MonkeyPants's recent activity

  1. Comment on Great foreign shows? in ~tv

    MonkeyPants
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    It's a dystopic futuristic thriller set on an increasingly absurd premise, what's not to like?

    It's a dystopic futuristic thriller set on an increasingly absurd premise, what's not to like?

    2 votes
  2. Comment on Great foreign shows? in ~tv

    MonkeyPants
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    Into the Night is a good Belgium show available on Netflix.

    Into the Night is a good Belgium show available on Netflix.

    2 votes
  3. Comment on Great foreign shows? in ~tv

    MonkeyPants
    Link
    Paranormal is a really solid Egyptian thriller. Available on Netflix.

    Paranormal is a really solid Egyptian thriller. Available on Netflix.

    2 votes
  4. Comment on Great foreign shows? in ~tv

    MonkeyPants
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    Money Heist aka La casa de papel is an amazing Spanish show, looking forward to the season finale. Available on Netflix.

    Money Heist aka La casa de papel is an amazing Spanish show, looking forward to the season finale. Available on Netflix.

    4 votes
  5. Comment on Great foreign shows? in ~tv

    MonkeyPants
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    I've started watching Mirzapur which is like an fast paced Indian version of breaking bad with a hint of Sopranos and Game of Thrones thrown in. I am half way through season 2. Available on Amazon...

    I've started watching Mirzapur which is like an fast paced Indian version of breaking bad with a hint of Sopranos and Game of Thrones thrown in. I am half way through season 2. Available on Amazon Prime in the USA.

    2 votes
  6. Comment on How long does a bottle of wine last after it is opened? in ~food

    MonkeyPants
    Link Parent
    What sort of fancy wines are you drinking here? :)

    What sort of fancy wines are you drinking here? :)

    1 vote
  7. Comment on How long does a bottle of wine last after it is opened? in ~food

    MonkeyPants
    Link Parent
    He is saying reds last 4 days in the fridge. Haven't you noticed whites last a few days in the fridge?

    TL;DR: put the cork back in the bottle, and put it in the fridge. I find that most white wines will last up to a week or more in the fridge. Red wines with higher acidity will last 4 to 7 days before they start to taste funky to me

    He is saying reds last 4 days in the fridge.

    Haven't you noticed whites last a few days in the fridge?

    2 votes
  8. Comment on What's hard about being a man? in ~talk

    MonkeyPants
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    A lot of life's largest challenges are gender neutral, especially in this day and age e.g. the loss of a loved one, lack of financial security, a wayward child. I think being a man is in general...

    A lot of life's largest challenges are gender neutral, especially in this day and age e.g. the loss of a loved one, lack of financial security, a wayward child.

    I think being a man is in general easier in this day and age. Less objectification and less fear of safety. No periods or pregnancy.

    There are unique challenges to being a man, which are mostly covered in detail by others.

    Paying attention during the school years is hard. Not pulling stupid teenage shit is hard. Remaining calm can be very hard.

    Failure at manly pursuits is hard (work/ home/ sports/ sex), even the fear of failure is hard.

    Crossing gender boundaries is really hard, even something as simple as being a stay at home dad is hard.

    6 votes
  9. Comment on GameStop's stock has surged 1,500% in nine months after activist investors take board seats along with a massive short squeeze in ~finance

    MonkeyPants
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    WSB reminds me of Jesse Livermore. The guy was a self made millionaire (billionaire by todays standards), who made money by trading on technicals back in the early 1900's. He had three...

    WSB reminds me of Jesse Livermore.

    The guy was a self made millionaire (billionaire by todays standards), who made money by trading on technicals back in the early 1900's. He had three bankruptcies, two divorces, and ended up killing himself.

    3 votes
  10. Comment on How do you manage data backups? in ~tech

    MonkeyPants
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    I have two offsite encrypted backups. One at my work, another at a safety deposit box at the bank. I tried storing one backup at my sisters, but my bro-in-law threw it out.

    I have two offsite encrypted backups. One at my work, another at a safety deposit box at the bank. I tried storing one backup at my sisters, but my bro-in-law threw it out.

    2 votes
  11. Comment on Daily thread - United States 2021 transition of power - January 23 in ~news

    MonkeyPants
    Link Parent
    McFadden really thinks Trump will agree to a path forward? This is infuriating.

    McFadden also kept in place an order requiring the government to give the former president’s lawyers 72 hours’ notice before releasing his tax return information to allow them to file a request to block the release.

    McFadden said he agreed, adding that he was thinking of “entering an order along those lines if there is a change of view from the Treasury. But I’d love for all of us to agree together on a path forward. Then we can try to get some resolution here.”

    McFadden really thinks Trump will agree to a path forward?

    This is infuriating.

    A Trump-appointed federal judge who donated to the Trump campaign and worked on his presidential transition team has rejected requests to recuse himself from overseeing a legal battle involving Fusion GPS

    U.S. District Court Judge Trevor McFadden, who sits on the bench in Washington, D.C., made two donations to Trump’s presidential campaign totaling $1000 in October 2016 – both coming within three weeks of Election Day, documents filed with the Federal Election Commission show.

    6 votes
  12. Comment on Making sense of sky-high stock prices in ~finance

    MonkeyPants
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    Buffett also had a similar take, although he sounded more pessimistic about negative rates lasting....

