• Activity
  • Votes
  • Comments
  • New
  • All activity
  • Showing only topics with the tag "awards". Back to normal view
    1. 2023 Independent Spirit Award nominations

      These are the real nominations, not my predictions. Here’s the article about it: https://www.indiewire.com/2022/11/2023-independent-spirit-award-nominations-1234784758/ Best Feature Bones and All...

      These are the real nominations, not my predictions. Here’s the article about it:
      https://www.indiewire.com/2022/11/2023-independent-spirit-award-nominations-1234784758/

      Best Feature

      Bones and All

      Everything Everywhere All At Once

      Our Father, the Devil

      TÁR

      Women Talking

      Best Director

      Todd Field, TÁR

      Kogonda, After Yang

      Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert, Everything Everywhere All At Once

      Sarah Polley, Women Talking

      Halina Reijn, Bodies Bodies Bodies

      Best First Feature

      Aftersun

      Emily the Criminal

      The Inspection

      Murina

      Palm Trees and Power Lines

      Best Lead Performance

      Cate Blanchett - TÁR

      Dale Dickey - A Love Song

      Mia Goth - Pearl

      Regina Hall - Honk for Jesus, Save Your Soul

      Paul Mescal - Aftersun

      Aubrey Plaza - Emily the Criminal

      Jeremy Pope - The Inspection

      Taylor Russell - Bones and All

      Andrea Riseborough - To Leslie

      Michelle Yeoh - Everything Everywhere All At Once

      Best Supporting Performance

      Jamie Lee Curtis - Everything Everywhere All At Once

      Brian Tyree Henry - Causeway

      Nina Hoss - TÁR

      Brian d’Arcy James - The Cathedral

      Ke Huy Quan - Everything Everywhere All At Once

      Trevante Rhodes - Bruiser

      Theo Rossi - Emily the Criminal

      Mark Rylance - Bones and All

      Jonathan Tucker - Palm Trees and Power Lines

      Gabrielle Union - The Inspection

      Breakthrough Performance

      Frankie Corio - Aftersun

      Gracija Filipovic - Murina

      Stephanie Hsu - Everything Everywhere All At Once

      Lily McInerny - Palm Trees and Power Lines

      Daniel Zolghardi - Funny Pages

      Best Screenplay

      After Yang

      Catherine Called Birdy

      Everything Everywhere All At Once

      TÁR

      Women Talking

      Best First Screenplay

      Bodies Bodies Bodies

      Emergency

      Emily the Criminal

      Fire Island

      Palm Trees and Power Lines

      Best Cinematography

      Aftersun

      Murina

      Neptune Frost

      Peal

      TÁR

      Best Editing

      Aftersun

      The Cathedral

      Everything Everywhere All At Once

      Marcel the Shell with Shoes On

      TÁR

      Robert Altman Award

      Women Talking

      Best Documentary

      A House Made of Splinters

      All That Breathes

      All the Beauty and the Bloodshed

      Midwives

      Riotsville USA

      Best International Film

      Corsage

      Joyland

      Leonor Will Never Die

      Return to Seol

      Saint Omer

      2 votes
    2. Final 2023 Golden Globes predictions

      Golden Globe nominations come out mid-December. I don’t really see anything changing from here to the end of the year. The only movies left to premiere are Avatar and Babylon. Both of which are...

      Golden Globe nominations come out mid-December. I don’t really see anything changing from here to the end of the year. The only movies left to premiere are Avatar and Babylon. Both of which are almost guaranteed to be good, at the very least. And Avatar is guaranteed to be a huge hit.

      Here are my previous predictions for the Globes, and it’s crazy how much things have changed.

      The Globes usually have a couple of weird choices and I don’t think many of these will end up with Oscar nominations.

      But here’s where I think the winds are blowing.

      Motion Picture - Drama:

      1. The Fabelmans
      2. Women Talking
      3. Avatar: The Way of Water
      4. Top Gun: Maverick
      5. TÁR

      Motion Picture - Musical or Comedy:

      1. Babylon
      2. The Banshees of Inisherin
      3. Everything Everywhere All At Once
      4. Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery
      5. Spirited

      Director:

      1. Steven Spielberg - The Fabelmans
      2. Damien Chazelle - Babylon
      3. James Cameron - Avatar: The Way of Water
      4. Martin McDonagh - The Banshees of Inisherin
      5. Sarah Polley - Women Talking

      Screenplay:

      1. The Banshees of Inisherin
      2. Babylon
      3. The Fabelmans
      4. Women Talking
      5. Everything Everywhere All At Once

      Lead Actor - Drama:

      1. Brendan Fraser - The Whale
      2. Austin Butler - Elvis
      3. Bill Nighy - Living
      4. Gabriel LaBelle - The Fabelmans
      5. Tom Cruise - Top Gun: Maverick

      Lead Actress - Drama:

      1. Danielle Deadwyler - Till
      2. Naomi Ackie - I Wanna Dance With Somebody
      3. Cate Blanchett - TÁR
      4. Michelle Williams - The Fabelmans
      5. Jennifer Lawrence - Causeway

      Lead Actor - Musical or Comedy:

      1. Colin Farrell - The Banshees of Inisherin
      2. Diego Calva - Babylon
      3. Daniel Craig - Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery
      4. Will Ferrell - Spirited
      5. George Clooney - Ticket to Paradise

      Lead Actress - Musical or Comedy:

      1. Margot Robbie - Babylon
      2. Michelle Yeoh - Everything Everywhere All At Once
      3. Julia Roberts - Ticket to Paradise
      4. Sandra Bullock - The Lost City
      5. Lesley Manville - Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris

      Supporting Actor:

      1. Ke Huy Quan - Everything Everywhere All At Once
      2. Brendan Gleeson - The Banshees of Inisherin
      3. Brad Pitt - Babylon
      4. Paul Dano - The Fabelmans
      5. Eddie Redmayne - The Good Nurse

      Supporting Actress:

      1. Jean Smart - Babylon
      2. Claire Foy - Women Talking
      3. Kerry Condon - The Banshees of Inisherin
      4. Janelle Monae - Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery
      5. Hong Chau - The Whale

      Original Score:

      1. The Fabelmans
      2. Babylon
      3. Avatar: The Way of Water
      4. Women Talking
      5. Pinocchio

      Original Song:

      1. “Hold My Hand” from Top Gun: Maverick
      2. “Carolina” from Where the Crawdads Sing
      3. “Lift Me Up” from Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
      4. “Ciao Papa” from Pinocchio
      5. “Do A Little Good" from Spirited

      Animated Feature

      1. Pinocchio
      2. Turning Red
      3. Strange World
      4. My Father’s Dragon
      5. Puss in Boots: The Last Wish
      7 votes
    3. What would have gotten nominated had there been ten nominees each year

      Switching gears from last week’s post. After 2010, the Academy decided to switch from having a set 10 list of nominees to having a sliding scale. Meaning that each movie had to get at least a...

      Switching gears from last week’s post.

      After 2010, the Academy decided to switch from having a set 10 list of nominees to having a sliding scale. Meaning that each movie had to get at least a certain percentage of number one votes in order to secure a Best Picture nomination. This would lead to anywhere from 5 to 10 Best Picture nominees. But the math made it so that only 8 or 9 movies would get a Picture nomination. This was the rule until this past year (when CODA won). Why did they decide to switch to a sliding scale? No one knows for sure. Some speculate it was because indie darling The Winter’s Bone made it in over box office hit The Town. Others point to complaints from Academy member’s who couldn’t think of 10 movies to nominate.

      Ever since then though, those of us into awards have wondered what would have made it in had the Oscar’s kept that set 10 line-up. Here’s what I think would have gotten in. I think some of these might be shocking to some of you.

      2011:

      Already in: The Artist, The Descendants, Hugo, Midnight in Paris, The Help, Moneyball, Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close, War Horse, and The Tree of Life

      Next in line: The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo

      Other possibility: Bridesmaids

      The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo was nominated at the DGA, something usually reserved for movies in the top 5. It was also nominated at PGA, the combo of which usually results in a Best Picture nomination. It also ended up winning Film Editing, which are usually Picture nominees.

      Bridesmaids is another possibility, having been nominated for Original Screenplay and Supporting Actress as well as getting nominated for PGA and SAG Ensemble.

      2012:

      Already in: Argo, Life of Pi, Lincoln, Silver Linings Playbook, D’jango Unchained, Les Mis, Zero Dark Thirty, Amour, Beasts of the Southern Wild

      Next in line: Skyfall

      With a nomination at PGA plus winning the BAFTA for Best British Film along with several tech nominations, considerable critical acclaim and a billion dollars, makes Skyfall an easy choice for Best Picture.

      2013:

      Already in: 12 Years A Slave, Gravity, American Hustle, The Wolf of Wall Street, Dallas Buyers Club, Nebraska, Captain Phillips, Her, Philomena

      Next in line: Blue Jasmine

      Woody Allen’s last Oscar success, getting nominations for Original Screenplay, Lead Actress, and Supporting Actress. There’s nothing else that would have made Picture, and this made PGA.

      2014:

      Already in: Birdman, Boyhood, The Imitation Game, The Grand Budapest Hotel, American Sniper, The Theory of Everything, Whiplash, Selma

      Next in line: Foxcatcher and Interstellar

      Other possibilities: Mr Turner, Nightcrawler, Gone Girl

      With nominations in Director, Lead Actor, Supporting Actor, and Original Screenplay, Foxcatcher is an easy 9th place. In fact it’s odd that it missed a Best Picture nomination to begin with.

      The tricky part with this year is what came in 10th. Nightcrawler and Gone Girl had similar awards trajectories including getting nominations at PGA (although Gone Girl was helped by being a box office hit). They ultimately both missed crucial nominations. Nightcrawler missed Lead Actor for Jake Gyllenhaal (in favor of Bradley Cooper in American Sniper) and Gone Girl missed a nomination in Adapted Screenplay (in favor of Inherent Vice). Interstellar recieved many technical nomintations and was a big hit with audiences, which distinguishes itself from Mr. Turner which recieved the same amount of nominations.

      2015:

      Already in: Spotlight, The Revenant, The Big Short, Mad Mad: Fury Road, The Martian, Room, Brooklyn, Bridge of Spies

      Next in Line: Carol and Star Wars: The Force Awakens

      Other Possibilties: Straight Outta Compton, Ex Machina, Sicario, Inside Out, The Hateful Eight

      This was another year where the 9th place was very clear (with several technical nomiations as well as nominations in Lead Actress, Supporting Actress, and Adapted Screenplay for Carol).

