occupation: Foole, Toledo Window Box, On The Road, A Place For My Stuff. The man was one prolific writer.
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Comment on US strikes Venezuela and says its leader, Nicolas Maduro, has been captured and flown out of the country in ~society
Amarok Link ParentThe Venezuelans are the biggest winners. They are about to drown in reconstruction money and oil revenues shortly afterwards. They are the ones that own and will work the wells and refineries....The Venezuelans are the biggest winners.
They are about to drown in reconstruction money and oil revenues shortly afterwards. They are the ones that own and will work the wells and refineries. Their government will collect enough tax money to splurge on public works on a level we rarely see, like the Saudis trying to out-spend each other with crazy projects in the middle east (they'd do better terraforming the desert with it, but that's another discussion). They'll get penciled in as a top tourist destination rather than travel bans.
Venezuela was the fourth richest country in the world once, and will probably surpass that benchmark again in the future. The refugee crisis they went through fleeing the Chavez / Maduro tyranny was the second largest in human history behind Syria, displacing almost eight million people. All of those people are now free to return home if they choose.
We have a rare moment here where politics, business, and ethics have lined up for a shot at a very good outcome for everyone involved, except for the drug cartels, BRICS, and fracking companies. Seems like a hell of a win to me. Makes me wonder who the shrewd as fuck genius is that spotted this opportunity and pitched it to Trump, no way in hell he figured this out on his own.
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Comment on US strikes Venezuela and says its leader, Nicolas Maduro, has been captured and flown out of the country in ~society
Amarok Link ParentDrilling wells are a lot cheaper and cleaner than fracking wells, those are the facts. I doubt Trump polled other US energy companies that do the fracking to see if they liked this plan. The...Drilling wells are a lot cheaper and cleaner than fracking wells, those are the facts. I doubt Trump polled other US energy companies that do the fracking to see if they liked this plan. The losers here are Baker Hughes, Halliburton, and Schlumberger who will yield business to Chevron.
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Comment on US strikes Venezuela and says its leader, Nicolas Maduro, has been captured and flown out of the country in ~society
Amarok (edited )Link ParentThat tells you who was really pushing the oil agenda. I doubt Trump cared about it that much, since the USA produces our own surplus. We don't need a drop of anyone else's ever again, by the time...That tells you who was really pushing the oil agenda. I doubt Trump cared about it that much, since the USA produces our own surplus. We don't need a drop of anyone else's ever again, by the time fracking runs out we'll be on some form of electric transport. Haven't even fracked the northeast yet which has richer deposits than Texas. We don't even need a 'backup' oil plan since Alaska is loaded, we can have it whenever we decide to go get it. We already have more oil than we'll ever use, and ours is a lot easier to refine too.
Chevron on the other hand would be oil corporation in-chief for life if they can resurrect the Venezuelan fields, which are the second largest out there - just a bit smaller than Saudi Arabia's fields. This is a jackpot reserve, though the crude is a nightmare to refine, ultra-thick and sulfur-contaminated stuff. Most of Venezuela's production is offline too due to ancient equipment and no maintenance for decades. It's all gotta be rebuilt, a twenty year project to get them back to 1950s level production. Small wonder that Chevron offered to pay for the reconstruction, they'll get lifetime management of the fields they build.
I'd bet that Trump's fetish for American big business, not oil per se, is why he went in for this. He's always idolizing our corporations - US Steel, Ford, Tesla, etc. He doesn't care about securing us more oil that we don't need. He's interested in preventing that oil from going to our adversaries (50% of Cuba's oil
iswas from VZ) and he's interested in propping up what's left of Standard Oil (aka Chevron) because he wants us to have our own pet 900lb gorilla of an oil company. That puts the USA in a position that's immune to price-fixing actions from OPEC. In fact Chevron could do the price fixing itself. :pThis is about forcefully creating big businesses that are aligned with the US, oil just happens to be the product involved. Trump was trying to do the same thing for US Steel when he was hammering tariffs on Canada. Now that I've noticed this I think I like Trump even less. Large corporations are corrosive to democracies in my view, especially multinational ones.
