19 votes

Matt Levine's Money Stuff: Reddit plans to allow users to buy IPO shares, Nvidia share purchases and Three Arrows Capital [a collapsed crypto company]

22 comments

  1. [8]
    AugustusFerdinand
    Link
    Just got the message on my very old reddit account:

    Just got the message on my very old reddit account:

    Hello,

    TL;DR: – you’re invited to a special program that lets redditors purchase stock at the same price as institutional investors when we IPO. Details about eligibility and next steps follow. This (long, dense) message has all the info we can provide due to legal restrictions.

    As you may have heard, Reddit has taken steps toward becoming a publicly traded company with the initial public filing of our registration statement with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission on February 22, 2024. Yes, it’s happening.

    And because you have helped make Reddit what it is today, you now have the opportunity to become Reddit owners at the same price as institutional investors.

    We’re offering a Directed Share Program (“DSP”) that invites eligible users and moderators who have contributed to Reddit to participate in our initial public offering (“IPO”). (Including you!)

    ######Program Requirements

    While being selected to pre-register is the first step, there are certain legal and regulatory requirements to participate in the DSP that are outside of Reddit’s control. Bear with us here…

    To be eligible for the DSP, you must:

    • Be a current U.S. resident;
    • You will be asked to provide the DSP Administrator a valid social security or permanent resident number, along with other personal information. Reddit will not have access to this data.
    • Please note that U.S. residents using a VPN may face application limitations if the VPN locates them in certain non-U.S. jurisdictions.
    • Be at least 18 years old;
    • Provide your full legal name and an email address;
    • Not be a current or former Reddit employee (FTE).

    When the DSP launches (a few weeks after pre-registration ends), individuals who have been confirmed for the program will be contacted by our external DSP Administrator. You will then be asked to provide additional information securely to the DSP Administrator to confirm your eligibility.

    ######How to pre-register

    The number of people who can participate in the DSP is limited; we will offer this opportunity to as many redditors as we are able to accommodate. If capacity is reached before the deadline, you will be added to the waitlist. Based on demand, we may also limit the number of shares available.

    If you are interested in being part of Reddit’s DSP, please go to https://reddit.com/dsp on desktop to complete the pre-registration form. If you are one of the confirmed participants, we will follow up with an email with more details in the coming weeks. You can also refer to the Frequently Asked Questions for more information. Due to regulatory restrictions (yeah… we know…), we are not able to respond to further inquiries or questions.

    Pre-registering does not guarantee that you will be invited or able to participate in the DSP; it also does not obligate you to purchase shares.

    As with any investment opportunity, you should make an individual decision based on your own personal circumstances and risk tolerance. Therefore, we urge you to review the preliminary prospectus, when available, before deciding whether to invest in Reddit.

    The deadline for pre-registering for the DSP is March 5, 2024. If capacity is reached before the deadline, you will be added to the waitlist.

    ######What happens next?

    While there won’t be a confirmation email immediately after you pre-register, everyone who pre-registers will receive an email in the coming weeks from “noreply@redditmail.com” telling them whether they can proceed with the next steps for the DSP.

    This is an automated message (beep, boop, beep) and does not receive replies. Please refer to the FAQ for more information. Per our lawyercats, we are not able to respond to further inquiries or questions.

    Prospectus and Important Disclosures

    The offering will be made only by means of a prospectus. When
    available, a copy of the preliminary prospectus related to the offering may be obtained from:
    Morgan Stanley & Co. LLC, Prospectus Department, 180 Varick Street, New York, New York 10014, or email: prospectus@morganstanley.com; Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC, Attention: Prospectus Department, 200 West Street, New York, New York 10282, telephone: 1-866-471-2526, facsimile: 212-902-9316, or email: prospectus-ny@ny.email.gs.com; J.P. Morgan Securities LLC, Attention:c/o Broadridge Financial Solutions, 1155 Long Island Avenue, Edgewood, New York 11717, telephone: 1-866-803-9204, or email: prospectus-eq_fi@jpmorgan.com; and BofA Securities, Inc., NC1-022-02-25, 201 North Tryon Street, Charlotte, North Carolina 28255-0001, Attention: Prospectus Department, telephone: 1-800-294-1322, or email: dg.prospectus_requests@bofa.com.

    A registration statement relating to these securities has been filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission but has not yet become effective. These securities may not be sold nor may offers to buy be accepted prior to the time the registration statement becomes effective. This notification shall not constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy these securities, nor shall there be any sale of these securities in any state or jurisdiction in which such offer, solicitation, or sale would be unlawful prior to registration or qualification under the securities laws of any such state or jurisdiction.

