arghdos's recent activity
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Comment on OpenAI’s H1 2025: $4.3b in income, $13.5b in loss in ~tech
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Comment on British AI startup beats humans in international forecasting in ~tech
arghdos Link ParentBeing an author on Gemini doesn’t make you “for real” it makes you someone with an insane financial motivation for the general public to believe: Further the first quote of the article: Is wrong...Being an author on Gemini doesn’t make you “for real” it makes you someone with an insane financial motivation for the general public to believe:
Some say LLMs just regurgitate their training data, but you can’t predict the future like that. [...] It requires genuine reasoning.
Further the first quote of the article:
Ben Shindel, one of the professional forecasters who found himself behind AI during the contest before finishing above Mantic. “We’ve really come a long way here compared with a year ago when the best bot was at something like rank 300.”
Is wrong based on the first damn sentence on the contest’s webpage:
Congratulations to the winners of our first ever Metaculus Cup!
Maybe he meant something else, no clue, but do we really need yet another free marketing puff piece for some AI startup from a journalist who can’t be bothered to read the web page for the contest they’re reporting on so that they know to ask a freaking clarifying question in paragraph two?
https://www.metaculus.com/notebooks/39990/winners-of-the-summer-2025-metaculus-cup/
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Comment on Claude Opus 4 and 4.1 can now end a rare subset of conversations in ~tech
arghdos Link ParentThey also have the most monetary upside for people believing they could be consciousI’d think the AI engineers building these models would be the least likely people to ascribe them consciousness
They also have the most monetary upside for people believing they could be conscious
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Comment on New computer breakthrough: Light-speed unlocked in ~tech
arghdos Link ParentThere’s a million dataflow processors out there that haven’t won much marketshare, for the very simple reason that they’re (generally) a nightmare to program. If it doesn’t run x86/ARM/CUDA,...There’s a million dataflow processors out there that haven’t won much marketshare, for the very simple reason that they’re (generally) a nightmare to program. If it doesn’t run x86/ARM/CUDA, there’s a huge SW ecosystem disadvantage to overcome, even assuming the HW isn’t complete dogwater to write for
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Comment on TIL there's a region in northeastern India (Mawsynram) that receives around 11,872mm (467.4 in) of rain each year in ~enviro
arghdos Link ParentThere was a segment on them in a BBC show called Human Planet that may be of interest!- Exemplary
There was a segment on them in a BBC show called Human Planet that may be of interest!
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Comment on What are your goto cocktails? in ~food
arghdos LinkI am somewhat allergic to drinking the same thing twice (at least: within a month or so’s time), but in no particular order some classics: corpse reviver #2, nuff said Saturn 1910, usually the...I am somewhat allergic to drinking the same thing twice (at least: within a month or so’s time), but in no particular order some classics:
- corpse reviver #2, nuff said
- Saturn
- 1910, usually the cognac version but either are good
- in that vein: a Martinez but you have to find Old Tom gin which can be a pain
- the Demerara cocktail (Jeff Beachbum Berry has the definitive source now, but it’s not publicly accessible so, this will do)
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Comment on Single most useful program you daily use? in ~tech
arghdos LinkThe top hitters would be rsync, obsidian, sublime, matplotlib/pandasThe top hitters would be rsync, obsidian, sublime, matplotlib/pandas
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Comment on <deleted topic> in ~tech
arghdos Link ParentI don’t think this is strictly true anymore, to get this behavior you have to flip on Tools>Verbatim in the search results… which sucks. It does still seem to hint the phrase which is often good...double quotation marks makes google search for that exact phrase. Not only that, it makes a required phrase to be part of the search results.
I don’t think this is strictly true anymore, to get this behavior you have to flip on Tools>Verbatim in the search results… which sucks. It does still seem to hint the phrase which is often good enough tho
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Comment on US Supreme Court unanimously backs law banning TikTok if it’s not sold by its Chinese parent company in ~tech
arghdos (edited )Link ParentAnd then you’d sit there for years and not worry about the other holes in the boat? Because that’s what the US has and will continue to do. A fix is a comprehensive privacy law that controls what...If you have a boat with a handful of holes in it, you could also say that repairing one of the holes doesn't stop the boat from sinking, but I think this is an excellent first step to stopping foreign influence on American life.
And then you’d sit there for years and not worry about the other holes in the boat? Because that’s what the US has and will continue to do.
A fix is a comprehensive privacy law that controls what information any app can gather.
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Comment on Choosing a TTRPG system in ~games.tabletop
arghdos (edited )LinkI’ve found discord to be the most hopping place for TTRPG talk / finding games, etc. I’ve run games for people I know who aren’t gamers and it’s been fun, but never really stuck. There’s a world...Since then, I haven't met anyone interested in pen-and-paper RPGs I still hope that I can one day convince someone to play with me, but I don't even know which system I should try to learn
I’ve found discord to be the most hopping place for TTRPG talk / finding games, etc. I’ve run games for people I know who aren’t gamers and it’s been fun, but never really stuck.
I'd like to choose one that won't be too difficult for beginners to get into. While I enjoy exploring interesting game mechanics, I think the idea of creating an interactive adventure story or a world to explore with friends is what attracts me the most.
