wycy's recent activity

  1. Comment on A majority of Americans approve of Trump's handling of the coronavirus in ~health.coronavirus

    wycy
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    As the presumptive nominee, Biden's lack of leadership during this crisis and lack of a counter-narrative leaves everyone believing Trump's doing a perfectly fine job. Absolutely unconscionable on...

    As the presumptive nominee, Biden's lack of leadership during this crisis and lack of a counter-narrative leaves everyone believing Trump's doing a perfectly fine job. Absolutely unconscionable on Biden's part. The coronavirus seemed like the one thing that was capable of hauling Biden's impotent campaign across the finish line in the general election, but now it seems like he'll even bungle that.

    24 votes
  2. Comment on How Joe Biden can win over Bernie voters in ~misc

    wycy
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    Perhaps in general lack of trust is a big player in these elections, but I’d disagree that it is wrt Sanders. Even people who hate his guts trust him and trust that he’ll try to do what he says,...

    Perhaps in general lack of trust is a big player in these elections, but I’d disagree that it is wrt Sanders. Even people who hate his guts trust him and trust that he’ll try to do what he says, even if they wholeheartedly disagree with him.

    This argument hits the nail on the head, though, for why many of us take such strong issue with Biden. Given his history, it’s hard to trust that he’ll try to push even his already compromised positions.

    3 votes
  3. Comment on How Joe Biden can win over Bernie voters in ~misc

    wycy
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    Perhaps I should rephrase. I fully acknowledge that the Sanders' team hoped that a splintered field would help them win, but this talking point implies he was only trying to run a divisive...

    Perhaps I should rephrase. I fully acknowledge that the Sanders' team hoped that a splintered field would help them win, but this talking point implies he was only trying to run a divisive platform aimed at winning a minority of the electorate. I'd counter that hoped to win a majority of voters all along, and exit polls show that his platform did accomplish this even though he didn't.

    I think the primary way this affected his strategy was not in only trying to appeal to a minority of voters, but instead in that he did not consider the threat from the other candidates seriously enough to attack them. I think the main thing that would have changed if he weren't counting on a splintered field would be that he would've been attacking Biden's record all along, but he didn't want to look like a dick beating on a confused old man who was seemingly going nowhere.

    So I agree with you more in fact, but less in implication of the fact.

    tl;dr Saying he was trying to run the Trump strategy implies that he was being more divisive to win a minority, when in reality this made him less divisive and do less attacking. If he were trying to win a 1v1 all along he would've been much more divisive and doing much more attacking.

    3 votes
  4. Comment on How Joe Biden can win over Bernie voters in ~misc

    wycy
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    This post is too long for me to have the energy to go through point by point, so I'll just address the idea of Bernie's plan being to go through and win 30% of each state. What the exit polls have...

    This post is too long for me to have the energy to go through point by point, so I'll just address the idea of Bernie's plan being to go through and win 30% of each state.

    What the exit polls have shown is that the Bernie plan was overwhelmingly popular in every single state up to and including Super Tuesday. At each of the primaries[*], entrance polls asked the question: "How do you feel about replacing all private health insurance with a single government plan for everyone?"

    "Support": Alabama 51%, California 55%, Colorado 57%, Massachusetts 50%, Minnesota 62%, North Carolina 55%, Oklahoma 53%, Tennessee 53%, Texas 64%, Virginia 52%, Vermont 73%, Iowa 57%, New Hampshire 58%, Nevada 62%, Michigan 58%, Washington 63%, Mississippi 60%, Missouri 58%.

    However, mainstream media relentlessly hammered the narrative that Bernie can't win, Bernie isn't electable, Biden is electable. So as for the question, "Rather nominate a candidate who...Can beat Donald Trump or Agrees with you on major issues":

    "Can beat Donald Trump": Alabama 53%, California 64%, Colorado 69%, Massachusetts 65%, Minnesota 65%, North Carolina 63%, Oklahoma 55%, Tennessee 61%, Texas 64%, Virginia 58%, Vermont 63%, Iowa 61%, New Hampshire 63%, Nevada 66%.

    This shows that although the majority of Democratic voters in literally every state supported even Bernie's most radical idea, people were too scared to vote for him and set aside their own beliefs to vote for Biden instead. He was going for the majority, but there's no beating the media narrative of fear.

    [*] They stopped asking this question after Super Tuesday, so only states up to Super Tuesday are included here.

