Daily megathread for news/updates/discussion of Russian invasion of Ukraine - March 6
This thread is posted daily - please try to post relevant content in here, such as news, updates, opinion articles, etc. Especially significant updates may warrant a separate topic, but most should be posted here.
Day 11. Are you tired of these recaps yet? Are they still useful? Anything else you’d like to know or follow, would want me to post?
Israel has been playing mediator the past day. Good news maybe, they are well positioned.
“They are planning to bomb Odessa”
US trying to supply fighter jets to Ukraine (via Poland because the jets need to be usable for Ukrainian pilots without training):
Yesterday, Russia broke the ceasefire (the sister is safe):
War in Ukraine: Zelensky urges Ukrainians to go on the offensive
SBU kills member of Ukrainian negotiations team suspected of treason.
High quality articles and longer form posts
An excellent twitter thread on the famous 67km column:
Great article on Putin and Russia:
A photoarticle from the Kyiv Indeendent, 10 days of war:
Full Zelenskyy speech from March 4th with translations:
Translated speech from last night (couldn’t find an original subtitles source):
Finally, to European tilders, I invite you to prepare a survival kit, just in case. It doesn’t cost much to have one, and it’s harmless not to need it but life saving if you do. The US govt has an excellent guide:
Am absolutely not tired of these-best digest of what’s happening.
Your recaps are incredibly useful to me, but if you need to stop doing them or take a break for your own sake, definitely go for it.
Unrolled version of the 67km column twitter thread, because it's a good one:
And I also recommend checking out his older thread about Russian truck maintenance (and its lack thereof) too.
On the fighter jets, here is the news story referenced:
U.S. in talks with Poland on deal to send fighter jets to Ukraine.
It might be better for discussion to make multiple posts somehow? Not sure how to divide it up. Maybe post them as you find them?
Russia warns NATO not to let Ukraine use NATO airfields. Because that would be akin to an act of war by that country against Russia.
Meanwhile, Russia uses Transdnistrian territory to conduct a CM strike against Ukraine air bases. Well, is that an act of war too then?
I mean, I shouldn't even bother finding hypocritical Russian propaganda, but it's funny that those two popped up within an hour of one another.
U.S. and allies quietly prepare for a Ukrainian government-in-exile and a long insurgency
More than 4,500 antiwar protesters arrested in one day in Russia, group says
Interesting if true - here in a analysis (translated by Some Guy) allegedly from inside the FSB.
P.S. if you, like me, don't have a twitter account, threadreaderapp.com allows you to review twitter links, as twitter now prevents reading all but the very top of a thread, even when you come in through a link >-(
Edit: Apparently this leak (not necessarily translation) has been endorsed by an executive at Bellingcat, which is good I guess, although bellingcat has some issues.
I also added an excerpt.
It wasn't really "endorsed" by Christo Grozev (bellingcat's exec director), he merely showed it to his other FSB contacts and they said it looked legit: https://twitter.com/christogrozev/status/1500196510054637569
IMO, bellingcat has been of the most consistently impressive and tech savvy investigative journalist groups in the world over the last few years. Their "notable cases" list on Wikipedia speaks for itself. So what exactly do you mean by "some issues"? I'm genuinely curious to hear what you mean by that, BTW, since I have yet to hear anything bad about them.
From the activist side:
From the parapolitical (or if you prefer, statecraft) side:
Edit: I’ll add they are awfully well-funded and biased toward NATO priorities for an org claiming to be “open source.”
Edit2: From the old-school western left
Edit3: Because I'm suddenly far more interested in this than I was earlier.
Apparently Speigel's expert doesn't hold their analysis on MH17 in very high regard:
No offense, but those don't look like particularly credible sources..
All the other articles on armswatch are dubious at best. And from one of the top results of a google search on the armswatch author:
South Front is very clearly a Russian propaganda site.
And the wikispooks article seems to be primarily written by Peter and Robin, who I will let others judge for themselves how credible they sound after reading their profiles.
Well, gaytamdzhieva has at least one of her claims, that Bulgaria supplied arms to folks in Syria, endorsed by Th Guardian.
Wikispooks seems reasonably well researched and sourced. And there is that funding issue and one sided bias.
Edit: I looked closer at the armswatch article, and regret including it. I'm not sure it's wrong, but a reasonable mind would be skeptical of the source and I was too hasty.
I believe this is a different meaning of "open source?" It means analyzing public information like newspaper stories and pictures shared in social media. It looks like they do publish some open source software, though.
See also the wikipedia article on open source intelligence (OSINT).
Ex-intelligence people are exactly the expertise required to break stories like the Skripal case though. In a similar vein it’s part of the reason why le Carré novels are so good.
As for biases, surely they are NATO biased — but all reporters are biased by their life experiences, at least these are clearly written on the tin.
Maybe, w.r.t expertise. But it wouldn't be the first time U.S. and other NATO intelligence used journalism as a tool. I do love Le Carre, and Fleming for that matter, and also Dahl.
With regard to bias, theirs seems to be more than simply perspective based, they seem to share mission goals. Which is fine I suppose, there's a place for biased journalism and it may be practiced with integrity. And all news orgs of any note have issues. My broader point is simply that bellingcat
is no knight in shining armourare no Woodward and Bernstein, and I can't resist to bring up contrarian notes on trendy opinions (in this case, "bellingcat is awesome").
"Knight in shining armor" seems like an odd metaphor for the circumstances, given that knights are military and not neutral. :-)
(And very few people would be considered neutral these days.)
FYI, the ad-block Firefox browser (Firefox Focus) on iOS works around this perfectly.
Russian forces attack airfields in Ukraine as Zelensky pleads for fighter jets
I'm no military analyst, but Stinger missiles and drones are looking like a better idea.
Pope Francis dispatches 2 cardinals to Ukraine
Ukrainian drone enthusiasts sign up to repel Russian forces
I guess they have other drones too, besides the Turkish ones?
Ukraine's army is using a nimble 'game-changing' drone called The Punisher that has completed scores of successful missions against the Russians, say reports
Food Protectionism Is Spreading as Hungary Bans Grain Exports
It seems Russia is requiring all servers and domain names to be switched to .ru by March 11.
That’s a wall built to keep citizens inside, not hackers outside.