    Buffett also had a similar take, although he sounded more pessimistic about negative rates lasting.

    https://www.cnbc.com/2019/05/06/warren-buffett-says-stocks-are-ridiculously-cheap-if-interest-rates-stay-at-these-levels.html

    “I think stocks are ridiculously cheap if you believe ... that 3% on the 30-year bonds makes sense,

    “We are sitting very, very little inflation with the Federal Reserve putting a target at 2% not that long ago. ... Since money doesn’t cost anything, you can print lots of money and have full employment and no inflation. … I wouldn’t think you can have these things at these levels — long-term rates, interest rates, budget deficits — have that at a stable situation for a long period of time,” Buffett added.

    4 votes
  13. Comment on Making sense of sky-high stock prices in ~finance

    MonkeyPants
    Link
    This is a really interesting yet conflicting blog by Robert Shiller. This is an unusual stance for Shiller. He published a book that called the dot com market a bubble, right before it crashed. He...

    This is a really interesting yet conflicting blog by Robert Shiller.

    There has been much puzzlement that the world’s stock markets haven’t collapsed in the face of the COVID-19 pandemic, and especially in the United States, which has recently been setting record highs for new cases. But maybe it isn’t such a puzzle. A measure we call the Excess CAPE Yield (ECY) puts the long-term outlook for the world’s stock markets in better perspective.

    the level of interest rates is an increasingly important element to consider when valuing equities. To capture these effects and compare investments in stocks versus bonds, we developed the ECY, which considers both equity valuation and interest-rate levels.

    The ECY in the US, for example, is 4%, derived from a CAPE yield of 3% and then subtracting a ten-year real interest rate of -1.0%

    The ECY for the UK is almost 10%, and around 6% for Europe and Japan. Our data for China do not go back as far, though China’s ECY is somewhat elevated, at about 5%. This indicates that, worldwide, equities are highly attractive relative to bonds right now

    The only other time ECYs were this high using our global data was in the early 1980s. That period was characterized by depressed equities with cheap valuations, high interest rates, and high inflation. CAPE ratios for the five regions were in the low teens back then, compared with levels in the twenties and thirties now. These conditions are almost the opposite of what we see today: expensive equities and exceptionally low real interest rates.

    Eventually, down the line, bond yields may just rise, and equity valuations may also have to reset alongside yields. But, at this point, despite the risks and the high CAPE ratios, stock-market valuations may not be as absurd as some people think.

    This is an unusual stance for Shiller.

    He published a book that called the dot com market a bubble, right before it crashed. He revised the book to highlight that housing was in a bubble, a few years before that crashed. He revised it yet again a few years back to call bonds (and everything else) overvalued.

    6 votes
  14. Comment on Biden's first executive order will require masks on federal property in ~health.coronavirus

    MonkeyPants
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    Looks like they factor in the fact that a lot of those with immunity from infection will also get the vaccination...

    Looks like they factor in the fact that a lot of those with immunity from infection will also get the vaccination...

    Important: We only count the immunity that was acquired first (e.g. if an individual has both immunity from natural infection and immunity from vaccination, we only count the immunity from infection).

    2 votes
  15. Comment on Biden's first executive order will require masks on federal property in ~health.coronavirus

    MonkeyPants
    Link Parent
    That is really astounding. Is the presumed decrease in infections due to the increase in vaccinations? Does the July immunity date presume those infected don't need or get a vaccination? Are there...

    That is really astounding.

    Is the presumed decrease in infections due to the increase in vaccinations?

    Does the July immunity date presume those infected don't need or get a vaccination?

    Are there any estimates on when R0 goes below 0?

    Presumably we can reopen before herd immunity is achieved, as ignoring fatalities, the major driver for closures was the potential for exponential growth to overrun hospital capacity.

    2 votes
  16. Comment on Daily thread - United States 2021 transition of power - January 21 in ~news

    MonkeyPants
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    The contrasting of different leadership approaches is really quite astounding.

    Building on the order he signed Wednesday making masks mandatory on federal property, Biden also took action to require facial coverings in airports and on certain modes of transportation, including many trains, planes, maritime vessels and intercity buses. Thursday's executive order also requires international travelers to provide proof of a negative Covid-19 test prior to traveling to the US.

    The contrasting of different leadership approaches is really quite astounding.

    6 votes
  17. Comment on Discussion of politics going forward? in ~tildes

    MonkeyPants
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    I have a contrarian view. I think discussion on politics is extremely relevant in regards to the pandemic. In Germany for instance, the German government very carefully did not pre-empt any other...

    I have a contrarian view. I think discussion on politics is extremely relevant in regards to the pandemic.

    In Germany for instance, the German government very carefully did not pre-empt any other countries, even though the first vaccine was developed in Germany. Germany waited patiently for Europe to approve the vaccine and mostly stood in line with the rest of the European Union to receive vaccination doses.

    Germany now has huge vaccination centers that are sitting idle, as there are not enough vaccines.

    Europe negotiated a very good deal on the vaccination cost, but countries like Israel who spent a little more are a quarter vaccinated.

    Of course, I can't speak to the capacity of deimos to moderate political arguments.

    5 votes
  18. Comment on Biden's first executive order will require masks on federal property in ~health.coronavirus

    MonkeyPants
    Link Parent
    well, I mean they are technically not wrong...

    well, I mean they are technically not wrong...

    President-elect Joe Biden chastised the Trump administration for its slow rollout of the vaccine in a speech Tuesday. He warned that the administration’s effort to distribute and administer the vaccine is “not progressing as it should” and that if the pace of the vaccination effort continues “it’s going to take years, not months, to vaccinate the American people.”

    1 vote