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2020 Election News and Information (Week of October 18th)
A thread you can easily ignore
As the pace and the quantity of information that his coming out of the election increases. Instead of creating a new post for everything, or not posting things because it is a smaller item, please feel free to post here.
Feel free to break out any information posted here into its own thread if the discussion warrants it.
Major news can/should be broken out into its own topic. (use your own discretion)
Trump is reportedly mad his FBI director isn't hurting Biden before the election, might fire him
Trump wants a repeat of the Comey letter, which won him the election, and then he used as an excuse to fire Comey, in order to avoid independent oversight of Russian influence over him, his team and US elections in general. They clearly need to come up with some new dirty tricks, as the media isn't falling in line with the alleged Hunter emails.
Donald Trump Posts 'Raw Footage' Of ’60 Minutes’ Interview; CBS News Says White House Broke Agreement
Link to raw footage: Facebook link where it was posted
Edit: 60 Minute Pence interview posted on Facebook as well
god bless Tor
My favorite part of this is how he leaked it after bitching and moaning for four years that people in his administration wouldn't stop leaking things.
Rudy Giuliani faces questions after compromising scene in new Borat film
Not strictly election related, but I thought it would be appreciated.
Giuliani: "This guy comes running in, wearing a crazy, what I would say was a pink transgender outfit. It was a pink bikini, with lace, underneath a translucent mesh top, it looked absurd."
Also Giuliani: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4IrE6FMpai8
Postal Service awards $5 million contract to Postmaster DeJoy's
formercompany, XPO270 to win is a great way to explore the electoral college map. Allowing you to explore different data sets/Map Library easily. It also allows you to manipulate the map to play with different outcomes.
270 to win Polling map shows both WI and PA flipping between to close to call and slight blue. You can also go back in time to see how the polling has evolved which is very interesting.
That map is based on flat averages of the latest poll from each polling firm. It's bound to be super sensitive to noise and bad quality/partisan polling. I wouldn't put any stock in any small short-term shifting you see on it.
I haven't tried either one, but 538 has something similar.
You can also track swing state polls, and focus on polsters with high grades, but until someone has a answer on how the electoral college polls were all off for Hillary vs Trump, I don't know how reliable they are.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/wisconsin/
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/florida/
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/north-carolina/
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/arizona/
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/pennsylvania/
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/michigan/
Anyone else in a swing state getting crazy amount of phone calls. Thank god for Google Call Screening. I have gotten
678 calls today. They never leave a message. So I don't know what campaign is calling. I have MI phone number but don't currently live in that state.I'm in Michigan, no calls, but I have gotten numerous text messages over the last few weeks from DNC-affiliated get-out-the-vote type groups. I've just replied "stop" to all of them and they seem to all be respecting it. Then again my cell area code is in Idaho :p
I'm in California, so not much about voting, but I get fundraising email, text messages, and even a call. It's probably due to having given money to Yang's campaign.
I ask to get taken off the list, but then another campaign gets ahold of some information.
Same. I did use a + in the email I used to donate to Yang though, so it's been interesting to see where it's been passed along to. So far it's all been related things, like the various organizations promoting UBI-friendly candidates in various states.
I use a dedicated email account that I never check for politicians.
I did not do this in 2008, and was still getting emails in 2017 as a result.
Thanks Obama.
President Trump’s Twitter accessed by security expert who guessed password ‘maga2020!’
SCHUMER FORCES A RARE CLOSED SESSION IN THE SENATE
The United States Senate has been called into closed session 54 times since 1929[1]
Note: Closed sessions of the Senate, sometimes referred to as secret sessions, are used to debate confidential information, such as classified material dealing with national security, and for deliberations during impeachment trials. From 1789 to 1795 the Senate always met in closed sessions. After the Senate agreed to open its doors to the public in 1795, it continued to conduct all executive business—that dealing with treaties or presidential nominations—in closed session. In 1929 the Senate decided to open all routine business to the public, including much of its executive business deliberations.[2]
This either pertains to the Covid relief bill or a possible peace treaty in in regards to Israel and the 'middle east'.Sudan removed from terror list{See below}
"In an act of protest, Senate Democrats forced the Senate Friday to go into a rare closed door session, which lasted about 20 minutes and ended after a party-line vote. The Senate has not held a closed-door session in more than a decade. Senate Democrats made the move Friday in an effort to stall setting up a key procedural vote."
[1]
This truely terrifies me as a possible outcome.
Electoral Map
With many missteps and failure to capitalize on Trump’s public mistakes by the Biden camp, the most logical outcome considering all the data is a Trump re-election with Senate control still in the GOP’s hands while losing 2 seats. The House will remain in the Democrats control, but Nancy Pelosi’s miscalculations will cost her party seats and her leadership position. This will be a welcome result to the centrist Democrats who will use this loss as an excuse to purge some of the progressive elements in the party that have challenged the establishment for control. The GOP will have to contend with how to amicably separate itself from the Trump brand for 2022 and 2024, however, with Trump’s penchant for chaos and ego, this will not be easy and likely cost the GOP control of the Senate in 2022.The Trump campaign were simplistic but efficient in taking their 2016 winning map/strategy and solidifying those numbers with an increased ground game resulting in a voter buffer of 100,000 to 200,000 new GOP voters in those swing states. Along with putting Biden on the defensive in Nevada and Minnesota, it has restricted him from making any gains that would threaten the Trump re-election bid.
[1]
Why cite a random wordpress blog?
I'm not saying there is no chance at a Trump victory (1/10 is significant) but I don't think you need to be fearful about what the backwater blogopshere thinks is likely.
I try to get a varied diet of news sources ever since the disaster that was 2016.
Albert Marko is in his own words is a : "Political machinations, Geopolitics concerning Europe & transatlantic relations. Often political economics rants. Eurodollar and US foreign policy explainer." [1] I'm not going to play the credential game his ideas can speak for themselves.
His views have an decidedly right lean but I cannot argue with his analysis.
Add to that the victory laps I see some in the left taking, is filling me with an over overwhelming sense of dread and Déjà vu.
I hope you realize that is literally the map from 2016. Fivethirtyeight has much better comprehensive polling and states like PA and MI going red this year looks extremely unlikely.
Mitch Mcconnell hands of blue
Biden says he won't return Trump's attacks on his children because 'it's crass' to target a political opponent's family
"Come on, man!" - if your opponents family are either in the white house, or running your opponents business (which opens your opponent up to conflicts of interest) then aren't you obliged to go after the candidates family?
If you let this slide, it only gets worse next time.
I don’t see any obligation here and also don’t see how it would do any good. Why not let the press do the reporting, for whatever it’s worth?
Offtopic, but I edited the title, since you forgot to finish it. ;) Also thanks for doing this, as it will hopefully help reduce the volume of front page US election news so it doesn't overwhelm everything else, which I appreciate.
thanks missed that!