    16 votes
  5. Comment on Life during the outbreak in ~talk

    wycy
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    Your thoughts and feelings closely echo mine. I’m also sleeping worse. It is strange not really knowing even roughly what the future of society looks like 2-3 months from now. As for the part...

    Your thoughts and feelings closely echo mine. I’m also sleeping worse. It is strange not really knowing even roughly what the future of society looks like 2-3 months from now.

    As for the part about UHC ever becoming bipartisan in the US... not a chance. The brainwash is strong, and the money behind the brainwash is immense. Hundreds of thousands of people are going to go out tomorrow (Tuesday) in many US states and risk their lives to vote against UHC during a pandemic.

    7 votes
  6. Comment on France announces complete lockdown for 15 days in ~health.coronavirus

    wycy
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    Is this basically an exemption that lets you go for a run around the neighborhood? Or is it strictly around your home, i.e., only your own yard?

    Physical exercise authorized around your home, and strictly on your own

    Is this basically an exemption that lets you go for a run around the neighborhood? Or is it strictly around your home, i.e., only your own yard?

    5 votes
  7. Comment on Bernie Sanders says Joe Biden "has advocated cutting Social Security for 40 years" - Mostly False in ~news

    wycy
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    "Mostly False" seems to be an incredibly generous interpretation for Biden. To say that the proposed cuts under Obama's Grand Bargain don't count because they didn't actually happen is like Trump...

    "Mostly False" seems to be an incredibly generous interpretation for Biden. To say that the proposed cuts under Obama's Grand Bargain don't count because they didn't actually happen is like Trump saying he didn't actually commit a crime in withholding Ukraine aid because the aid ultimately flowed after he got caught.

    I'd rate Sanders' statement as "Partly True" at worst.

    18 votes
  8. Comment on Washington debate discussion thread in ~talk

  9. Comment on Inside China's high-stakes campaign to smear the United States over coronavirus in ~news

    wycy
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    You could easily replace "China" with "United States" in a sentence like this and apply it to nearly all official statements from the Trump administration.

    At best, China's aggressive new campaign can be chalked up to ambitious propaganda. At its worst, it's a reckless display from a country that has actively misled the world while working overtime to save its own skin.

    You could easily replace "China" with "United States" in a sentence like this and apply it to nearly all official statements from the Trump administration.

    1 vote
  10. Comment on Bernie Sanders says he's staying in race, looks forward to debating Joe Biden in ~news

    wycy
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    I suspect he will only stay in after the debate if Biden malfunctions on stage and there's a massive sea change as a result. And I think the electorate deserves to see a televised Biden speaking...

    I suspect he will only stay in after the debate if Biden malfunctions on stage and there's a massive sea change as a result. And I think the electorate deserves to see a televised Biden speaking at length in preparation for the general election. But if nothing significant happens on Sunday, I don't see him trying to run out the clock much longer thereafter.

    4 votes
  11. Comment on "Can Biden beat Trump?" in ~news

    wycy
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    If this election were held under the conditions of late 2019, I'd say Joe Biden wouldn't have a chance against Trump. However... Coronavirus and the resulting recession may be the one thing that...

    If this election were held under the conditions of late 2019, I'd say Joe Biden wouldn't have a chance against Trump. However...

    Coronavirus and the resulting recession may be the one thing that can haul Biden's lifeless campaign across the finish line--

    • if enough old people (read: Trump's electorate) end up dying or too afraid to go to the polls, and/or
    • if the economy gets bad enough, and/or
    • if the outbreak ends up worse here than in other countries and Trump is seen as uniquely responsible.

    It's also conceivable that Biden and/or Trump could catch covid-19, and really make things interesting.

    9 votes
  12. Comment on "Can Biden beat Trump?" in ~news

    wycy
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    I think people just really haven't seen it. In the televised debates to date, Biden's only really had to speak for 1min 15sec at a time--and even then he'll cut himself off. There are several...

    I think people just really haven't seen it. In the televised debates to date, Biden's only really had to speak for 1min 15sec at a time--and even then he'll cut himself off. There are several compilations of his major brain malfunctions going around the internet, but these don't get any play on TV at all--but they will in the general.

    The Sunday debate could change things if he has a major malfunction on TV.

    1 vote
  13. Comment on "Can Biden beat Trump?" in ~news

    wycy
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    I think part of this is that a lot of young people don't understand the primary system, and I don't think the Sanders campaign has done a good job of letting young people know that they need to...

