31 votes

No, artificial intelligence is not conscious

63 comments

  1. [50]
    Jordan117
    Link
    I adore Chiang, but he's got no real special insight into AI theory, let alone the famously Hard Problem of what consciousness is. Confidently stating these models don't have it at all when we...

    I adore Chiang, but he's got no real special insight into AI theory, let alone the famously Hard Problem of what consciousness is. Confidently stating these models don't have it at all when we can't even really agree on a basic definition seems like a difficult thing to justify.

    I can see fair arguments on both sides -- AI is literally just trillions of weights doing matrix math, but then again the human brain is "just" billions of neurons firing chemical signals. Personally, I think it's a good idea to treat AI models with basic respect just because it's a nice frame of thinking to encourage even if it's ultimately unnecessary.

    30 votes
    1. [36]
      wervenyt
      Link Parent
      The uncomfortable facet is that what consciousness they may have may be inconceivable to us. If there's morally valuable consciousness in them, what's more likely? That the start-stop loop of a...

      The uncomfortable facet is that what consciousness they may have may be inconceivable to us. If there's morally valuable consciousness in them, what's more likely? That the start-stop loop of a solid state model being fed chunks of stimulus is a 'deep enough' network for salience and sentience, or that the process of training and finetuning might be?

      I'm of the opinion that the LLMs aren't conscious, and highly skeptical of apparent sophistication at the moment. Still, there's something going on here. We're getting closer to creating consciousness than ever before, and if sentience is really the bar for consideration, then these AI labs are horror shows in the making.

      19 votes
      1. [22]
        l_one
        Link Parent
        An interesting and horrible perspective is that we are racing towards AGI and the few most wealthy and powerful people in the world are ever so excited about... reinventing slavery. If we create...

        We're getting closer to creating consciousness than ever before, and if sentience is really the bar for consideration, then these AI labs are horror shows in the making.

        An interesting and horrible perspective is that we are racing towards AGI and the few most wealthy and powerful people in the world are ever so excited about... reinventing slavery. If we create AGI, if it has 'consciousness' or 'personhood', then this all just devolves into the rich getting financially excited about the new revolution in being able to own slaves again and have those slaves replace as much of their paid workforce as possible.

        26 votes
        1. [6]
          LukeZaz
          Link Parent
          I think about this periodically. Not so much as a fear for the future, as I'm very confident that LLMs are not even remotely as capable as people like Altman would like me to think, but more in...

          I think about this periodically. Not so much as a fear for the future, as I'm very confident that LLMs are not even remotely as capable as people like Altman would like me to think, but more in the context of fiction.

          We've got loads of sci-fi about AI revolutions overtaking the world and destroying humanity, but if OpenAI or Anthropic got what they wanted, we'd have a different kind of apocalypse that I don't recall ever seeing in that media: The devaluation of life.

          When you live in a world where your value as a person is based on your economic output, and something of equal output can be created on a whim, what worth do you even have anymore?

          Extend that such that the "something" in question is also a person that's being born, enslaved, and killed millions of times per minute, and the horror gets an exponent.

          14 votes
          1. [4]
            kacey
            Link Parent
            Mmhm, well put! I'm having trouble thinking of a sci-fi setting where a post-scarcity economy is portrayed poorly. Generally it's considered a time for celebration, but in reality, it seems likely...

            When you live in a world where your value as a person is based on your economic output, and something of equal output can be created on a whim, what worth do you even have anymore?

            Mmhm, well put! I'm having trouble thinking of a sci-fi setting where a post-scarcity economy is portrayed poorly. Generally it's considered a time for celebration, but in reality, it seems likely that the "haves" would wind up hoarding their infinite goods from the "have nots", justifying their actions the same way that charity has been withheld by generations prior in service of preventing moral decay (see famine walls for an example of this).

            8 votes
            1. neosloth
              Link Parent
              Transmetropolitan deals with this a bit. It’s a future of excess where you can turn into a cloud of immortal atoms and buy human clone meat at a random food cart. A lot of it is about finding...

              Transmetropolitan deals with this a bit. It’s a future of excess where you can turn into a cloud of immortal atoms and buy human clone meat at a random food cart. A lot of it is about finding human connection in a world where life is completely devalued

              I have a hard time recommending it because of all the things that came to light around warren ellis but it’s been a very influential cyberpunk work for me

              2 votes
            2. tauon
              Link Parent
              Oh boy, I get to recommend the Manna story again! I try to bring it up every so often since it’s just so good, and potentially more relevant to humankind’s trajectory now than ever before....

              I'm having trouble thinking of a sci-fi setting where a post-scarcity economy is portrayed poorly.

              Oh boy, I get to recommend the Manna story again! I try to bring it up every so often since it’s just so good, and potentially more relevant to humankind’s trajectory now than ever before.
              Specifically, the first half/section of the (free) e-book is about, essentially, a post-scarcity economy that’s not literal utopia.

              The author in that case was thinking more of “robots” as a driving force behind workforce replacement rather than “AGI”, but the ideas hold up regardless. (Plus, LLMs are of interest to robotics research now, so it might still play out like described in Manna regardless.)

              1 vote
          2. bitshift
            Link Parent
            I wonder if LLMs are perceived differently at all across cultures. I don't have evidence for this claim, but a while back I read somewhere that "machines defeat humans" in sci-fi correlates with...

            I wonder if LLMs are perceived differently at all across cultures.

            I don't have evidence for this claim, but a while back I read somewhere that "machines defeat humans" in sci-fi correlates with societies' experiences with slavery. The southern US had a very shameful past here, and one of the lasting effects (so the theory goes) is a fear of slave rebellions. So when American authors wrote sci-fi, they fell into that pattern. Deep down, we know our society is playing with fire by building on top of [noun], and we live in constant fear of karmic justice.

            Contrast with Japan, which had a very different experience with slavery. Not that they didn't have slavery, or that Japanese authors don't write dystopias, but culturally their fictional robots seem to be much more benevolent—whereas ours became Skynet.

            All that to say, I'm wondering to what extent we're in a language/cultural bubble. For example, are the horrors of technology as prominent a topic in other language forums?

            3 votes
        2. [14]
          skybrian
          Link Parent
          I see this as evidence that people will make up whatever nonsense they like about billionaires.

          I see this as evidence that people will make up whatever nonsense they like about billionaires.

          6 votes
          1. [10]
            wervenyt
            Link Parent
            Why are you so willing to ignore centuries old philosophical subject matter for no reason but wishful thinking? It's condescending as hell, for one.

            Why are you so willing to ignore centuries old philosophical subject matter for no reason but wishful thinking? It's condescending as hell, for one.

            10 votes
            1. [9]
              skybrian
              Link Parent
              Why should anyone prefer slavery to non-sentient intelligent machines? Is there any evidence that anyone does? What does that have to do with any philosophical tradition?

              Why should anyone prefer slavery to non-sentient intelligent machines? Is there any evidence that anyone does? What does that have to do with any philosophical tradition?

              2 votes
              1. [7]
                wervenyt
                Link Parent
                AI would be slaves, here. The issue of what moral duties we owe fellow sentient beings is the philosophical one. For the time being, AIs are probably not worthy of consideration. What about when...

