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6 votes
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Why Denmark is voting on its defence relationship with the EU – and what it says about democracy in Europe
5 votes -
Finland and Sweden's path to potential NATO membership – updating thread for news and opinion pieces [2022-07-05]
About: This is an updating resource of news articles on Finland and Sweden's path to potential membership of NATO. The articles are sorted by publication date, with the most recent at the top....
About:
This is an updating resource of news articles on Finland and Sweden's path to potential membership of NATO.
The articles are sorted by publication date, with the most recent at the top. Feel free to recommend articles in the comments.
The thread title contains the date of the latest update to the main thread, for ease of use.
Articles:
NATO nations sign accession protocols for Sweden, Finland
The thirty NATO allies signed off on the accession protocols for Sweden and Finland on Tuesday, sending the membership bids of the two nations to the alliance capitals for legislative approvals — and possible political trouble in Turkey.
AP – Raf Casert – 5th July 2022
NATO summit: Sweden, Finland boost unity against Putin
NATO's ambitions are growing. Sweden and Finland are set to join and the alliance is strengthening its eastern flank with more troops. This is the right approach against Vladimir Putin, says Bernd Riegert.
DW – Bernd Riegert – 29th June 2022
Turkey says summit is not deadline for talks on Finland and Sweden's NATO bids
Discussions between Turkey, Finland and Sweden about the Nordic countries' NATO membership will continue and an alliance summit in Madrid next week is not a deadline, Turkey said after talks in Brussels on Monday.
Finland and Sweden applied for NATO membership in response to Russia's invasion of Ukraine. But the bids have faced opposition from Turkey, which has been angered by what it says is Helsinki and Stockholm's support for Kurdish militants and arms embargoes on Ankara.
Reuters – 20th June 2022
Former Kurdish rebel has key role in Sweden’s NATO bid
When Turkey’s president rails against “terrorists” in the Swedish Parliament, Amineh Kakabaveh is convinced he is talking about her.
The former Kurdish rebel fighter turned Swedish lawmaker has emerged as a central figure in the drama surrounding Sweden and Finland’s historic bid to join NATO. Turkey opposes NATO membership for the two Nordic countries, accusing them of harboring Kurdish militants.
AP – Karl Ritter – 14th June 2022
Turkey threatens year’s delay to Swedish and Finnish entry to NATO
Turkey has said it is willing to delay Swedish and Finnish membership of NATO for more than a year unless it receives satisfactory assurances that the two Nordic countries are willing to address support for Kurdish groups it regards as terrorist organisations.
The Guardian – Patrick Wintour – 14th June 2022
Sweden to seek constructive progress with Turkey over NATO bid
Sweden will look to make constructive progress in talks with Turkey on Ankara's objections over the Nordic country's application to join the NATO defensive alliance, Foreign Minister Ann Linde said on Friday.
Reuters – 10th June 2022
Finland and Sweden prepare for large NATO naval drill, amid Turkish concerns
Finland and Sweden are preparing for an enlarged NATO naval exercise in the Baltic Sea on Sunday, amid Turkish concerns over their membership.
NATO's fortnight-long 'Baltops 22' is being hosted this year by Sweden, with the Finnish Navy and Air force also taking part.
Euronews – Philip Andrew Churm – 4th June 2022
Sweden's NATO bid: 'We are not naive,' defense minister tells DW
Russia's invasion of Ukraine "fundamentally" changed the way Swedes thought about joining the NATO military alliance, Swedish Defense Minister Peter Hultqvist told DW.
DW – Rebecca Staudenmaier – 1st June 2022
Finnish foreign minister optimistic that 'sooner or later' Finland and Sweden will be NATO members
Finnish Foreign Minister Pekka Haavisto expressed optimism that "sooner or later, Finland and Sweden will be members of NATO" and said discussions with the Turkish government would continue as Ankara threatens to block the two nations from joining the defensive alliance.
CNN – Jennifer Hansler – 27th May 2022
Finland, Sweden to send teams to Turkey to discuss NATO bids, Haavisto says
Finland and Sweden will send delegations to Ankara on Wednesday to try to resolve Turkish opposition to their applications for membership of the NATO military alliance, Finnish Foreign Minister Pekka Haavisto said on Tuesday.
