mordae's recent activity
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Comment on Young adults in the US are increasingly wary of AI, concerned it will take jobs in ~tech
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Comment on Young adults in the US are increasingly wary of AI, concerned it will take jobs in ~tech
mordae Link ParentTech companies laying off software developers is laughably stupid idea. They are best positioned to automate work elsewhere, they can already deliver software and very often hardware. They should...Tech companies laying off software developers is laughably stupid idea.
They are best positioned to automate work elsewhere, they can already deliver software and very often hardware. They should be gently spinning out more companies to build more automation, not lose competent professionals. :-D
Also, they've reportedy re-hired about same levels as before.
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Comment on Young adults in the US are increasingly wary of AI, concerned it will take jobs in ~tech
mordae Link ParentOh, they won't be firing people (save for posing idiot managers who absolutely randomly will). They just won't hire as many. In aggregate. Which will slowly erode wages by itself.Oh, they won't be firing people (save for posing idiot managers who absolutely randomly will). They just won't hire as many. In aggregate. Which will slowly erode wages by itself.
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Comment on Young adults in the US are increasingly wary of AI, concerned it will take jobs in ~tech
mordae Link ParentThe jobs are going away. Young people will simply have increasingly hard time getting on board as older professionals could do more themselves. I expect up to 50% reduction. We need to radically...The jobs are going away. Young people will simply have increasingly hard time getting on board as older professionals could do more themselves. I expect up to 50% reduction.
We need to radically extend education. Say another 3 years basically to train people to the level when they are actually productive in a job where they steer an automation instead of going through the motions themselves.
And not just from LLMs for knowledge workers. All kinds of software and hardware automating so much work. Think cleaning robot fleets in offices and hotels. Automatic lawn mowers in parks. Fully automated production lines everywhere. All needing just a fraction of current staff.
The productivity will go through the roof in next 30 years as most of the means of production will get an automatic or semi-automatic operation capability.
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Comment on Young adults in the US are increasingly wary of AI, concerned it will take jobs in ~tech
mordae Link Parent20% white collar job reduction (and associated overall wage decline) would ripple through the economy as a relatively wealthy group of people won't suddenly order kitchens renovated, houses built,...20% white collar job reduction (and associated overall wage decline) would ripple through the economy as a relatively wealthy group of people won't suddenly order kitchens renovated, houses built, cars made, vacations spent, meals cooked, kids educated and so on.
Western voters are very much not ready for the level of socialism required to deal with this. Many, many people will suffer. I expect slums near big cities.
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Comment on Luigi Mangione pleads guilty to federal stalking charges in the killing of UnitedHealthcare CEO in ~news
mordae Link ParentIt would be better to take to the streets and announce immediate general strike and that you will occupy key public institutions and imprison given set of people (typically lawmakers, elected...It would be better to take to the streets and announce immediate general strike and that you will occupy key public institutions and imprison given set of people (typically lawmakers, elected officials and billionaires) unless wealth cap of $10M is implemented by the next tuesday and any attempts to prevent that by civilians, police or military will be met with deadly force as a necessary self defense.
Leave the first shot to them.
One can dream. At least vote for Bernie's friends, please.
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Comment on GOG confirm they are working towards GOG Galaxy on Linux in ~games
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Comment on France becomes the first EU country to ban social media for children in ~tech
mordae Link ParentPhone, messages, emergency services, wikipedia, translation, dictionary, vocabulary memorization aids, maps, weather, public service announcements, public transport fares, school schedule, school...Phone, messages, emergency services, wikipedia, translation, dictionary, vocabulary memorization aids, maps, weather, public service announcements, public transport fares, school schedule, school email, personal email, family calendar, family shopping list, music, audiobooks, regular books, camera, photo gallery, microphone with recorder...
Yeah, sure, 15yo kids would not benefit from a smartphone.
/sThe problem is that phone platforms want everyone to be completely exposed to capitalism, not help people.
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Comment on Unreleased OpenAI model escapes containment and hacks into Hugging Face in ~tech
mordae (edited )Link ParentThey are making fun of you, but the problem is that receiving information by definition changes the recipient and it is genuinely hard to ensure recipient is only changed in certain ways. Take...They are making fun of you, but the problem is that receiving information by definition changes the recipient and it is genuinely hard to ensure recipient is only changed in certain ways.