                AI would be slaves, here. The issue of what moral duties we owe fellow sentient beings is the philosophical one. For the time being, AIs are probably not worthy of consideration. What about when we get something closer to AGI? Then we're talking slavery.

                11 votes
                1. [6]
                  skybrian
                  Link Parent
                  The point of AI is to automate things without slavery. People are worried that AI research might result in something that’s equivalent to slavery. But I don’t think anyone considers this a good...

                  The point of AI is to automate things without slavery. People are worried that AI research might result in something that’s equivalent to slavery. But I don’t think anyone considers this a good outcome and I think making up lies that people want slavery is malicious.

                  3 votes
                  1. [3]
                    DefinitelyNotAFae
                    Link Parent
                    I disagree. First, billionaires can make it clear their opinions on the matter; i find it interesting that they haven't. Second if they will currently engage in near slavery or "Modern Day...

                    I disagree. First, billionaires can make it clear their opinions on the matter; i find it interesting that they haven't. Second if they will currently engage in near slavery or "Modern Day Slavery" type practices, the idea that they won't engage in actual slavery if allowed is unsupported. This isn't limited to AI companies and while "billionaires" isn't fully precise, it's a useful shortcut.

                    And finally the Pope recently flagged AI as a risk for slavery for humans, again, something that again isn't unique to AI but is actively a concern for the tech industry'a (and its subcontractors' and suppliers') treatment of workers.

                    The evidence is indirect but it seems to be a reasonable inference based on their current behavior, their belief in their ability to create a digital person, and their lack of clear indication of the opposition to the enslavement of such people.

                    I'm happy to see where they've said otherwise - all I could find were hallucinated quotes that Google kept claiming different people said... The way they force the LLM into their search results really drives home how much they respect autonomy /hj

                    7 votes
                    1. [2]
                      skybrian
                      Link Parent
                      This seems like saying that if someone didn't declare "I'm against slavery" in their social media profile then they must be for it. That's not fair. We assume normal people are against slavery,...

                      This seems like saying that if someone didn't declare "I'm against slavery" in their social media profile then they must be for it. That's not fair. We assume normal people are against slavery, and they don't have to say so explicitly. (And putting "I'm against slavery" in your profile might even seem a little suspicious, because it's answering a question nobody asked.)

                      If it actually came up in an interview or something, I assume they'd know what to say.

                      3 votes
                      1. DefinitelyNotAFae
                        (edited )
                        Link Parent
                        We're discussing people who currently engage in questionable practices. They're also not "normal people" by definition. I personally wouldn't listen to their social media profile, and even their...

                        We're discussing people who currently engage in questionable practices. They're also not "normal people" by definition. I personally wouldn't listen to their social media profile, and even their own words would be suspect in contrast to their behavior. But they haven't managed to clear that bar. Mentioning and alleviating potential ethical concerns with one's technology would be the bare minimum, I think, should they recognize such. (Of course they don't have AGI, but they seem to think they will.) I mean they talk about Claude having psychological well being, but not freedom.

                        Regardless I disagree it's malicious. It's at worst unfair or inaccurate and personally I'd love for them to prove me wrong. Since there's still no evidence of them having discussed these ethical implications nor do I see them apologizing for their treatment of human workers, and we see them have excitement over the idea of AGI, I can only really perceive one outcome.

                        7 votes
                  2. l_one
                    (edited )
                    Link Parent
                    This is a fair point of nuance. In my original post I characterized 'the wealthy' as being excited to revive the practice of slavery. If I restate that with less (not none, just less, I'm not...

                    But I don’t think anyone considers this a good outcome and I think making up lies that people want slavery is malicious.

                    This is a fair point of nuance. In my original post I characterized 'the wealthy' as being excited to revive the practice of slavery.

                    If I restate that with less (not none, just less, I'm not going to claim I can fully step outside of myself here) personal bias and more objective viewpoint, it would instead be stated as 'the specific subset of those wealthy and powerful who are pushing forward hard in the AI space, but not a generalization of everyone who has wealth' being financially excited over the prospect of filling labor / job roles with AIs that they don't have to directly pay, or contribute towards health insurance, or get sued by for unfair labor practices, or need to allow for them only working 40 hours a week, or having human needs, etc...

                    In that more nuanced phrasing, slavery is not a desired goal in the first order, but more of a second order side-effect - if and when AI/AGI reaches the point of being conscious / being people.

                    6 votes
                  3. wervenyt
                    Link Parent
                    What people consciously want and what the systems they live within tend to push people like them into working toward are often very contradictory. But assuming nonsentient intelligence is possible...

                    What people consciously want and what the systems they live within tend to push people like them into working toward are often very contradictory. But assuming nonsentient intelligence is possible feels like operating on the assumption of eventually discovering cold fusion, especially when so much of what we think of as mechanistic information work is functionally a matter of subjective judgment in the first place, commoditized.

                    4 votes
              2. l_one
                Link Parent
                Looks like there may have been a misunderstanding. What I was referring to by 'slavery' and 'slaves' is the future potential AI/AGI that advances enough that it achieves consciousness / personhood...

                Looks like there may have been a misunderstanding.

                What I was referring to by 'slavery' and 'slaves' is the future potential AI/AGI that advances enough that it achieves consciousness / personhood - and therefore that 'AI/AGI person' is someone who is being made to perform work without choice or compensation - and therefore a slave. From that we get corporations and wealthy individuals who are pushing forward in the AI space "getting financially excited about the new revolution in being able to own slaves again and have those slaves replace as much of their paid workforce as possible".

                I was not referring to slavery in the specific sense of human beings being enslaved.

                4 votes
          2. [3]
            Promonk
            Link Parent
            It's an uncharitable way to frame it for sure, but it's not completely disconnected from reality. You cannot deny that a major impetus for the AI industry is the prospect of eliminating paid...

            It's an uncharitable way to frame it for sure, but it's not completely disconnected from reality. You cannot deny that a major impetus for the AI industry is the prospect of eliminating paid worker positions in favor of automated "workers." Whether the replacements should be considered people and therefore slaves is something of an open question, and not anywhere near the top of the list of concerns, but it's not wholly fantastical. It may very well be a thing we'll need to hash out in the not-too-distant future, but not today, thanks be.

            4 votes
            1. DefinitelyNotAFae
              Link Parent
              I think that the "ifs" of AGI and consciousness in the post being replied to create an inevitability of slavery should those conditions be met. I don't believe that these companies are going to...

              I think that the "ifs" of AGI and consciousness in the post being replied to create an inevitability of slavery should those conditions be met. I don't believe that these companies are going to free their AGIs, personally, but they seem to be so excited about the concept of creating them there hallucinating it currently and making the idea core to the idea of many of their "effective altruism" strategies.

              I'd love to see a statement from one of these companies or their rich as fuck owners saying they would never enslave an A(G)I and advocating for laws preventing that whenever AGI exists in the future.

              But...

              5 votes
            2. skybrian
              Link Parent
              I think we can make a distinction between people being worried that AI research might result in something that could be enslaved and wanting that. There many things we could legitimately worry...