Edit: I can see one silver lining in this mess, though - fracking is expensive and it damages the environment. If Venezuela reaches new peaks of production, it'll be cheaper to buy ours from them than it is to keep fracking. That means no new fracking wells, and when old ones shut down, no more new ones replace them. Don't even need legislation for this, it's just market pricing.
We'd phase out fracking and rely on Venezuelan oil (direct pipelines), and that'd be a huge environmental win for us. Probably drive up natural gas prices in the long run too, since they are a fracking byproduct that we would lose over time. This is a lotta runway for the green revolution to get their tech sorted and take over.
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Comment on US strikes Venezuela and says its leader, Nicolas Maduro, has been captured and flown out of the country in ~society
Amarok Link ParentTrue, however the fact that they've had a taste of it makes it more likely that it'll work out than in countries like Afghanistan or Iraq. That gives me some hope. If the CIA hadn't overthrown the...True, however the fact that they've had a taste of it makes it more likely that it'll work out than in countries like Afghanistan or Iraq. That gives me some hope. If the CIA hadn't overthrown the Shah we might have avoided a lot of trouble. I think we owe Venezuela for letting our cartel problem become this serious, it was a key factor in their collapse. I'd say we owe Iran too since we sabotaged the best thing to ever happen to that country. If Trump wants to start blowing up weapon stockpiles and terrorist camps in Iran to give the protesters some backup, I'm sort of ok with that as long as this degree of precision is maintained.
Some good news, I see reports the remnants of Maduro's government have decided to settle this with talks rather than try to take over. Apparently they've had enough.
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Comment on US strikes Venezuela and says its leader, Nicolas Maduro, has been captured and flown out of the country in ~society
Amarok Link ParentGood point about Bin laden, I'd missed that. In this situation the claim was that involving congress would have tipped of Maduro, which is why they weren't told until it was happening. I'm not...Good point about Bin laden, I'd missed that. In this situation the claim was that involving congress would have tipped of Maduro, which is why they weren't told until it was happening. I'm not sure if I believe that or not, if our legislators are that leaky with information we're got other problems too. :/
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Comment on US strikes Venezuela and says its leader, Nicolas Maduro, has been captured and flown out of the country in ~society
Amarok Link ParentAll I can say to that is one small point - Maduro lost the election. He was not a president of anything, legally, under international and Venezuelan laws. He was a wanted fugitive with a twenty...All I can say to that is one small point - Maduro lost the election. He was not a president of anything, legally, under international and Venezuelan laws. He was a wanted fugitive with a twenty five million dollar bounty on his head placed there by Obama I think, then increased by Biden. That's probably going to be the legal loophole that saves Trump's ass, this time. If he'd done this to anyone else this would be a very different conversation.
You're right about the courts. The USA doesn't recognize any authority above its own... well, other than 'God' according to the money and (briefly) the pledge of allegiance. Lip service is usually where God stops in this government. Sometimes I wonder if America is God's greatest regret. Seems like a love / hate relationship to me. :p
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Comment on US strikes Venezuela and says its leader, Nicolas Maduro, has been captured and flown out of the country in ~society
Amarok Link ParentObama bagged Bin Laden and Reagan bagged Noriega the same way. They walked. Trump hasn't done anything (yet) worse than they did in this situation. At least Bush had congress authorize his...Obama bagged Bin Laden and Reagan bagged Noriega the same way. They walked. Trump hasn't done anything (yet) worse than they did in this situation. At least Bush had congress authorize his invasion, though now we know they were lying through their teeth about all of the justifications for that war so I'm left questioning what value that authorization has in the first place. Congress happily approved a mountain of bullshit with a smile, there's no trust to be found there either.
Trump's not going to get impeached (for this, anyway - Epstein is another matter) and I doubt the US government is going to stop doing this stuff. In this particular case it seems like the people who would be angry are instead quite happy with the outcome, that's less of a mess than Noriega. I don't think anyone was making a stink about Bin Laden, everyone hated him.
