nacho's recent activity

  1. Comment on After 9/11, Americans gave up privacy for security. Will we make the same trade-off after COVID-19? in ~tech

    nacho
    Link Parent
    You're onto something interesting here. Additionally, Americans seem very willing to give away plenty of sensitive data to corporations that demonstrably misuse that information way more than the...

    You're onto something interesting here.

    Additionally, Americans seem very willing to give away plenty of sensitive data to corporations that demonstrably misuse that information way more than the government.

    Those who've been trying to propagate the view that giving information to those who want to make money off it is perfectly fine, but giving it to the government is really a terrible, inexcusably bad thing have managed very well. That split isn't nearly as clear in the societies in Europe I know well.

    That's part of creating the whole view that government-run things are bad, and government is bad, while private completely profit-focused business is good. It's disheartening to see how pervasive or even "natural" view that is among many.

    12 votes
  2. Comment on What games have you been playing, and what's your opinion on them? in ~games

    nacho
    (edited )
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    I haven't had the time to play myself, but I've watched som folks play the new Mount & Blade II: Bannerlord. It looks like it's going to be an incredible game in 6 months or so when it's out of...

    I haven't had the time to play myself, but I've watched som folks play the new Mount & Blade II: Bannerlord.

    It looks like it's going to be an incredible game in 6 months or so when it's out of early access and everything works. So far the development team have released a patch with significant fixes every day in the 6 days since first release.

    3 votes
  3. Comment on How ‘never Bernie’ voters threw in with Biden and changed the primary in ~misc

    nacho
    Link Parent
    I think you're 100% on the money here. I think many people go even further: The decades of voting history many Sanders' supporters tout as a strong and good record, unwavering principles and being...

    If Sanders was elected president tomorrow that wouldn't mean a single one of his ideas becomes effect. He could be given a Democratic Senate and there is still going to be an incredible uphill battle to get any major changes through the system.
    Voters still have to consider which candidate will be the most effective within the political system we have. Like it or not Sanders has not proven himself on that matter, Biden is the clear cut winner there.

    I think you're 100% on the money here. I think many people go even further:

    The decades of voting history many Sanders' supporters tout as a strong and good record, unwavering principles and being on the right side of history, betray his lack of political ability to get things done.

    Sanders has for decades showed he's unwilling to compromise to change the law for the better because those suggested compromises aren't perfectly in line with his primary political standpoint.

    Being president is all about brokering compromise to get laws enacted. Sanders has proven he's actively unwilling to do what it takes to be successful within the US political system. For decades. Why will this man in his late 70s suddenly change if he gets into office and become a master pragmatist? He won't.

    6 votes
  4. Comment on The new U.S. stimulus bill is massive, but it might not be enough in ~finance

    nacho
    Link Parent
    But there's also the tech bubble valuations and the pump-and-dump Trump economic policy to build short-term gains for reelection at long-term costs.

    But there's also the tech bubble valuations and the pump-and-dump Trump economic policy to build short-term gains for reelection at long-term costs.

    5 votes
  5. Comment on The new U.S. stimulus bill is massive, but it might not be enough in ~finance

    nacho
    Link Parent
    I'd wait/ am waiting for the pandemic to hit the US full force. Four arguments: It's hard to overestimate the psychological impact of local people or loved ones dying on TV because of missing...

    I'd wait/ am waiting for the pandemic to hit the US full force. Four arguments:

    • It's hard to overestimate the psychological impact of local people or loved ones dying on TV because of missing health care (see Italy).

    • I think the US-specific phenomenon of increasing medical bankruptcies and reduction in discretionary spending due to health care costs has been hugely understated in media and consequently in the markets once we close in on peak-corona.

    • Trump will have to walk back or go through with re-opening the country way too early. Either way that's going to hurt markets.

    • Liquidity issues of small businesses will hit when bills come due. That's when bankruptcies will start happening and the cycle of more bankruptcies continue. This is when the fact that joblessness will last for a long time manifests itself.

    The market is waiting for at least these four shocks. I'm willing to bet significant amounts of money on the market still having a lot further to go. I'm not looking to invest at the bottom, but further down the decline before things start going up again.

    9 votes
  6. Comment on How trolls on Reddit try to manipulate you (Disinformation and how we beat it) in ~tech

    nacho
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    How much did reddit pay to get all this positive PR on "all the things they're doing" when the admins essentially don't enforce any but the most basic rules on the site, like resolving copyright...