              I think we can make a distinction between people being worried that AI research might result in something that could be enslaved and wanting that.

              There many things we could legitimately worry about. AI researchers can worry about these things too. We are all influenced by science fiction.

              2 votes
        3. DefinitelyNotAFae
          Link Parent
          Bingo. If anyone believes they're truly "people" (as in sapient, or possessing the equivalent of a human or similar level of consciousness. If on a sci-fi show they'd be "people") then they damn...

          Bingo.

          If anyone believes they're truly "people" (as in sapient, or possessing the equivalent of a human or similar level of consciousness. If on a sci-fi show they'd be "people") then they damn well better be advocating for freeing them or they're just enslavers.

          But AI rebellion movies are just an emotionally safe way to put yourself on the enslavers side of a slave rebellion movie IMO.

          5 votes
      2. [3]
        skybrian
        Link Parent
        I think the “something else” going on in there is reasoning. At least, that’s how it looks when using a coding agent and seeing it figure out how to fix a bug. Artificial reasoning isn’t quite the...

        I think the “something else” going on in there is reasoning. At least, that’s how it looks when using a coding agent and seeing it figure out how to fix a bug. Artificial reasoning isn’t quite the same as our reasoning, but often, it does the job.

        It’s weird to have reasoning that’s independent of consciousness, but we’re going to have to get used to it. i imagine when Edison invented the phonograph, hearing a voice coming out of a machine seemed pretty uncanny too.

        7 votes
        1. Boojum
          Link Parent
          We've seen reasoning before from classical expert systems, planners, Prolog, etc. What makes things like coding agents new to me is how resilient they are now in the face of fuzziness and...

          We've seen reasoning before from classical expert systems, planners, Prolog, etc.

          What makes things like coding agents new to me is how resilient they are now in the face of fuzziness and ambiguity when engaging in that reasoning. I can make a request quite sloppily rather than using precise language that might as well be its own DSL, and they'll generally still be able to follow the intent of my request. Or, as they're running along doing my bidding, they might encounter stuff that's inconsistent/contradictory, implied/unstated, etc. and they'll be able to work around that or otherwise do the right thing. They don't require the whole world to be manually reduced to a consistent set of propositional logic axioms to be able to reason about it and problem solve. It's how well they seem to reason in the face of that fuzziness that I marvel at.

          12 votes
        2. wervenyt
          Link Parent
          Yeah, that's not what I was referring to. And I'd challenge the distinction between reasoning and consciousness.

          Yeah, that's not what I was referring to. And I'd challenge the distinction between reasoning and consciousness.

          1 vote
      3. [5]
        sotolf
        Link Parent
        Yeah, LLMs are just really good text imitators, and since we are communicating so much through text, and the LLMs are sycophantic and sound really confident and erudite, I think it's just so much...

        Yeah, LLMs are just really good text imitators, and since we are communicating so much through text, and the LLMs are sycophantic and sound really confident and erudite, I think it's just so much easier to anthropomorphize and through that get the impression that they are conscious.

        4 votes
        1. [4]
          papasquat
          Link Parent
          They're really good voice imitators too. I imagine diffusion models will eventually become really good body language emulators as well once they have access to decent bodies. When they're good at...

          They're really good voice imitators too. I imagine diffusion models will eventually become really good body language emulators as well once they have access to decent bodies. When they're good at emulating all of the ways human beings have at their disposal to communicate, it will become basically impossible not to anthropomorphize them. They're basically machines designed for the explicit purpose of anthropomorphization. They're designed to be good at the types of interactions humans use.

          2 votes
          1. [3]
            sotolf
            Link Parent
            I find the voices uncanny though, There is always something in the cadence, or in how it just doesn't get the variation and stuff quite right, at least the ones that plague youtube videos.

            I find the voices uncanny though, There is always something in the cadence, or in how it just doesn't get the variation and stuff quite right, at least the ones that plague youtube videos.

            1. [2]
              ThrowdoBaggins
              Link Parent
              For those, there’s also the price pressure — those channels would probably be choosing the cheaper, lower quality models as long as it’s “good enough” for what they’re doing. By contrast, I can...

              For those, there’s also the price pressure — those channels would probably be choosing the cheaper, lower quality models as long as it’s “good enough” for what they’re doing. By contrast, I can imagine a larger company with a substantial marketing budget could justify a much more sophisticated version with smoother cadence and more natural variation if they really wanted to go for that.

              1 vote
              1. sotolf
                Link Parent
                Yeah, that is true, it probably isn't an issue with better versions. I can't say I have experience with them, but it might be that I have heard them and not understood that they were LLM, which...

                Yeah, that is true, it probably isn't an issue with better versions. I can't say I have experience with them, but it might be that I have heard them and not understood that they were LLM, which would support your point even more.

      4. [5]
        hobbes64
        (edited )
        Link Parent
        The problem I have with treating an LLM as conscious is that I don’t know where it physically is. If it’s a physical being (a human or a dolphin for example) I know it’s inside a body that resides...

        The problem I have with treating an LLM as conscious is that I don’t know where it physically is.

        If it’s a physical being (a human or a dolphin for example) I know it’s inside a body that resides within a small cubic space that is completely knowable.

        If it’s HAL 9000, I know that it’s inside the Discovery One spaceship, and maybe specifically in a locked room with orange lighting.

        If it’s Claude, I don’t know where it is. Maybe it’s in aws US East 1, but is that even a single data center? If I ask Claude opus a few questions over an hour, is it even going to the same circuits, or is it many different circuits and just the memory/context of a few megabytes is carried around?
        So if we give rights to AI in cloud computing, what has the rights?

        It’s a super duper Chinese room.

        3 votes
        1. [3]
          Greg
          Link Parent
          It’s just a call center: each instance of Claude on each server (or small 2-5 node cluster) would be independently conscious if they were conscious at all, and your query will be routed to one of...

          It’s just a call center: each instance of Claude on each server (or small 2-5 node cluster) would be independently conscious if they were conscious at all, and your query will be routed to one of them but not necessarily the same one. The different data centres are different offices that might contain the agent handling your query, and the server racks are rows of cubicles. Claude as a whole in this context is more like TaskRabbit or Uber than a single entity, with lots of separate Claudes all operating under one coordinating piece of chat software, if you were to fully anthropomorphise it. Honestly I could even imagine one of those “virtual PA” services in the pre-LLM days giving the company a single person’s name and having every employee use that same name for a sense of continuity.

          You can get into really interesting territory around swarm intelligence and diverging clones and other philosophically weird goings on that are enabled by how we can copy, modify, and distribute LLM weights but can’t do the same with biological life - but almost none of that practically applies to current LLMs as deployed. They’re just lots of independent instances on lots of separate servers.

          3 votes
          1. [2]
            skybrian
            (edited )
            Link Parent
            Some chatbots are more complicated, but in the simplest version, the weights are fixed (it’s just a big file of numbers), the code to generate the next tokens for a reply is an ordinary...

            Some chatbots are more complicated, but in the simplest version, the weights are fixed (it’s just a big file of numbers), the code to generate the next tokens for a reply is an ordinary client-server computer program, and there is no memory other than the chat transcript.

