My final Oscar predictions for the 94th Academy Awards
Okay, I’ve been bombarding all of you with article after article of what other award shows have been nominating and awarding.
Here are the nominations for what I had in November. It’s interesting to see how much has changed, sadly it seems like The Last Duel is going to end up with zero awards.
Anyways, if you have an Oscar pool going what I’m about to give you would probably put you at the top if your friends don’t follow awards. I did place 30 out of 2200 on Goldderby for my BAFTA nomination predictions so there’s that.
Here’s what I have, in order of what is most likely to win as of right now:
Best Picture
- The Power of the Dog
- Belfast
- Licorice Pizza
- Dune
- Don’t Look Up
- West Side Story
- King Richard
- CODA
- tick, tick... BOOM!
- Being the Ricardos
Alternative choice: House of Gucci
Best Director
- Jane Campion - The Power of the Dog
- Paul Thomas Anderson - Licorice Pizza
- Denis Villeneuve - Dune
- Kenneth Branagh - Belfast
- Steven Spielberg - West Side Story
Alternative choice: Adam McKay - Don’t Look Up
Best Lead Actor
- Will Smith - King Richard
- Benedict Cumberbatch - The Power of the Dog
- Andrew Garfield - tick, tick... BOOM!
- Denzel Washington - The Tragedy of Macbeth
- Leonardo DiCaprio - Don’t Look Up
Alternative choice: Javier Bardem - Being the Ricardos
Best Lead Actress
- Lady Gaga - House of Gucci
- Alana Haim - Licorice Pizza
- Nicole Kidman - Being the Ricardos
- Jessica Chastain - The Eyes of Tammy Faye
- Olivia Colman - The Lost Daughter
Alternative choice: Rachel Zegler - West Side Story
Best Supporting Actor
- Kodi Smit-Mcphee - The Power of the Dog
- Ciaran Hinds - Belfast
- Troy Kotsure - CODA
- Bradley Cooper - Licorice Pizza
- Jared Leto - House of Gucci
Alternative choice: Jamie Dornan - Belfast
Best Supporting Actress
- Ariana DeBose - West Side Story
- Aunjuane Ellis - King Richard
- Caitriona Balfe - Belfast
- Kirsten Dunst - The Power of the Dog
- Cate Blanchett - Don’t Look Up
Note: I’m actually taking a big risk in predicting Blanchett, Ruth Negga - Passing seems to be the most obvious fifth choice.
Best Original Screenplay
- Licorice Pizza
- Belfast
- Don’t Look Up
- King Richard
- Being the Ricardos
Best Adapted Screenplay
- The Power of the Dog
- CODA
- Dune
- The Lost Daughter
- West Side Story
Alternative choice: tick, tick... BOOM!
Best Cinematography
- Dune
- The Tragedy of Macbeth
- The Power of the Dog
- West Side Story
- Belfast
Alternative choice: Nightmare Alley
Best Film Editing
- Dune
- Belfast
- Licorice Pizza
- The Power of the Dog
- West Side Story
Alternative choice: Don’t Look Up
Best Costume Design
- Cruella
- Dune
- West Side Story
- House of Gucci
- Nightmare Alley
Alt: Cyrano
Best Hair and Makeup
- House of Gucci
- The Eyes of Tammy Faye
- Dune
- Cruella
- Coming 2 America
Alt: Cyrano
Best Production Design
- Dune
- West Side Story
- The Tragedy of Macbeth
- Nightmare Alley
- The French Dispatch
Alt: Licorice Pizza
Best Original Score
- Dune
- The Power of the Dog
- Don’t Look Up
- The French Dispatch
- Encanto
Alt: Being the Ricardos
Best Original Song
- No Time To Die from No Time To Die
- Dos Oruguitas from Encanto
- Just Look Up from Don’t Look Up
- Be Alive from King Richard
- Down to Joy from Belfast
Alt: Guns Go Bang from The Harder They Fall
Best Sound
- Dune
- West Side Story
- No Time To Die
- The Power of the Dog
- Spider-Man: No Way Home
Alt: A Quiet Place Part II
Best Visual Effects
- Dune
- Spider-Man: No Way Home
- No Time To Die
- Godzilla vs Kong
- The Matrix: Resurrections
Alt: Shang-Chi and the legend of the Ten Rings.
Best Animated Feature
- Encanto
- Flee
- Luca
- The Mitchell’s vs the Machines
- Raya and the Last Dragon
Alt: Belle
Best Documentary Feature
- Summer of Soul
- Flee
- The Rescue
- Procession
- Ascension
Best International Feature
- Drive My Car
- The Hand of God
- Flee
- A Hero
- The Worst Person in the World
And those are all the categories. Oscar nominations will be announced on the 8th and of course I will be posting them.
How did you do in accuracy out of curiosity?
Well I changed a few things from this list. Mostly within the alts. Except for film editing which I switched out two (The Power of the Dog and West Side Story) for Don’t Look Up and King Richard.
But I ended up with a 72.5% accuracy. And I ended up at 858/9721 in the leaderboard. So overall it’s not bad, and I placed better than I did last year. But I’m still a little disappointed. I did better below-the-line than I did above-the-line, which is the inverse of how I did last year.
I’m better at predicting wins than nominations so I’m hoping to place higher for that.