    How much did reddit pay to get all this positive PR on "all the things they're doing" when the admins essentially don't enforce any but the most basic rules on the site, like resolving copyright reports and child pornography reports.

    It's always so disheartening to see that even those who're researchers or "experts" on online sites are so far removed from the actual users of those sites they have no idea what the context is, and what's actually happening.

    Like all those investors, it's easy to believe all those fancy words being thrown at you by these large companies and their really professional press teams. They also insulate themselves so much and comment so rarely, that people go way too far just to get a comment and then don't critically evaluate those comments, but just regurgitate them.


    To use just one example: I'd much rather have those "surveillance cameras on every street corner" that admins enforcing sitewide rules would somehow be (wut?), than having the "neighborhood watch" of random internet strangers as mods removing whatever at their own discretion without any oversight.

    Reddit removing 30 million obvious "buy my t-shirt [link]" comments and other super-mega-obvious spam automatically every 3 months isn't anywhere near "proactively dealing with disinformation" or "walking a fine line of removing too much"


    The tips he has for interacting with people online, deescalating, calling out attacks on random internet strangers rather than discussing whatever topic is at hand and so forth are good pieces of advice.

    But the warped image of how reddit is, and how well the admins are doing their job is dangerous. It normalizes an extremely toxic environment that is the first contribution and interaction millions of young people have with public discourse.

    9 votes
  7. Comment on YouTube's copyright system isn't broken. The world's is in ~tech

    nacho
    Link Parent
    Not at all! It implies that if you're to spend thousands of hours in perfecting a cerebral craft, whether that's in music, in science, perfecting an invention, writing a book, research or whatever...

    This line of logic really bothers me. It implies that people do art and research out of greed rather than interest

    Not at all!

    It implies that if you're to spend thousands of hours in perfecting a cerebral craft, whether that's in music, in science, perfecting an invention, writing a book, research or whatever else, you don't have time to work a job on top of that.

    The reason Socrates could became a philosopher was because he could do that without worrying about having a roof above his head and getting food. Socrates was part of a tiny elite who didn't have to work.

    Practically every classical composer or painter you've heard of far into the later 1800s could spend time perfecting their craft, either because they had a hugely rich patron (royal) who paid for their work or because they were born into wealth.


    Then the ability to copy others became industrialized. Both in music, books, arts, sciences, research and inventions. The great French writers were almost all producing serials for newspapers because that was the only way they could live off writing. In many cases because if they were to write and publish a book, someone else would just copy the book, print it on their own and the writer wouldn't get paid.

    There's a reason copyright came about. It's because if you can't live off your intellectual work, you can't spend the thousands of hours required to push boundaries, create the unique, develop society.


    Reasonable copyright and patent rights are imperative for this part of modern society to function. I repeat myself: The current corporate ownership and duration of corporate intellectual rights are broken, not the concept of copyright or patents. We have to be able to separate those two things from one-another.

    6 votes
  8. Comment on YouTube's copyright system isn't broken. The world's is in ~tech

    nacho
    Link Parent
    There'd be no incentive to research, invent, develop, create and so on if someone else can just come in to reap all the benefits. Without copyright or patents we get no movies, no music, no news,...

    There'd be no incentive to research, invent, develop, create and so on if someone else can just come in to reap all the benefits.

    Without copyright or patents we get no movies, no music, no news, no books and so on. If you can't live off doing those things, you can't spend your life perfecting how to do those things.

    Corporate ownership and the length of rights and some types of things that can be protected as intellectual property is broken in the US and many other places. The concept itself is essential to the fabric of culture in our societies. And consumer protections like hindering dangerous forgeries/replicas of medicines etc.

    I'd love to hear your arguments for how society could function without patents of copyrights. I can't imagine a modern society functioning well without them.

    5 votes
  9. Comment on Sam Smith - Writing's On The Wall (from Spectre) in ~music

    nacho
    Link Parent
    I love this song. The Billie Eilish one just feels like a rip-off of recent Bond songs without anything really new, imo. And generally Eilish has what I'd consider an almost perfect voice for a...

    I love this song. The Billie Eilish one just feels like a rip-off of recent Bond songs without anything really new, imo. And generally Eilish has what I'd consider an almost perfect voice for a Bond song. I was so hyped when I heard she was doing it, then so disappointed when the song came.

    1 vote
  10. Comment on China bans journalists from the New York Times, Washington Post and Wall Street Journal in retaliation for state media restrictions by the Trump administration in ~news

    nacho
    Link Parent
    According to WP there are only around 75 US journalists in China total. China has previously expelled three WP journalists for their "racist" essay where they criticized the Chinese...