    No offer to buy the securities can be accepted and no part of the purchase price can be received until the registration statement has become effective, and any such offer may be withdrawn or revoked, without obligation or commitment of any kind, at any time prior to the notice of its acceptance given after the effective date. An indication of interest in response to this notification will involve no obligation or commitment of any kind.

    22 votes
    1. [5]
      OBLIVIATER
      Link Parent
      I also got invited on my old account, anyone think this is worth riding for a pump and dump? Or is it just a sinking ship

      I also got invited on my old account, anyone think this is worth riding for a pump and dump? Or is it just a sinking ship

      9 votes
      1. [4]
        supergauntlet
        Link Parent
        if I were a betting man I'd short it. but I also don't think it's worth throwing money at in the slightest - T-bill yield is so high that almost nothing else makes sense.

        if I were a betting man I'd short it. but I also don't think it's worth throwing money at in the slightest - T-bill yield is so high that almost nothing else makes sense.

        13 votes
        1. [3]
          OBLIVIATER
          Link Parent
          Good looking out, I had forgotten about T-bills, just threw a good chunk of my savings in there for an 8 week.

          Good looking out, I had forgotten about T-bills, just threw a good chunk of my savings in there for an 8 week.

          2 votes
          1. [2]
            supergauntlet
            Link Parent
            1 month bills are pushing up against 5.5%. I honestly don't understand why anyone is buying anything other than CDs, bond backed funds, bonds themselves, or parking money in a high yield savings...

            1 month bills are pushing up against 5.5%. I honestly don't understand why anyone is buying anything other than CDs, bond backed funds, bonds themselves, or parking money in a high yield savings account.

            3 votes
            1. OBLIVIATER
              Link Parent
              Well people are always looking for a get rich quick scheme, and 5.5% is never going to do much more than just fight inflation. People are chasing those Nvidia/Apple/Tesla gains.

              Well people are always looking for a get rich quick scheme, and 5.5% is never going to do much more than just fight inflation. People are chasing those Nvidia/Apple/Tesla gains.

              5 votes
    2. Sodliddesu
      Link Parent
      I got the same email. I'm curious what their "external DSP Administrator" will use as criteria for who gets in...

      I got the same email. I'm curious what their "external DSP Administrator" will use as criteria for who gets in...

      2 votes
    3. CptBluebear
      Link Parent
      I just received mine too. I'm not from the US so there's no way I can jump in but it would've been nice. Monetization and making your platform awful seems to do wonders for the stock price.

      I just received mine too.

      I'm not from the US so there's no way I can jump in but it would've been nice. Monetization and making your platform awful seems to do wonders for the stock price.

      1 vote
  2. [7]
    nacho
    Link
    If there's truth to this, and 75.000 redditors (who and why that number?) get to buy the IPO, at least some of the "IPO bubble"-demand is taken off market. That's surely a risk both to...

    If there's truth to this, and 75.000 redditors (who and why that number?) get to buy the IPO, at least some of the "IPO bubble"-demand is taken off market. That's surely a risk both to institutional investors in the IPO and regular folks who want to get in early.

    It's also a risk because you've got fewer institutional investors in it for the long term.


    This reads like a move of desperation. Who of the owners today really want their money out of reddit?

    I'm struggling to see other compelling reasons to IPO with interest rates being so high (and everyone predicting they'll go down), unless the investors really just don't think they can make the site profitable and the financial outlook is just getting worse day by day as the least-bad ideas don't work and the company moves onto successively worse ideas.

    15 votes
    1. ignorabimus
      (edited )
      Link Parent
      I mean Reddit have a lot of problems because they want to list, and they also host r/wallstreetbets, everyone's favourite weird stock manipulation/turning the stock market into a place for...

      I mean Reddit have a lot of problems because they want to list, and they also host r/wallstreetbets, everyone's favourite weird stock manipulation/turning the stock market into a place for gambling kind of adventure. Odds are that extremely online Reddit-using meme stock investors will probably trade Reddit shares and chaos will ensue. I guess trying to get some of those people to buy Reddit stock in the IPO gives them a vested interest in doing weird and crazy things to make the stock go up, rather than down.

      12 votes
    2. [5]
      supergauntlet
      Link Parent
      just want to push back on this, while everyone is predicting this the inflation numbers simply do not support it. I think higher rates are here to stay for a while, at least until inflation is...

      I'm struggling to see other compelling reasons to IPO with interest rates being so high (and everyone predicting they'll go down),

      just want to push back on this, while everyone is predicting this the inflation numbers simply do not support it. I think higher rates are here to stay for a while, at least until inflation is actually under control. This might explain why they're making a move like this, maybe they (imo correctly) don't think rates are likely to drop in the next year and they're running low on money to burn.