      But 10th place was muddy. All of these movies have their own reasons for making Picture (Original Screenplay nominations for Straight Outta Compton, Ex Machina, and Inside Out and several tech nominations for Sicario and The Hateful Eight). But I think what would have made the cut was Star Wars. It got several tech nominations, including a nomination in Film Editing which is usually only reserved for Picture nominees. As well as incredible hype, box office prowess, and pretty good reviews. Star Wars would have distinguished itself while the other more typical prestige contenders would split the vote.

      2016:

      Already in: Moonlight, La La Land, Manchester by the Sea, Arrival, Hacksaw Ridge, Hidden Figures, Lion, Fences, Hell or High Water

      Next in line: Jackie

      There wasn’t really an alternative here as PGA and WGA were busy nominating Deadpool. And movies like Nocturnal Animals and 20th Century Women severely underperformed.

      Plus, Fox Searchlight was backing this film and they’re usually powerhouse campaigners.

      2017:

      Already in: The Shape of Water, Three Billboards, Get Out, Lady Bird, Dunkirk, Darkest Hour, The Post, Phantom Thread, Call Me By Your Name

      Next in line: I, Tonya

      Other possibilities: Baby Driver, Blade Runner 2049

      I, Tonya got nominated for Lead and Supporting Actress and Film Editing. Baby Driver got nominated for the two sound categories and Film Editing (same nominations as Ford vs Ferrari) and Blade Runner got nominated in a lot of tech categories and won Cinematography, which are usually only Best Picture nominees.

      However, I, Tonya had a lot going for it. Including the lack of genre bias (as opposed to Baby Driver and Blade Runner), and a Supporting Actress win for Allison Janney.

      2018:

      Already in: Green Book, Roma, The Favourite, Blackkklansman, Bohemian Rhapsody, A Star is Born, Vice, Black Panther

      Next in line: If Beale Street Could Talk and Cold War

      Other possibilities: First Man, Mary Poppins Returns

      Beale Street is an easy 9th, having been nominated for Adapted Screenplay and Original Score, and having won Supporting Actress.

      10th could go a couple of ways. Cold War was nominated for Director and Cinematography (as well as International). It had great critical reception, won an award at Cannes, and Amazon ended up prioritizing it after Beauitful Boy kind of flopped.

      First Man bombed at the box office and severely underperformed with nominations. Missing things that were supposedly locks, including Cinematography, Film Editing, Adapted Screenplay, and Supporting Actress and even missing Original Score in which it was supposedly the front-runner (which is what led to Black Panther winning). Even then it got a few noms and maybe could have limped it’s way to the 10th spot.

      Mary Poppins Returns ended up underperforming throughout the season. But unlike First Man, Mary Poppins Returns was a box office hit, and only missed one nomination (Lead Actress). There’s definitely an argument to be made that this was 10th, and I think it would come quite close to making it.

      2019:

      Already in: Parasite, 1917, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood, The Irishman, Joker, Jojo Rabbit, Marriage Story, Little Women, Ford vs Ferrari

      Next in line: Knives Out

      Other possibility: The Two Popes.

      Knives Out got nomianted at PGA and was nominated for Original Screenplay. It was also a box office hit at a time when the Oscar’s were moving towards nominating more of those.

      The Two Popes was nominated for Lead Actor, Supporting Actor, and Adapted Screenplay. But, Netflix struggles with more than two movies at a time (as we’ve seen in recent years with them missing Picture with Tick Tick Boom and Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom). And Knives Out had more passion.

      2020: Already in: Nomadland, The Trial of the Chicago 7, Minari, Promising Young Woman, Mank, Sound of Metal, The Father, Judas and the Black Messiah

      Next in line: Borat Subsequent Moviefilm and News of the World

      Other possibilities: Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom, One Night in Miami

      Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom, while critically liked, had incredibly low audience scores. It ended up missing a crucial Adapted Screenaply nomination. One Night in Miami was really weak throughout the season and Amazon ended up switching all their resources to Sound of Metal. So I don’t think either of these films would make the Picture line-up at the end of the day.

      Borat got nominated for Adapted Screenplay (over Ma Rainey) and Supporitng Actress. It was also nominated at PGA and won the Comedy Globe. Maria Bakalova was also the runner-up in Supporting Actress. Borat was a big hit, everyone was talking about it, and it hit the zeitgeist in a way that few streaming films do. It was such a strong reflection of the COVID era, I can’t imagine it misses Picture at the end of the day.

      News of the World had a lot of below-the-line support. And while it didn’t have a lot of passion, it was better liked than Ma Rainey and One Night in Miami, at least by audiences. It scratched a crowd-pleasing oscar bait itch that not many films did during this time.

      And that’s it.

      3 votes
    4. What would have been nominated for Best Picture if there were five nominees each year

      The academy expanded the line-up after snubbing The Dark Knight in Picture in favor of Oscar bait The Reader. They received so much backlash that they reverted to nominating 10 nominees each year,...

      The academy expanded the line-up after snubbing The Dark Knight in Picture in favor of Oscar bait The Reader. They received so much backlash that they reverted to nominating 10 nominees each year, something that hadn’t been done since the 40s.

      While there are now multiple Best Picture nominees each year, each year there are a designated “Top 5.” As in the films that would have made the cut pre-expansion. Here’s a list of possible Top 5 movies, there’s a lot of argument about which movie was which but this is generally what is accepted/kind of what I think.

      2009: The Hurt Locker, Avatar, Inglorious Basterds, Precious: Based on the Novel “Push” by Sapphire, Up in the Air

      All 5 movies were nominated for Director. 4 of the 5 were nominated for Film Editing (another mark of a top 5 film) and all except Avatar were nominated for Acting and Screenplay. Avatar got nominated in almost all the technical categories.