Reuters – 24th May 2022
Ukraine war: US fully backs Sweden and Finland Nato bids, Biden says
Sweden and Finland have the "full, total and complete backing" of the US in their decision to apply for Nato membership, President Joe Biden says.
Both countries submitted their applications to be part of the Western defence alliance this week, marking a major shift in European geopolitics.
To join the alliance, the two nations need the support of all 30 Nato member states.
But the move by the Nordic nations has been opposed by Turkey.
BBC News – 20th May 2022
Why some young Swedes remain uneasy about joining NATO
While the majority of Swedes are in favor of joining NATO, there are others who even took to the streets in protest. They warn the decision is rushed and that Sweden should better stick with its tradition of neutrality.
DW – Priyanka Shankar – 18th May 2022
Why has Erdoğan doubled down on threat to veto Nordic NATO bids?
After initial hesitation about the seriousness of Turkey’s objections, its president, Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, has doubled down on his threat to veto Finland’s and Sweden’s applications for membership of NATO, saying there is no point in either country sending delegations to Ankara to persuade him otherwise.
The Guardian – Patrick Wintour – 18th May 2022
Finland and Sweden may join NATO – but even they can’t guarantee that will make them safer
For a long time, the Nordic countries saw themselves as sleekly humanitarian, peace-keeping powers. To an unusual degree, the national identities of Sweden and Finland are bound up with their foreign policy: Swedes identify with a centuries-old tradition of neutrality, whereas Finns point to their talent for realpolitik, making the best of their volatile geography, which includes an 830-mile border with Russia. As both countries now formally submit their applications to join the North Atlantic alliance, each of them will forgo this deviation from the European norm. Finland in particular now seems poised to adopt a more standard-issue foreign policy. But at what price?
The Guardian – Thomas Meaney – 18th May 2022
Finland and Sweden’s historic NATO bids, explained
Finland and Sweden are seeking membership to the North Atlantic Treaty Organization, a historic shift for two traditionally non-aligned countries and a major expansion of the Western alliance as war continues in Europe.
Vox – Jen Kirby – 17th May 2022
Finland's Parliament likely to vote on NATO application on Tuesday
President Sauli Niinisto and the government decided officially on Sunday that Finland would apply for membership but the decision is pending Parliament's approval, which is expected with an overwhelming majority.
Debate in the legislature began on Monday and the first session finished more than 14 hours later, after midnight, after members gave 212 addresses on the topic, the vast majority in favour of joining.
Reuters – 17th May 2022
Finland formally confirms intention to join NATO
“Finland is applying for NATO membership,” said the country’s president, Sauli Niinistö, at a press conference. “A protected Finland is being born as part of a stable, strong and responsible Nordic region. We gain security and we also share it. It’s good to keep in mind that security isn’t a zero-sum game.”
The Guardian – Jon Henley – 15th May 2022
Turkey won't block Finland and Sweden joining NATO, Denmark says
Danish Foreign Minister Jeppe Kofod believes the NATO alliance will prove united on the potential accession of Finland and Sweden, despite signals from Turkey suggesting Ankara is not ready to support the historic expansion.
Newsweek – David Brennan – 14th May 2022
Opinion: In keeping with its 1939 tradition, Finland is saying 'nyet' to Vladimir Putin
Finland's membership in NATO would signal the end of over 70 years of Moscow's most enduring policy. This is a humiliation for Vladimir Putin, writes DW's Konstantin Eggert.
DW – Konstantin Eggert – 13th May 2022
NATO: New challenges for the alliance as Finland and Sweden inch closer to membership?
Finland has announced its decision to join NATO as quickly as possible, Sweden is expected to follow suit shortly. What does this mean for the alliance?
DW – Priyanka Shankar – 12th May 2022
Sweden plans to send NATO application next week, Expressen daily says
Sweden's government plans to submit an application to join NATO next week, following neighbour Finland in re-writing its post-World War Two security policy in the wake of Russia's invasion of Ukraine, daily Expressen said on Thursday.