      8 votes
      1. [4]
        stu2b50
        Link Parent
        They’re actually surprisingly cash flush if you read their s1. $1.2b in cash or cash equivalents and $(85)mm fcf. I’d wager it has something to do with employee retention and their liquidity,...

        They’re actually surprisingly cash flush if you read their s1. $1.2b in cash or cash equivalents and $(85)mm fcf.

        I’d wager it has something to do with employee retention and their liquidity, something all private tech companies that offer stock as a major part of their comp has to deal with.

        3 votes
        1. [3]
          supergauntlet
          Link Parent
          I'd have to look closer at their financial info but this seems very obviously like a bad time to IPO unless there's something forcing them to. And the whole 'letting random redditors invest in...

          I'd have to look closer at their financial info but this seems very obviously like a bad time to IPO unless there's something forcing them to. And the whole 'letting random redditors invest in them before IPO' thing does really reek of desperation. It seems an awful lot like whoever is owning or running reddit wants to find bagholders.

          Do you mean the goal is to transfer reddit employee stock to suckers and let those employees walk away with bigger paychecks? What do you think is forcing them to IPO now?

          7 votes
          1. [2]
            stu2b50
            Link Parent
            No, the goal is to prevent your employees from leaving en masse. Early employees have had a significant portion of their net worth locked up in illiquid assets and would very much like to have...

            No, the goal is to prevent your employees from leaving en masse. Early employees have had a significant portion of their net worth locked up in illiquid assets and would very much like to have liquidity. Additionally, if they issue double trigger RSUs, like many private tech companies do, it's likely that the oldest batch are at risk of expiring. If word gets out that you let double trigger RSUs expire, that's a big blow for your ability to hire talent in the future.

            To some extent trying to "time" your IPO is just as much folly as your average layperson trying to time the market. The process is so long that god knows what the market will look like by the time you actually IPO. Who says that things won't be worse in 6 months?

            We can tell from their S-1 that they're not exactly in need of cash - they have very long runway, by all accounts, with $1.2b in cash or cash equivalents and a fairly low burn rate, at least relative to their cash pile.

            3 votes
            1. supergauntlet
              Link Parent
              I guess I'm confused by this because from google it seems to take 6-9 months to IPO in total which means they've probably only been planning this from some point last year. Did reddit operations...

              I guess I'm confused by this because from google it seems to take 6-9 months to IPO in total which means they've probably only been planning this from some point last year. Did reddit operations staff get caught up in rate cut mania that hard?

              Additionally, if they issue double trigger RSUs, like many private tech companies do, it's likely that the oldest batch are at risk of expiring.

              Interesting, that makes a lot more sense. If they're likely to expire in the next year or two then they don't really have a choice.

  3. ChingShih
    Link
    Related news: Reddit files to list IPO on NYSE under the ticker RDDT On TV they also added (to the best of my transcription abilities): Net income for the quarter ending Dec 31st is $18+ million....

    Related news: Reddit files to list IPO on NYSE under the ticker RDDT

    The social media company ... has raised about $1.3 billion in funding and has a post valuation of $10 billion.

    Reddit said it has incurred net losses since its inception. It reported a net loss of $90.8 million for the year ended Dec. 31, 2023, compared to a net loss of $158.6 million the year prior.

    On TV they also added (to the best of my transcription abilities):

    Net income for the quarter ending Dec 31st is $18+ million. ~$250 million in revenue over those 3 months. 73 million daily active unique users. 267.5 million weekly active unique users. The usual big banks are underwriting Reddit's IPO.

    7 votes
  4. [2]
    Comment deleted by author
    Link
    1. ignorabimus
      Link Parent
      I mean I'm here for the ride, for me personally this promises a lot of entertainment value. Sometimes when the world is so absurd I think one has to laugh at it.

      I mean I'm here for the ride, for me personally this promises a lot of entertainment value. Sometimes when the world is so absurd I think one has to laugh at it.

      3 votes
  5. [4]
    llehsadam
    Link
    Headline got my attention, but the paywall stopped me from reading further. I know Steve Huffman was considering this for a couple years now (talked to him when he was in Germany)… I’m surprised...

    Headline got my attention, but the paywall stopped me from reading further.

    I know Steve Huffman was considering this for a couple years now (talked to him when he was in Germany)… I’m surprised they are still considering this after the backlash recently. I don’t know if they’ll have another GameStop moment here, it’ll probably be the opposite.

    6 votes
    1. stu2b50
      Link Parent
      Why would they? If nothing else they likely would have issues with employee retention if they remained private.

      Why would they? If nothing else they likely would have issues with employee retention if they remained private.

      2 votes
  6. Caelum
    Link
    I guess my 10yr old lurker account wasn’t enough to make the list.

    I guess my 10yr old lurker account wasn’t enough to make the list.

    2 votes