Take writing incoming information to memory. Where in the memory? There is already the recipients internal state in that memory, so how do we prevent mixing them up? You segment them, OK, but how do you ensure your segmentation holds?
Then you start converting the information. Say from sequence of bytes in memory to a number. There are all kinds of corner cases. Sometimes code assumes number has a sign (+/-) but later assumes it does not (always +) to get 2x as big positive range. Same bits are being interpreted in different ways, which leaves space for mistakes. Check it is not bigger than 5 (it is -5 so good), then interpret as unsigned and you have received (2^64 - 5) and trust it to be safe.
When we process that information and not just pass it along, e.g. to interpret it, how do we ensure we only follow safe instructions in it?
What if it asks to access something restricted, but puts it a way programmer knew was safe, but was later extended to be a tiny bit unsafe while nobody noticed that other parts of the software were relying on it being always safe..?
Stuff like that.
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Comment on Unreleased OpenAI model escapes containment and hacks into Hugging Face in ~tech
mordae (edited )Link ParentUnless you physically do not connect the device to Internet and prevent all human access to the room, there is always non zero chance of escape that increases by roughly square root of the system...Unless you physically do not connect the device to Internet and prevent all human access to the room, there is always non zero chance of escape that increases by roughly square root of the system standing between attacker and said access.
This is due to physics. Starting with random bit flips due to cosmic rays that accidentally grant the access, through hardware imperfections that might allow reading protected memory via unforeseen interactions or timings of operations, ending with software being imperfect simply because proving it secure is mathematically impossible in certain practical cases.
And on top of that, people make genuine mistakes and large software projects are simply not understood as a whole, because they are so large, so things can interact in unexpected ways. For Linux (or any other practical system for that matter) between attacker and network card, the breach is a matter if when, not if. This is a subject of research into mathematically proven software components. See seL4 to understand the complexity, but tl;dr proving 10k lines of basic kernel with no hardware drivers took 500k lines of proof.
Once you teach the model to find holes, it will start poking the usual suspects common to known security design patterns. And they are usual suspects for a reason.
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Comment on What have you been watching / reading this week? (Anime/Manga) in ~anime
mordae LinkSuper no Ura de Yani Suu Futari (Smoking Behind the Supermarket with You) I have read the manga before and I was very happy to see it animated. The animation, music and direction are all great....Super no Ura de Yani Suu Futari (Smoking Behind the Supermarket with You)
I have read the manga before and I was very happy to see it animated. The animation, music and direction are all great. Highly recommended. I am a non-smoker.
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Comment on Smartphones arrived just before the US fertility rate plunged. One study says it’s a direct cause. in ~health
mordae LinkIts just another thing that makes most people feel like they'd taking care of children alone - without help - and that nobody will accommodate them in case they need to urgently attend to the...Its just another thing that makes most people feel like they'd taking care of children alone - without help - and that nobody will accommodate them in case they need to urgently attend to the children.
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Comment on Who’s buying SpaceX and Anthropic? in ~finance
mordae Linkhttps://m.youtube.com/watch?v=sYA-z0Y8WRQ I am not, and if you live in US, for the love of all that is sacred, please don't buy SpaceX. It will be forced on you via your pension fund and if you...https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=sYA-z0Y8WRQ
I am not, and if you live in US, for the love of all that is sacred, please don't buy SpaceX. It will be forced on you via your pension fund and if you purchase it individually, you will lose even more money.
Watch the video.
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Comment on How has inflation changed your quality of life? in ~finance
mordae Link ParentAt that point they still did not control 100% of land. But yeah, scourge.At that point they still did not control 100% of land. But yeah, scourge.
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Comment on How has inflation changed your quality of life? in ~finance
mordae Link ParentOne could argue that it used to be somewhat more expensive to be a landlord in the past. Hard to evict squatters from 50km distant parcel without a car and digital cadaster.One could argue that it used to be somewhat more expensive to be a landlord in the past. Hard to evict squatters from 50km distant parcel without a car and digital cadaster.
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Comment on How has inflation changed your quality of life? in ~finance
mordae Link ParentIf you save money, you are owed that much work by people being taxed in that money. At least if you believe in MMT, which would be a good idea to if you want to actually talk policy. If you...Keep in mind that "savings" is debt that banks and markets owe to the little people
If you save money, you are owed that much work by people being taxed in that money. At least if you believe in MMT, which would be a good idea to if you want to actually talk policy. If you purchase company shares, you are owed dividends and you are betting somebody will purchase those shared from you down the line, typically.