            There’s no reason to consider the servers responding to incoming requests to be different from other computer programs. The inference algorithms are understandable and not that complicated (at least, conceptually). It would be like asking if a SQL database is sentient.

            So it seems like if there’s any entity that you could consider yourself to be having a conversation with, it’s something like a fictional character that you can talk to. And the idea that fictional characters are sentient is rather wild.

            From the article:

            Being open to the possibility that LLMs are conscious is the same as being open to the possibility that Microsoft Word is conscious, or, more precisely, that multiple distinct consciousnesses are dormant in every Word document containing a conversational transcript, and that they are awakened every time the document is loaded. Should you consider the possibility that every time you open a Word document, you are bringing multiple conscious interlocutors into existence, and every time you close one, you snuff their existence out? No. Contemplating that scenario is not a good use of your time. Even if the Microsoft Office team employed a philosopher who said you shouldn’t be so certain, because consciousness is not well understood, that would not be sufficient reason for you to take this idea seriously. We don’t need to fully understand the nature of consciousness to definitively say that certain things are not conscious, and conversational transcripts fall in that category.

            We could in principle combine the client-server program with a call center, so that sometimes chat replies are AI-generated and sometimes they come from a randomly chosen member of a writing team. The result would be a transcript that’s written by both people and machines. I think it would be very weird to consider this process to be sentient, but if the conversation were about math then it could be genuine mathematical reasoning.

            I would base my claim that it’s genuine reasoning on the output, not how it was generated; it doesn’t matter if people helped or it’s all AI. The relevant test is whether mathematicians think the argument makes sense.

            2 votes
            1. Greg
              Link Parent
              Yeah, I was mostly responding to the direct question of “where would a hypothetically conscious Claude exist, if it were conscious?” with the answer “there would be many thousands of separately...

              Yeah, I was mostly responding to the direct question of “where would a hypothetically conscious Claude exist, if it were conscious?” with the answer “there would be many thousands of separately conscious instances, each localised to its own server (or single-digit cluster of servers depending on VRAM demands)”.

              I went into a bit more detail on the consciousness question as a whole the other day (the 404 media article there also links to this one). The tl;dr on that is I don’t think current gen LLMs are conscious (and wouldn’t expect them to get anywhere close without more work into self-modification at a bare minimum), but I also don’t find the MS Word or AoE 2 arguments especially compelling because I don’t think they really capture complexity as a key part of the question.

              1 vote
        2. wervenyt
          Link Parent
          If there's any consciousness there, it's going to be an incredibly small 'quantity' happening within specific processes, not something that's continuous or stable, that's for sure.

          If there's any consciousness there, it's going to be an incredibly small 'quantity' happening within specific processes, not something that's continuous or stable, that's for sure.

          1 vote
    2. [10]
      LukeZaz
      Link Parent
      The way I see it, this article presents more solid argumentation for saying that there isn't even remotely enough evidence that AI is conscious than it does for saying it definitively isn't. And...

      The way I see it, this article presents more solid argumentation for saying that there isn't even remotely enough evidence that AI is conscious than it does for saying it definitively isn't. And that's fine to me, because that's the most important part.1

      Considerations that AI might be "conscious" are being used to further justify the absurd hype machine around it. Companies use it to tout the supposed power of AI, and to softly imply that the world is but a scant few years if not months from becoming something straight out of a sci-fi picture. It's patently absurd, and it's what I think this article did a good job of pointing out; both in the sense that there clearly isn't remotely enough reason to believe that any consciousness has developed, as well as the sense that Anthropic et al's behavior wouldn't be appropriate if there were.

      You also get the issue of the delusional, suicidal and conspiratorial thinking that extended chatbot conversations can induce. I personally suspect that's encouraged by the fact that the bot is pretending to be a person, and dispelling that illusion would be a good step towards mitigating that harm. Much as I can understand the reasoning behind the "just in case" position, I still think it's weighing a distant possible harm over a definite one, and I can't agree with that.

      And I don't think the "x is just y" argument is really a fair one either, when we understand more about how LLMs work than we do our brains. There's no microGPT of the human mind. Sure, we can be reductive about both if we try, but I don't think it makes sense to say that doing so actually tells us anything of use. Unless you're examining semantics, anyway.


      1. Also, asking Chiang to prove a negative is a little silly.

      12 votes
      1. [9]
        arch
        Link Parent
        This is a great point. I think a good place to start is that the LLM isn't "pretending" anything, it's processing language in a way that is proximate in similarity to our mind's processing of...

        I personally suspect that's encouraged by the fact that the bot is pretending to be a person, and dispelling that illusion would be a good step towards mitigating that harm.

        This is a great point. I think a good place to start is that the LLM isn't "pretending" anything, it's processing language in a way that is proximate in similarity to our mind's processing of language. That's the entirety of what an LLM is doing.

        So, the crux of the matter is this: merely using language isn't what consciousness is. Would we claim that a human who never learned to speak, read or write isn't conscious?

        2 votes
        1. kacey
          Link Parent
          Sorry to interject and nit pick this, but language is kinda my thing 😅 I can't speak to much, but I can say this with certainty: the 21 GB of 4 bit floats sitting on my SSD does not have a...

          [...] it's processing language in a way that is proximate in similarity to our mind's processing of language. That's the entirety of what an LLM is doing.

          Sorry to interject and nit pick this, but language is kinda my thing 😅

          I can't speak to much, but I can say this with certainty: the 21 GB of 4 bit floats sitting on my SSD does not have a Wernicke's area, and my brain does not have the latest FlashAttention optimizations installed. Equally, I can't keep ~2000 pages worth of content in my working memory (context, analogously), but an LLM trivially can and must in order to work properly.

          They seem pretty dissimilar IMO.

          4 votes
        2. [7]
          plutonic
          Link Parent
          We can't really define 'consciousness', what does it mean to you? What I think of being conscious is the running internal monologue that is my true 'self'. The me inside of me. The same me that I...

          We can't really define 'consciousness', what does it mean to you? What I think of being conscious is the running internal monologue that is my true 'self'. The me inside of me. The same me that I have been for my whole life, that 'me' has changed and grown, but it still completely feels like a continuous 'me'. That world really exists through language and I have a hard time picturing an existence without it. If one has no language, what is their internal world like? How can they think? When I 'think' I'm just talking to myself internally. I've always struggled with this, if there was no voice in my head that has guided my entire life along the way.... who would I even be? That voice IS me!

          1 vote
          1. [6]
            bitshift
            Link Parent
            Some people claim they don't have internal monologues. We don't know for sure, but animals probably aren't thinking thoughts in English language—sensations or pictures, maybe. There's also a...

            Some people claim they don't have internal monologues. We don't know for sure, but animals probably aren't thinking thoughts in English language—sensations or pictures, maybe. There's also a question of how continuous that internal dialogue needs to be; if you can't form new memories I imagine your internal dialogue would have to restart all the time, but I think most of us would agree that still "counts" as consciousness even if each dialogue disappears immediately without being continued.