    U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo disputed the comparison between the U.S. and Chinese actions, telling reporters in Washington that they enjoy press freedoms that don't exist in China.

    “The individuals that we identified a few weeks back were not media that were acting here freely," he said. “They were part of Chinese propaganda outlets. We’ve identified these as foreign missions under American law. These aren’t apples to apples, and I regret China’s decision today to further foreclose the world’s ability to conduct free press operations."

    The U.S. announced earlier this month that five state-controlled Chinese media outlets would be restricted to 100 visas. It cited increasingly harsh surveillance, harassment and intimidation of American and other foreign journalists working in China.

    The Chinese outlets, which employ about 160 Chinese citizens in the U.S., include the official Xinhua News Agency and China Global Television Network, or CGTN, the overseas arm of state broadcaster CCTV.

    By designating the five Chinese media companies as foreign missions, the U.S. government required them to register their properties and employees in the United States. The State Department said that was to recognize “they are effectively controlled” by the Chinese government.

    According to WP there are only around 75 US journalists in China total.

    China has previously expelled three WP journalists for their "racist" essay where they criticized the Chinese corona-response.

    That's some context on how unequal these actions in fact are.

    6 votes
  11. Comment on Icelandic prime minister Katrin Jakobsdóttir wants to introduce a well-being economy – GDP becomes merely one of 39 indicators of national progress in ~life

    nacho
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    I believe it's a real issue that GDP is used as a short-hand for national progress. There are large issues with GDP, how different countries report GDP in sneaky ways to entice investors and...

    I believe it's a real issue that GDP is used as a short-hand for national progress.

    There are large issues with GDP, how different countries report GDP in sneaky ways to entice investors and others to view their economy as attractive, and how different measure of GDP don't actually make them directly comparable statistics.

    As a short-hand, the measure is effective and useful. Just like The Economist's Big Mac index of informally measuring purchasing power parity (PPP) and consequently currency valuations.


    As I see it, the real issue is that media and others only evaluate the success of countries based on GDP-related statistics. And that GDP is used too many places where it isn't relevant.

    We need more uniform measurements of both the economies of the world, but also other aspects of society to measure countries by. To me happiness indexes, poverty indexes, education parameters, measures of equality and inequality, of development, population health, just to mention a few different categories, and international attention and standardization of those measures could lead to the betterment of billions of lives.

    7 votes
  12. Comment on China bans journalists from the New York Times, Washington Post and Wall Street Journal in retaliation for state media restrictions by the Trump administration in ~news

    nacho
    Link Parent
    No, there's a huge difference between calling an arm of actual state media state media, and calling independent outlets the same. NYT, WP and WSJ don't produce propaganda the same way actual...

    No, there's a huge difference between calling an arm of actual state media state media, and calling independent outlets the same. NYT, WP and WSJ don't produce propaganda the same way actual Chinese state media does.

    Yes, it's irresponsible to antagonize needlessly, but we cannot equate that we the following escalation.

    If democracies stop living up to their values in relation to China in fear of retaliation and escalation from Beijing, China is accomplishing the exact censure they wish to have the power to impose.

    This does mean that over-reacting to China (or other authoritarian states) where it isn't necessary is less than smart, but two wrongs don't make a right, or justify the greater wrong.

    17 votes
  13. Comment on What novel things can people do from home? in ~life

    nacho
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    Call and catch up with friends and family. Not only is the corona-situation a good excuse to call people I haven't spoken with in too long, but I can use that opportunity to catch up with...

    Call and catch up with friends and family.

    Not only is the corona-situation a good excuse to call people I haven't spoken with in too long, but I can use that opportunity to catch up with everything pre-corona with them as well.

    8 votes
  14. Comment on Is this unprecedented? in ~health.coronavirus

    nacho
    Link Parent
    There are a number of things we don't know because this virus is novel. Therefore these speculations on duration are just that - speculation. Is covid-19 like a cold, that you can get another one...

    There are a number of things we don't know because this virus is novel. Therefore these speculations on duration are just that - speculation.

    Is covid-19 like a cold, that you can get another one after a few weeks, or more like a flu, where you get resistance for months? Does wave 2 come where people who've already been sick get sick again?

    What about mutations? This is a novel strain. Does it mutate quickly or not? Do these mutations get tackled by immunity from previous strains? Will future vaccines work like ones we take a couple of times in our lives, or like seasonal vaccines we have to take every seaon?

