9 votes

My final Oscar predictions for the 94th Academy Awards

Okay, I’ve been bombarding all of you with article after article of what other award shows have been nominating and awarding.

Here are the nominations for what I had in November. It’s interesting to see how much has changed, sadly it seems like The Last Duel is going to end up with zero awards.

Anyways, if you have an Oscar pool going what I’m about to give you would probably put you at the top if your friends don’t follow awards. I did place 30 out of 2200 on Goldderby for my BAFTA nomination predictions so there’s that.

Here’s what I have, in order of what is most likely to win as of right now:

Best Picture

  1. The Power of the Dog
  2. Belfast
  3. Licorice Pizza
  4. Dune
  5. Don’t Look Up
  6. West Side Story
  7. King Richard
  8. CODA
  9. tick, tick... BOOM!
  10. Being the Ricardos

Alternative choice: House of Gucci

Best Director

  1. Jane Campion - The Power of the Dog
  2. Paul Thomas Anderson - Licorice Pizza
  3. Denis Villeneuve - Dune
  4. Kenneth Branagh - Belfast
  5. Steven Spielberg - West Side Story

Alternative choice: Adam McKay - Don’t Look Up

Best Lead Actor

  1. Will Smith - King Richard
  2. Benedict Cumberbatch - The Power of the Dog
  3. Andrew Garfield - tick, tick... BOOM!
  4. Denzel Washington - The Tragedy of Macbeth
  5. Leonardo DiCaprio - Don’t Look Up

Alternative choice: Javier Bardem - Being the Ricardos

Best Lead Actress

  1. Lady Gaga - House of Gucci
  2. Alana Haim - Licorice Pizza
  3. Nicole Kidman - Being the Ricardos
  4. Jessica Chastain - The Eyes of Tammy Faye
  5. Olivia Colman - The Lost Daughter

Alternative choice: Rachel Zegler - West Side Story

Best Supporting Actor

  1. Kodi Smit-Mcphee - The Power of the Dog
  2. Ciaran Hinds - Belfast
  3. Troy Kotsure - CODA
  4. Bradley Cooper - Licorice Pizza
  5. Jared Leto - House of Gucci

Alternative choice: Jamie Dornan - Belfast

Best Supporting Actress

  1. Ariana DeBose - West Side Story
  2. Aunjuane Ellis - King Richard
  3. Caitriona Balfe - Belfast
  4. Kirsten Dunst - The Power of the Dog
  5. Cate Blanchett - Don’t Look Up

Note: I’m actually taking a big risk in predicting Blanchett, Ruth Negga - Passing seems to be the most obvious fifth choice.

Best Original Screenplay

  1. Licorice Pizza
  2. Belfast
  3. Don’t Look Up
  4. King Richard
  5. Being the Ricardos

Best Adapted Screenplay

  1. The Power of the Dog
  2. CODA
  3. Dune
  4. The Lost Daughter
  5. West Side Story

Alternative choice: tick, tick... BOOM!

Best Cinematography

  1. Dune
  2. The Tragedy of Macbeth
  3. The Power of the Dog
  4. West Side Story
  5. Belfast

Alternative choice: Nightmare Alley

Best Film Editing

  1. Dune
  2. Belfast
  3. Licorice Pizza
  4. The Power of the Dog
  5. West Side Story

Alternative choice: Don’t Look Up

Best Costume Design

  1. Cruella
  2. Dune
  3. West Side Story
  4. House of Gucci
  5. Nightmare Alley

Alt: Cyrano

Best Hair and Makeup

  1. House of Gucci
  2. The Eyes of Tammy Faye
  3. Dune
  4. Cruella
  5. Coming 2 America

Alt: Cyrano

Best Production Design

  1. Dune
  2. West Side Story
  3. The Tragedy of Macbeth
  4. Nightmare Alley
  5. The French Dispatch

Alt: Licorice Pizza

Best Original Score

  1. Dune
  2. The Power of the Dog
  3. Don’t Look Up
  4. The French Dispatch
  5. Encanto

Alt: Being the Ricardos

Best Original Song

  1. No Time To Die from No Time To Die
  2. Dos Oruguitas from Encanto
  3. Just Look Up from Don’t Look Up
  4. Be Alive from King Richard
  5. Down to Joy from Belfast

Alt: Guns Go Bang from The Harder They Fall

Best Sound

  1. Dune
  2. West Side Story
  3. No Time To Die
  4. The Power of the Dog
  5. Spider-Man: No Way Home

Alt: A Quiet Place Part II

Best Visual Effects

  1. Dune
  2. Spider-Man: No Way Home
  3. No Time To Die
  4. Godzilla vs Kong
  5. The Matrix: Resurrections

Alt: Shang-Chi and the legend of the Ten Rings.

Best Animated Feature

  1. Encanto
  2. Flee
  3. Luca
  4. The Mitchell’s vs the Machines
  5. Raya and the Last Dragon

Alt: Belle

Best Documentary Feature

  1. Summer of Soul
  2. Flee
  3. The Rescue
  4. Procession
  5. Ascension

Best International Feature

  1. Drive My Car
  2. The Hand of God
  3. Flee
  4. A Hero
  5. The Worst Person in the World

And those are all the categories. Oscar nominations will be announced on the 8th and of course I will be posting them.

2 comments

  1. [2]
    Adys
    Link
    How did you do in accuracy out of curiosity?

    How did you do in accuracy out of curiosity?

    3 votes
    1. cloud_loud
      (edited )
      Link Parent
      Well I changed a few things from this list. Mostly within the alts. Except for film editing which I switched out two (The Power of the Dog and West Side Story) for Don’t Look Up and King Richard....

      Well I changed a few things from this list. Mostly within the alts. Except for film editing which I switched out two (The Power of the Dog and West Side Story) for Don’t Look Up and King Richard.

      But I ended up with a 72.5% accuracy. And I ended up at 858/9721 in the leaderboard. So overall it’s not bad, and I placed better than I did last year. But I’m still a little disappointed. I did better below-the-line than I did above-the-line, which is the inverse of how I did last year.

      I’m better at predicting wins than nominations so I’m hoping to place higher for that.

      4 votes