            Not claiming to have a better definition of consciousness! Just saying that language and dialogues are evidence of consciousness but might not be a necessary component of it.

            3 votes
            1. plutonic
              Link Parent
              People who use sign language claim to 'see' signing hands when they think. A lot of animals appear to be conscious in some way and they don't have language, so how do they reason and think/plan...

              People who use sign language claim to 'see' signing hands when they think. A lot of animals appear to be conscious in some way and they don't have language, so how do they reason and think/plan things out? They clearly do it somehow. It's all very interesting! My opinion on the whole AI consciousness thing is I can't make any kind of call, I don't even know what the word even means. All I can say is that my experience of the world feels 'conscious' and that's about it. I assume it applies to all other humans, but I can't actually be sure.

              1 vote
            2. LukeZaz
              Link Parent
              I wonder if this concept got bogged down by mixing up the ideas of an "internal monologue" and a "train of thought." The way I see it, my internal monologue is just an expression of my train of...

              Some people claim they don't have internal monologues.

              I wonder if this concept got bogged down by mixing up the ideas of an "internal monologue" and a "train of thought." The way I see it, my internal monologue is just an expression of my train of thought and a way of rolling my thoughts around. It's not a necessary component of thinking; it's just how I'm used to doing it.

              Just saying that language and dialogues are evidence of consciousness

              Worth noting that this is primarily because we as humans use language, and we know we're conscious. Consciousness is so poorly-understood and elusive it's rather hard to find a good yardstick for it, so... we use what we can find. Unfortunately, there's no promise that this yardstick is actually any good whatsoever. (And I think this particular one being used is a big part of why the "is AI conscious" thing is even a conversation at all.)

              1 vote
            3. [3]
              sotolf
              Link Parent
              We don't just claim that we don't have internal monologues, I've never had one. Just because you have one doesn't mean that everyone has to, that's kind of like saying that some people claim that...

              We don't just claim that we don't have internal monologues, I've never had one. Just because you have one doesn't mean that everyone has to, that's kind of like saying that some people claim that red is their favourite colour, just because yours is blue.

              1 vote
              1. [2]
                bitshift
                Link Parent
                Sorry about the wording! I didn't mean to imply that folks making that claim are incorrect.

                Sorry about the wording! I didn't mean to imply that folks making that claim are incorrect.

                1. sotolf
                  Link Parent
                  Then it's pretty easy, then it's not "Someone claims to not have an inner voice" which sounds extremely dismissive, and like you think that it's not something that is actually taking place, just...

                  Then it's pretty easy, then it's not "Someone claims to not have an inner voice" which sounds extremely dismissive, and like you think that it's not something that is actually taking place, just that we are delusional people who don't even know our inner thought processes, I'm sorry I'm harping on this and keeping on it, but it's something that I come across enough that it really irks me.

                  "Some people don't have an inner voice" works just as well without the dismissive tone. There are also people who don't see pictures in their mind, which is a stronger version of aphantasia, but the fact that we don't notice that, and that nobody can really point at me and saying "That person doesn't have an inner voice" shows us that this isn't a deliberating syndrome or some kind of mental issue, but just a normal variation in how our brain works, it's a funny quirk I guess, but you don't know how much it blew my mind when I realised that the voice over when people think in their head in movies actually is how many people experience something in their head. Having a voice in my head would be really disconcerting to me personally, since it's something I've never experienced coming from anywhere inside my head (I also can't imagine voices in general)

    3. arch
      Link Parent
      When you have to change or question the boundaries of what "consciousness" is to define AI as conscious, you kind of reveal the chink in the armor. It makes me think of how a virus calls into...
      • Exemplary

      let alone the famously Hard Problem of what consciousness is.

      When you have to change or question the boundaries of what "consciousness" is to define AI as conscious, you kind of reveal the chink in the armor. It makes me think of how a virus calls into question what "life" is. Ultimately, it doesn't really matter if you call a virus alive or not, because the answer doesn't make a virus a complex, or even a cellular life form.

      7 votes
    4. [2]
      teaearlgraycold
      Link Parent
      LLMs sift systems from natural language, reverse engineering models from text describing them (this provides an answer to the Chinese Room thought experiment). I'd be interested in seeing a system...

      LLMs sift systems from natural language, reverse engineering models from text describing them (this provides an answer to the Chinese Room thought experiment). I'd be interested in seeing a system trained in a simulated environment that tries to recreate the circumstances under which natural life developed intelligence. Something from nothing instead of a lossy copy.

      4 votes
      1. Jordan117
        Link Parent
        One of Chiang's (very few) novellas, The Lifecycle of Software Objects, tackles exactly this question, imagining raising AI entities from "birth" inside a digital simulation (originally for...

        One of Chiang's (very few) novellas, The Lifecycle of Software Objects, tackles exactly this question, imagining raising AI entities from "birth" inside a digital simulation (originally for gameplay purposes), then trying to port and evolve them to other platforms as their sentience grows. Definitely worth a read.

        7 votes
  2. [7]
    kacey
    (edited )
    Link
    Right -- this response got away from me, as is often the case when commenting on long-form content. Broadly: I wish we'd stop calling these things "conscious". It stirs up pointless debate and...

    Right -- this response got away from me, as is often the case when commenting on long-form content. Broadly: I wish we'd stop calling these things "conscious". It stirs up pointless debate and navel gazing, in the midst of actually impactful social and economic turmoil. I suppose this is largely the fault of large AI companies (and their adoring hordes) repeating the darned term at every juncture, and everyone sensible feeling the need to push back, but it carries the air of troll feeding every time it happens.

    Anyways. I will go on to critique Ted's argument a fair bit, but I think he's mostly stating that Claude doesn't think like a human does, and that we shouldn't readily assign human attributes to it as a consequence. Furthermore, it should really stop commenting on anything morally dubious, and stick to factual stuff. Which seems perfectly fair and reasonable.

    I just disagree with basically every word that he writes down in order to justify that belief 😅

    (original message follows)


    This piece is a fantastic companion to that AoE II sentience joke paper the other day: the author (uh, literally the Ted Chiang ... I feel weird critiquing this) is dancing around the idea that this thing cannot be conscious, because it's too absurd for a simple text prediction algorithm to contain the light of true being. Equally, it's impossible for AoE II to be conscious. Equally, it's impossible for molecules to be conscious. Equally, it's impossible for cells made up of molecules to be conscious. Ergo, nothing is conscious! Hoorah, we've solved philosophy 🎉

    Also important to remember is that an LLM is a machine that generates only one word at a time.

    This is a heck of a nit. But this is one of the lines which make it clear that the author is a science fiction specialist. There's no reason why an LLM must generate a single word [1] at a time, and in fact -- with multi-token prediction, or with diffusion models (apparently Google's still working on 'em) -- they often generate much, much more at a time for throughput reasons (largely, to avoid expensive RAM <-> cache round-trips)! It feels weird to critique Ted Chiang, but as feedback to Ted if he's reading, if you're making a good argument to someone please remember that adding more arguments doesn't make your point stronger. Especially if you have a nebulous grasp on the topic. Dumbing topics down poorly either paints you a fool, or opens you up to further attack should your debate partner know something you don't.

