skybrian's recent activity

  1. Comment on Linus Torvalds says Linux is not "anti-AI", tells haters to 'fork it' and 'just walk away' in ~tech

    skybrian
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    I’m not sure what you mean by sustainable, but I’m a bit skeptical that trends toward cloud computing will reverse to the extent that running LLMs on your laptop or a server in the closet wins...

    I’m not sure what you mean by sustainable, but I’m a bit skeptical that trends toward cloud computing will reverse to the extent that running LLMs on your laptop or a server in the closet wins over running them in the cloud. Datacenters will almost certainly be more efficient than anything you run yourself. But it might be an open weights model running at whichever hosting provider you trust rather than a service provided by an AI lab.

  2. Comment on Why socialists should embrace luxury apartments in ~society

    skybrian
    Link Parent
    First of all, it's wrong to say landlords do no work. Many small-time landlords do some work themselves. Also, I don't know why you're so focused on the labor thing. Whether you do the maintenance...

    First of all, it's wrong to say landlords do no work. Many small-time landlords do some work themselves. Also, I don't know why you're so focused on the labor thing. Whether you do the maintenance yourself or pay someone to do it is irrelevant, as long as it gets done.

    I don't see anything wrong with paying a plumber, for example. Most people who own their own home would do the same.

    1 vote
  3. Comment on US President Donald Trump says he will impose fifty percent tariffs on Canadian goods in thirty days in ~society

    skybrian
    Link Parent
    Do you have a source for that legal basis? The article says different: From a brief search, I didn't find any news articles claiming that the 1974 Trade Act is the legal basis for the latest...

    Do you have a source for that legal basis? The article says different:

    Monday’s action relies on a never-before-used provision of a 1930 trade law, which provides for tariffs of up to 50 percent against countries that discriminate against U.S. goods. The 30-day delay provides time for the two nations to resolve the dispute before tariffs take effect.

    From a brief search, I didn't find any news articles claiming that the 1974 Trade Act is the legal basis for the latest threat against Canada. Here's what CNN has:

    Trump cited Section 338 of the Tariff Act of 1930, a law that allows a president to set tariffs up to 50% when another country discriminates against American goods. However, the law has never been applied this way.

    According to this article, he did use Section 301 in his first term.

    9 votes
  4. Comment on Why socialists should embrace luxury apartments in ~society

    skybrian
    Link Parent
    Apology accepted! I do agree that the rents (and house prices) are too damn high. I suspect a lot of people are quietly getting by with the family helping them out, if they're lucky enough to have...

    Apology accepted! I do agree that the rents (and house prices) are too damn high. I suspect a lot of people are quietly getting by with the family helping them out, if they're lucky enough to have someone who can help.

    I think the way out, or at least to keep things from getting worse, is more housing, through any means. And, perhaps making it more viable to move to cheaper locations. And UBI would be nice.

    2 votes
  5. Comment on Human mathematicians are being outcounterexampled in ~science

    skybrian
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    From the article: [...] [...] [...]

    From the article:

    It is now 9 years since I had a mid-life crisis, realised I no longer trusted many human mathematicians when it comes to technical details, discovered Lean, and started to argue that interactive theorem provers should play an important role in the future of mathematics. So of course my first question was “is the counterexample formalized in Lean”. The answer was “no”.

    But under a week later (26th May 2026), I got an email from Fields Medallist Mike Freedman. Mike is now the Chief Science Officer for Logical Intelligence, a company cofounded by Turing Award winner and “godfather of AI” Yan LeCun. Mike informed me that their system had autoformalized the entire ChatGPT-generated paper in Lean and could I take a look. I looked, and my post-doc Thomas Browning looked too. And indeed this was what Logical Intelligence had done: they had formalized precisely the statement that the profound theorem of number theory implied the Erdős counterexample. Breakthrough LLM-generated mathematics being formalized in real time. Interesting data point.

    Of course there is an elephant in the room here though, the profound theorem of number theory which takes 100+ pages to prove (it needs huge chunks of global class field theory, a theory developed at the beginning of the 20th century and for which there are still no short proofs; it is proving difficult to compress). In 2025 I had run a Clay Summer School with Richard Hill on the formalization of class field theory, and one year later we have nearly done the local case (it is the current PhD project of my student Edison Xie); the global case remained open, and indeed in 2025 formalizing global class field theory seemed like a fantasy.

