creesch's recent activity
-
Comment on o3 - wow in ~tech
-
Comment on o3 - wow in ~tech
creesch (edited )Link ParentSorry, you lost me there already. I’m not against nuclear power in principle, but it doesn’t feel realistic to position it as a quick fix for huge energy costs. Especially when we’re still...The first is to start mass producing nuclear power systems
Sorry, you lost me there already. I’m not against nuclear power in principle, but it doesn’t feel realistic to position it as a quick fix for huge energy costs. Especially when we’re still struggling to roll out or upgrade nuclear for even basic power demands. Building or revamping any large-scale nuclear infrastructure takes years, decades even, because of strict regulatory requirements, community pushback, and the challenge of financing these projects. Cost overruns are common, and long construction timelines often clash with the urgent needs of a fast-evolving technology like AI. Some of those can be solved by throwing more money at them, but that doesn't make it better.
I’m not denying the potential value of nuclear in the long run, but hand-waving away these massive barriers makes it sound more like wishful thinking than a genuine plan. Not to mention that we still need to contend with the electricity needs of the rest of the world. Any extra power consumption of green electricity (let's at least go with nuclear being green) that goes into AIs like these is power that doesn't go towards our other energy needs. Tangible industries that still heavily rely on fossil fuels where electricity could also be used as an example.
Adding to that, there’s also a difference between rhetorical enthusiasm, just throwing more power at AI, and the real-world steps we know can help reduce the energy burden. Things better hardware design, improved software-level efficiencies, and other optimizations. Some of which you sort of recognize but make it appear as if those will be here by tomorrow, which is also not the case. We are where we are with the current hardware after decades of development, not years. It’s clear, to me anyway, that solving AI’s growing energy demands isn’t as simple as flipping a switch or building a few reactors. And it would help if we acknowledged the complexity instead of glossing over it.
-
Comment on o3 - wow in ~tech
creesch Link ParentQuite literally mentioned in the things I explicitly quoted.Quite literally mentioned in the things I explicitly quoted.
-
Comment on o3 - wow in ~tech
creesch (edited )Link ParentDon't you think that you are brushing past this awfully quickly? A lot of the hitting a wall talk specifically takes place in this specific context. Where the wall described is exactly that the...The o3 model does this at an absurd electrical processing cost,
Don't you think that you are brushing past this awfully quickly? A lot of the hitting a wall talk specifically takes place in this specific context. Where the wall described is exactly that the way they seem to be able to still scale up seems to be to throw absurd amounts of power at the issue.
I haven't watched the video, although I saw the announcement and have yet to form an overall opinion. It is just that when I read your comment this jumped out to me as a bit of an oddity.
Edit:
So if I understand it correctly. A prompt does roughly cost $3000 with o3. Which also means that just doing the benchmark will have cost more than a million dollar.
Though to put some nuance on it by going to the source directly
The high-efficiency score of 75.7% is within the budget rules of ARC-AGI-Pub (costs <$10k) and therefore qualifies as 1st place on the public leaderboard!
The low-efficiency score of 87.5% is quite expensive, but still shows that performance on novel tasks does improve with increased compute (at least up to this level.)
Despite the significant cost per task, these numbers aren't just the result of applying brute force compute to the benchmark. OpenAI's new o3 model represents a significant leap forward in AI's ability to adapt to novel tasks. This is not merely incremental improvement, but a genuine breakthrough, marking a qualitative shift in AI capabilities compared to the prior limitations of LLMs. o3 is a system capable of adapting to tasks it has never encountered before, arguably approaching human-level performance in the ARC-AGI domain.
Of course, such generality comes at a steep cost, and wouldn't quite be economical yet: you could pay a human to solve ARC-AGI tasks for roughly $5 per task (we know, we did that), while consuming mere cents in energy. Meanwhile o3 requires $17-20 per task in the low-compute mode. But cost-performance will likely improve quite dramatically over the next few months and years, so you should plan for these capabilities to become competitive with human work within a fairly short timeline.
So it is genuinely a step forward and not just brute forcing the issue. But unless they can actually find a viable way of bringing the cost down I honestly am not convinced we are actually moving forward in this space in any practical terms.
-
Comment on I think I have a broken AT&T route? in ~tech
creesch LinkWhy not let the tech come over? At the very least it will show that there is no issue with the line which might get you a step further in having someone actually look into the issue?They kept on wanting to send a tech out to the house claiming there's an issue with the line. I kindly thanked them for their efforts but gave up
Why not let the tech come over? At the very least it will show that there is no issue with the line which might get you a step further in having someone actually look into the issue?
