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17 votes
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Why US Democrats got the politics of immigration so wrong for so long
20 votes -
Far-right independent candidate (Calin Georgescu) takes shock lead in Romanian presidential election
15 votes -
A conspiracy theory about US "bullet ballots" - How it's hard to evaluate stuff you see online
I think I won't post the link here to one of the posts about this because I think it's an unproven conspiracy theory and it isn't true. But there is a particular story going around online that one...
I think I won't post the link here to one of the posts about this because I think it's an unproven conspiracy theory and it isn't true.
But there is a particular story going around online that one or more security experts is claiming that the latest presidential election was stolen. The "proof" is of this type:- I'm a security expert
- There is some stuff in the election results that is statistically impossible, especially in swing states
- There is a specific type of ballot where the voter has only voted for one candidate or issue
- Here are the numbers compared to the normal numbers
- Voting machines were compromised, and here's how
For each of those bullet points (and a few others I didn't mention), I have to go and research that data in order to determine if it is accurate.
- I could google the expert and check their reputation
- I could research how common it is to have certain types of ballot completions
- I may be able to get detailed information about specific counties and their historic voting patterns
- I could do a lot of research on voting machine integrity
The research on each of those bullets could be compromised by other misinformation, astroturfing, bad AI summaries, etc.
Or I could just send the link to everyone I know and hope that someone else does this. Or just send it because I don't like the election result and I wish this story was true.
It's easy to see why CNN reported that 70% of Republicans thought the 2020 election was stolen, especially since conspiracy theories were repeated to them on all their main news sources and confirmed their biases.
7 votes -
Dozens of activists get four to ten years in prison in Hong Kong's biggest national security case
12 votes -
2024 United States election megathread
Post any/all news and discussion related to the US Election here. If there is something substantially newsworthy, feel free to post it as a separate topic. This will be a noisy topic. Please use...
Post any/all news and discussion related to the US Election here.
If there is something substantially newsworthy, feel free to post it as a separate topic.
This will be a noisy topic. Please use the
ignore
feature if you do not want to see it in your feed.If you need something to occupy your mind so you stop refreshing this and other news sites, check out our Distractions Thread.
Election Dashboards:
97 votes -
Yes, elections produce stupid results. Is there an alternative?
7 votes -
Inside the plan to use AI to purge US voter rolls
13 votes -
How to vote rationally + Intrinsic values survey
13 votes -
Redding property manager fired after posting on Reddit that he used ex-tenant mail-in ballots to vote for Donald Trump
52 votes -
My voter registration name keeps getting changed/misspelled. Should I complain to the state or my county clerk?
I have a slightly unusual last name, leading to people assuming they know how to spell it better than I do. I have already fixed my registered name once this year and I just received a new voter...
I have a slightly unusual last name, leading to people assuming they know how to spell it better than I do. I have already fixed my registered name once this year and I just received a new voter registration card...and it had the old spelling. I checked my registration online and the spelling has reverted in the state database too. Whose fault is this and WHY THE HELL DO PEOPLE MANUALLY ENTER/EDIT NAMES THAT USERS ENTER INTO COMPUTER SYSTEMS? WHY IS THIS A THING?? WHY DO I GET SO MUCH MAIL WITH MY NAME MISSPELLED??? JUST SPELL IT THE WAY I ENTERED IT INTO YOUR SYSTEM, YOU JACKASSES.
41 votes -
Georgia voter cancellation site
33 votes -
Cards Against Humanity pays you to give a shit
64 votes -
USA folks, don't forget to register to vote
87 votes -
US Fifth Circuit Court of Appeals further narrows Voting Rights Act’s scope
33 votes -
What are the most effective ways to help get Joe Biden re-elected in the US?
So I'm kind of terrified by recent political news. What can I do to help? Options include: Donating Phone banking Text banking Postcarding Door knocking Volunteering as an election worker Does...
So I'm kind of terrified by recent political news. What can I do to help?
Options include:
- Donating
- Phone banking
- Text banking
- Postcarding
- Door knocking
- Volunteering as an election worker
Does anyone have an informed opinion about which of these will actually move the needle and which ones just make you feel like you're doing something?