We'll see how everyone feels in a couple weeks after Trump does this again in Iran. That man loves to push his luck. If he helps oust the Ayatollah and the Iranians are celebrating like the Venezuelans are now, I think I'm going to go resign from society and live in a hut in the Caribbean or something. This world line is giving me too many headaches. :p
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Comment on US strikes Venezuela and says its leader, Nicolas Maduro, has been captured and flown out of the country in ~society
Amarok Link ParentI think he's making a big mistake there. At a minimum I'd put her in power as the interim leader and then get elections going again. If Trump tries to appoint someone by fiat that's going to...I think he's making a big mistake there. At a minimum I'd put her in power as the interim leader and then get elections going again. If Trump tries to appoint someone by fiat that's going to vaporize any goodwill we've earned. It's got to be a popular vote to mean anything at all, otherwise we're just playing dictator-swap and I'm truly sick of that behavior. The CIA should know better by now, they've fucked up enough regime changes over the years. I think the total might even be into the triple digits by now, and the good outcomes are probably in the single digits. This is not a track record to be proud of. :p
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Comment on US strikes Venezuela and says its leader, Nicolas Maduro, has been captured and flown out of the country in ~society
Amarok Link ParentI'll give them credit when anything they build lasts for more than a decade without falling down, rotting from the inside, shorting out to make fires (like those electric vehicles are famous for)...I'll give them credit when anything they build lasts for more than a decade without falling down, rotting from the inside, shorting out to make fires (like those electric vehicles are famous for) or sinking to the bottom of the harbor on first launch like their subs and boats have done. Granted, that's happened to US ships before too but we don't make a habit out of it like they do. :p They have a real problem with durability and longevity in a lot of the things they build.
They have no regulations on quality or enforced engineering standards like we do on public works, everyone cuts every corner even in their military production. Every scrap of concrete poured in that country will be dust within fifty years. Sure, they can make a two bit transistor that does the job for a while, but comparing their engineering to US defense standards and they aren't even in the same galaxy.
That's ok, they spend billions on bot farms and celebrity youtube tourism to convince everyone that people in China live in the future, but covering everything in LEDs so it looks good at night and painting the leaves of dead trees green doesn't magically fix your infrastructure problems. It just sweeps it under the rug until the rot collapses your roads on your daily commute. If you think I'm even remotely kidding about any of this, I can supply you with an archive of video evidence of the problems.
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Comment on US strikes Venezuela and says its leader, Nicolas Maduro, has been captured and flown out of the country in ~society
Amarok Link ParentYeah, it's not looking very good to me right now. T says we're 'taking over' but we... already left. Not quite sure how that works. There's no enforcing this without people there to do it. Perhaps...Yeah, it's not looking very good to me right now. T says we're 'taking over' but we... already left. Not quite sure how that works. There's no enforcing this without people there to do it. Perhaps the CIA has assets and resources in play to back whichever faction comes together for Machado. Or perhaps Trump's just hoping a miracle happens. He does have a habit of pantsing his way through things until some kind of win pops up that he can glom onto. Call me crazy but I don't think flying blind is a viable regime change strategy. I'm curious to watch how this plays out over the next week.
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Comment on US strikes Venezuela and says its leader, Nicolas Maduro, has been captured and flown out of the country in ~society
Amarok Link ParentGame theory is at the heart of geopolitics. The ultimate never-ending all consuming prisoner's dilemma. For my money, the only good response here is to place María Corina Machado into power...Game theory is at the heart of geopolitics. The ultimate never-ending all consuming prisoner's dilemma.
For my money, the only good response here is to place María Corina Machado into power immediately, since she won the last election. That's good, it saves us a ton of time where things usually go sideways running up to elections that are unnecessary in this particular case as they've already happened. All we need to do is reconstitute her government and put the security forces back together, tag in a big fat IMF reconstruction loan, then get the hell out. People will be a lot more forgiving of this 'intervention' if the USA walks away rather than meddling for years on end.
Trouble is apparently Trump's strike missed the minister of defense and some other problematic members of the older regime, who are now trying to take power. We can't let that fester, it'll end badly. We're not done decapitating yet. Couple more snakes to scratch off the list - there will be another strike to deal with the leftovers.