-
Comment on Storyteller is now on PikaPods! in ~books
creesch Link ParentNeat, congrats! For those wondering, I have been using pikapods for a little while and so far it has been a pretty low friction and solid experience. The one thing that I did do myself is create a...Neat, congrats!
For those wondering, I have been using pikapods for a little while and so far it has been a pretty low friction and solid experience.
The one thing that I did do myself is create a backup function for each pod that I am running because that is not something pikapods has yet. Although I think they are planning to add it eventually.
Which for me involved opening up the files of the pod through sftp (an option available for pods that use file storage) and creating a little bash script that pulls the files. This runs as a cron job from my VPS, but you can probably do something similar with the windows scheduler to backup files locally.If you are not all that attached to the data on the pod (because you already have your books locally) then this is an optional step.
Also, I haven't used pikapods for really intensive critical stuff. They offer a nextcloud instance for example but I don't know how that will hold up over time.
-
Comment on Tell me about your favorite Minecraft mods! in ~games
creesch LinkWell obviously that is going to be Minecraft web chat!(soon available on modrinth once review clears) Nothing to do with me creating it last week and having worked on it a bunch together with Tea...Well obviously that is going to be Minecraft web chat!(soon available on modrinth once review clears)
Nothing to do with me creating it last week and having worked on it a bunch together with Tea over the past couple of days and being proud of what was achieved. Nope, it just the best mod there is :p
More seriously though, distant horizons ranks pretty high and besides that mostly some QoL utility mods. Chest tracker, inventory profiles, that sort of thing.
I am not behind my pc but once I am I'll make a bit more comprehensive list.
-
Comment on Weird game "Catly" revealed at The Game Awards might be some kind of AI generated grift or scam in ~games
creesch LinkFrom the comments here it seems like they might have made changes to the steam page and such. But looking at the trailer I don't think it is AI created. The entire concept throughout is way too...From the comments here it seems like they might have made changes to the steam page and such. But looking at the trailer I don't think it is AI created. The entire concept throughout is way too coherent and maintains a singular them in a way that current video models can't yet as far as I know. The cat movements I saw are also lacking any of the odd perspective shifts you see with video generation models.
If it is going to be a real game (or any good) remains to be seen. It might still be vaporware but not of the AI kind.
-
Comment on Never forgive them - On digital platforms vs users in ~tech
creesch Link ParentOh right, pop up blockers is one thing everyone agreed on fairly quickly. I completely forgot (suppressed) about that hell.Oh right, pop up blockers is one thing everyone agreed on fairly quickly. I completely forgot (suppressed) about that hell.
-
Comment on Time for a new mouse? in ~comp
creesch Link ParentI love my 3S but the new "bolt" wireless is not as reliable as the older unifying receivers. Not sure what they did but on multiple computers if I switch the connection on my mouse before the...I love my 3S but the new "bolt" wireless is not as reliable as the older unifying receivers. Not sure what they did but on multiple computers if I switch the connection on my mouse before the computer has fully started I need to re-plug the dongle.
They also made a bunch of settings that used to live on the mouse software based compared to earlier MX models. Which is annoying when dealing with corporate laptops with limited install rights.
-
Comment on Time for a new mouse? in ~comp
creesch Link ParentThey are often under the feet of the mouse. The ones that are made of the slippery material. Those are basically stickers. For main stream mouse you can sometimes get replacements. In your case a...They are often under the feet of the mouse. The ones that are made of the slippery material. Those are basically stickers.
For main stream mouse you can sometimes get replacements. In your case a new mouse might be in order.
-
Comment on Time for a new mouse? in ~comp
creesch LinkNext to impossible to tell for anyone here. If you are unsure about getting a new mouse either try it on a different computer if possible or borrow a mouse from someone and use that on your...Next to impossible to tell for anyone here. If you are unsure about getting a new mouse either try it on a different computer if possible or borrow a mouse from someone and use that on your computer. Ideally you do both so you can be fairly sure what issue you actually need to tackle.
-
Comment on Never forgive them - On digital platforms vs users in ~tech
creesch Link ParentI can't speak for the person you are responding to, but for me, it was not one single event or tripwire. It is more a cascade of different processes/events. Things like ad blocking just slowly...I can't speak for the person you are responding to, but for me, it was not one single event or tripwire. It is more a cascade of different processes/events. Things like ad blocking just slowly started to make sense over time, so I installed an ad blocker years ago. The same goes for some other measures that shield me from some aspects of how bad the web has gotten.
