charbon_de_bois's recent activity

  1. Comment on What are you playing this week? in ~games

    charbon_de_bois Link
    I've been playing Sekiro. I wasn't sure I could do it but I've played enough hard games to realize that you're going to lose a lot. It's been a ton of fun honestly.

    I've been playing Sekiro. I wasn't sure I could do it but I've played enough hard games to realize that you're going to lose a lot. It's been a ton of fun honestly.

    1 vote
  2. Comment on What have you been watching/reading this week? in ~anime

    charbon_de_bois Link Parent
    I agree, but it's definitely the stuff before it that made it so worthwhile. The character development in HxH is soulcrushingly good.

    I agree, but it's definitely the stuff before it that made it so worthwhile.

    The character development in HxH is soulcrushingly good.

  3. Comment on What have you been watching/reading this week? in ~anime

    charbon_de_bois Link Parent
    Keep watching after that if you can. The election + Alluka story arcs are fantastic as well.

    Keep watching after that if you can. The election + Alluka story arcs are fantastic as well.

    2 votes
  4. Comment on What are the good ways to deal with situations when a generally good person believes in things like astrology and conspiracy theories? in ~talk

    charbon_de_bois Link Parent
    Astrology is so difficult to disprove to people that believe in it because it requires that belief to confirm its validity. It's really just a written form of cold reading. You believe half of...

    Astrology is so difficult to disprove to people that believe in it because it requires that belief to confirm its validity. It's really just a written form of cold reading. You believe half of what they say and discard the other half because it's not for you. Check this out:

    "Others' ambiguous comments will start to get on your nerves today -- why won't they just come out and say what they mean? If you want to get to the truth about what they think, then today you need to come right out and ask them. They might be surprised by your boldness, but they can't deny that they're wasting your time. If they still clam up, then it's a sure sign that they aren't worth the patience you're giving them. It may be time to move on as soon as you can."

    This is from an astrology website and I won't tell you which sign it's about. If we actually dissect this, it's really just a good educated guess (ambiguous comments can be irritating) followed up by advice on how to deal with that situation. It's super generalized --- but if this happened to you today you'd be hooked.

    There in lies the problem -- the more you believe it the more effective it is. I used to believe in astrology (not the crazy deep stuff about transients and pseudo-religious things) but I realized that it's just super general statements that are occasionally true. When they are, it reads like an advice column. When taken at face value in this sense it can be a net positive, but imagine if you woke up reading this statement and believed it to describe your future --

    You would be intentionally looking for ambiguous comments because you believed it was going to happen.

    Whether you followed the advice or not and whether it actually helped you would be up to the situation. In this sense, astrology isn't patently wrong, it's just framed as future-predicting sage advice. In reality it's just cold reading with a hint of suggestion. In this case, it could damage the relationship by the callous behavior of the last two lines. If you read the advice at best it would be -- "Is someone not giving you straight answers? Ask for clarification"

    Now the mental gymnastics it takes to think someone can predict the future and believe astrology is evidence? That's the kool aid talking.

    2 votes