Lyrl's recent activity

  1. Comment on US general warns he lacks sufficient forces to protect Israel amid Iran war in ~society

    Lyrl
    Link Parent
    Deferred maintenance on critical navy vessels is a horrible ticking time bomb. It was a significant contributing factor to the accidents that killed seventeen sailors ten years ago...

    Deferred maintenance on critical navy vessels is a horrible ticking time bomb. It was a significant contributing factor to the accidents that killed seventeen sailors ten years ago (https://features.propublica.org/navy-accidents/us-navy-crashes-japan-cause-mccain/). That lesson being thrown out the window, but this time in a war zone is incredibly painful.

    10 votes
  2. Comment on DNA tests are uncovering the true prevalence of incest (gifted link) in ~health

    Lyrl
    Link
    1 in 7000? That is surprisingly high. Yikes.

    1 in 7000? That is surprisingly high. Yikes.

    12 votes
  3. Comment on Social media influencers Andrew and Tristan Tate arrested in Miami in ~news

    Lyrl
    Link Parent
    Hopefully Trump and those close to him are distracted from the Whitehouse-level intervention on their behalf (https://www.propublica.org/article/andrew-tate-investigation-dhs-paul-ingrassia) long...

    Hopefully Trump and those close to him are distracted from the Whitehouse-level intervention on their behalf (https://www.propublica.org/article/andrew-tate-investigation-dhs-paul-ingrassia) long enough for the extradition process to happen.

    13 votes
  4. Comment on Linus Torvalds says Linux is not "anti-AI", tells haters to 'fork it' and 'just walk away' in ~tech

    Lyrl
    Link Parent
    My husband works in architecture, and now commonly uses AI for renderings that clients need to fundraise for their product. Doesn't have to be precise, is important enough it used to justify weeks...

    My husband works in architecture, and now commonly uses AI for renderings that clients need to fundraise for their product. Doesn't have to be precise, is important enough it used to justify weeks of work to get close enough for purpose, and can now be done in minutes. Construction documents are still all from human input to design programs that generate the level of precision needed for actual building.

    4 votes
  5. Comment on Linus Torvalds says Linux is not "anti-AI", tells haters to 'fork it' and 'just walk away' in ~tech

    Lyrl
    Link Parent
    The industrial revolution dramatically expanded environmental damage inflicted by humans. But any movement to live without anything derived from fossil fuels is tiny. Many people feel bad about...

    The industrial revolution dramatically expanded environmental damage inflicted by humans. But any movement to live without anything derived from fossil fuels is tiny. Many people feel bad about pollution and displacement of poor communities, but not so bad they are willing to give up cheap clothing, mass produced foods, or pocket computers and the internet. I don't see any path where AI ends up treated any differently. Whatever guardrails end up existing will be government regulation, if voters manage to elect people who both care about and are competent at implementing effective bureaucracy.

    1 vote
  6. Comment on Weekly US politics news and updates thread - week of July 6 in ~society

    Lyrl
    Link Parent
    There was a Representative a few years ago whose family put into a memory care home. No announcement, but after a few months a reporter tracked her down. She kept pulling her paycheck while...

    There was a Representative a few years ago whose family put into a memory care home. No announcement, but after a few months a reporter tracked her down. She kept pulling her paycheck while missing all the remaining votes in her term.

    I think the most common outcome of disability is they don't run for reelection, so all their votes are just missed for however much is left of their term. But if they have an established staff and the party considers the seat important, even clearly mentally toast reps or senators will have basically shadow campaigns run for them, keep winning elections purely off name recognition, and staff coach them how to vote whatever is the party line. From the Wikipedia article on Strom Thurmand (senator 1954-2003) https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Strom_Thurmond#Health :

    Retrospectively, a Senate aide stated that "for his last ten years, Thurmond didn't know if he was on foot or on horseback", while a 2020 New Yorker article stated that he was "widely known" by the end of his career to be non compos mentis.

    3 votes
  7. Comment on US Supreme Court upholds birthright citizenship, ruling against Donald Trump's order in ~society

    Lyrl
    Link Parent
    Yes, and a few Republicans have argued the 22nd limiting each president to two terms means consecutive terms, so since Biden was in between Trump's terms so far Trump is OK to run for president in...

    Yes, and a few Republicans have argued the 22nd limiting each president to two terms means consecutive terms, so since Biden was in between Trump's terms so far Trump is OK to run for president in 2028.

