CptBluebear's recent activity
-
Comment on How Ukraine uses precision drone strikes to hobble Russian oil refineries in ~society
-
Comment on How Ukraine uses precision drone strikes to hobble Russian oil refineries in ~society
CptBluebear Link ParentStrategic bombing doesn't win wars, airpower most assuredly does. The NATO playbook is air supremacy through SEAD/DEAD for a good reason. Ukraine seems to bet on becoming the second Afghanistan...Strategic bombing doesn't win wars, airpower most assuredly does. The NATO playbook is air supremacy through SEAD/DEAD for a good reason.
Ukraine seems to bet on becoming the second Afghanistan for Russia and I think there's a decent chance for victory through that method. The upside is that Ukraine doesn't need to win by pushing infantry to Moscow. Russia on the other hand does need to bring an occupation force to the claimed territories.
What made Afghanistan untenable for both Russia and the US isn't how the opposing forces were able to defend areas with soldiers, it's how they could endlessly increase the cost of occupation. Ukraine uses drones to do that instead of mountain raids or IEDs.The strategic long range bombing campaign on Russia isn't what wins the war by itself, I agree with you on that, it's the complete and total saturation of the Russian air defenses in the short, medium, and long range while driving precision offensive campaigns into Russian weakpoints that does. Operation Vivaldi is one of those. I guess it'll end much like Afghanistan did.
But honestly... who knows.
-
Comment on How Ukraine uses precision drone strikes to hobble Russian oil refineries in ~society
CptBluebear Link ParentBeyond "complete and total betrayal of all allies" as an option, Starlink is about the only leverage and that is technically a private entity and not the US government. It's a big one though,...Beyond "complete and total betrayal of all allies" as an option, Starlink is about the only leverage and that is technically a private entity and not the US government. It's a big one though, Ukraine is highly reliant on the sat dishes.
Aside from that, US Intelligence has already been limited and since then NATO flies their own owned and operated AWACS to provide Ukraine with intel, separate from the US.While I don't doubt the ability of the current US president to choose the worst option, I think even that is still a little ways off. Ok sure, complete and utter betrayal already happened when he threatened Canada and Denmark, but actually switching sides feels like a bridge too far even for this guy. Mostly because I think the optics are damaging and if anything, you can trust he at least tries to keep the optics positive, it's entirely why they keep on and on about the Nobel Peace Prize and why the US economy is hotter than it has ever been in history under any president ever.
Look if the US is actually ordering strikes on Ukraine we're already through the looking glass. It would mean everything else happening on the ground right now is moot. With the way it has been going for a while, any escalation is a pretty unlikely "what if" scenario. Not ruling it out, I thought Iran was an unlikely "what if", but unlikely still.
-
Comment on How Ukraine uses precision drone strikes to hobble Russian oil refineries in ~society
CptBluebear LinkUntethering Ukraine from US aid means the US has no leverage. Keep trying to save those midterms chief, you don't have the cards in that hole you dug yourself into. Even if the 1% of GDP is an...Untethering Ukraine from US aid means the US has no leverage. Keep trying to save those midterms chief, you don't have the cards in that hole you dug yourself into.
Even if the 1% of GDP is an accurate statistic, and since it was said by Russia it isn't, it doesn't take into account knock on effects of severely damaging infrastructure related to the refinement. Parts that are difficult or impossible to source eventually run out. We're seeing it elsewhere too, the industry being disabled in the Gulf States will take a decent amount of time to replenish.. and those aren't even destroyed.
Ukraine is going for the "Our drones will blot out the sun" strategy. I don't see an exit ramp for Russia that doesn't end in defeat. Truthfully I haven't seen one since they couldn't take the capital in the first week but it's even murkier now.
-
Comment on Denmark government hack leaked 8.7 million citizen's ID's: the password was "123456" in ~tech
CptBluebear Link ParentAhh yes, the precariousness of the early internet where the price of trust was a free armor trim or a drop game. Nothing like the total loss of identity of today's scams.Ahh yes, the precariousness of the early internet where the price of trust was a free armor trim or a drop game. Nothing like the total loss of identity of today's scams.
-
Comment on Fall 2026 | Which anime do you look forward to? in ~anime
CptBluebear (edited )Link ParentThe key art pulled me in though I find it difficult to say what exactly. I suppose it's a mix between well defined characters and how it looks like Zom100. I haven't seen beyond the opening scene...I'm Looking for Zombies
The key art pulled me in though I find it difficult to say what exactly. I suppose it's a mix between well defined characters and how it looks like Zom100.
I haven't seen beyond the opening scene but even that already looks like a genderbent Zom100.
Edit to add:
Ehhhh it's ok*. I like how they have a clear and well defined travel direction, often zombie shows tend to meander a bit. Giving them one shorter and one longer term target gives the viewer a sense of direction.