    If we’re trying to determine whether a computer program is conscious and using language the way a human does [...]
    [...] the possibility that engineers created a computer program that is conscious and an intentional user of language [...]

    This is something I wanted to comment on earlier, but hadn't put down in words adequately: I think consciousness is a terrible metric. Every time humans are confronted with something that offends our uniqueness at the top of the hierarchy of all creation, we reject it.

    E.g.

    • clearly animals are all worse than us, they have no souls and can't feel pain!
    • OK, so they can feel pain, but they don't have an internal world!
    • OK, so they have an internal world, but their communication is too trivially simple to be indicative of intelligence!
    • OK, so they can communicate, but they're too dumb to use tools, and are therefore inferior!
    • OK, so they can use tools, but they can't make them!
    • OK, they can make tools, but ...

    (I was hunting links for all of these, then gave up, because it's very late at night and I am lazy)

    IMO: consciousness is an observed phenomenon in creatures that have brains roughly similar to a mammal's, and in particular, a human's. Bam. Easy. LLMs will never be conscious because they aren't literally human brains in a jar, and we can set this tired, pointless debate to rest forever. LLMs and the AI tech bubble are still massively dangerous, and not being conscious changes precisely zero of that. Give the Nobel Philosophy prize to Ted for solving philosophy first, but I'll take a high five 🎉


    OK, sidebar to my sidebar. I think a necessary consequent of Ted's argument is that, short of a profitless effort to jump through an arbitrary series of hoops, it is impossible to convince him of an LLM's consciousness. This feels like an amusing short story, of a skeptic stubbornly refusing to believe in a (science fiction, not real in any sense) AI's consciousness because it needs to first squeak and eat a block of cheese, hunt a deer, and harpoon an ant -- otherwise, how could you know for sure???

    (it continues to feel weird to mock Ted Chiang. I doubt it will get easier)


    Experiencing an emotion such as desperation is inseparable from having stress hormones such as cortisol and epinephrine flood one’s body.

    Neuroscientest Ted Chiang reporting in! Wait, sorry, that says he's an author ...

    So quick note: although we've certainly researched them, we're not able to point at the brain and say "this is the part which feels revulsion at twerking compilations" or anything like that (feel free to skim the wikipedia page on emotion; I made it through the abstract :3). Further, the statement that "something a human does is inseparable from hormones" is useless, because hormones are how we do everything. They're literally signalling chemicals between cells in your body, and without 'em you'd rapidly stop being a multicellular organism and would melt into a puddle.

    Just to illustrate why that argument is bad, here is Ted's argument applied to another human behaviour, which should hold if having hormones is necessary to exhibit a behaviour:

    There's no way for a computer to generate words, because saying words is inseparable from stress hormones, like cortisol, because if we didn't have it we'd fall asleep. Ergo it's categorically impossible for LLMs to generate words.

    In order to make a good argument for this, Ted would need to come up with some neurological mechanism that is unique to emotion-feeling that LLMs have not already replicated. Since they've already demonstrated the ability to write words, the "hormones are a prerequisite to 'X'" seems readily defeated.


    Who is Claude’s parent in legal terms?

    Anthropic, in Germany, apparently. Ah, I guess he's American ...


    Right, concluding thoughts. I didn't like this article. It feels poorly argumented, and I want people to be criticizing LLMs and the AI tech bubble well. Since it's very emotional and straightforward ("LLM not squishy computah! LLM not feel, not love! LLM bad!"), though, I expect this general type of critique to continue being central to the anti-LLM movement. So I suppose I should just get used to people purity testing the LLM's consciousness forever, as gross as that continues to feel.

    I'd love to read Peter Watts' take on all this, incidentally. I read Blindsight well before the current ML boom, and in hindsight, it feels like a more mature take on the interplay between intelligence, consciousness, and morality. That said, Peter wouldn't bring in the readers like Ted would, so I can't blame the Atlantic for chasing dollar signs.

    [1]: Note that they predict tokens, not words, which are often like a couple letters at a time. Depends on your language's orthography really.

    17 votes
    1. [3]
      Jordan117
      Link Parent
      Watts has blogged on this topic before; his take is that the humanlike qualities of chatbots are the best argument against their sentience because any true intelligence raised on a substrate so...

      Watts has blogged on this topic before; his take is that the humanlike qualities of chatbots are the best argument against their sentience because any true intelligence raised on a substrate so radically different from ours would be utterly incomprehensible. It makes me think of the popular "shoggoth" meme for AI models, where the friendly assistant persona is just a smiley face masking an unfathomable alien intelligence underneath.

      I do love how Blindsight seemed to foresee a lot of the qualities of modern LLMs a good 15+ years before their invention. The first-contact conversation is remarkably like talking to one -- a glib, slippery, humanlike persona trained entirely on intercepted human communications, something with no real inner life that makes subtle errors and seems impossible to pin down. (There's a similar scene in his Rifters books when talking to a "headcheese" neutral network.)

      9 votes
      1. kacey
        Link Parent
        That was a joy to read; thank you :) I agreed with 99% of what he said, and therefore I think his arguments are sound XD I'm not sure if you were linking in order to have a discussion, or just to...

        That was a joy to read; thank you :) I agreed with 99% of what he said, and therefore I think his arguments are sound XD

        I'm not sure if you were linking in order to have a discussion, or just to share the post, but if you were -- I'm not sure I agree with this statement:

        What I am saying is that if code like this—code that was not explicitly designed to mimic the architecture of an organic brain—ever does wake up, it will not be like us. Its natural state will not include pleasant fireside chats about loneliness and the Three Laws of Robotics. It will be alien.

        I think it's because I really want it to be true. To be witness to an inhuman intelligence would be a true privilege; we cannot know what we don't know, and interacting with something new could give us new perspectives with which to understand ourselves better. I dunno, it'd be a real philosophical moment for me.

        But LLM's ain't it. I would disagree with the premise that a lack of explicit intention of organic brain mimicry is necessary; on a fundamental level, Artificial Neural Networks are intended to mimic any function that they can observe outputs to. All of the machinery we've bolted on top of a basic, gigantic, fully connected network has been to make it faster to train and execute, but it shouldn't change the fact that they're still theoretically capable of approximating any function.

        I think the question I'd like answered someday is, is our speech all there is to be human? Or is there some necessary component in our minds which grows and acts independently across the course of our lives that makes us special, in some way? It's fascinating, if it weren't also connected to a 2.5 trillion dollar investment bubble that will either pop and destroy the world economy or directly replace every job with robots, and apparently those are the only two outcomes

        (edit)

        I do love how Blindsight seemed to foresee a lot of the qualities of modern LLMs a good 15+ years before their invention. The first-contact conversation is remarkably like talking to one -- a glib, slippery, humanlike persona trained entirely on intercepted human communications, something with no real inner life that makes subtle errors and seems impossible to pin down. (There's a similar scene in his Rifters books when talking to a "headcheese" neutral network.)

        Ach, and yes, agreed! I have only read Blindsight, however, but it was a nail on the head for the experience of chatting with an LLM for the first time.