Reuters – 12th May 2022
Finland must apply for NATO membership "without delay", Finnish leaders say
Finland must apply to join the NATO military alliance "without delay", Finnish President Sauli Niinisto and Prime Minister Sanna Marin said on Thursday, a major policy shift triggered by Russia's invasion of Ukraine.
Reuters – Anne Kauranen & Essi Lehto – 12th May 2022
Ukraine conflict: What is NATO and will Finland and Sweden join?
Boris Johnson has said the UK would support Sweden and Finland if they came under attack. Both countries are considering whether to join NATO, with a decision expected shortly.
BBC News – 11th May 2022
Is NATO's Nordic expansion a threat or boost to Europe?
Finland and Sweden, two neutral Nordic countries, are so alarmed by Russia's invasion of Ukraine that they are both now seriously considering joining NATO, as early as this summer.
BBC News – Frank Gardner – 9th May 2022
Scandinavian allies support Finnish, Swedish NATO bids
The Scandinavian members of NATO have given their full backing to the prospect of Finland and Sweden joining the intergovernmental military alliance.
"This is your decision and your decision alone. But be assured: If you decide to join, you have the full support from Denmark," Danish Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen said on the sidelines of a summit between the five Scandinavian countries and India on Wednesday.
DW – 5th May 2022
Sweden’s ruling Social Democrats divided on decision to join NATO
The first signs of a backlash to a possible Swedish application to join NATO have emerged within the ruling Social Democrats, at the start of a critical month in which Sweden and neighbouring Finland are expected to move rapidly towards a decision.
The Guardian – Patrick Wintour – 4th May 2022
The NATO accession Sweden never saw coming
On May 17, President Sauli Niinisto of Finland is scheduled to arrive in Sweden. He’ll meet with King Carl XVI Gustaf and the Swedish government before leaving the next day. And sometime during his visit, Sweden and Finland are expected to announce they’re both applying for membership of NATO. Finland has—remarkably—taken the lead, and Sweden is likely to follow, simply because if Finland joins there’s really no reason to not to do the same. Sweden is, in fact, NATO’s luckiest-ever joiner, a country swept into the alliance without having to lobby for membership and without its government even expressing a desire to join.
Foreign Policy – Elisabeth Braw – 29th April 2022
Putin is pushing Finland and Sweden into NATO’s arms
Mr. Rasmussen is a former secretary general of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization and a former prime minister of Denmark.
When announcing Russia’s imminent invasion of Ukraine back in February, President Vladimir Putin mentioned NATO 40 times. It was clear he wanted to present NATO as the devil — but it wasn’t always like that.
New York Times – Anders Fogh Rasmussen – 25th April 2022
Going Nordic: What NATO membership would mean for Finland and Sweden
As they watch Russia unleash total war against a European neighbor, Sweden and Finland seem to agree: It’s finally time to join NATO.
With public opinion turning strongly in favor, both countries are inching closer toward formally joining the Alliance. Just this week, their prime ministers publicly telegraphed their strong support for such a move, though Finland appears more certain than Sweden and likely to move first.
But what would that look like? For answers we reached out to Leo Michel, a nonresident senior fellow at the Scowcroft Center’s Transatlantic Security Initiative and the Finnish Institute of International Affairs, who previously served as director of NATO policy at the Pentagon. Check out his responses to our questions below.
Atlantic Council – 15th April 2022
Will Finland and Sweden join NATO?
The war in Ukraine may bring NATO new members. Finland and Sweden are closer than ever to ditching their neutrality and applying to join. Bernd Riegert reports from Brussels.
DW – Bernd Riegert – 14th April 2022
Sweden’s decision to join NATO isn’t just about security
Will Sweden join Nato? The country looks set to join Finland in applying for membership, but the debate in Stockholm is far from straightforward.
New Statesman – Megan Gibson – 14th April 2022
Finland is closer than ever to joining NATO
Since 1945, Finland has sought cordial relations with its vast Russian neighbor. But Vladimir Putin’s war on Ukraine has emboldened champions of Finnish NATO membership — and made things harder for left-wing critics of the military alliance.
