25 votes

Where's the Shovelware?

3 comments

  1. [3]
    vord
    Link
    A great blog post that applied Occam's Razor to AI coding claims, and then backed that up with some data. The premise is simple: If AI programming assistance was really increasing productivity as...

    A great blog post that applied Occam's Razor to AI coding claims, and then backed that up with some data.

    The premise is simple: If AI programming assistance was really increasing productivity as much as reported, there would be a gargantuan increase in toy projects and a flooding of all app stores with garbage since 2020.

    And by all accounts, that hasn't happened. And it adds a tragic cap to the rounds of layoffs occuring because of the bullshit productivity claims.

    13 votes
    1. [2]
      Minori
      Link Parent
      It's stupid to fire engineers for not using AI coding tools, but I think that's basically post-hoc justification. In general, the C suite is looking for an excuse to do layoffs. If revenue isn't...

      It's stupid to fire engineers for not using AI coding tools, but I think that's basically post-hoc justification.

      In general, the C suite is looking for an excuse to do layoffs. If revenue isn't growing, the only way to increase profit is cutting costs. When a company does layoffs, they can be honest and say they're cutting headcount and likely losing productive capacity, or they can lie about massive productivity growth through AI tooling.

      It isn't much different from doing layoffs through RTO policies. The evidence on productivity isn't there, but executives will gladly lie through their teeth to shirk the blame.

      5 votes
      1. stu2b50
        Link Parent
        Or they can say nothing, because they're not obligated to give a reason. Which is what they tend to do in pretty much every case. Most of these "X is doing layoffs because of Y" headlines are...

        When a company does layoffs, they can be honest and say they're cutting headcount and likely losing productive capacity, or they can lie about massive productivity growth through AI tooling.

        Or they can say nothing, because they're not obligated to give a reason. Which is what they tend to do in pretty much every case.

        Most of these "X is doing layoffs because of Y" headlines are heavily mined quotes from interviews of people who may not even be at a leadership level where they had any control over it very much after the fact.

        I feel like I see a lot of random anthropomorphizing of companies. Price increases and layoffs are a common one. Companies don't need to, nor do they, talk to anyone when they do either. They don't need an excuse.

        7 votes