8 votes

Republican Glenn Youngkin wins Virginia governor’s race

9 comments

  1. [2]
    userexec
    Link
    Our local elections were a republican sweep as well, with 22% voter turnout even though literally every registered voter gets mailed a ballot and bios and statements from every candidate and can...

    Our local elections were a republican sweep as well, with 22% voter turnout even though literally every registered voter gets mailed a ballot and bios and statements from every candidate and can place it into any dropbox or send it back from their mailbox without a stamp. The school board got some... interesting new people, to put it charitably.

    Time to listen to the locals my age complain about how messed up our politics are for another few years while refusing to so much as pencil in a bubble to fix it, all in a district with such low turnout that they could easily dominate any election if they actually cared.

    20 votes
    1. FrankGrimes
      Link Parent
      The age gap is troubling to me. I constantly see people my age and younger (I'm mid 30's) railing about the state of politics, policies they dislike, corrupt politicians, etc. But then come...

      The age gap is troubling to me. I constantly see people my age and younger (I'm mid 30's) railing about the state of politics, policies they dislike, corrupt politicians, etc. But then come elections and they can't be bothered to vote. If they wanted to, they have the numbers to swing things in a different direction and actually see some change.

      Republicans vote in every election, but Democrats seemingly can't be bothered, which is why the white house may swing back and forth, but state legislatures stay strongly in Republican control. It's depressing to me.

      10 votes
  2. [6]
    spit-evil-olive-tips
    Link
    2021 nobel prize for stupid political campaigning goes to this ad touting Donald Trump's endorsement of Youngkin, including the quote "Virginia is very very winnable, but everybody has to go out...

    2021 nobel prize for stupid political campaigning goes to this ad

    touting Donald Trump's endorsement of Youngkin, including the quote "Virginia is very very winnable, but everybody has to go out and vote"

    in the fine print...paid for by the Democratic Party of VA, and authorized by Terry McAuliffe

    I dunno, I'm not a political expert, but maybe don't send out ads promoting your opponent as some sort of galaxy-brain strategy? and maybe find a message to run on that isn't "the other guy is liked by Trump and Trump is bad"?

    14 votes
    1. [2]
      nothis
      Link Parent
      WTF, is that ad real? US politics are like some kind of dystopian mind game.

      WTF, is that ad real? US politics are like some kind of dystopian mind game.

      10 votes
      1. suspended
        Link Parent
        The past 30 years in US politics has been mostly all down hill. The things that Snowden revealed was just scratching the surface. Can you imagine how bad things really are in the US and abroad? My...

        The past 30 years in US politics has been mostly all down hill. The things that Snowden revealed was just scratching the surface. Can you imagine how bad things really are in the US and abroad?

        My educated guess is that all of these diseased dragons lying on mountains of gold are the source of most of the world's problems.

        4 votes
    2. DepartedPretzel
      Link Parent
      … … I need to lie down. I assume they targetted hard-Democratic voters with this mailpiece, but the reverse-psychology messaging is so obscure that it’s just bad optics and a waste of resources. I...

      I need to lie down.

      I assume they targetted hard-Democratic voters with this mailpiece, but the reverse-psychology messaging is so obscure that it’s just bad optics and a waste of resources.

      I hear center-left folks who say, “oh, the Democrats are just bad at messaging, that’s why they can’t get support.” I know the party has much deeper issues, but gods they really are bad at messaging.

      4 votes
    3. [2]
      stu2b50
      Link Parent
      I actually think that's pretty good messaging. The party in power tends to lose in subsequent elections because their voters stop caring basically, while the opposing party is more fired up than...

      I actually think that's pretty good messaging. The party in power tends to lose in subsequent elections because their voters stop caring basically, while the opposing party is more fired up than ever.

      Trying to drum up "gotta stop the Trump" is a way to keep your base engaged via fear of Trump. It worked well in Georgia but that was very close to the presidential election and Trump was still doing his best to generate FUD about election fraud.

      2 votes
      1. callmedante
        Link Parent
        If I got that in my mailbox, it would have gone straight into the trash. The verbiage is so pro-Trump/pro-Youngkin, I wouldn't have given it a second thought. Now, take my reaction, but apply it...

        If I got that in my mailbox, it would have gone straight into the trash. The verbiage is so pro-Trump/pro-Youngkin, I wouldn't have given it a second thought.

        Now, take my reaction, but apply it through the lens of someone with polar opposite political views. "This is clearly motivation to get out and vote for Youngkin! Look at how much Trump supports him!" Instead of going in the garbage, it might end up on the dinner table, refrigerator, or wherever the mail goes in the house.

        I'm all for subversive political advertisements that get me to think critically about my positions. This was not that.

        9 votes
  3. Kuromantis
    (edited )
    Link
    How Republicans won the Virginia governorship in a D+10 state That statistic showing this election was 7% whiter than the presidential election can be both interpreted as a silver lining and as a...

    How Republicans won the Virginia governorship in a D+10 state

    Youngkin improved on Trump’s performance with white voters (both men and especially women), who also made up a bigger share of the electorate this year compared to 2020, according to the Virginia exit polls. White Virginians accounted for 74 percent of voters, up from 67 percent last year. In particular, Youngkin did significantly better than Trump among white women with “some college or less,” per the exit polls: He carried that group 75 percent to 25 percent, greatly improving on Trump’s 56 percent to 44 percent performance with them.

    With the sizable shifts toward the GOP across the commonwealth, Virginia’s result wasn’t just about Youngkin, however. One inescapable fact about this election is that it took place in an environment that was favorable to Republicans. There’s no better indicator of that than President Biden’s poor approval rating, which stood at about 43 percent coming into Election Day in FiveThirtyEight’s presidential approval tracker. Republicans were already more likely to show up in reaction to having a Democratic president, and Biden’s struggles likely turned off some independent voters, too, as the exit poll found they went for Youngkin by 9 points, 54 percent to 45 percent.

    Overall, just over 3.3 million Virginians cast a ballot, which works out to around 52 to 53 percent of the voting-eligible population -- record turnout for a modern Virginia governor’s race. If the competitiveness of the 2020 presidential election with the highest turnout since women got the right to vote didn’t convince you that Republicans can benefit as much or even more from high-turnout elections than Democrats, perhaps the Virginia election will be the nail in the coffin for the belief that high turnout is only good for Democrats.

    That statistic showing this election was 7% whiter than the presidential election can be both interpreted as a silver lining and as a worrying sign of black disengagement because Manchin has to get GOP approval to get reelected and thus won't pass anything of value.

    4 votes