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Comment on US strikes Venezuela and says its leader, Nicolas Maduro, has been captured and flown out of the country in ~society
Amarok Link ParentBingo. Time for bread and circuses, until everyone forgets the name 'Epstein.'we're entering the show trial phase of authoritarianism
Bingo. Time for bread and circuses, until everyone forgets the name 'Epstein.'
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Comment on US strikes Venezuela and says its leader, Nicolas Maduro, has been captured and flown out of the country in ~society
Amarok Link ParentState governments take over until they reconstitute the fed, it's already on the books - we can operate just fine without a federal government for some time. No attack can get all the 'government'...Imagine how we'd feel
State governments take over until they reconstitute the fed, it's already on the books - we can operate just fine without a federal government for some time. No attack can get all the 'government' in the USA, it's redundant by design - and maybe the only good thing to come out of paying for so much government.
We'd hold elections, possibly even put in a new constitution (real progress at last), then glass whoever made the attack, and build some really tacky monuments about it that our kids would tear down because they don't like learning about history. :p
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Comment on US strikes Venezuela and says its leader, Nicolas Maduro, has been captured and flown out of the country in ~society
Amarok Link ParentI'd like to point out that Taiwan has been armed with Ukraine's best submersible drone technology - and that was about 18 months ago, I'm sure they are producing their own by now with all sorts of...I'd like to point out that Taiwan has been armed with Ukraine's best submersible drone technology - and that was about 18 months ago, I'm sure they are producing their own by now with all sorts of high tech upgrades and help from American defense contractors who want their own drone fleets.
China's navy is a joke from an engineering standpoint like everything they build - frankly it's amazing it floats at all, most of it will sink on its own soon enough - and they will all end up on the bottom of the sea if they ever try a real invasion. They fly in, they get shot down by superior air defense tech, they boat over they get sunk by hundreds of underwater torpedoes that loiter silently for weeks using onboard AI. Taiwan will (with US/NATO help) bleed China into collapse exactly like Ukraine is doing to Russia. That's the play, everyone is just waiting to see if Xi is stupid enough to try it.
I'll wager he is, since he kills anyone who tells him anything he doesn't like to hear. Dude hasn't lived in reality for at least a decade. If you explained the economic shipping risks to him he'd have you decapitated for bringing down his vibe. How is he going to react when his entire invasion fleet goes down in the open water in one day with a one hundred percent casualty rate? No saving face from that disaster, it'll end him.
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Comment on US strikes Venezuela and says its leader, Nicolas Maduro, has been captured and flown out of the country in ~society
Amarok Link ParentI wouldn't be trusting people in halls of power even if they hadn't done that. :p I'd wager Trump was trying to use that circus as a signal of what our military is capable of doing. Play up the...I wouldn't be trusting people in halls of power even if they hadn't done that. :p
I'd wager Trump was trying to use that circus as a signal of what our military is capable of doing. Play up the fear because that fear leads to mistakes on the other side and if it is enough fear it can even prevent conflicts from starting. Same reason they chose such a fast, effective strategy for wave one - well, that and apparently we had a CIA mole in Maduro's inner circle. Makes it pretty easy to hang the other party out to dry.
It's a very old play, I'm sure if I looked it up in The Art of War I'd find it written down from two thousand years ago. It wasn't for Venezuela either, that show was for Russia, Iran, and China. Trump's media showmanship has developed a dark side, not so surprising that he's opting to choose these strategies though given what we know about him.
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Comment on US strikes Venezuela and says its leader, Nicolas Maduro, has been captured and flown out of the country in ~society
Amarok Link ParentI'm certain it's on the menu of intentions, but the talk about deals with Russia were the spark that guaranteed this would happen. That was the 'justification' that broke any opposition to it...I'm certain it's on the menu of intentions, but the talk about deals with Russia were the spark that guaranteed this would happen. That was the 'justification' that broke any opposition to it within the government, far as I can see anyway. This new piece of history rhymes with Cuban Missile Crisis, but they decided to get ahead of it this time instead of waiting until the missiles were on the move.