    I think part of this is that a lot of young people don't understand the primary system, and I don't think the Sanders campaign has done a good job of letting young people know that they need to vote for him twice: once in a primary and once in a general.

    Back in 2008, I was connected enough with politics to have heard of Obama way back at his famous DNC speech. I supported him for President, and even drove an hour home from college to vote for him in the general. But back then I had no idea that a primary system existed, and I certainly didn't vote for him in it. I didn't really learn about primaries until 2016.

    I think young people just don't know that some years you don't vote at all, and some years you vote twice: once in November, and once some other random time you need to look up based on your state.

    6 votes
  14. Comment on Andrew Yang endorses Joe Biden in ~news

    wycy
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    Agreed, though I think a lot of those voting for him just haven't actually seen this recently. Although cable news used to feel comfortable talking about Biden's mental decline, they've been...

    previous debates and Biden publically quarreling with voters hasn't sunk him

    Agreed, though I think a lot of those voting for him just haven't actually seen this recently. Although cable news used to feel comfortable talking about Biden's mental decline, they've been aggressively sweeping it under the rug lately. The clip of Biden saying "you know the you know the thing" is pretty shocking to anyone who actually sees it. It's possible something similar happens in a long debate. Who knows. It is almost certainly the last shot, though.

    4 votes
  15. Comment on Andrew Yang endorses Joe Biden in ~news

    wycy
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    Sanders has no feasible path to the nomination... unless this debate happens on Sunday and Biden essentially publicly cakes his pants. Given Biden can't seem to make it through a 7 minute speech...

    Sanders has no feasible path to the nomination... unless this debate happens on Sunday and Biden essentially publicly cakes his pants. Given Biden can't seem to make it through a 7 minute speech without completely bungling it, it is possible he has a major brain fart in an hours worth of speaking at the debate. Barring something huge, though, it's essentially over.

    2 votes
  16. Comment on Biden outperformed because he won voters who decide late in ~news

    wycy
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    Arguably all polls are designed with these factors in mind.

    Arguably all polls are designed with these factors in mind.

  17. Comment on Elizabeth Warren is ending her presidential campaign in ~news

    wycy
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    I'm convinced that a lot of Twitter activity is bots at this point, so I don't consider it particularly representative of anything. Twitter is incredibly toxic and easy to manipulate with bots. My...

    I'm convinced that a lot of Twitter activity is bots at this point, so I don't consider it particularly representative of anything. Twitter is incredibly toxic and easy to manipulate with bots. My experiences are from a large, apolitical Facebook group of locals who all know each other in real life.

    My suggestion that a lot of Twitter activity is just bots is made without specific evidence, but I intentionally avoid Twitter so I can't say I care much to go digging any further.

    5 votes
  18. Comment on Elizabeth Warren is ending her presidential campaign in ~news

    wycy
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    I think there's just a lot of vitriol in general going around these days. While some of the Bernie people I know were harsh on Warren herself as a candidate, I personally never saw them attack her...

    I think there's just a lot of vitriol in general going around these days. While some of the Bernie people I know were harsh on Warren herself as a candidate, I personally never saw them attack her supporters (though I'm sure it happened). On the other hand, I did see many Warren supporters dogpile on Bernie supporters, and even Warren herself bashed Bernie supporters on the debate stage (side note: attacking the electorate is not a good strategy).

    One Warren supporter I know in real life (so not a Russian bot) bashed a Bernie supporter that both I and she know in real life as being a sexist who doesn't support Warren only because he's upset that he can't get women (though he can and does).

    I think all people are just angrier these days, and the internet makes it easy to vent it. But it was advantageous to center this media narrative on Bernie supporters.

    2 votes
  19. Comment on Biden outperformed because he won voters who decide late in ~news

    wycy
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    Oof. Although Biden's average in that polling aggregate is slightly higher, it also shows him losing to Trump in one. At least Sanders wins in all of the polls.

    Oof. Although Biden's average in that polling aggregate is slightly higher, it also shows him losing to Trump in one. At least Sanders wins in all of the polls.

  20. Comment on Andrew Yang’s new non-profit is giving away $500,000 in free cash as a UBI experiment in ~news

    wycy
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    A UBI experiment was done in Manitoba, Canada during the 1970s. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mincome

    A UBI experiment was done in Manitoba, Canada during the 1970s. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mincome

    6 votes