    It's not the Supreme Court preventing that interpretation from being realized, it's the bureaucracy of the Republican party. That remains, so far, a fringe argument without the institutional support needed to have Trump's name printed on another presidential ballot. If the party position changed, I don't see the Supreme Court standing in the way.

    3 votes
  8. Comment on $22,000 per hour: assistants use a legislative loophole to outearn US surgeons in ~health

    Lyrl
    Link Parent
    The last article I came across said the arguments submitted to the arbitration are sealed, so no one can do any analysis of what arguments are persuading the arbitrators. Some people they...

    The last article I came across said the arguments submitted to the arbitration are sealed, so no one can do any analysis of what arguments are persuading the arbitrators. Some people they interviewed speculated the providers were writing about past very low payouts and claiming they needed to make up for all the historical squeeze with a bonus payment.

    7 votes
  9. Comment on Not so empty nesters: record-high number of US adults under 35 live at home, new data says in ~life

    Lyrl
    Link Parent
    If four people want one of three housing units, they will bid against each other until one of them decides to make a home elsewhere or two of them decide to be roommates. The price increase is...

    If four people want one of three housing units, they will bid against each other until one of them decides to make a home elsewhere or two of them decide to be roommates. The price increase is driven by how much the person(s) who end up dropping out of the bidding can tolerate, not by the ratio of people to housing units. Even a small mismatch between housing demand and supply can cause large increases in pricing - the increase has to be large enough to convince however many "extra" aspiring households there are to make a home elsewhere or with roommates.

    4 votes
  10. Comment on Not so empty nesters: record-high number of US adults under 35 live at home, new data says in ~life

    Lyrl
    Link Parent
    A quick Google search got me this page: https://www.macrotrends.net/global-metrics/cities/22956/chicago/population Which claims the Chicago metro area has increased in population about half a...

    A quick Google search got me this page: https://www.macrotrends.net/global-metrics/cities/22956/chicago/population

    Which claims the Chicago metro area has increased in population about half a percent or 50,000 people every year the last several years.

    The Wikipedia page (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demographics_of_Chicago) has population history of the city proper (rather than the full metro area), but only for the census years. The most recent census in 2020 showed a population increase of 1.9% or 50,000 people since 2010.

    I would consider that "growing".

    3 votes
  11. Comment on Not so empty nesters: record-high number of US adults under 35 live at home, new data says in ~life

    Lyrl
    Link Parent
    The problems of shortage and wealth building mindset are intertwined. Shortages drive up prices, which gets people used to property ownership building wealth, and makes property owners fight any...

    The problems of shortage and wealth building mindset are intertwined. Shortages drive up prices, which gets people used to property ownership building wealth, and makes property owners fight any public policy that would decrease property value, which worsens shortages.

    Also, where has population been stable? My impression is the large majority of cities are either noticeably growing or shrinking.

    6 votes
  12. Comment on Not so empty nesters: record-high number of US adults under 35 live at home, new data says in ~life

    Lyrl
    (edited )
    Link Parent
    The "headline number" that reporters put in headlines only counts people actively looking for work, but the underlying BLS report has six unemployment measures in every publication: U-1 long-term...

    The "headline number" that reporters put in headlines only counts people actively looking for work, but the underlying BLS report has six unemployment measures in every publication:

    • U-1 long-term unemployed still actively seeking work
    • U-2 recently unemployed actively seeking work
    • U-3 all unemployed actively seeking work (headline number)
    • U-4 all unemployed either actively seeking work, or not seeking work because they don't believe a search would succeed (discouraged workers)
    • U-5 all unemployed (people who want a job) regardless of whether or why they are or aren't actively searching (marginally attached workers)
    • U-6 all unemployed plus people working part-time who want to work full-time but aren't finding jobs that will give them full-time hours.

    Of course U3 is a lower number than U4-6, because by definition it counts less people, but all six measures tend to move up and down together. A variety of labor force participation rates are also in the report, as well as wage information, which is where people losing higher paying jobs and accepting lower paying ones would show up. The different measures are each useful for different kinds of research and insights, but I think it's a misunderstanding to say a particular U-type is an undercount.

    18 votes
  13. Comment on The room the economy can’t see in ~society

    Lyrl
    Link Parent
    It's been a thing in Alaska for half a century. No, the Permanent Fund dividend is not enough to live on, but it creates a floor that gives people the kind of flexibility this article is...