I hesitate to call the characters one-note, seeing as I'm just speaking about episode one, but fun as they are I do worry they might be a bit too flat. For now though, they at least have something going for them without being too tropey.Back to my earlier point is that after some thinking I realise that a lot of TV shows and movies nowadays are just hours upon hours of dread and serious faces and a little happiness in the face of adversity can be a refreshing outlook. Zom100 did this too with its stupidly simple premise of finally being able to do your bucket list when you're not constrained by the day to day slog of salaryman life. Instead of coming to terms with the end of the world, they're making it their own from episode one.
Unfortunately that can turn into a show without stakes so the execution of everything else needs to be very well done to keep it interesting.*I enjoyed it but it didn't wow me as the pacing was a little too tight. Anime can do exposition like no other and some lines made me eyeroll as they said something about their past clearly everyone should already know.. luckily they kept those short and to the point which makes me think they're just getting that out of the way now so they don't have to later. "Ehhh it's ok" in this sense means that it's good enough that I'll keep watching at least two more episodes as I hope it finds its footing along the way.
-
Comment on Solo developer rebuilds Adobe Creative Suite in Rust using Claude, releases it free to all in ~tech
CptBluebear Link ParentI feel like this is underselling how easy it becomes for someone to establish a working product that threatens an industry standard. Moreso if you're able to use that springboard to continue...I feel like this is underselling how easy it becomes for someone to establish a working product that threatens an industry standard. Moreso if you're able to use that springboard to continue development.
It's of no matter that this is vibecoded. Because now the opportunity exists to reach near feature parity almost instantly. What if next time someone with some programming acumen decides to do this? It became a lot easier to become a real rival to industry standard software packages and the financial pay-for-entry that locked up certain areas of software has been erased.
This was unthinkable a year ago. I'd worry about next year.
-
Comment on Who gets the Steam Frame? Did Valve pick you for the first wave? in ~games
CptBluebear LinkAny Europeans got their hands on this thing yet? @Pavouk106 how about yourself? Any luck? You were in on the release lottery after all whereas I was drawn later. Reason I ask is because I just...Any Europeans got their hands on this thing yet?
@Pavouk106 how about yourself? Any luck? You were in on the release lottery after all whereas I was drawn later.
Reason I ask is because I just randomly looked at the Steam Frame store page and it's now featuring different text it definitely didn't have before. I'm still in the reservation queue but it now lists my "estimated order availability" as 2027.
I'm sure they're having supply line issues, no surprise in the general hardware/chip market but the whole wait list as opposed to reservation queue difference is a bit lost on me.
I could've just as easily been on the wait list until my number came up if the earliest opportunity is two or more months away.
Not mad, as I said earlier in this thread I'm fine with waiting, I'm just puzzled.
-
Comment on Triple-A Minesweeper in ~games
CptBluebear LinkI couldn't even pre-order DLC. 1/10. In all honestly, kind of a neat voice acting bit with a little heaping of cosmic horror humour. My favourite kind of cosmic horror.I couldn't even pre-order DLC. 1/10.
In all honestly, kind of a neat voice acting bit with a little heaping of cosmic horror humour. My favourite kind of cosmic horror.
-
Comment on Finns have many reasons to feel content, but the country's pile of debt is not one of them. Can the Nordic nation absorb another shock? in ~society
CptBluebear LinkI swear, these worldwide collective debt spirals are more likely to cause wars than anything else right now. What's worse is that Finland's situation looks downright rosy if you compare it to...I swear, these worldwide collective debt spirals are more likely to cause wars than anything else right now.
What's worse is that Finland's situation looks downright rosy if you compare it to other countries. We have the US at 120, Italy at 140.. Japan at 240%. Debt to GDP just 90%? Child's play! Finland's fine.
Modern economies are stupidly resilient when trying to prevent full scale collapse but at some point the well of magic number manipulation tricks runs dry.
Finland's not fine. Nor are the others. Nobody is slowing down. We're fucked.
-
Comment on Advice on TV and media storage in ~tech
CptBluebear Link ParentMostly. There are smart Samsung monitors like the Odyssey G8 OLED. Proper OLED monitor and a bunch cheaper on account of all the smart spying they do. I got mine for a couple hundo, updated it...or even a computer display (no smarts then)
Mostly. There are smart Samsung monitors like the Odyssey G8 OLED. Proper OLED monitor and a bunch cheaper on account of all the smart spying they do. I got mine for a couple hundo, updated it once to iron out the early launch bugs and then disconnected it forever.
Mild (and unintentional) pedantry aside, it's indeed very unlikely you'll find smart monitors whereas the TV market is saturated with them.
As an extension to the point, you have calculators where you punch in the viewing distance and it'll tell you the right size screen. That should be the first step for OP as it significantly narrows down options.
-
Comment on Amazon uses its tracking data to guess whether shoppers have a flat butt and no friends in ~tech
CptBluebear Link ParentAlthough it may be unrelated to my EU residency, it didn't even let me log in. And I tried to log in mostly because I wondered if they'd have anything useful at all since I'm in the EU.Although it may be unrelated to my EU residency, it didn't even let me log in. And I tried to log in mostly because I wondered if they'd have anything useful at all since I'm in the EU.