      2010: The King’s Speech, The Social Network, The Fighter, Black Swan, True Grit

      Barely misses the cut: Inception

      Inception, unfortunately, undeperformed with nominations missing both Directing and Film Editing, and was never in contention for acting nominations. It misses in favor of True Grit which was a late-breaker and over-performed in nominations.

      2011: The Artist, The Descendants, Hugo, Midnight in Paris, The Help

      Barely misses: Moneyball

      The Help arguably underperformed with nominations but it was such a big hit that I’d imagine it would still make Best Picture.

      2012: Argo, Lincoln, Life of Pi, Silver Linings Playbook, D’jango Unchained

      Misses: Zero Dark Thirty, Les Miserables

      Zero Dark Thirty started dying out throughout the season, and Les Mis was more of a British thing. D’jango had a lot of passion and ended up becoming the front-runner in Original Screenplay and Supporting Actor.

      2013: 12 Years A Slave, Gravity, American Hustle, The Wolf of Wall Street, Dallas Buyers Club

      Misses: Nebraska, Captain Phillips

      Dallas Buyers Club over-performed and got nominated for Film Editing and Original Screenplay when it wasn’t expected to.

      2014: Birdman, Boyhood, The Grand Budapest Hotel, The Imitation Game, American Sniper

      Misses: The Theory of Everything

      Similar thing with Les Mis where Theory of Everything was more of a British thing.

      2015: Spotlight, The Revenant, The Big Short, Mad Max: Fury Road, The Martian

      Misses: Room

      The Martian missed director but it had more nominations and it was a hit at the box office. Although Room probably was pretty close.

      2016: Moonlight, La La Land, Manchester by the Sea, Arrival, Hacksaw Ridge

      Misses: Hidden Figures

      Hidden Figures maybe would have made the line-up considering it was such a big hit. But Hacksaw won too much stuff and Mel Gibson had a strong comeback narrative. Gross.

      2017: The Shape of Water, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri, Dunkirk, Get Out, Lady Bird

      There is no real alternative to these five.

      2018: Green Book, Roma, The Favourite, Blackkklansman, Bohemian Rhapsody

      Misses: Vice, A Star is Born

      Bohemian Rhapsody was a phenomenon and won four Oscars. It would have gotten a Best Picture nomination easily.

      2019: Parasite, 1917, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood, The Irishman, Joker

      Jojo Rabbit was close. But four of these got 10 nominations and Parasite won Best Picture.

      2020: Nomadland, The Trial of the Chicago 7, Promising Young Woman, Minari, Mank

      Misses: The Father

      2021: The Power of the Dog, Belfast, Dune, West Side Story, King Richard

      Misses: Licorice Pizza

      At the time of nominations CODA would not have made the cut. It is the first Best Picture winner to be bottom 5.

      5 votes
    5. Post-fall festivals 2023 Oscar predictions

      Okay, I promise this is the last time I’ll make one of these posts for the rest of the year. The major fall festivals (TIFF, Telluride, and Venice) happened. So many movies got mediocre reception...

      Okay, I promise this is the last time I’ll make one of these posts for the rest of the year.

      The major fall festivals (TIFF, Telluride, and Venice) happened. So many movies got mediocre reception at these festivals (namely Alejandro Gonzalez Inaritu’s Bardo, Florian Zeller’s The Son, and Sam Mendes’s Empire of Light).

      So the race has taken a more serious shape. Here are the old predictions.

      Here are the renewed predictions:

      Picture:

      1. The Fabelmans
      2. Babylon
      3. Avatar: The Way of Water
      4. Everything Everywhere All At Once
      5. The Banshees of Inisherin
      6. Women Talking
      7. Elvis
      8. TAR
      9. The Whale
      10. Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery

      Alt: Top Gun: Maverick

      Director:

      1. Steven Spielberg - The Fabelmans
      2. Damien Chazelle - Babylon
      3. James Cameron - Avatar: The Way of Water
      4. Daniels - Everything Everywhere All At Once
      5. Todd Field - TAR

      DGA Snub: Martin McDonagh - The Banshees of Inisherin

      Lead Actor:

      1. Brendan Fraser - The Whale
      2. Austin Butler - Elvis
      3. Colin Farrell - The Banshees of Inisherin
      4. Bill Nighy - Living
      5. Hugh Jackman - The Son

      Alt: Diego Calva - Babylon

      Lead Actress:

      1. Margot Robbie - Babylon
      2. Naomi Ackie - I Wanna Dance With Somebody
      3. Michelle Yeoh - Everything Everywhere All At Once
      4. Cate Blanchett - TAR
      5. Olivia Colman - Empire of Light

      Alt: Jennifer Lawrence - Causeway

      Supporting Actor:

      1. Ke Huy Quan - Everything Everywhere All At Once
      2. Brendan Gleeson - The Banshees of Inisherin
      3. Paul Dano - The Fabelmans
      4. Brad Pitt - Babylon
      5. Ben Wishaw - Women Talking

      Alt: Barry Keoghan - The Banshees of Inisherin

      Supporting Actress:

      1. Michelle Williams - The Fabelmans
      2. Claire Foy - Women Talking
      3. Sadie Sink - The Whale
      4. Kerry Condon - The Banshees of Inisherin
      5. Janelle Monae - Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery

      Alt: Nina Hoss - TAR

      Original Screenplay:

      1. Everything Everywhere All At Once
      2. The Banshees of Inisherin
      3. Babylon
      4. The Fabelmans
      5. TAR

      Adapted Screenplay:

      1. Women Talking
      2. Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery
      3. The Whale
      4. Living
      5. Bones & All

      Cinematography:

      1. Avatar: The Way of Water
      2. Babylon
      3. The Fabelmans
      4. Empire of Light
      5. The Batman

      Production Design:

      1. Avatar: The Way of Water
      2. Babylon
      3. The Fablemans
      4. Elvis
      5. Amsterdam

      Costume Design

      1. Babylon
      2. The Fabelmans
      3. Elvis
      4. Amsterdam
      5. Black Panther: Wakanda Forever

      Hair and Make-up

      1. The Whale
      2. Elvis
      3. The Batman
      4. Babylon
      5. Black Panther: Wakanda Forever

      Original Score:

      1. The Fabelmans
      2. Babylon
      3. Avatar: The Way of Water
      4. Women Talking
      5. Empire of Light

      Sound:

      1. Avatar: The Way of Water
      2. Top Gun: Maverick
      3. Babylon
      4. Elvis
      5. The Fabelmans

      Film Editing:

      1. Avatar: The Way of Water
      2. Babylon
      3. The Fabelmans
      4. Everything Everywhere All At Once
      5. Elvis

      VFX:

      1. Avatar: The Way of Water
      2. Top Gun: Maverick
      3. Everything Everywhere All At Once
      4. Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness
      5. The Batman
      4 votes
    6. 2023 Golden Globe predictions

      Drama: The Fabelmans Empire of Light Avatar: The Way of Water The Whale Women Talking Musical/Comedy: Babylon Bardo Everything Everywhere All At Once Elvis Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery...

      Drama:

      1. The Fabelmans
      2. Empire of Light
      3. Avatar: The Way of Water
      4. The Whale
      5. Women Talking

      Musical/Comedy:

      1. Babylon
      2. Bardo
      3. Everything Everywhere All At Once
      4. Elvis
      5. Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery

      Director:

      1. Steven Spielberg - The Fabelmans
      2. Damien Chazelle - Babylon
      3. Sam Mendes - Empire of Light
      4. James Cameron - Avatar: The Way of Water
      5. Baz Luhrmann - Elvis

      Actor - Drama:

      1. Brendan Fraser - The Whale
      2. Hugh Jackman - The Son
      3. Adam Driver - White Noise
      4. Bill Nighy - Living
      5. Tom Cruise - Top Gun: Maverick

      Actress - Drama:

      1. Naomie Ackie - I Wanna Dance With Somebody
      2. Olivia Colman - Empire of Light
      3. Cate Blanchett - TAR
      4. Frances McDormand - Women Talking
      5. Danielle Deadwyle - Till

      Actor - Musical/Comedy:

      1. Austin Butler - Elvis
      2. Daniel Cacho - Bardo
      3. Christian Bale - Amsterdam
      4. Daniel Craig - Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery
      5. Billy Eichner - Bros

      Actress - Musical/Comedy:

      1. Margot Robbie - Babylon
      2. Michelle Yeoh - Everything Everywhere All At Once
      3. Margot Robbie - Amsterdam
      4. Janelle Monae - Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery
      5. Sandra Bullock - The Lost City

      Supporting Actor:

      1. Paul Dano - The Fabelmans
      2. Ke Huy Quan - Everything Everywhere All At Once
      3. Tom Hanks - Elvis
      4. Colin Firth - Empire of Light
      5. Brad Pitt - Babylon

      Supporting Actress:

      1. Michelle Williams - The Fabelmans
      2. Jessie Buckley - Women Talking
      3. Sadie Sink - The Whale
      4. Greta Gerwig - White Noise
      5. Laura Dern - The Son

      Screenplay:

      1. Babylon
      2. The Fabelmans
      3. Bardo
      4. Everything Everywhere All At Once
      5. Women Talking

      Original Score:

      1. The Fabelmans
      2. Empire of Light
      3. Babylon
      4. Women Talking
      5. Avatar: The Way of Water
      4 votes
    7. Updated 2023 Oscar predictions

      I wouldn’t be doing an update this early on but there were recent news of many movies being delayed to 2023 including Killers of the Flower Moon and Rustin. Here’s the last one:...

      I wouldn’t be doing an update this early on but there were recent news of many movies being delayed to 2023 including Killers of the Flower Moon and Rustin.

      Here’s the last one: https://tildes.net/~movies/11ix/early_predictions_for_the_2023_oscars

      Picture:

      1. The Fabelmans
      2. Empire of Light
      3. Bardo
      4. Avatar: The Way of Water
      5. Babylon
      6. The Whale
      7. Women Talking
      8. Elvis
      9. Everything Everywhere All At Once
      10. White Noise

      Director:

      1. Steven Spielberg - The Fabelmans
      2. Sam Mendes - Empire of Light
      3. James Cameron - Avatar: The Way of Water
      4. Damien Chazelle - Babylon
      5. Alejandro G Innaritu - Bardo

      Original Screenplay:

      1. The Fabelmans
      2. Babylon
      3. Empire of Light
      4. Bardo
      5. Everything Everywhere All At Once

      Adapted Screenplay

      1. White Noise
      2. Women Talking
      3. The Whale
      4. The Son
      5. Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery

      Lead Actor:

      1. Austin Butler - Elvis
      2. Adam Driver - White Noise
      3. Daniel Cacho - Bardo
      4. Brendan Fraser - The Whale
      5. Hugh Jackman - The Son