48 votes -
Why the South Carolina redistricting case was decided six to three
4 votes -
Ferrying voting machines to mountains and tropical areas in Indian elections is a Herculean task
13 votes -
As elections loom, US Congressional maps challenged as discriminatory will remain in place
8 votes -
Red and blue US states: dichotomized maps mislead and reduce perceived voting influence
25 votes -
Senior EU politician launches bid to remove Hungary’s voting rights
22 votes -
Chile voters reject conservative proposal to replace dictatorship-era constitution
12 votes -
Anonymous sources say Alabama political maps are part of a plan by Republicans in the state Senate to break Section 2 of the Voting Rights Act, a long-held goal of many conservatives
22 votes -
Alabama is defying the US Supreme Court on voting rights
32 votes -
The other Turkish voters who could be crucial
4 votes -
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva narrowly defeats Jair Bolsonaro to win Brazil presidency again
25 votes -
Brazilian second round kicks off with Satan and Freemasonry dominating Brazilian runoff campaign
5 votes -
Jair Bolsonaro, Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva headed to runoff after tight Brazil election
11 votes -
French election 2022: full live results
17 votes -
Texas is quietly using redistricting lawsuits to launch a broader war against federal voting rights law
5 votes -
Pro-Vladimir Putin party maintains majority in Russian elections despite declining support, many results almost certainly rigged
15 votes -
Millions in UK face disenfranchisement under voter ID plans
7 votes -
We selected 10,000 American neighborhoods at random. If we dropped you into one of them, could you guess how most people there voted?
29 votes -
Georgia House passes sweeping bill that would restrict voting access, setting up final vote next week
8 votes -
Could "fuzzing" voting, election, and judicial process improve decisionmaking and democratic outcomes?
Voting is determinative, especially where the constituency is precisely known, as with a legislature, executive council, panel of judges, gerrymandered electoral district, defined organisational...
Voting is determinative, especially where the constituency is precisely known, as with a legislature, executive council, panel of judges, gerrymandered electoral district, defined organisational membership. If you know, with high precision, who is voting, then you can determine or influence how they vote, or what the outcome will be. Which lends a certain amount of predictability (often considered as good), but also of a tyranny of the majority. This is especially true where long-standing majorities can be assured: legislatures, boards of directors, courts, ethnic or cultural majorities.
The result is a very high-stakes game in establishing majorities, influencing critical constituencies, packing courts, and gaming parliamentary and organisational procedures. But is this the best method --- both in terms of representational eqquity and of decision and goverrnance quality?
Hands down the most fascinating article I've read over the past decade is Michael Schulson's "How to choose? When your reasons are worse than useless, sometimes the most rational choice is a random stab in the dark", in Aeon. The essay, drawing heavily on Peter Stone, The Luck of the Draw: The Role of Lotteries in Decision Making (2011), which I've not read, mostly concerns decisions under uncertainty and of the risk of bad decisions. It seems to me that it also applies to periods of extreme political partisanship and division. An unlikely but possible circumstance, I'm sure....
Under many political systems, control is binary and discrete. A party with a majority in a legislature or judiciary, or control of the executive, has absolute control, barring procedural exceptions. Moreover, what results is a politics of veto power, where the bloc defining a controlling share of votes effectively controls the entire organisation. It may not be able to get its way, but it can determine which of two pluralities can reach a majority. Often in favour of its own considerations, overtly or covertly --- this is an obvious engine of corruption.
(This is why "political flexibility" often translates to more effective power than a hardline orthodoxy.)
One inspiration is a suggestion for US Supreme Court reform: greatly expand the court, hear more cases, but randomly assign a subset of judges to each case.[1] A litigant cannot know what specific magistrates will hear a case, and even a highly-packed court could produce minority-majority panels.
Where voting can be fuzzed, the majority's power is made less absolute, more uncertain, and considerations which presume that such a majority cannot be assured, one hopes, would lead to a more inclusive decisionmaking process. Some specific mechanisms;
- All members vote, but a subset of votes are considered at random. The larger the subset, the more reliably the true majority wins.
- A subset of members votes. As in the court example above.
- An executive role (presidency, leader, chairmanship) is rotated over time.
- For ranged decisions (quantitative, rather than yes/no), a value is selected randomly based on weighted support.
Concensus/majority decisionmaking tends to locked and unrepresentitive states. Fuzzing might better unlock these and increase representation.