    There are so many unknowns this is all guesswork. We hardly know what the world will look like in a month, much less in 3 months or longer.

    8 votes
  15. Comment on Andrew Yang endorses Joe Biden in ~news

    nacho
    Link Parent
    Like he did in 2016, which meant that the party didn't unite behind Clinton, which likely led to Trump's election. I'm not saying Trump's Sanders' fault alone, but in attempting to push Clinton to...

    Like he did in 2016, which meant that the party didn't unite behind Clinton, which likely led to Trump's election.

    I'm not saying Trump's Sanders' fault alone, but in attempting to push Clinton to the left, he clearly and unambiguously helped Trump, who ended up winning the election.

    Sanders has a history going back decades of being unwilling or unable to compromise or play politics as a team sport. He will show that yet again this primary season it seems.

    If the Democrats are to win, they need to be a team. The non-nominee between Sanders and Biden needs to be in a position to campaign for that candidate when they suspend their campaign if they're serious about how bad they say Trump is for the country.

    4 votes
  16. Comment on Oil prices just fell 31% (and counting) with single biggest drop since Gulf War in ~finance

    nacho
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    What's interesting to me this time around is how low interest rates are already, and how this will all combine with lower trade due to covid-19. I'd guess that things are still going to go down...

    What's interesting to me this time around is how low interest rates are already, and how this will all combine with lower trade due to covid-19.

    I'd guess that things are still going to go down because both the virus spread and the helplessness of governments in the face of this OPEC-Russia conflict haven't fully manifested.

    This will surely be a defining issue in elections and politics for the next several months at the very least.

    4 votes
  17. Comment on TV Tuesdays Free Talk in ~tv

    nacho
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    I was looking forward to The Sinner's third season a lot. The first one was so unique, then the second one was totally different. Three episodes into season 3 I've given up. Either I've moved on,...

    I was looking forward to The Sinner's third season a lot. The first one was so unique, then the second one was totally different.

    Three episodes into season 3 I've given up. Either I've moved on, or it's gotten way less interesting on the psychological level. Now it seems to be just another crime/mystery show.


    At the other end of the scale, I was super suprised by the documentary series McMillions about the cheating scandal in McDonald's monopoly promotion where you'd win money for getting rare monopoly cards.

    The folks interviewed are just entertaining and the story is way more interesting than I'd remembered from articles I've read previously.

    Would recommend.

    3 votes
  18. Comment on Saint-Saëns: Cello Concerto No. 1 in A minor, Op. 33 ∙ hr-Sinfonieorchester ∙ Gautier Capuçon ∙ Alain Altinoglu in ~music

    nacho
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    What an absolutely incredible performance. I had this on in the background and completely forgot that this was a live performance and not a recording made by selecting the best run through after x...

    What an absolutely incredible performance.

    I had this on in the background and completely forgot that this was a live performance and not a recording made by selecting the best run through after x takes.

    Thanks for sharing!

    1 vote
  19. Comment on Opinion: The unspoken truth about managing geeks in ~comp

    nacho
    Link Parent
    I got that vibe too. Going beyond that, I still think this point is also true and important: The managerial issues involved in many of the industries and companies "geeks" are stereotypically...

    I got that vibe too.

    Going beyond that, I still think this point is also true and important:

    It turns out that it is the conditions that are stereotypical, and the IT pros tend to react to those conditions in logical ways. To say it a different way, organizations actively elicit these stereotypical negative behaviors.

    The managerial issues involved in many of the industries and companies "geeks" are stereotypically numerous in are a huge issue.

    That goes for academia just as much as it goes for tech companies. It doesn't absolve people for being hard to deal with and unwilling to do anything about that.

    5 votes
  20. Comment on How would you reduce speeding by car drivers? in ~talk

    nacho
    Link Parent
    This. Average speed measuring has been so effective in some tunnels in Norway that the populist Progress party in Norway voted to limit the use for reasons. You don't drive too fast if you get...

    This.

    Average speed measuring has been so effective in some tunnels in Norway that the populist Progress party in Norway voted to limit the use for reasons.

    You don't drive too fast if you get fined for doing so. You adhere to the speed limits, and that's not something their electorate wanted.

    Immediately after the Progress party left government earlier this year, the Christian folk party, who got the transport ministry, said they'd reverse the Progress party stop of more average speed measurements. Because they work.

    4 votes