10
votes
2026 Oscar nomination predictions
Picture
- One Battle After Another
- Sinners
- Hamnet
- Sentimental Value
- Marty Supreme
- Frankenstein
- Train Dreams
- Bugonia
- F1
- The Secret Agent
Director
- Paul Thomas Anderson - One Battle After Another
- Ryan Coogler - Sinners
- Josh Safdie - Marty Supreme
- Joachim Trier - Sentimental Value
- Guillermo del Toro - Frankenstein
Original Screenplay
- Sinners
- Sentimental Value
- Marty Supreme
- Weapons
- The Secret Agent
Adapted Screenplay
- One Battle After Another
- Hamnet
- Bugonia
- Frankenstein
- Train Dreams
Lead Actress
- Jessie Buckley - Hamnet
- Rose Byrne - If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
- Renate Reinsve - Sentimental Value
- Chase Infiniti - One Battle After Another
- Emma Stone - Bugonia
Lead Actor
- Timothee Chalamet - Marty Supreme
- Leonardo DiCaprio - One Battle After Another
- Michael B Jordan - Sinners
- Wagner Moura - The Secret Agent
- Jesse Plemons - Bugonia
Supporting Actress
- Teyana Taylor - One Battle After Another
- Amy Madigan - Weapons
- Odessa A'zion - Marty Supreme
- Wumni Mosaku - Sinners
- Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas - Sentimental Value
Supporting Actor
- Benicio Del Toro - One Battle After Another
- Stellan Skarsgard - Sentimental Value
- Jacob Elordi - Frankenstein
- Sean Penn - One Battle After Another
- Paul Mescal - Hamnet
Casting
- Sinners
- One Battle After Another
- Hamnet
- Marty Supreme
- Frankenstein
Cinematography
- Sinners
- One Battle After Another
- Frankenstein
- Marty Supreme
- Train Dreams
Costume Design
- Frankenstein
- Sinners
- Wicked: For Good
- Hamnet
- Marty Supreme
Film Editing
- One Battle After Another
- Sinners
- Marty Supreme
- F1
- Frankenstein
Makeup and Hairstyling
- Frankenstein
- Wicked: For Good
- Sinners
- The Smashing Machine
- One Battle After Another
Production Design
- Frankenstein
- Wicked: For Good
- Sinners
- Hamnet
- Marty Supreme
Original Score
- Sinners
- One Battle After Another
- Frankenstein
- Marty Supreme
- F1
Original Song
- "Golden" from KPop Demon Hunters
- "I Lied To You" from Sinners
- "The Girl in the Bubble" from Wicked: For Good
- "Dear Me" from Diane Warren: Relentless
- "Drive" from F1
Sound
- F1
- Sinners
- Avatar: Fire and Ash
- One Battle After Another
- Frankenstein
Visual Effects
- Avatar: Fire and Ash
- Frankenstein
- Superman
- F1
- The Lost Bus
Animated Feature
- KPop Demon Hunters
- Zootopia 2
- Arco
- Elio
- Little Amelie or the Character of Rain
Documentary Feature
- The Perfect Neighbor
- 2000 Meters to Andriivka
- The Alabama Solution
- Cover-Up
- Apocalypse in the Tropics
International Film
- The Secret Agent
- Sentimental Value
- It Was Just an Accident
- No Other Choice
- Sirat
I only know what the first two animated films are (which were goth good), but Demon Slayer: Infinity Castle is a glaring omission. Not only did it break records for a Japanese film at the US and global box office, but it pushed boundaries of the art and is basically the beginning of a finale of one of the most popular anime series in the past eight years. (Also technically the highest grossing comic book film of the year, beating Superman.)
It's guaranteed at least a nomination, I'd think, given they put a ten minute video up on the Oscars YouTube channel. https://youtube.com/watch?v=FLB_sLTgbPk
It might get nominated for cultural importance, but to be honest, as a film, it is quite mid. It was animated beautifully, but the story was fairly shonen-slop (although, to be fair, much of that is the source material), the pacing was truly atrocious (this is where I think it even fell short of the anime), and I don't think it adapted the manga particularly well.
I wouldn't really say it deserves much more than a passing nomination.
If we are throwing nods to shonen manga arcs turned into movies, Chainsawman seemed to get better critical reception.