Notes
- A selection of articles on Supreme Court reforms and expansion, from an earlier G+ post: https://web.archive.org/web/20190117114110/https://plus.google.com/104092656004159577193/posts/9btDjFcNhg1 Also, notably, court restructuring or resizing has been practiced: "Republicans Oppose Court Packing (Except When They Support It)".
- Jonathan Turley at WashPo, suggesting 19 justices:
https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/the-fate-of-health-care-shouldnt-come-down-to-9-justices-try-19/2012/06/22/gJQAv0gpvV_story.html - Robert W. Merry at The National Interest, agreeing:
https://nationalinterest.org/blog/the-buzz/court-packing-revisited-7123 - Michael Hiltzik at the LA Times:
http://www.latimes.com/business/hiltzik/la-fi-hiltzik-scotus-20180629-story.html - Jacob Hale Russell, at Time, suggests 27 justices:
http://time.com/5338689/supreme-court-packing/ - And Glen Harlan Reynolds, at USA Today ups the ante to 59 justices:
https://www.usatoday.com/story/opinion/2018/07/02/make-supreme-court-lots-bigger-59-justices-more-like-america-column/749326002/ - Dylan Matthews at Vox, pointing at several other suggestions:
https://www.vox.com/2018/7/2/17513520/court-packing-explained-fdr-roosevelt-new-deal-democrats-supreme-court - From the left, Todd N. Tucker at Jacobin:
https://jacobinmag.com/2018/06/supreme-court-packing-fdr-justices-appointments - Scott Lemieux at The New Republic:
https://newrepublic.com/article/148358/democrats-prepare-pack-supreme-court - Ian Millhiser at Slate:
http://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/jurisprudence/2015/02/fdr_court_packing_plan_obama_and_roosevelt_s_supreme_court_standoffs.html - Zach Carter at Huffington Post:
https://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/hey-democrats-pack-the-court_us_5b33f7a8e4b0b5e692f3f3d4 - A pseudonymous piece by "@kept_simple" at The Outline:
https://theoutline.com/post/5126/pack-the-court-judicial-appointment-scalia-is-in-hell - And a dissenting opinion from
Justice ThomasJosh Blackman at National Review:
https://www.nationalreview.com/2018/07/supreme-court-nominee-court-packing-not-feasible/ - As well as some alarm klaxon sounding from The Daily Caller:
https://dailycaller.com/2018/06/28/democrats-pack-supreme-court/
- Jonathan Turley at WashPo, suggesting 19 justices:
14 votes -
Why critics find Brett Kavanaugh's Wisconsin mail-in voting opinion 'sloppy'
6 votes -
Are you a foreigner interested in what will happen in Chile on Sunday? Read here…
20 votes -
How prepared are these seven battlegrounds for the election? A readiness report
4 votes -
Vote safely: How to find a trustworthy election ballot drop-off location
17 votes -
Behind in polls, Republicans see a silver lining in voter registrations
6 votes -
Inside the Republican plot for permanent minority rule
25 votes -
As states prepared mail-in ballots, US Postal Service failed to update at least 1.8 million addresses
5 votes -
In Georgia’s chaotic primary, as many as 1,000 voters may have cast ballots by mail and in person, secretary of state says
9 votes -
Who gets to vote in Florida?
10 votes -
Judge voids 50,000 absentee ballot requests in Iowa county
10 votes -
The truth about voting by mail and election fraud | Real Law Review
5 votes -
One IT guy’s spreadsheet-fueled race to restore voting rights
15 votes -
How will voting by mail work for you?
Are you able to vote by mail? Are you signed up to do it? Would you actually put your ballot in a mailbox or drop it off somewhere?
20 votes -
There have been thirty-eight statewide elections during the pandemic. Here's how they went
5 votes -
What can we do to support voter turnout in the US elections this fall?
There is an important election in the United States this fall, and we've all heard a lot of concern expressed about efforts to suppress the vote. Under the shadow of all the other issues we're...
There is an important election in the United States this fall, and we've all heard a lot of concern expressed about efforts to suppress the vote. Under the shadow of all the other issues we're currently facing as a society, I know a lot of people who are asking "what concrete actions can I take to make a difference?" It seems like helping to get out the vote is one very important action.
So here's a question to the Tildes community: what suggestions do you have about how we (as individuals) can help get out the vote this fall? Big or small, donating money or doing physical work -- what can we do?
15 votes