shinigami's recent activity
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Comment on Nvidia’s $589 billion DeepSeek rout is largest in market history in ~finance
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Comment on What is China’s DeepSeek and why is it freaking out the AI world? in ~tech
shinigami This has peaked my interest just from the sense of it being Open-Source. I'm not a code monkey, I don't know enough about it, but I don't have an NVIDEA card, so I've always been a bit hamstrung...This has peaked my interest just from the sense of it being Open-Source.
I'm not a code monkey, I don't know enough about it, but I don't have an NVIDEA card, so I've always been a bit hamstrung in digging deep. If there are options for me to run this, I am beyond excited.
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Comment on What side-gigs or passive income methods have you found helpful for earning a small amount of extra money? in ~finance
shinigami A coworker of mine got himself a decent side hustle selling various 3D printed knick-knacks at craft shows. A decent printer for $250 to start. and filament, at $25 a roll. He said his best...A coworker of mine got himself a decent side hustle selling various 3D printed knick-knacks at craft shows.
A decent printer for $250 to start. and filament, at $25 a roll. He said his best estimation that the ROI on his filament roll is 600% ($150 after sale). He's used those funds to start a small print farm.
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Comment on Why probability probably doesn't exist (but it's useful to act like it does) in ~science
shinigami Maybe another example to help? We assume standard, unloaded, and properly weighted dice. These are the core assumptions that we normally take for granted, but the article argued for also...Maybe another example to help?
We assume standard, unloaded, and properly weighted dice. These are the core assumptions that we normally take for granted, but the article argued for also specifying these assumptions.
A common pitfall encountered in probability is the odd/even on 2d6. There are some who think that since 7 is the most common number, odds will come up more often. In other words, their subjective probability of the situation is more than 50/50.
If you actually follow either informal proof of this problem, you will find the objective probability is actually 50/50.
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Comment on Why probability probably doesn't exist (but it's useful to act like it does) in ~science
shinigami The example you cite seems to be written in a way that the average person can understand the idea. What you are saying isn't wrong, but it is addressed by the author further in the article when...The example you cite seems to be written in a way that the average person can understand the idea.
What you are saying isn't wrong, but it is addressed by the author further in the article when they discuss frequentist probability.
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Comment on Why probability probably doesn't exist (but it's useful to act like it does) in ~science
shinigami As a person who deals with lots of numbers on a daily basis for work, and often times in this very space of risk assessments and quantifying "subjective" probabilities, I found this to be an...As a person who deals with lots of numbers on a daily basis for work, and often times in this very space of risk assessments and quantifying "subjective" probabilities, I found this to be an awesome read.
"This is remarkable: it shows that, starting from a specific, but purely subjective, expression of convictions, we should act as if events were driven by objective chances."
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Why probability probably doesn't exist (but it's useful to act like it does)
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Comment on Armchair governing dictator - new rule for 2025 (fun) in ~talk
shinigami Dictator in Chief of the US? The removal of money from politics. Specifically ripping Citizen's United out of our country and into the sun. But in a more strict sense, "Politicians can only take...Dictator in Chief of the US?
The removal of money from politics. Specifically ripping Citizen's United out of our country and into the sun. But in a more strict sense, "Politicians can only take donations from individual people up to a [X]USD, and must be 100% publically disclosed. Corporate donations or sponsorships of any kind are prohibited."
I think this one change would have a massive cascade for the better for all of the US. It eliminates the need for fundraising juggernauts (the two primary parties). It removes lobbying of basically any form. Ideally that would mean that instead of politicians chasing money, they instead work for their constituents.
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Comment on Armchair governing dictator - new rule for 2025 (fun) in ~talk
shinigami I mean, it's very obvious to something like the municipality whether or not a home sits vacant. It's doesn't really draw power, it has little to no water consumption. A single person living in a...I mean, it's very obvious to something like the municipality whether or not a home sits vacant. It's doesn't really draw power, it has little to no water consumption.
A single person living in a studio apartment uses more power and water than a vacant home.
Could you game this system, and have someone show up to your vacant investment home and run the power and water too make it appear lived in? Sure, but that's a lot of extra work and cost that probably exceeds this proposed vacancy tax.
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Comment on Magic: the Gathering banned and restricted announcement – December 16, 2024 in ~games.tabletop
shinigami I was debating on whether or not to post this since I posted the last one, but I'm glad to see someone else did it. I look back on the Looting, Opal and Twin eras through rose tinted glasses, like...I was debating on whether or not to post this since I posted the last one, but I'm glad to see someone else did it.
I look back on the Looting, Opal and Twin eras through rose tinted glasses, like many players probably. I'm honestly really excited to see what happens in modern. I might even try to dig up my old Twin cards.
Knowing what I do about modern, I doubt most of these decks from the past are good enough anymore, but I do hope the format stays as wide open as it seems now.
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Comment on Favorite quick play tabletop game recommendations in ~games.tabletop
shinigami My favorite is Dungeon Mayhem! Fun little card game up to 4 people. You do what it says on the card, or sometimes what the helper card says. Rules are fun and Intuitive. My 7.5yo and 6yo love it,...My favorite is Dungeon Mayhem! Fun little card game up to 4 people. You do what it says on the card, or sometimes what the helper card says. Rules are fun and Intuitive.
My 7.5yo and 6yo love it, and my wife and I enjoy playing with them too.