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Comment on US strikes Venezuela and says its leader, Nicolas Maduro, has been captured and flown out of the country in ~society
Amarok LinkThe only thing surprising about this was how well it was executed. Coup in thirty minutes flat with a bare minimum of collateral damage. It's been coming for months and I was watching it live...- Exemplary
The only thing surprising about this was how well it was executed. Coup in thirty minutes flat with a bare minimum of collateral damage. It's been coming for months and I was watching it live listening to the radio chatter.
Maduro is a bad guy with multiple priors, good riddance. If he wanted to stay in power he should have avoided giving US intelligence the impression that he would be bringing in weapons and troops and resources from Russia and China. That's the only reason this happened - the USA will never allow hostile foreign powers any toeholds in the Americas, and no amount of laws, conventions, treaties, congressional actions, or hand wringing will ever make even the slightest difference to that cold hard geopolitical reality. Welcome to the real world kids.
I would've expected them to bug out, not take over though. I didn't think Trump had the brains to stick around and guarantee that we didn't just get another tinpot dictator or military group taking over Venezuela. The smart play is just this - to make the transition work. This is not Afghanistan, Venezuela was fully westernized not so long ago and doing very well until their government became corrupt and Maduro ran it into the ground. We don't have to 'teach' anyone democracy there, just restore it to them. We broke it, we bought it as the saying goes. Money is no issue as Venezuela is very, very rich once the oil is flowing again. Let's get them democratic elections immediately and then get the hell out of there. Judging by what I've seen of people celebrating in the streets, nobody over there is shedding tears for Maduro or his generals, and their reaction is the only reaction I assign any weight or value to in this analysis - it's their country.
I'd worry a lot more about Iran though, because they are next (within two weeks tops I'd guess). Trump tweeted we're ready to go at a moment's notice to do the exact same thing as soon as they start shooting at peaceful protestors. In case you missed it, the country is in full blown riot mode since new years and the government it had is already toast. Short version is they couldn't keep the water on and the people of Iran have had enough of theocracy. They too were once democratic, so just like in Venezuela I think the odds of democracy sticking are better than we're used to seeing. Would you like to start the new year with two new democratic governments on the board, or complain about justifications?
Of course, the pessimist in me expects to see our government and corporations go into full on loot mode, plunder these countries, and lock them into fifty year deals that bleed them dry for their resources. That's usually how this ends up despite any good intentions. I'm going to keep a happy thought that maybe, just maybe, one day we'll get the kinds of wins we once did with Japan and Germany more often. I'd love nothing more than to see Iran and Venezuela get it together and join the democratic government club.
Putin and the BRICS bloc have lost two key allies since the year started. 2026 is certainly getting off the ground with a bang. In other news, there's chatter about a major Russian false flag coming up in the near future (according to Ukrainian intelligence and our own) that involves killing large numbers of Europeans somewhere. Are we ready for the fallout from that when NATO takes the gloves off with Russia?
What he did is convincingly prove a single cell organism is still fully, surprisingly conscious with good memory and just about every single reaction to stimuli that we have. With that one simple zen-like kill shot he deleted brains (and therefore all cognitive science degree-holders) from any future discussions of consciousness. This is once again a physics problem. That's in fact tremendous progress, no more brain-related bullshit on the table hiding the real answer to this question. :)
Just recently Stuart appeared on Danny Jones (2.5 hours) and did a phenomenal job of explaining what he's talking about. It is handily the best conversation about consciousness I've ever seen. He brought the receipts too, citations abound.
I'm not sure he's right about his and Roger's fundamental premise - that quantum collapse is itself a burst of conscious experience. It's an intriguing way of thinking about the universe, that's for sure, but we've got to pin it down with experiments. That's going to be tricky but he has got the problem in a bit of a box now.
The implications of this if he's right are a fatal kill shot for sapient artificial general intelligence, because if he's right, no configuration of silicon is ever going to simulate even a single cell effectively, it's beyond our data storage capabilities. Kiss mind uploading goodbye along with the rest of the singularity crew's pipe dreams. Won't have to worry about AI waking up because it hasn't got the kind of equipment necessary in hardware to do the waking up - and we can prove it, so no rights for the robots after all. Electrons can't play these games.