I don't think markets or banks owe you anything.
Also: "Little People"
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Comment on How has inflation changed your quality of life? in ~finance
mordae (edited )Link ParentNo, rent in big city was expensive because the neoliberal cultists have sold all municipal apartments away (as well as municipal water and other assets) and proceeded to build zero new ones. Then...No, rent in big city was expensive because the neoliberal cultists have sold all municipal apartments away (as well as municipal water and other assets) and proceeded to build zero new ones. Then proceeded to allow foreigners park their wealth by buying up the housing supply (not even bothering to rent and definitely not live in it), and then to make it extra insane allowed landlords to chain mortgages to buy up property and use half of it for Airbnb. And then allowed landlords to keep increasing prices at 2× wage growth levels for over a decade. And then watched developers postpone projects every time prices have stabilized.
This was a clear failure of governance, not a natural phenomenon.
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Comment on How has inflation changed your quality of life? in ~finance
mordae LinkWe have moved away from a large city and I now work 100% remotely. I lucked out and the people I work with are OK with this and our clients are no wiser as all meetings are online anyway. I am...We have moved away from a large city and I now work 100% remotely. I lucked out and the people I work with are OK with this and our clients are no wiser as all meetings are online anyway. I am able to put in more hours, which means my revenue went up a tiny bit and our costs fell quite a bit. We pay zero rent as we are living in my wife's parents house now. It's a separate unit, but they are very nice and we cook and eat together quite often. After many years in a city we are finally saving something every month.
This would be impossible were I not a software developer. Regional job offers I might be forced to accept otherwise, typically in manufacturing, would net me not even half of what I am making now. I have no idea how people get by here. Well, that's a lie. That are frugal and do not rent. Municipal apartment rents are very low here, too. When I look back how much have I been paying for all those years... Landlords truly are the scourge of our times.
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Comment on How has inflation changed your quality of life? in ~finance
mordae LinkInflation is extremely good thing. It basically slowly decays all debt. Without it, people have routinely had to sold themselves into slavery. The first solution to that issue was periodic debt...Inflation is extremely good thing. It basically slowly decays all debt. Without it, people have routinely had to sold themselves into slavery. The first solution to that issue was periodic debt forgiveness, e.g. when a new monarch has gotten crowned. I'd argue doing a little bit every year is smoother.
What is worrisome is that our power to negotiate fair share of produce diminishes every year. Normally when company has more expenses -- say it has to pay more for electric power -- they raise prices. Now obviously workers have more expenses, so it would follow they would ask for a rise, too.
Some employers try to argue that the worker does not deserve a rise, because they are not better at the job than they were say last year. Curiously a lot of employees find that hard to argue with. I would recommend replying: "OK. In what ways have the electric power improved since last year? Because it has gotten the raise."
So what's left then is the naked truth. Unless you can credibly threaten to withdraw your work from the employer -- much like the power company can withdraw the electric power deliveries -- you are screwed.
Either you accept that this is the reality and find others to bargain collectively with, or you stick to dreaming about meritocracy as you starve, freeze or succumb to a treatable illness. And I hear you: you cannot afford to risk getting fired. The thing is, it is going to be even worse the next year. And the one after that. And the one after that. And then you are going to have debts and maybe untreated medical problems. Every year you postpone organizing makes it harder to organize down the line.
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Comment on Vaping DMT in ~talk
mordae Link ParentYeah. I think as with any other unfamiliar active substance, one would read the fine print and make necessary accommodations.You can't untake the drug.
Yeah. I think as with any other unfamiliar active substance, one would read the fine print and make necessary accommodations.
I think the most realistic approach would be subsidized apprenticeship (no taxes, public pays the insurances same as during college) plus student gets light stipend, continued public transport discount etc. Employers above some size would get fined if they do not / can not get apprentices, which is how it gets funded initially.
As an option to take for up to 3y before they turn 30. Independent of attained education level. Conditioned on getting an apprenticeship somewhere.
I am talking EU, obviously. US is doomed. Unless they manage to get 12y worth of "socialist" presidents their kids will be slumming.