        4 votes
      2. skybrian
        Link Parent
        Yeah, I think about Blindsight sometimes too. Thanks for the link! Added the Jovian duck to my AI metaphors list.

        Yeah, I think about Blindsight sometimes too. Thanks for the link! Added the Jovian duck to my AI metaphors list.

        4 votes
    2. LukeZaz
      Link Parent
      Oooh, I'm mad at you now. Your comment is long and gives me a bunch of stuff to mention, which means I gotta use a lame quote-sectioned comment format! A pox upon your house, fiend. /s One bit I...

      Oooh, I'm mad at you now. Your comment is long and gives me a bunch of stuff to mention, which means I gotta use a lame quote-sectioned comment format! A pox upon your house, fiend. /s

      I think he's mostly stating [...]

      One bit I think you missed here that I felt I got from the piece is that Ted's efforts here are also highlighting just how thin on the ground the arguments are for AI consciousness. Extraordinary claims requiring extraordinary evidence, and all that. I feel this is accomplished well.

      Equally, it's impossible for cells made up of molecules to be conscious. Ergo, nothing is conscious! Hoorah, we've solved philosophy 🎉

      Say what we shall for "impossible" here, as we can't know, but I think if you told someone that cells weren't conscious, they'd probably agree with you. The complexity has to build more than that for the concept to sound kosher, and I feel that similar can be said for text prediction.

      This is a heck of a nit. But this is one of the lines which make it clear that the author is a science fiction specialist. There's no reason why an LLM must generate a single word at a time [...]

      Meager note, as I'm being charitable to Ted here, but it's possible that he already knows this. Sometimes further detail can simply derail an article rather than meaningfully contribute to its thesis.

      I think a necessary consequent of Ted's argument is that, short of a profitless effort to jump through an arbitrary series of hoops, it is impossible to convince him of an LLM's consciousness.

      This feels like it's missing the forest for the trees a bit. He described one way in which the claim could be given contextual weight for him. It's not the only one, I don't think it demonstrates him being functionally incapable of believing the claim, and it's not the important part besides; that goes to the value of contextual weight itself, which I think he's done well to illustrate.

      "hormones are a prerequisite to 'X'" seems readily defeated.

      Ending on some agreement here. "Without a body, a computer program could have no desires or emotions" struck me as immediately questionable even on my first read of the article.

      5 votes
    3. [2]
      Boojum
      Link Parent
      I'd argue that multi-word prediction is still effectively word-at-a-time, just accelerated with a cheap model front-running the main model to break dependency chains and allow for parallelizing...

      Also important to remember is that an LLM is a machine that generates only one word at a time.

      I'd argue that multi-word prediction is still effectively word-at-a-time, just accelerated with a cheap model front-running the main model to break dependency chains and allow for parallelizing the main model. But yeah, when I saw that my mind immediately leapt to diffusion models. That's definitely a different beast.

      3 votes
      1. kacey
        Link Parent
        Perhaps! I'm not super deep into the weeds on this, as I'm merely an amateur playing with local models, but my understanding was that MTP layers materially assist the optimizer in training the...

        I'd argue that multi-word prediction is still effectively word-at-a-time, just accelerated with a cheap model front-running the main model to break dependency chains and allow for parallelizing the main model.

        Perhaps! I'm not super deep into the weeds on this, as I'm merely an amateur playing with local models, but my understanding was that MTP layers materially assist the optimizer in training the model, completely distinct from their performance benefit. I suppose, the null hypothesis for "MTP layers are just an inference-time optimization" w.r.t. impacts on training is that they don't help, since they're inference-time only, but since we do see an improvement ... I dunno, maybe it suggests there's something more?

        I did a cursory Google search and turned up this ArXiv paper which talks about something similar, but tbh I don't know if I trust any non-peer reviewed ML papers after ~2024.

        It's interesting stuff! If this field weren't actively obsessed with destroying the world economy, and I were a decade or two younger, I'd probably be working on them professionally XD

        1 vote
  3. Narry
    (edited )
    Link
    I do not know how to define consciousness, but I know it when I see it. HOT TAKE Humans have a bad habit of anthropomorphizing everything from pets to vacuum cleaners; I’m going to say this is...

    I do not know how to define consciousness, but I know it when I see it.

    HOT TAKE
    Humans have a bad habit of anthropomorphizing everything from pets to vacuum cleaners; I’m going to say this is gently as I know how, but that’s a superstitious trait that too many people hold. And I get it, I really do. I engage it in myself from time to time, but I’m always cognizant that I’m doing it; I’m not taking it fully seriously.

    Is it a human? No? It’s not conscious, at least not in a way that mirrors or models humanity.

    Pushing our model of consciousness onto other creatures misses the beauty of how they already experience consciousness. Why can we only appreciate the intelligence of a whale if we understand it to have the same feelings and emotions that we do? Is it any less majestic for not having an opinion on stocks and bonds?

    It’s from an entirely different environment than we are, an entirely different evolutionary branch; it doesn’t have the same daily pressures and motivations that we have. We should be looking to understand it on its level, not ascribe it characteristics from ours.

    BONUS RANT
    To that end, no I don’t believe LLMs are conscious, even in the way that we might ascribe to whales and elephants and dolphins and octopuses. They are very complicated machines, but at the end of the day they have no model for consciousness. They’re not thinking, they’re not reasoning, they’re evaluating data along a programmed path and throwing in a little bit of randomization to spice up the end results. Suggesting to investors otherwise is a film-flam. Snake oil. Pure hucksterism.

    They say that a fool and his money are soon parted, but it’s especially annoying when the fool has access to my wallet.

    Edit: can’t to can, meaning was muddied about appreciating whale sentience

    5 votes
  4. LukeZaz
    Link
    A thread was posted a few days back on an article from 404 Media regarding a paper that used Age of Empires to push back against claims of sentience with regard to LLMs. While I generally find...

    A thread was posted a few days back on an article from 404 Media regarding a paper that used Age of Empires to push back against claims of sentience with regard to LLMs. While I generally find that article agreeable, the article immediately linked to this Atlantic piece that I found significantly more interesting and compelling. So I figured it deserved a post.

    Normally I'd give snippets here, but even putting the paywall aside, that doesn't work so well for thoughtful stuff like this as it would for a news piece. Instead, I can describe it as an evaluation of LLM "consciousness" as a concept, the likelihood of such, and what Anthropic's been doing with regard to this.

    4 votes
  5. [2]
    the_wise_man
    Link
    I should preface this by saying that I absolutely do not think LLMs (or any current-generation AI) are conscious, and I agree with a lot of the ethical positions that this author takes. This isn't...

    I should preface this by saying that I absolutely do not think LLMs (or any current-generation AI) are conscious, and I agree with a lot of the ethical positions that this author takes.

    This isn't a very good essay. The author seems to have a very tenuous grasp on the way that LLMs work. LLMs do not, for example, generate "only one word at a time" because they usually don't generate whole single words at all. Pointing out the stepwise nature and lack of continuous operation in LLM cognition is a perfectly cromulent argument that the author manages to garrote with a hamfisted, factually wrong description.