      Lead Actress:

      1. Margot Robbie - Babylon
      2. Cate Blanchett - TAR
      3. Michelle Yeoh - Everything Everywhere All At Once
      4. Olivia Colman - Empire of Light
      5. Naomie Ackie - I Wanna Dance With Somebody

      Supporting Actor:

      1. Paul Dano - The Fabelmans
      2. Seth Rogen - The Fabelmans
      3. Ben Wishaw - Women Talking
      4. Colin Firth - Empire of Light
      5. Brad Pitt - Babylon

      Supporting Actress:

      1. Michelle Williams - The Fabelmans
      2. Jessie Buckley - Women Talking
      3. Sadie Sink - The Whale
      4. Laura Dern - The Son
      5. Greta Gerwig - White Noise

      Animated Feature:

      1. Strange World
      2. My Father's Dragon
      3. Turning Red
      4. Pinnochio
      5. Puss in Boots: The Last Wish

      Best Original Score:

      1. The Fabelmans
      2. Avatar: The Way of Water
      3. Women Talking
      4. Babylon
      5. Empire of Light

      Best Sound:

      1. Avatar: The Way of Water
      2. Top Gun: Maverick
      3. Elvis
      4. Babylon
      5. Bardo

      Best Production Design:

      1. Babylon
      2. Amsterdam
      3. Avatar: The Way of Water
      4. Empire of Light
      5. Elvis

      Best Cinematography:

      1. Avatar: The Way of Water
      2. Bardo
      3. Babylon
      4. Empire of Light
      5. The Fabelmans

      Best Makeup and Hairstyling:

      1. Elvis
      2. The Whale
      3. White Noise
      4. Babylon
      5. The Batman

      Best Costume Design:

      1. Elvis
      2. Amsterdam
      3. Babylon
      4. Empire of Light
      5. The Fabelmans

      Best Film Editing:

      1. Avatar: The Way of Water
      2. Babylon
      3. The Fabelmans
      4. Everything Everywhere All At Once
      5. Elvis

      Best Visual Effects:

      1. Avatar: The Way of Water
      2. Top Gun: Maverick
      3. Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness
      4. The Batman
      5. Everything Everywhere All At Once
      5 votes
    8. Early predictions for the 2023 Oscars

      It’s the summer movie season, which means that Oscar season is right around the corner. Here are my current predictions for what gets nominated. Not everything will end up happening, last year I...

      It’s the summer movie season, which means that Oscar season is right around the corner. Here are my current predictions for what gets nominated. Not everything will end up happening, last year I had The Last Duel making several categories and it ended up getting blanked. You can see my previous relatively early predictions here

      The Cannes Film Festival happened and it was a total bust. Doesn’t seem like there will be a Cannes breakout this year like last year’s Drive My Car.

      Picture:

      1. Killers of the Flower Moon
      2. Empire of Light
      3. The Fabelmans
      4. Avatar: The Way of Water
      5. Babylon
      6. The Whale
      7. Poor Things
      8. Women Talking
      9. Elvis
      10. Thirteen Lives

      Director:

      1. Martin Scorsese - Killers of the Flower Moon
      2. Sam Mendes - Empire of Light
      3. James Cameron - Avatar: The Way of Water
      4. Damien Chazelle - Babylon
      5. Sarah Polley - Women Talking

      Original Screenplay:

      1. Empire of Light
      2. Babylon
      3. The Fabelmans
      4. Thirteen Lives
      5. TAR

      Adapted Screenplay

      1. Killers of the Flower Moon
      2. Poor Things
      3. Women Talking
      4. The Whale
      5. The Son

      Lead Actor:

      1. Austin Butler - Elvis
      2. Hugh Jackman - The Son
      3. Leonardo DiCaprio - Killers of the Flower Moon
      4. Brendan Fraser - The Whale
      5. Colman Domingo - Rustin

      Lead Actress:

      1. Margot Robbie - Babylon
      2. Cate Blanchett - TAR
      3. Emma Stone - Poor Things
      4. Lilly Gladstone - Killers of the Flower Moon
      5. Olivia Colman - Empire of Light

      Supporting Actor:

      1. Paul Dano - The Fabelmans
      2. Robert DeNiro - Killers of the Flower Moon
      3. Ben Wishaw - Women Talking
      4. Colin Firth - Empire of Light
      5. Brad Pitt - Babylon

      Supporting Actress:

      1. Michelle Williams - The Fabelmans
      2. Jessie Buckley - Women Talking
      3. Sadie Sink - The Whale
      4. Laura Dern - The Son
      5. Jean Smart - Babylon

      Animated Feature:

      1. Lightyear
      2. Strange World
      3. Turning Red
      4. Pinnochio
      5. Puss in Boots: The Last Wish

      Best Original Score:

      1. Empire of Light
      2. Avatar: The Way of Water
      3. Women Talking
      4. Babylon
      5. Killers of the Flower Moon

      Best Original Song:

      1. Hold My Hands by Lady Gaga from Top Gun: Maverick
      2. Carolina by Taylor Swift from Where The Crawdad Sing?
      3. Nobody Like U by Billie Eillish and Finneas from Turning Red
      4. On My Way by Jennifer Lopez from Marry Me
      5. Vegas by Doja Cat from Elvis (might be ineligible)

      Best Sound:

      1. Avatar: The Way of Water
      2. Top Gun: Maverick
      3. Killers of the Flower Moon
      4. Babylon
      5. Thirteen Lives