I wasn't sure how nominations work, at a brief glance, they qualified (the daily guardian) to enter back in Nov, and they'll announce official noms Jan 22. I'm sure a lot of it is the studio bosses working the rounds to drum up hype for it. A lot of this will be influenced by how deep studio pockets go, and it's up against Pixar and Sony and Netflix on this front. Being in Japanese language will probably hurt, especially running up against English dubbed Kpop Demon Slayers being a bigger thing in North America. Further, it's a middle of the arc movie which traditionally aren't very well paced when considered as an independent piece. So! Let's see what happens.
What are your thoughts on Infinity Castle vs Chainsawman Rize vs Kpop demon hunters?
I haven't seen the Chainsaw Man film, but I've seen the other two multiple times.
Demon Slayer, I watched twice at different theaters. I saw the English dub at the local Alamo, as it was the earliest available, and I watched the subtitled version (better) at an Atmos theater (though the venue itself was less comfortable).
I've been watching Demon Slayer since the first season dropped, and have watched it grow into an international phenomenon. I watched Mugen Train in a theater when it came out, and remember thinking Ufotable had achieved something visually spectacular at the time...and going back, I can see how incredibly far of a leap they've made with Infinity Castle. This is basically the cutting edge of 2D animation, and it's really something to behold when you compare it to their prior works. Consider Disney's first steps, decades ago, to integrate CGI with traditional animation, in the "Renaissance" films...and then see how every shot in this film is a blend of intricate CGI environments with many layers of hand drawn work over it. And having CGI elements not stick out like a sore thumb is a technical feat in itself. Non Photorealistic Rendering is something that the CGI industry has grossly overlooked, and takes extra effort to achieve still, with custom shaders and meticulously prepared materials.
I should have prefaced this with saying that I'm first and foremost a Ufotable fan. I really like their work with the Fate series, and I've also see Kara no Kyoukai.
Story-wise, it was good. It wrapped up some characters' arcs, in a way that makes sense for a movie, but seemed a little abrupt and out of nowhere in the context of a larger series. (Though maybe that's more true to life than dramatic expectations...) It's good at emotional punches, and I really like how they handled Akaza. One of the weaker points of Demon Slayer as a whole is that they kill a demon and then the audience gets the backstory flashback, every single time. I really like that we got, perhaps the most tragic one to date, and with someone who Tanjiro has a personal vendetta against, during the drawn out fight. Every part of that fight, in the present, is just foundation to show us that story and add a ton of depth to a character that Tanjiro had wanted dead as much as the Big Bad.
Kpop Dmeon Hunters...I was very early to that one. I saw it on day one, thought it was funny and enjoyable, but then have been forced to experience the film and the music over and over again since. (And people don't even like the good songs, which are definitively Soda Pop and How it's Done.) They criminally underutilized SungWon Cho.
The animation was good, and I like how they stylized it, but it's ultimately still CGI, and isn't doing anything that wasn't already done (on a higher budget) with the Spiderverse films. The animation for fights also lacks...weight?
Story wise...it's fairly basic stuff. The plot's on a rail and doesn't have much time to breathe, taking us through a mix of an idol anime and a shounen type story. Which, in principle, I'm all here for, but I guess it only 75% landed. I think Zoey would have been a more interesting character for it to focus on.
The music was well done and integrates well with the film. I'm generally of the opinion that not enough films are musicals.
So, I'd say it's very good, not amazing, and not doing anything too spectacular with the art...but where it's picked up a lot of steam is as a more kid-friendly movie that's freely available on one of the largest streaming sites. Which means it's going against Zootopia 2, which was also a good film, a very anticipated and now high-grossing one, with some interesting technological advancements. (That snow!)
And on that note, I'm going to go see the new Zombie Land Saga movie tonight and go from two films about slaying demons to a film about zombie idols...maybe fighting invading space aliens.
The Oscar’s YouTube channel posts a lot of videos from all types of films. There’s also Ne Zha 2 which is the highest grossing film of the year. Could either of those get nominated? Sure. Not guaranteed though.
F1 was my big surprise last year. I do like F1 in general and like to sim-race, but went into the movie expecting a typical cheesy sports/racing movie and it couldn't have landed farther from my expectations. I loved every minute of it and I can't remember when it was last that I had so much fun watching a movie. No political messages have been tried to be thrown in my face and no unbelievable deeper meaning has been tried to be buried in the plot. It was just plain fun, really good execution and Brad Pitt and Javier Bardem are standard good with Damson Idris being a nice movie buddy to Brad Pitt. The 2.5 hours of playtime could have gladly been even longer and I don't remember when the last time was that I said that about a movie.
I'm surprised not to see Warfare in the sound category. That's one movie that really benefits from fancy theater sound where the loud parts can be loud, the bass shakes the entire room, etc.