-
Comment on Jet Lag Season 19: Japanorama | Trailer in ~hobbies
CptBluebear Link ParentWhat makes you so sure? Did something happen in the past to make such a claim worthwhile? Or is it just musing? Honest question, I have no clue.What makes you so sure? Did something happen in the past to make such a claim worthwhile? Or is it just musing?
Honest question, I have no clue.
-
Comment on OpenAI releases findings on 377 math problems, further roiling field in ~science
CptBluebear Link ParentWithout refuting the fact that it's likely there is now a piece of software that may outclass humans at working out theorems, they still fucking suck at outputting something that isn't filled with...Without refuting the fact that it's likely there is now a piece of software that may outclass humans at working out theorems, they still fucking suck at outputting something that isn't filled with falsehoods. Just today I had to repeatedly reign in my AI because it couldn't stop confusing itself when the conversation went on. Not uncommon in any field that uses AI.
I'm sure that, at least for the foreseeable future, human mathematicians will be required to prove that the output of the machine is indeed proof or if it again acted like a pokemon hit with supersonic halfway through the match.
Eventually we may see a system whose output we can take at face value. That's when I will worry about the human cost (more than I do now).
-
Comment on New York City is now the first city in America that bans sketchy subscriptions via new click-to-cancel rule in ~society
CptBluebear Link ParentLina the goat! I'm not even from the US and saw her work as incredible.Lina the goat! I'm not even from the US and saw her work as incredible.
-
Comment on Productivity tools on MacOS in ~tech
CptBluebear Link ParentI'm in this camp, but wanted to know ahead of time what my options were. Some things are no brainers, I get what amphetamine or keep me awake are trying to accomplish. Others are already clear...I'm in this camp, but wanted to know ahead of time what my options were. Some things are no brainers, I get what amphetamine or keep me awake are trying to accomplish. Others are already clear they add functionality like Raycast. Part of the reason I didn't ask for a Windows machine is precisely because I want to disrupt old habits and figure out how I can create new workflows.
Luckily I'm not wholly unaware on how to steer a Mac, so an enhanced spotlight felt like it wouldn't disrupt the regular flow, I've just never had to use it as my own machine so anything I run into from this point on I can now find back here after assessing what I need.
-
Comment on Productivity tools on MacOS in ~tech
CptBluebear LinkOne of the difficulties of switching operating systems is the institutional knowledge requirement for stuff like shortcuts. Aside from the obvious few (copy/paste, lock screen, open/close tab) I'm...One of the difficulties of switching operating systems is the institutional knowledge requirement for stuff like shortcuts. Aside from the obvious few (copy/paste, lock screen, open/close tab) I'm stumbling a bit when it comes to navigating the OS itself. It also makes setting up shortcut based software a bit dense, as the icons for control, option, and command aren't fully ingrained yet and I also don't know if I'm overwriting existing shortcuts.
Small fries all things considered, and something that will likely come with time, but still.. any shortcuts I shouldn't overlook? -
Comment on Anyone else have Inattentive ADHD? in ~health.mental
CptBluebear Link ParentInattentiveness usually stems from under stimulation. ADHD-i folk can easily focus on something that they find interesting and they often perform really well under stress or get spurred into...Inattentiveness usually stems from under stimulation. ADHD-i folk can easily focus on something that they find interesting and they often perform really well under stress or get spurred into action by a looming deadline. It's when they can't pull away because the consequences are too dire that they may focus to their hearts content. Look, most people have done the "crap I needed to finish this before tomorrow so I'm pulling an all nighter", ADHD kids just do that almost every time.
I'm sure that plenty of people here will understand me if I say that I hyper focused on the wrong thing again.
-
Comment on Anyone else have Inattentive ADHD? in ~health.mental
CptBluebear Link ParentAutism and ADHD have plenty of comorbidity and diagnoses can swing both ways. So common I personally know a couple of people that were diagnosed as the former at a young age and, likely correctly,...Autism and ADHD have plenty of comorbidity and diagnoses can swing both ways. So common I personally know a couple of people that were diagnosed as the former at a young age and, likely correctly, the latter later in life.
It's always a shame that I know a rigid routine will help me, but being in one feels like I'm suffocating. This is where my decades old bad habits tend to violently struggle against the stranglehold of a disciplined routine.
-
Comment on Anyone else have Inattentive ADHD? in ~health.mental
CptBluebear Link ParentNo, I can't. I have to leave four hours from now.No, I can't. I have to leave four hours from now.
And a buttload of their military expenditure is covered elsewhere or provided through very softball loans. They're covered by a lot of countries with economies far stronger than the Russian economy.
Despite having to relinquish the farmland in the East, Ukrainian agricultural exports are up year on year. I wouldn't call it strong though, they're valued at about half of prewar export levels and there is increased pressure on the Black Sea while also having massive stockpiles they can't sell.
Still, foodstuffs remain strong and will keep them in the game. Ukraine actually saw GDP growth this year. In that sense you're right that it's more robust than the Russian petroleum economy.
But Russia has a vast petroleum economy. Shortages have been local shortages and they have difficulties shipping, not so much difficulties producing it.