      Best Production Design:

      1. Babylon
      2. Killers of the Flower Moon
      3. Avatar: The Way of Water
      4. Empire of Light
      5. Elvis

      Best Cinematography:

      1. Avatar: The Way of Water
      2. Killers of the Flower Moon
      3. Babylon
      4. Empire of Light
      5. Poor Things

      Best Makeup and Hairstyling:

      1. The Batman
      2. Elvis
      3. The Whale
      4. Babylon
      5. Poor Things

      Best Costume Design:

      1. Poor Things
      2. Killers of the Flower Moon
      3. Babylon
      4. Empire of Light
      5. Elvis

      Best Film Editing:

      1. Avatar: The Way of Water
      2. Babylon
      3. Killers of the Flower Moon
      4. Thirteen Lives
      5. Elvis

      Best Visual Effects:

      1. Avatar: The Way of Water
      2. Top Gun: Maverick
      3. Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness
      4. The Batman
      5. Thirteen Lives
      5 votes
    9. My "final" Oscar winning predictions for the 94th Academy Awards

      I might end up switching things around but these seem pretty solid. Best Picture: CODA Best Director: Jane Campion - The Power of the Dog Best Lead Actor: Will Smith - King Richard Best Lead...

      I might end up switching things around but these seem pretty solid.

      Best Picture: CODA

      Best Director: Jane Campion - The Power of the Dog

      Best Lead Actor: Will Smith - King Richard

      Best Lead Actress: Jessica Chastain - The Eyes of Tammy Faye

      Best Supporting Actor: Troy Kotsur - CODA

      Best Supporting Actress: Ariana DeBose - West Side Story

      Best Original Screenplay: Don't Look Up. Story by Adam McKay and David Sirota. Screenplay by Adam Mckay.

      Best Adapted Screenplay: CODA. Screenplay by Sian Heder. Based on the motion picture La Famille Bélier

      Best Cinematography: Dune

      Best Costume Design: Cruella

      Best Film Editing: Dune (Edit: I switched to King Richard)

      Best Makeup and Hairstyling: The Eyes of Tammy Faye

      Best Production Design: Dune

      Best Original Score: Dune

      Best Original Song: No Time To Die

      Best Sound: Dune

      Best Visual Effects: Dune

      Best Animated Feature: Encanto

      Best Documentary Feature: Summer of Soul

      Best International Film: Drive My Car

      Best Animated Short: Robin Robin

      Beat Documentary Short: The Queen of Basketball (Edit: Switched to Audible)

      Best Live Action Short: The Long Goodbye

      4 votes
    10. How many of this year's Oscar nominees have you seen?

      Hey everyone. I know there's a few people here interested in film, but the majority aren't really. With the Oscars right around the corner, I was curious as to how many of this years nominees you...

      Hey everyone. I know there's a few people here interested in film, but the majority aren't really. With the Oscars right around the corner, I was curious as to how many of this years nominees you have seen. Here's the Wikipedia page to see the nominees.

      I've seen all the Best Picture nominees and most of the acting contenders. Notably I haven't seen Spencer, Parallel Mothers, and The Worst Person in the World which I will try to watch by the time of the ceremony. This year I have seen 4 of the Best Picture nominees in theaters (Belfast, Licorice Pizza, West Side Story and Dune). This is in comparison to last years 0 (obviously) and the year before's 5 (1917, Little Women, Parasite, Joker, and Once Upon A Time Hollywood). The rest I saw through streaming.

      If I had to rank this year's Best Picture nominees, this would be the order:

      1. West Side Story
      2. Licorice Pizza
      3. Don't Look Up
      4. Belfast
      5. Nightmare Alley
      6. King Richard
      7. Drive My Car
      8. The Power of the Dog
      9. CODA
      10. Dune

      What about you guys?

      6 votes
    11. My final Oscar predictions for the 94th Academy Awards

      Okay, I’ve been bombarding all of you with article after article of what other award shows have been nominating and awarding. Here are the nominations for what I had in November. It’s interesting...

      Okay, I’ve been bombarding all of you with article after article of what other award shows have been nominating and awarding.

      Here are the nominations for what I had in November. It’s interesting to see how much has changed, sadly it seems like The Last Duel is going to end up with zero awards.

      Anyways, if you have an Oscar pool going what I’m about to give you would probably put you at the top if your friends don’t follow awards. I did place 30 out of 2200 on Goldderby for my BAFTA nomination predictions so there’s that.

      Here’s what I have, in order of what is most likely to win as of right now:

      Best Picture

      1. The Power of the Dog
      2. Belfast
      3. Licorice Pizza
      4. Dune
      5. Don’t Look Up
      6. West Side Story
      7. King Richard
      8. CODA
      9. tick, tick... BOOM!
      10. Being the Ricardos

      Alternative choice: House of Gucci

      Best Director

      1. Jane Campion - The Power of the Dog
      2. Paul Thomas Anderson - Licorice Pizza
      3. Denis Villeneuve - Dune
      4. Kenneth Branagh - Belfast
      5. Steven Spielberg - West Side Story

      Alternative choice: Adam McKay - Don’t Look Up

      Best Lead Actor

      1. Will Smith - King Richard
      2. Benedict Cumberbatch - The Power of the Dog
      3. Andrew Garfield - tick, tick... BOOM!
      4. Denzel Washington - The Tragedy of Macbeth
      5. Leonardo DiCaprio - Don’t Look Up