    It's been a thing in Alaska for half a century. No, the Permanent Fund dividend is not enough to live on, but it creates a floor that gives people the kind of flexibility this article is advocating for.

    Some advocates for basic income are "full living income or bust" types, but I see that as the perfect being the enemy of the good. We can get something started, start getting the benefits to people and communities in the near-term, and then see if it can be built on from there. I have hope.

    4 votes
  14. Comment on What internet discussion sites remain? in ~tech

    Lyrl
    Link Parent
    Disappointing. I pulled up my email from invites@tildes.net from June 2023, and the reply only took three days. My sidebar has "invite someone" under the Misc section, and that must have appeared...

    Disappointing. I pulled up my email from invites@tildes.net from June 2023, and the reply only took three days. My sidebar has "invite someone" under the Misc section, and that must have appeared pretty quickly because I sent my husband an invite three days after receiving the join link from Deimos. Sorry to learn the invite experience is rockier now, not sure what that means for long term community health.

    2 votes
  15. Comment on What internet discussion sites remain? in ~tech

    Lyrl
    Link Parent
    I got my invite by emailing, and got I think ten codes to hand out, although only ever used one. This was a few years ago, though, have things changed?

    I got my invite by emailing, and got I think ten codes to hand out, although only ever used one. This was a few years ago, though, have things changed?

    1 vote
  16. Comment on What’s something that didn’t work for you? in ~talk

    Lyrl
    Link Parent
    My husband has a similar experience, where it seems like my reduced stress from not listening to extended silence followed by great big gasps for air on repeat is the main change. He has commented...

    My husband has a similar experience, where it seems like my reduced stress from not listening to extended silence followed by great big gasps for air on repeat is the main change. He has commented that he used to have a headache all the time, and with the BiPAP he only gets headaches occasionally, so that's something.

    I believe he has some other issue sapping his energy, and has had this other issue for years predating any apnea. However, he watched me go through numerous doctor visits over five years to get my diagnosis for being unreasonably easily fatigued (POTS), for which there aren't any good treatments (mainly coping strategies, and some things that take the edge off for some people), and decided he wasn't up for that. So whatever he has will remain mysterious.

    3 votes
  17. Comment on Nobody understands the point of hybrid cars in ~transport

    Lyrl
    Link Parent
    All-electric trains are a thing, sure. For some routes they are the best option. For routes that extends significantly beyond where wire has been built, diesel engines fill that gap.

    All-electric trains are a thing, sure. For some routes they are the best option. For routes that extends significantly beyond where wire has been built, diesel engines fill that gap.

  18. Comment on Nobody understands the point of hybrid cars in ~transport

    Lyrl
    Link Parent
    What was the weather like the weeks you borrowed the car? I got a Prius in October, and it got low 40s mpg all winter. Popped up to high 50s as soon as the temps were consistently above freezing....

    What was the weather like the weeks you borrowed the car? I got a Prius in October, and it got low 40s mpg all winter. Popped up to high 50s as soon as the temps were consistently above freezing.

    Also, I believe tuning details on the hybrids make optimal driving styles for hybrid car fuel efficiency different than it is for cars with only ICE engines. Your expertise with the Civic might have been working against you with the Camry.

    2 votes
  19. Comment on Did wokeness leave us worse off? (gifted link) in ~society

    Lyrl
    Link Parent
    If we have to live in a society where a majority of people are assholes, I see limiting the analysis to labeling them assholes as self-defeating. They have critical mass: our attempts to shame...

    If we have to live in a society where a majority of people are assholes, I see limiting the analysis to labeling them assholes as self-defeating. They have critical mass: our attempts to shame them have insufficient power to change their behavior.

    Evaluating what things have changed their behavior, and using that knowledge to strategize on how to systematically pull some of those levers to move our society towards a more comfortable place for ourselves, is a productive activity.

    6 votes
  20. Comment on Weekly US politics news and updates thread - week of April 27 in ~society

    Lyrl
    Link Parent
    The circumstance of people who are pro-death penalty mostly supporting methods likely to be horrific deaths, and the people who would prefer humane deaths mostly having a first choice of no death...

    The circumstance of people who are pro-death penalty mostly supporting methods likely to be horrific deaths, and the people who would prefer humane deaths mostly having a first choice of no death penalty, is a weird dynamic. Humane death methods don't get much advocacy or support because the people who prefer that are spending all their energy advocating against the death penalty.

    2 votes