derekiscool's recent activity
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Comment on Half-Life 2 20th anniversary update in ~games
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Comment on Where does your username come from? (Following up on last year's thread) in ~tildes
derekiscool Your username is also the nickname of Formula 1 driver Esteban Ocon, aka Estie BestieYour username is also the nickname of Formula 1 driver Esteban Ocon, aka Estie Bestie
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Comment on Where does your username come from? (Following up on last year's thread) in ~tildes
derekiscool My name is Derek, and I think I'm pretty cool. May or may not be true depending on who you ask, but hey, positive reinforcement :)My name is Derek, and I think I'm pretty cool. May or may not be true depending on who you ask, but hey, positive reinforcement :)
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Comment on How the Trump Whale correctly called the US election in ~society
derekiscool I agree that polymarket doesn't have any more credibility in this scenario. Honestly, I suspect it's slightly more accurate prediction has more to do with bias in the user base than anything. And...I agree that polymarket doesn't have any more credibility in this scenario. Honestly, I suspect it's slightly more accurate prediction has more to do with bias in the user base than anything.
And that probability isn't useful in this scenario. All it really applies to is predicting the accuracy of the polls since, for all intents and purposes, the outcome of the election is pre-determined by the voters.
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Comment on What is happening outside the US? in ~talk
derekiscool Wow, that's a crazy stat. I think this really highlights how hyper-reactive society is today. The parties in power are being blamed for rising costs across the board, even if they've handled it...Wow, that's a crazy stat. I think this really highlights how hyper-reactive society is today. The parties in power are being blamed for rising costs across the board, even if they've handled it well, its not their fault, or opposition is going to make it worse
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Comment on 2024 United States election megathread in ~society
derekiscool Republicans only strategy is to play dirty, it's infuriating. They did the same thing in Ohio with the anti-gerrymandering amendment (even worse actually.) Regardless, I know it's a long shot, but...Republicans only strategy is to play dirty, it's infuriating. They did the same thing in Ohio with the anti-gerrymandering amendment (even worse actually.)
Regardless, I know it's a long shot, but I'm really hopeful this amendment will push Florida over the line for Harris. Even in red states, abortion bans are deeply unpopular.
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Comment on AI is killing remote work in ~tech
derekiscool Yeah I have to agree with you. This guy is spewing total garbage. As a software engineer for a company that has virtually unlimited access to the latest AI tools, I can honestly say it's made very...Yeah I have to agree with you. This guy is spewing total garbage.
As a software engineer for a company that has virtually unlimited access to the latest AI tools, I can honestly say it's made very little difference in dev time.
It's nowhere near understanding the complexity and interdependencies of large codebases. All it's good for is spitting out small chunks of code that you have to double check anyway. It won't help you solve any of the difficult problems which end up taking most of the time.
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Comment on Billions in election bets are raising the stakes in the US presidential race in ~society
derekiscool I really don't like this, to be honest. There's already way too much money in politics, and while this isn't really "in" politics in the same way as PACs or "speaking gigs", it still adds another...I really don't like this, to be honest. There's already way too much money in politics, and while this isn't really "in" politics in the same way as PACs or "speaking gigs", it still adds another layer of financial stakes that don't consider the best interest of the average citizen.
I don't have any knowledge of the legal arguments for one side or the other, but from a purely ideological perspective, it feels like another straw on the back of democracy.
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Comment on <deleted topic> in ~tv
derekiscool Totally agree. Nothing irks me more than the fact that paramount has, inarguably, one of the most iconic and impactful cinematic universes ever and does nothing but pump out mediocre generic...Totally agree. Nothing irks me more than the fact that paramount has, inarguably, one of the most iconic and impactful cinematic universes ever and does nothing but pump out mediocre generic sci-fi, at best. Or, more frequently, total garbage.
It really feels like whoever is making the decisions behind the scenes has never actually watched anything pre-Abrams Star Trek.
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Comment on Windows 11 now shows a full-screen pop-up to use OneDrive and protect your PC in ~tech
derekiscool Fully expanded task bar names should be an option now. I believe it was added a while back due to overwhelming requestFully expanded task bar names should be an option now. I believe it was added a while back due to overwhelming request
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Comment on US President Joe Biden announces that he will not run for re-election in ~news
derekiscool That's still near toss-up range to be fair. Last election, Trump had similar odds in his model and only lost by just over 100k votes combined in the 4 states that ended up deciding the election,...That's still near toss-up range to be fair. Last election, Trump had similar odds in his model and only lost by just over 100k votes combined in the 4 states that ended up deciding the election, despite losing the popular vote by 7 million.