      Alternative choice: Javier Bardem - Being the Ricardos

      Best Lead Actress

      1. Lady Gaga - House of Gucci
      2. Alana Haim - Licorice Pizza
      3. Nicole Kidman - Being the Ricardos
      4. Jessica Chastain - The Eyes of Tammy Faye
      5. Olivia Colman - The Lost Daughter

      Alternative choice: Rachel Zegler - West Side Story

      Best Supporting Actor

      1. Kodi Smit-Mcphee - The Power of the Dog
      2. Ciaran Hinds - Belfast
      3. Troy Kotsure - CODA
      4. Bradley Cooper - Licorice Pizza
      5. Jared Leto - House of Gucci

      Alternative choice: Jamie Dornan - Belfast

      Best Supporting Actress

      1. Ariana DeBose - West Side Story
      2. Aunjuane Ellis - King Richard
      3. Caitriona Balfe - Belfast
      4. Kirsten Dunst - The Power of the Dog
      5. Cate Blanchett - Don’t Look Up

      Note: I’m actually taking a big risk in predicting Blanchett, Ruth Negga - Passing seems to be the most obvious fifth choice.

      Best Original Screenplay

      1. Licorice Pizza
      2. Belfast
      3. Don’t Look Up
      4. King Richard
      5. Being the Ricardos

      Best Adapted Screenplay

      1. The Power of the Dog
      2. CODA
      3. Dune
      4. The Lost Daughter
      5. West Side Story

      Alternative choice: tick, tick... BOOM!

      Best Cinematography

      1. Dune
      2. The Tragedy of Macbeth
      3. The Power of the Dog
      4. West Side Story
      5. Belfast

      Alternative choice: Nightmare Alley

      Best Film Editing

      1. Dune
      2. Belfast
      3. Licorice Pizza
      4. The Power of the Dog
      5. West Side Story

      Alternative choice: Don’t Look Up

      Best Costume Design

      1. Cruella
      2. Dune
      3. West Side Story
      4. House of Gucci
      5. Nightmare Alley

      Alt: Cyrano

      Best Hair and Makeup

      1. House of Gucci
      2. The Eyes of Tammy Faye
      3. Dune
      4. Cruella
      5. Coming 2 America

      Alt: Cyrano

      Best Production Design

      1. Dune
      2. West Side Story
      3. The Tragedy of Macbeth
      4. Nightmare Alley
      5. The French Dispatch

      Alt: Licorice Pizza

      Best Original Score

      1. Dune
      2. The Power of the Dog
      3. Don’t Look Up
      4. The French Dispatch
      5. Encanto

      Alt: Being the Ricardos

      Best Original Song

      1. No Time To Die from No Time To Die
      2. Dos Oruguitas from Encanto
      3. Just Look Up from Don’t Look Up
      4. Be Alive from King Richard
      5. Down to Joy from Belfast

      Alt: Guns Go Bang from The Harder They Fall

      Best Sound

      1. Dune
      2. West Side Story
      3. No Time To Die
      4. The Power of the Dog
      5. Spider-Man: No Way Home

      Alt: A Quiet Place Part II

      Best Visual Effects

      1. Dune
      2. Spider-Man: No Way Home
      3. No Time To Die
      4. Godzilla vs Kong
      5. The Matrix: Resurrections

      Alt: Shang-Chi and the legend of the Ten Rings.

      Best Animated Feature

      1. Encanto
      2. Flee
      3. Luca
      4. The Mitchell’s vs the Machines
      5. Raya and the Last Dragon

      Alt: Belle

      Best Documentary Feature

      1. Summer of Soul
      2. Flee
      3. The Rescue
      4. Procession
      5. Ascension

      Best International Feature

      1. Drive My Car
      2. The Hand of God
      3. Flee
      4. A Hero
      5. The Worst Person in the World

      And those are all the categories. Oscar nominations will be announced on the 8th and of course I will be posting them.

      9 votes
    12. 2022 PGA, DGA, and WGA nominees

      The various guilds released their nominations today (in what’s been called D-Day for Awards followers since it’s usually not lined up like this). These are reflective of what the industry likes...

      The various guilds released their nominations today (in what’s been called D-Day for Awards followers since it’s usually not lined up like this). These are reflective of what the industry likes (and gives us really big clues as to what will end up nominated at the Oscars).

      Producers Guild of America:

      BEING THE RICARDOS

      BELFAST

      CODA

      DON’T LOOK UP

      DUNE

      KING RICHARD

      LICORICE PIZZA

      THE POWER OF THE DOG

      TICK TICK BOOM

      WEST SIDE STORY

      Directors Guild of America:

      Feature Film:

      Paul Thomas Anderson - Licorice Pizza

      Kenneth Branagh - Belfast

      Jane Campion - The Power of the Dog

      Steven Spielberg - West Side Story

      Denis Villeneuve - Dune

      First Time Feature:

      Maggie Gyllenhaal - The Lost Daughter

      Rebecca Hall - Passing

      Tatiana Huezo - Prayers for the Stolen

      Lin-Manuel Miranda - tick, tick...BOOM!

      Michael Sarnoski - Pig

      Emma Seligman - Shiva Baby

      Writer’s Guild of America:

      Original Screenplay:

      Being the Ricardos

      Don’t Look Up

      The French Dispatch

      King Richard

      Licorice Pizza

      Adapted Screenplay:

      CODA

      Dune

      Nightmare Alley

      tick, tick... BOOM!

      West Side Story

      5 votes