-
Comment on Tildes Minecraft Survival Weekly in ~games
creesch (edited )LinkOh no! I don't have screenshots this week :( It has been a busy week and for the past two days I have been focussing on the chat mod I have been writing. So I guess I'll showcase that a bit more:...Oh no! I don't have screenshots this week :( It has been a busy week and for the past two days I have been focussing on the chat mod I have been writing. So I guess I'll showcase that a bit more:
- Here you can see both the game and chat side by side
- I also implemented a favicon counter so you can see that people are talking even if you don't have the tab open
- Configuration of the port used is also available through mod menu
Some things I still want to implement:
- Timestamps
- A player list
- Showing player heads
- Storing chat history per server on the minecraft side and display those for the user on join as well. (I might be lazy and hijack chat patches history for that, but ideally I'd do it myself.
- Better reconnection options.
- Publishing on modrinth maybe? Not decided on that yet.
Feedback and testers appreciated
If you want to test it you can grab
web-chat-0.0.4.jarfrom the latest release here. You will also need the following mods for stuff to work:Edit: Updated the version as I did release 0.0.4 yesterday. I also am in the process of publishing it on modrinth where the thing is awaiting review.
-
Comment on Tildes Minecraft Survival Weekly in ~games
creesch LinkI have spent a lot of time with minecraft open today without actually playing because I was working on the chat mod I mentioned elsewhere in this thread. It still is in a very early stage of...I have spent a lot of time with minecraft open today without actually playing because I was working on the chat mod I mentioned elsewhere in this thread.
It still is in a very early stage of development but usable. I just tagged a new release for anyone who wants to give it a spin: https://github.com/creesch/minecraft-web-chat/releases/tag/v0.0.2
Just grab
web-chat-0.0.2.jar, you will also need the following dependencies: -
Comment on Kagi Small Web in ~tech
creesch (edited )Link ParentThat's a fair point, although I don't quite see how it invalidates everything the author writes about. To me that is quite the leap in logic as well. To be honest, it almost approaches the sort of...That's a fair point, although I don't quite see how it invalidates everything the author writes about. To me that is quite the leap in logic as well.
To be honest, it almost approaches the sort of argument where under normal circumstances I would suspect bad faith. In this context I don't think that is the case, so this is more feedback. It seems somewhat like a straw man approach, where someone zeros in on one aspect, valid or not, to undermine the whole position. Instead of addressing the larger, more nuanced points made.
Again, I am not saying you are arguing in bad faith. I see the same also happen when people have some investment in the thing that is being addressed. I am not saying that people shouldn't use Kagi, it isn't a binary issue where the choice is easily made given the alternatives available. That doesn't mean the points in the article aren't invalid or invalidated because of one inconsistency in it either.
-
Comment on Kagi Small Web in ~tech
creesch Link ParentYou are entitled to your opinion. I think the blog post is valuable context for others to form their own.You are entitled to your opinion. I think the blog post is valuable context for others to form their own.
-
Comment on Kagi Small Web in ~tech
creesch Link ParentIt should be noted that it is not just the Yandex thing that does make some people hesistant to use kagi. The CEO very much seems to have a specific view on the world and technology. See for...It should be noted that it is not just the Yandex thing that does make some people hesistant to use kagi. The CEO very much seems to have a specific view on the world and technology. See for example this blog post: https://d-shoot.net/kagi.html
-
Comment on Kagi Small Web in ~tech
creesch Link ParentFyi, you don't have to self host email to be less reliant on other parties. Just get a domain and then you can pick from a variety of solid mail providers to use. Mailbox, proton, fastmail or...Fyi, you don't have to self host email to be less reliant on other parties. Just get a domain and then you can pick from a variety of solid mail providers to use. Mailbox, proton, fastmail or tutanota to name a few of the more well know ones. I personally use mailbox and am pretty happy with it.
-
Comment on Tildes Minecraft Survival Weekly in ~games
creesch Link ParentIn case you do want to play around with it, I put what I have on github now. You can download a very early version from there: https://github.com/creesch/minecraft-web-chat/releases/tag/v0.0.1In case you do want to play around with it, I put what I have on github now. You can download a very early version from there: https://github.com/creesch/minecraft-web-chat/releases/tag/v0.0.1
Well, you might see such a world but it is still far away from our current reality. If anything I must commend your optimistic view of the future. Though I do think it is shaped as tunnel vision. As it doesn't change anything about the current day realities I brought up multiple times you keep effectively bypassing. Throwing more money at things that already receive substantial resources will not make things develop exponentially faster.
I think I have made the point clear enough, so will be disengaging from here.