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Comment on How Bluesky, the rival of Elon Musk’s X, is seizing the moment in ~tech
shinigami Definitely a second vote for finding BlueSky Starter Packs for your hobbies. I didn't have the same experience you did, even though I was expecting it. It might be because I started following...Definitely a second vote for finding BlueSky Starter Packs for your hobbies.
I didn't have the same experience you did, even though I was expecting it. It might be because I started following people in my hobby spaces first, and that's what trained their discovery algorithm for me.
With the big migration from Twitter, I do see more political posts now, but it's few and far between, and comes from real people, instead of some Right-Wing ad masquerading as a tweet.
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Comment on Dropkick Murphys feat Violent Femmes - Gotta Get to Peekskill (2023) - More solidarity and anti-fascist recommendation? in ~music
shinigami Surprised i haven't seen Anti-Flag mentioned on here. It's loud, angry, biting, and exemplifies a lot of the thoughts people like you and me have. Hate Conquers All, and The Criminals feel...Surprised i haven't seen Anti-Flag mentioned on here. It's loud, angry, biting, and exemplifies a lot of the thoughts people like you and me have. Hate Conquers All, and The Criminals feel particularly relevant.
Bad Religion's The Profane rights of Man
A song that came about from the first Trump presidency that i found powerful is Thoughts and Prayers by Grandson.
Finally, a bit of a corny one, but hearing it recently made my chest swell, and gave me the feeling of fighting is worth it. Power
Here's a link to the rest of my playlist on Spotify.I'll probably add songs from this thread to it too.
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Comment on What programming/technical projects have you been working on? in ~comp
shinigami Not working on directly, but maybe posting here will keep me more accountable to myself... I bricked my very old Kindle4 while messing around with it. Ended up getting it stuck in fastboot mode,...Not working on directly, but maybe posting here will keep me more accountable to myself...
I bricked my very old Kindle4 while messing around with it. Ended up getting it stuck in fastboot mode, with no to restart it without getting the drive mounted to a machine.
I've been able to find the drive when I plug it in, but actually mounting it so I can manipulate it has eluded me thus far.
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Comment on Lefties of Tildes: what are some items where the left handed version is most necessary? in ~life
shinigami It's probably more normal to use a spiral notebook back to front and upside down,, but I've been using the left side normally, and then on the pages where the spiral are in the way, I wrote on the...It's probably more normal to use a spiral notebook back to front and upside down,, but I've been using the left side normally, and then on the pages where the spiral are in the way, I wrote on the page upside down.
It just helps with chronological order for me. Even if I know the whole thing is backwards, it feels wrong to me going forward to find information from the past.
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Comment on Magic: The Gathering ban and restricted announcement in ~games.tabletop
shinigami I think people and stores that hoard massive quantities of these types of cards are terrible, and I don't really feel bad for them. And stores like the one I play at are diverse enough and have...I think people and stores that hoard massive quantities of these types of cards are terrible, and I don't really feel bad for them. And stores like the one I play at are diverse enough and have enough general stock, this doesn't kill them.
I do feel bad for the new-ish hobby store owner who juiced up his display case from his own collection. Or the hobby store where $500 of lost potential sales could spell disaster. I've been to, and seen stores like this.
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Comment on Magic: The Gathering ban and restricted announcement in ~games.tabletop
shinigami Yeah, I think the evaporation of hundreds of thousands of dollars in the secondary market of MTG is going to cause some problems for sure. My LGS thankfully is rsther diverse, and has a lot of...Yeah, I think the evaporation of hundreds of thousands of dollars in the secondary market of MTG is going to cause some problems for sure.
My LGS thankfully is rsther diverse, and has a lot of ways to recover from a loss like this, but smaller EDH-centered stores I worry more about.
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Comment on Magic: The Gathering ban and restricted announcement in ~games.tabletop
shinigami Wizards of the Coast has handed down some somewhat surprising bans in the EDH (Commander) format. Effectively removing a couple sources of fast Mana, and a bad gameplay piece. I think Dockside is...Wizards of the Coast has handed down some somewhat surprising bans in the EDH (Commander) format. Effectively removing a couple sources of fast Mana, and a bad gameplay piece.
I think Dockside is the biggest hit. It creates so many loops so easily that it made enabled certain combos just by itself.
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Magic: The Gathering ban and restricted announcement
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Comment on Fitness Weekly Discussion in ~health
shinigami I finally got a bike after not having one for years. I'm so excited. I have already used it for my commute to work a few times, and plan on continuing until conditions force me to stop. It's...I finally got a bike after not having one for years. I'm so excited.
I have already used it for my commute to work a few times, and plan on continuing until conditions force me to stop. It's ~40min, and a total of 11km, each direction.
I wish the tires were a little wider, because of some of the areas I ride on, but for getting it as a refurbished piece, and for only $165, I couldn't be happier.
Unfortunately, my strength training has fallen off a cliff, I really haven't done much of anything for well over a month. My last achievement was 1 strict pull-up, and I probably have to earn that back again at this point. It comes in cycles for me, and I'm trying to get the habbit to stick.
I need to kick whatever cold I seem to have picked up first, but soon! (I hope)
Well, I would assume the model know whatever you trained it on. If DeepSeek is shipped with a profile that didn't include those things, it won't have the knowledge. But if add to its training those things, presumably, it can be corrected.