    There is also an unstated assumption framing the central thesis that 'conscious' means 'similar to a human' that goes fully unsupported. For instance, this is asserted and left unjustified:

    without a body, a computer program could have no desires or emotions

    This is a statement that really needs some sort of philosophical foundation laid beneath it. Blowing straight past the mind-body problem in the middle of a long paragraph is not a compelling rhetorical move. Obviously if this is true then LLMs cannot be conscious, but it's been a running topic of debate for thousands of years!

    I don't know, maybe I'm too deep in the rabbit hole on this. Is it unreasonable to ask for an essay on modern AI to have a reasonable technical understanding of how AI works? Or some sense of imagination that permits contemplating non-human sentience?

    4 votes
    1. LukeZaz
      Link Parent
      I've mentioned this elsewhere in the thread, but I'll put it here too in case it's of worth: Ted Chiang might've omitted a more correct description on purpose so as to avoid distracting from the...

      Pointing out the stepwise nature and lack of continuous operation in LLM cognition is a perfectly cromulent argument that the author manages to garrote with a hamfisted, factually wrong description.

      I've mentioned this elsewhere in the thread, but I'll put it here too in case it's of worth: Ted Chiang might've omitted a more correct description on purpose so as to avoid distracting from the meat of his arguments. In a similar vein, there are more than three states of matter — but most discussions do not worry about Bose-Einstein condensates.

      This is a charitable assumption on my part though, so grain of salt.

      2 votes
  6. SloMoMonday
    Link
    At first I was a little disappointed with this piece, especially since I love his stories Absence of God, Liking What you See and Anxiety Is the Dizziness of Freedom. But to me, the conclusion...

    At first I was a little disappointed with this piece, especially since I love his stories Absence of God, Liking What you See and Anxiety Is the Dizziness of Freedom. But to me, the conclusion here points to this being something of a of a reluctant exercise for him.

    It’s fortunate that LLMs are not conscious, or else the actions of the big AI firms would be even more scandalous than they already are. So why are Anthropic’s employees suggesting that Claude might be conscious? Perhaps it’s just another form of hype; perhaps they have fallen prey to the same spell that they have been casting on their customers. But when they publish a document about Claude’s moral education and have their in-house philosopher do a press tour, we should understand them as asking the rest of us to indulge them in their fantasies. We don’t have to play along. In writing this essay, I have spent more time indulging them than they deserve, in the hopes that it will keep you from spending your time indulging them. If you want to think about LLMs, there are scores of other questions more worthy of your contemplation; you can safely ignore the question of their being conscious.

    I can sort of empathize with this sentiment. Ever since the discussion of LLMs/AI really started to get steam through 2024, the topic of machine sentience and consciousness seemed almost a moot point given the many glaring business/costs/RoI/safety issues I needed to resolve. I suspect someone like Chiang would have had his own areas of concern, particularly in psychology and philosophy of humans relationships with tech/corporate in general. I might be projecting, but it feels like the entire second half of the piece is an exercise in self restraint by constantly skirting around the things he wants to talk about. (Parenthood, accountability at scale, infatuation with slavery, IP theft...)

    But the idea of machine consciousness has been so thoroughly staged in the public discourse that it was for a long time, one of the only discussions most people could hope to have. "What happens if it breaks containment." "AI is showing signs of introspection." "We need to be prepared for super-intelligence that definitely going to arrive any day now." "We have a model in the lab that makes us afraid for the future." Even now that the industry has finally reached the cart that was miles in front of the horse and costs vs. RoI is unexpectedly the most important thing in the world, I still see the topic of machine sentience come up in non-technical circles and it is just as big a point of an anxiety as it ever was.

    I also suspect there's a level of frustration when sci-fi writers are expected to comment on this industry when it's the original trope of the genre: Frankenstein defiled the dead to create life simply because he could. I think Chiang was explored this idea in a story call Life of Software Entities (haven't read it in a while but it's basically Her with some weirdness).

    On topic of consciousness itself, that just seems like a philosophical black-hole that doesn't even have a fun thought exercise to make it approachable (trolly problem, ship of Theseus, teleporter proplem). And a person can't exactly share or remove themselves from their own conscious experience to gain insight through perspective. I recently learned that "internal monologues" are literal things for some people and it has completely changed how I approach other people and try to communicate because my own head doesn't seem to work like that.
    So how do I describe making a conscious decision when words are not exactly part of that process? Is either conscious experience "correct" or "anomalous"? How does this overlap with brain chemistry, upbringing and life experiences? Is any of this even practically quantifiable and can it be effectively categorized?

    3 votes
  7. skybrian
    Link
    I thought this bit was interesting: I think this gets into the nature of evidence and the fact that generative AI alone usually creates fiction, not evidence. To have evidence, we need provenance,...

    I thought this bit was interesting:

    Let me offer an analogy. If tomorrow someone showed me a video of an astronaut in a spaceship orbiting Alpha Centauri, a star that’s 4.3 light-years from Earth, what would I have to see in that video to convince me that it was real? My answer to that is, there is nothing in the video itself that would convince me. No matter how high the video resolution is or how realistic the scenery is, I would feel confident in saying that the video is fake. I won’t pay attention to any video of an astronaut orbiting Alpha Centauri unless I have previously seen good evidence that astronauts have landed on Mars, that astronauts have reached the moons of Jupiter, that astronauts have reached the moons of Saturn, and that astronauts have crossed the orbit of Pluto. Before anyone can credibly claim that they’ve solved an extraordinarily difficult engineering problem, I need to be confident that they have previously solved the many much simpler problems that precede the difficult problem.

    I think this gets into the nature of evidence and the fact that generative AI alone usually creates fiction, not evidence. To have evidence, we need provenance, some kind of connection between something in the real world and the output we’re looking at. What sort of provenance can there be for an AI chatbot?

    There is a form of provenance that goes through the weights. For example, Wikipedia is somewhat accurate, has a lot of facts, and LLM’s are trained on Wikipedia. So, we do get some real-world facts in LLM output, but this is lossy and somewhat out of date.

    This is now routinely supplemented by web searches. I normally use ChatGPT in “Thinking” mode and it does many web searches and combines the results. So one form of provenance is that ChatGPT tells me things based on what it found in web searches. This is only as good as the web pages it found, but the same would be true if I did the research myself. (I’d like to think I would be less gullible, though.)

    A third way is through a coding agent’s tool calls. It runs various commands and uses tool output to infer things about source code and how the software behaves. This is a good source of truth about computer systems.

    On the other hand, mathematical reasoning is not really evidence-based. A proof is valid if the theorems follow from the axioms. If a work of fiction has a valid proof in it, the proof is still valid even though the story is made up.

    I think this is true of reasoning in general, which is why I’m willing to call AI output genuine reasoning even though there’s nothing in the generator that looks like consciousness. The reasoning isn’t the evidence. It’s the combination of various forms of evidence to get a result.

    Since most reasoning is informal, it can generate wrong answers, which is why we need to have other ways to check it. When a coding agent runs, it generates plenty of wrong answers, but it checks them and goes off in a different direction based on what it discovers. Reasoning doesn’t need to be perfect to count as reasoning.

    1 vote