There’s a world of story-first, less complicated games out there. Two very common systems in this space are Powered by the Apocalypse (PtbA), originating from Apocalypse World, or Forged in the Dark (FitD), originating from Blades in the Dark. There’s … many dozen games out there using each system and once you know one, you know about 60-80% of them all.
Another good resource is actual play podcasts. Find a system you’re interested in and there’s a good chance there’s an AP of it somewhere. So not only do you get to learn the system, but you also get to hear somebody’s campaign/story. I’ve been binging Oathsworn lately which runs Band of Blades, a FitD offshoot
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Comment on Tildes Game Giveaway: June/July 2024 in ~games
arghdos Link ParentI’ll put all 5 on Inertial Drift. Hope you and the doggo feel better soon!I’ll put all 5 on Inertial Drift.
Hope you and the doggo feel better soon!
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Comment on I’ve stopped using box plots. Should you? in ~design
arghdos Link ParentThe problem with a histogram for my case is simply that I need to actually be able to convey which servers are underperforming, I.e., I’ll stick a label under each. But I’ll have to check out...The problem with a histogram for my case is simply that I need to actually be able to convey which servers are underperforming, I.e., I’ll stick a label under each. But I’ll have to check out seaborn, I’ve seen it many times and just never made the switch
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Comment on I’ve stopped using box plots. Should you? in ~design
arghdos LinkI read this the other day, and was left thinking… well, the other suggestions the author provides aren’t builtin to matplotlib (at least, at far as I could find) so I’m probably just gonna stick...I read this the other day, and was left thinking… well, the other suggestions the author provides aren’t builtin to matplotlib (at least, at far as I could find) so I’m probably just gonna stick with a boxplot 🤷.
I typically use them for looking at e.g., the range of performance over many server nodes, to identify particularly slow outliers that end up limiting the overall simulation speed. Works okish for that.
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Comment on The Steam Deck now has over 5,000 Verified games in ~games
arghdos Link ParentIt basically doesn’t work with my TV (a TCL) at all. I get it to show up on HDMI 1/10 times maybe, and I know the wire is fine (e.g., works for a laptop). I found a forum post with someone with my...It basically doesn’t work with my TV (a TCL) at all. I get it to show up on HDMI 1/10 times maybe, and I know the wire is fine (e.g., works for a laptop). I found a forum post with someone with my exact issue at one point, but no solution.
I just use it handheld and the dock for charging 🤷
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Comment on More than 2,000 pro-Palestinian protesters arrested across US campuses in ~news
arghdos Link ParentIt was clear before, if you were paying attention, but now there can be absolutely no doubt that the “free speech on campus is under threat” crowd has a giant caveat of “free conservative speech”,...It was clear before, if you were paying attention, but now there can be absolutely no doubt that the “free speech on campus is under threat” crowd has a giant caveat of “free conservative speech”, which also nicely outlines their rank hypocrisy
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Comment on Cartoons such as Steven Universe, Gravity Falls, or Avatar? in ~tv
arghdos LinkSome others that haven’t been mentioned Owl House Infinity Train (later seasons are kinda just ok) Adventure Time (though there’s lots of random episodes as well) Star Wars Rebels (if you’re into...Some others that haven’t been mentioned
Owl House
Infinity Train (later seasons are kinda just ok)
Adventure Time (though there’s lots of random episodes as well)
Star Wars Rebels (if you’re into Star Wars) -
Comment on Cartoons such as Steven Universe, Gravity Falls, or Avatar? in ~tv
arghdos Link ParentI enjoyed pantheon, but for entirely different reasons than scavengers reign. It was a pretty well thought out AI (ish) scenario, decent pacing, good characters, etc. Definitely worth the watchI enjoyed pantheon, but for entirely different reasons than scavengers reign. It was a pretty well thought out AI (ish) scenario, decent pacing, good characters, etc. Definitely worth the watch
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Comment on How Hertz’s bet on Teslas went horribly sideways in ~finance
arghdos Link ParentYeah, TechDirt had a bunch of reporting on this a few years ago: https://www.techdirt.com/2022/12/14/hertz-shells-out-168-million-to-settle-364-false-theft-reports/...Yeah, TechDirt had a bunch of reporting on this a few years ago:
https://www.techdirt.com/2022/12/14/hertz-shells-out-168-million-to-settle-364-false-theft-reports/
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Comment on "Dune: Part Three" in the works, in addition to Denis Villeneuve adapation of "Nuclear War: A Scenario" in ~movies
arghdos Link ParentSounds a bit like Threads: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Threads_(1984_film)Sounds a bit like Threads:
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Comment on Lyme disease vaccine: Major test underway. All you need to know. in ~health
arghdos Link ParentIt’s not every tick, if that makes it any better. It needs to be a deer tick that’s been attached for a day or more (or at least, you suspect it has). This was the only time I’ve been on...It’s not every tick, if that makes it any better. It needs to be a deer tick that’s been attached for a day or more (or at least, you suspect it has). This was the only time I’ve been on doxycycline for Lyme (though I’m way more careful these days post hikes) and I live close enough that I’ve driven through Lyme (the town) in the last 3 months
This is pretty bad from a company that projected 12.7 Billion this year: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-03-26/openai-expects-revenue-will-triple-to-12-7-billion-this-year