    One month later, on June 26th 2026, my perception of what was possible again changed. Boris Alexeev announced on the Lean Zulip that he had steered ChatGPT to a complete formalization of the Erdős counterexample, assuming nothing beyond the axioms of mathematics. Boris works at OpenAI and had used their new model Sol to do the autoformalization. Boris made the code public and it did not take long for me to realise that somewhere within all this AI-generated (and sometimes horrible, although sometimes decent) code was indeed a proof of some really hard theorems in global class field theory. Also of interest to me was that Sol had generated 1.2 million lines of Lean code in the three weeks that it had worked on the project. Lean’s fantastic (declaration of conflict of interest: I am a maintainer) mathematics library mathlib is only 2.3 million lines of code, and took nine years to write. Perhaps it was at this point that the penny really dropped for me — large AI-generated developments of mathematics are inevitable. One cannot trust AI-generated code so I ran it in a sandbox on my machine (malicious Lean code can run arbitrary commands on your computer — Lean is a programming language, after all). Indeed, it was proving nontrivial theorems about the cohomology of number fields. Wow.

    [...]

    I was not sure how good Logos’ tool was going to be, but I wanted a development of the theory of finite flat group schemes in Lean for my ongoing proof of Fermat’s Last Theorem, so I put uploaded some classic papers in the area to Fable and ChatGPT, and got them together to write down an exposition of the theory in natural language. I passed this pdf document over to Logos the day before the workshop, and on the first day of the workshop they said that one of the claims in the pdf was false and they had found an explicit counterexample. Another counterexample! I took a look and indeed the LLM-generated pdf was simply wrong at some point when describing a standard construction; false alarm. I had missed this myself though when reading through the pdf. Interesting how AI had again found a counterexample. I fixed the pdf. I thought it was interesting that the AI didn’t just say “I don’t quite follow this argument”, it instead said “here is a proof that this argument is simply wrong”, a much more powerful statement.

    [...]

    The day after the workshop finished, on Saturday 11th July, I got a DM from Akhil telling me that Sol had found a counterexample. He sent me a 12 page pdf. I immediately replied saying that I was not reading AI-generated informal mathematics and could he please formalize the entire thing in Lean. Four hours later he replied again, saying that Fable had autoformalized the entire thing. I scanned over the 1076-line Lean file, checking that the code did not delete all the files on my hard drive (Lean is a programming language, so it can do this). Convinced that it was only theorems, I then compiled it on my laptop and it took me under 5 minutes in total to check that (a) the statement of the claimed theorem used only concepts in mathlib (and thus things like HopfAlgebra can be trusted to mean what mathematicians think of as Hopf algebras) (b) the statement of the claimed theorem was that there was a counterexample and (c) the proof compiled. At this point I knew that we had a counterexample — a group scheme of order 4 which was not killed by 4. I suggested to Akhil that he make a PR to mathlib with the counterexample — which he did. I would have also suggested to him that he draft a press release saying that a machine had solved a 60-year-old question of Grothendieck in algebraic geometry, but somehow by this point I was almost becoming immune to all of this. It wasn’t clear to me that the media would even be able to distinguish between “machine resolves question due to Erdős” and “machine resolves question due to Grothendieck” even though I personally found the latter far more interesting. Of course the Grothendieck counterexample was far far easier than the Erdős one (a thousand lines, not a million), all I’m saying is that it’s an area of mathematics that I personally find more interesting. I pointed out to Akhil that machines seemed to be getting very good at finding counterexamples and suggested that he try the Hodge conjecture next.

    [...]

    I think it’s worth stepping back at this point and surveying what the attitudes of human experts to these sorts of things are. On Tuesday (14th July) I went to work at Imperial and the Grothendieck counterexample was the talk of lunch. A member of the faculty (who I won’t name) said to me that the fact that the counterexample was so easy to find just indicated that humans had not spent enough time thinking about the problem, implying that a 60-year-old question of Grothendieck was not actually that interesting to work on. I didn’t tell him that at some point earlier in my career I had spent a week working hard on the problem. In my mind my colleague is just going through the five stages of grief; right now they seem to be in the denial phase.

    7 votes
  6. Comment on China wants to use 115,000 banned Nvidia chips to fulfil its AI ambitions in ~tech

    skybrian
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    Here's a Hacker News comment from someone who says there's already a lot of network traffic coming from Xinjiang. Or at least there was for a while.

    Here's a Hacker News comment from someone who says there's already a lot of network traffic coming from Xinjiang. Or at least there was for a while.

    2 votes
  7. Comment on China wants to use 115,000 banned Nvidia chips to fulfil its AI ambitions in ~tech

    skybrian
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    https://archive.is/nZSst From the article: [...] [...] [...]

    https://archive.is/nZSst

    From the article:

    A Bloomberg News analysis of investment approvals, tender documents and company filings shows that Chinese firms aim to install more than 115,000 Nvidia Corp. AI chips in some three dozen data centers across the country’s western deserts. Operators in Xinjiang intend to house the lion’s share of those processors in a single compound — which, if they can pull it off, could be used to train foundational large-language models like those of Chinese AI startup DeepSeek.