If he hadn't sabotaged his own voters by deciding you shouldn't protect yourself from covid, he very likely could have won.
Not that it matters anymore, since we're in a completely different ballgame with Harris almost certainly the new nominee.
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Comment on US President Joe Biden announces that he will not run for re-election in ~news
derekiscool The betting markets didn't predict Biden stepping down. The changes were in response to a massively increasing pressure campaign for Biden to step down. There's no "prediction" involved - just...The betting markets didn't predict Biden stepping down. The changes were in response to a massively increasing pressure campaign for Biden to step down.
There's no "prediction" involved - just people seeing the possibility of Biden stepping down as more likely as more and more pressure was mounted by his own party and gambling that it was going to happen.
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Comment on US President Joe Biden announces that he will not run for re-election in ~news
derekiscool Betting markets are the wisdom of a very specific subset of crowds. Not very many people place bets on political results, and those that do are not representative of the US population as a whole....Betting markets are the wisdom of a very specific subset of crowds. Not very many people place bets on political results, and those that do are not representative of the US population as a whole.
Betting markets can in no way predict the outcome of major political contests, regardless of whether or not experts weigh in. There are far too many unknown variables at play.
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Comment on US President Joe Biden announces that he will not run for re-election in ~news
derekiscool I had the same thoughts as you originally, but seeing the amount of support and donations for Harris in the last 24 hours genuinely changed my thoughts. I don't see Harris doing any worse than...I had the same thoughts as you originally, but seeing the amount of support and donations for Harris in the last 24 hours genuinely changed my thoughts.
I don't see Harris doing any worse than Biden would have, and she has more room to grow upwards. How many people who were realistically going to vote for Biden won't vote for Harris? There aren't any valuable polls yet, obviously, but logically that voter would be exceedingly rare.
There's also the fact that age was a serious issue for many with both Trump and Biden. Age won't be an issue for Harris.
Personally, I think Harris has a very solid chance. 4 months is plenty of time in today's world to go on a campaign blitz and build up enough support to win enough swing states
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Comment on US President Joe Biden announces that he will not run for re-election in ~news
derekiscool What do betting markets have to do with the likelihood Harris could win?What do betting markets have to do with the likelihood Harris could win?
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Comment on Why not ban left turns on busy streets? in ~transport
derekiscool An EV will get better efficiency in stop&go traffic than highway driving. Regenerative braking recoups a ton of the energyAn EV will get better efficiency in stop&go traffic than highway driving. Regenerative braking recoups a ton of the energy
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Comment on What could be Microsoft's larger game plan or agenda with CoPilot? in ~tech
derekiscool People actually like the product - it's much more user friendly than pouring through search engine results or help documents. The socials media discourse is not what the average person feels I...People actually like the product - it's much more user friendly than pouring through search engine results or help documents.
The socials media discourse is not what the average person feels
I don't think they have an endgame other than trying to capitalize on a good product and get early dominance in the AI "assistant" market
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Comment on GPT-4o in ~tech
derekiscool They did indeed fake it. They stated in the video description, "lactency has been reduced...for the sake of brevity" - which is a wild understatement. They also very heavily implied that the AI...They did indeed fake it. They stated in the video description, "lactency has been reduced...for the sake of brevity" - which is a wild understatement. They also very heavily implied that the AI was responding to the users voice and photo inputs in real-time, when in reality the whole thing was done manually and "reconstructed" into a smooth video.
Instead, the real demo was constructed from “still image frames from the footage, and prompting via text.”
Whether or not you consider this "faking it," it is undeniably intentionally misleading viewers. They were just using ordinary text and image inputs, but implying real-time conversation with an AI
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Comment on GPT-4o in ~tech
derekiscool Scratch this - I was reading what they used to do. Apparently it is speech to speech.According to OpenAI's site - it uses 3 different models in a pipeline.- The first model is a simple model to transcribe your voice to text.
- The second model to take the input text and reply with output text
- The third model to take the output text and convert it to auduo.Scratch this - I was reading what they used to do. Apparently it is speech to speech.
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Comment on GPT-4o in ~tech
derekiscool This looks like what Google tried to fake a few months back with their "demo" on YouTube - wondering if Google had some insider info and tried to steal some of OpenAI's thunder. They tried the...This looks like what Google tried to fake a few months back with their "demo" on YouTube - wondering if Google had some insider info and tried to steal some of OpenAI's thunder.
They tried the exact same thing with Bing AI previously
I love that valve does things like this! Especially excited about the addition of the workshop. Although I have to admit, I'm annoyed because I literally 100%ed the base game a few days ago. Guess I gotta hop back in and 100% the episodes as well