    The complex as envisioned would still be dwarfed by the scale of AI infrastructure in the US, but it would significantly boost China’s computing prowess as President Xi Jinping pushes for technological breakthroughs. Such a project also would raise serious concerns for officials in Washington, who restricted leading-edge Nvidia chip sales to China in 2022 over worries that advanced AI could give Beijing a military edge.

    Yet the Chinese documents contain no explanation of how companies plan to acquire the chips, which cannot be legally purchased without licenses from the US government, permits that haven’t been given. The companies listed in the filings, state officials and central government representatives in Beijing declined to comment when asked to explain.

    [...]

    None of those familiar with the US probes said they previously knew of the data center buildout in Xinjiang. All said that while they believe there are indeed banned chips in China, they’re not aware of an illicit trade network sophisticated enough to procure more than 100,000 such processors and direct that hardware to a centralized location.

    [...]

    To be sure, Bloomberg News has not found evidence that China has amassed, or can amass, 115,000 banned Nvidia chips — nor evidence that smaller volumes of restricted semiconductors that US officials believe are in the country have been directed to centralized locations.

    And yet in Yiwu, the construction goes on.

    [...]

    The authorities in Xinjiang are particularly suspicious of foreigners due to Western allegations of human-rights abuses against ethnic Uyghurs. Interview requests sent to eight data center operators in Yiwu were ignored, rejected or agreed to and then cancelled at short notice. The Xinjiang government and Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT), the central government ministry overseeing data center development, didn’t reply to Bloomberg requests for comment.

    2 votes
  8. Comment on US President Donald Trump says he will impose fifty percent tariffs on Canadian goods in thirty days in ~society

    skybrian
    Link
    From the article: [...]

    From the article:

    The move comes one day after Trump threatened to impose tariffs in retaliation for wildfires in Ontario that sent thick smoke pouring into the United States late last week. After watching Sunday’s World Cup final alongside Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney, Trump told reporters that the subject had come up.

    [...]

    On Monday, however, a senior administration official said the president’s latest tariff action was unrelated to his irritation over the wildfires. Instead, the official said, the president was acting in response to Canada’s retaliation for emergency tariffs Trump imposed in April 2025, when U.S. alcohol was removed from Canadian store shelves. The administration has also complained about Canadian limits on auto imports and dairy products.

    Monday’s action relies on a never-before-used provision of a 1930 trade law, which provides for tariffs of up to 50 percent against countries that discriminate against U.S. goods. The 30-day delay provides time for the two nations to resolve the dispute before tariffs take effect.

    If the tariffs do take effect, they will apply to most Canadian goods, including those that qualify for duty-free treatment under the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement that Trump negotiated during his first term. Energy, potash fertilizer, critical minerals, fish and products covered by existing national security tariffs will be exempt, said the administration official, who briefed reporters under ground rules that did not allow them to be identified.

    13 votes
  9. Comment on MTA says G train shutdown worth it to finally modernize Brooklyn-Queens subway line in ~transport

    skybrian
    Link
    From the article: [...] [...] [...] [...]

    From the article:

    After planned signal upgrades meant a 10-week shutdown of the line in 2024 — and continued work on the signaling system meant scattered outages weeknight and weekend outages last year as well — riders in Greenpoint were angered to learn this spring that there would be yet more weekends with no G train service this summer.

    MTA officials said they’d discovered a leak in the tunnel under the Newtown Creek — and that repairing it alongside the ongoing upgrades meant taking the trains out of service for multiple weekends between the Bedford-Nostrand and Court Sq. stations.

    [...]

    “We are making a massive investment in the modernization of this line,” Torres-Springer said. “It will only be the fourth line across the 22 lines that will be fully re-signaled.”

    “We’ve enabled cell service across the entire G line as part of this work,” he added. “Five more stations [will] become A.D.A. accessible.”

    Torres-Springer also noted the MTA’s decision last year to swap out all the line’s older subway cars for the state-of-the-art R211.

    But the primary reason for the work — the cause of the shutdowns that began in 2024 — is the first one: the installation of modern computerized signaling, known as communication-based train control, or CBTC.

    The system — which is already in place on the L train, the No. 7 train, portions of the E, F, M and R trains — will allow the MTA to precisely track trains in the tunnels, letting them safely run more closely together. The upgrade will also streamline dispatching, allowing trains to be routed from the MTA’s Midtown rail control center.

    To install the new system means putting in brand new switches and new traffic lights. It means adding small wireless transponders at regular intervals along the tracks, along with 5G radios to let them communicate. And it means wiring all of those devices up to a computer that can control them while talking to dispatchers.

    [...]

    MTA officials expect to conduct more than a year of testing, troubleshooting, and software tweaks before turning the new system on. A large keyed switch in the newly-minted Train Control Room up the tracks at Court Square was marked “LEG[ACY]” for the existing signal system and “CBTC” for the new one. Workers can flip it back and forth for upcoming tests.

    But MTA officials say it will be late 2027 or early 2028 before that switch is flipped for good. And all along the track-side, new signal lights were covered in black plastic, so as not to confuse train operators before the new system comes online.

    [...]

    Torres-Springer said the damage could be traced back to repairs done in 2015 after 2012’s Hurricane Sandy.

    That’s when “the old MTA,” as he put it, “made some repairs, but left the leaks to be remediated by somebody in the future.”

    “We’re not doing that,” he said. “We went in and we saw that the leaks were extensive, and we’re repairing them.”

    [...]

    MTA spokeswoman Sophie Deixel told The News that work crews had managed to drill along 1,000 feet of the tunnel that weekend — 100 sets of holes — and pump grout along 450 feet of tunnel.

    Each tube of the 95-year-old tunnel is 3,200 feet long. The MTA estimates it will take until the year’s end to seal them both.

    5 votes
  10. Comment on Linus Torvalds says Linux is not "anti-AI", tells haters to 'fork it' and 'just walk away' in ~tech

    skybrian
    Link Parent
    I'm skeptical of that sort of rhetoric because online arguments often seem important at the time, and yet we've forgotten them in a week. I think it's largely a way of making our recreational...

    I'm skeptical of that sort of rhetoric because online arguments often seem important at the time, and yet we've forgotten them in a week. I think it's largely a way of making our recreational typing seem dramatic.

  11. Comment on How much energy do data centers and artificial intelligence use? in ~enviro

    skybrian
    Link Parent
    Another way to frame it is that AI companies have deep pockets and would probably would be quite willing to pay for lots of expensive electricity infrastructure upgrades, for themselves and...

    Another way to frame it is that AI companies have deep pockets and would probably would be quite willing to pay for lots of expensive electricity infrastructure upgrades, for themselves and everyone else, if deals can be negotiated. That's an opportunity for the communities where data centers are built. It seems better to somehow get big tech to pay for things to fund everything off residential rate payers or taxpayers?

    Also, if the resources being consumed are mostly sunlight and wind, it's not so bad to use more. That could probably be negotiated too if communities are smart about it.

    Also, though they don't create that many jobs, data centers should be paying taxes that can fund other things like schools.

    It all depends on what kind of deals communities can negotiate for themselves.

    3 votes
  12. Comment on Why socialists should embrace luxury apartments in ~society

    skybrian
    Link Parent
    Sure, sometimes they or the management company they hire do a bad job in a specific case and deserve criticism. On the other hand, everywhere you look in a city, there are buildings that someone...

    Sure, sometimes they or the management company they hire do a bad job in a specific case and deserve criticism. On the other hand, everywhere you look in a city, there are buildings that someone needs to maintain. Buildings are expensive and don't build and maintain themselves. Someone has to arrange for the work to be done, and the workers aren't going to do it just because someone asks them nicely. Nor should they! They expect to be paid.

    How many people, poor or otherwise, do you provide shelter for? It seems like we shouldn't disparage all the people who are doing that work, as a class, because some of them do it badly? It's like criticizing all doctors or all teachers.

    Though, there may be better systems; I'm not going to say public housing can't work when in some places it does seem to work, or so I've read.

    2 votes
  13. Comment on Why socialists should embrace luxury apartments in ~society

    skybrian
    Link Parent
    It's taking something ordinary and spinning it as inherently sinister. We all do things for money and I wouldn't expect anyone to work unpaid. Whether it's good deal or a bad one depends on...

    It's taking something ordinary and spinning it as inherently sinister. We all do things for money and I wouldn't expect anyone to work unpaid. Whether it's good deal or a bad one depends on circumstances.

    3 votes
  14. Comment on A skeptical overview of AI and consciousness in ~humanities

    skybrian
    Link Parent
    Maybe it would happen because it's learning from people or animals somehow? LLM's learn a lot of different ways of writing from what people have written.

    Maybe it would happen because it's learning from people or animals somehow? LLM's learn a lot of different ways of writing from what people have written.

    3 votes
  15. Comment on Why socialists should embrace luxury apartments in ~society

    skybrian
    Link Parent
    Yes, houses are for living in, and renting housing to people is providing people with a place to live. They're not sitting vacant, and that's important. And then you spin it as "harvesting money...

    Yes, houses are for living in, and renting housing to people is providing people with a place to live. They're not sitting vacant, and that's important.

    And then you spin it as "harvesting money from the poor." You oughta be ashamed to repeat such nonsense.

    2 votes
  16. Comment on Why socialists should embrace luxury apartments in ~society

    skybrian
    Link Parent
    Though it's a bit fragmented, SF has quite a bit of public transit, and I think there's still room for more density along major transit lines? For example, along Geary.

    Though it's a bit fragmented, SF has quite a bit of public transit, and I think there's still room for more density along major transit lines? For example, along Geary.

    2 votes