Jacobin – Tatu Ahponen – 13th April 2022
Finland and Sweden belong in NATO
Though fundamentally geared toward defense, NATO looms as a mortal threat to Russia in President Vladimir Putin’s geopolitical imagination. Mr. Putin has grown increasingly agitated with NATO’s eastward expansion since the Cold War’s end three decades ago, which has brought most of Europe under the alliance’s mutual security guarantee. Mr. Putin cited the need to prevent NATO from reaching Russia’s borders via the inclusion of Ukraine as one of his reasons to invade that neighbor on Feb. 24.
Washington Post – Editorial – 13th April 2022
In Sweden and Finland, even the skeptics are coming round to NATO bids
In Sweden, support for joining NATO among the population as a whole has risen from around 35 percent to 46 percent over the past month. In Finland, it has spiked to over 60 percent.
Politico – Charlie Duxbury – 8th April 2022
When Vladimir Putin began laying the groundwork for his invasion of Ukraine, he pointed to what he regards as the existential threat posed by the West encroaching farther into the post-Soviet space. Nearly two weeks into Putin’s devastating and costly invasion, that fear has turned into a self-fulfilling prophecy: The once-remote possibility of Ukraine joining the European Union and NATO now seems more plausible, and even in historically neutral countries such as Finland and Sweden (both of which are already EU members), public support for joining NATO has surged to record levels.
The Atlantic – Yasmeen Serhan – 9th March 2022
Swedish PM rejects opposition calls to consider joining NATO
Swedish Prime Minister Magdalena Andersson on Tuesday rejected opposition calls to consider joining NATO following Russia's invasion of Ukraine, saying an application now would destabilize security in Europe.
Reuters – 8th March 2022
Finland, Sweden brush off Moscow’s warning on joining NATO
Finland and Sweden have brushed off warnings from neighboring Russia that their possible joining of NATO would trigger “serious military-political consequences” from Moscow for the two countries.
AP – Jari Tanner – 26th February 2022
Finland and Sweden wait for the Baltic states
The Baltic States used to be a problem for Russia. Now they are a headache for their Nordic neighbors, Finland and Sweden. Likely membership of Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania in NATO is forcing Finland and Sweden to reconsider their commitment to military nonalignment. Traditionalists in Helsinki and Stockholm do not like it a bit.
The Baltic enthusiasm for NATO and the Finnish-Swedish distaste for the organization stem from the same source: a refusal to believe that NATO has changed in any meaningful way. The Baltic states see it as directed against Russia and want to join it for that reason. The Finns and Swedes share the perception and reach the opposite conclusion: They want to hear nothing about membership.
New York Times – Risto E J Penttila – 25th January 2022
Russian threats against Ukraine could push Finland and Sweden toward NATO
Russian military threats against Ukraine and Vladimir Putin’s unpredictability are forcing Sweden and Finland to reconsider their policy of non-alignment toward NATO. If admitted, each would enhance security in NATO’s northeastern flank and put Russia on notice. NATO’s open door policy allows nation-states to initiate membership plans if they meet guidelines delineated in Article X of the North Atlantic Charter. Finland and Sweden are ideal NATO candidates.
The Hill – Chris J Dolan – 19th January 2022
Finland not negotiating about NATO membership, foreign minister says
Finland has no plans at present to join NATO, its foreign minister Pekka Haavisto said on Friday, amid heightened security tensions between Finland’s giant neighbour Russia and Ukraine.
“Finland does not discuss with NATO joining it, nor does Finland have such a project upcoming … Finland’s security policy remains unchanged,” Haavisto told reporters at a teleconference following a meeting of European Union foreign ministers in France.
Euronews – 15th January 2022
The hem and haw of Sweden’s relationship with NATO
To date, Sweden has looked at whether or not it joins NATO as a matter of identity and image rather than an existential security issue. After the end of World War II, Sweden chose to continue its policy of neutrality, which had served it well in both world wars and continued to do so during the Cold War. At the same time, it is a known fact that Sweden collaborated with Germany in World War II and has cooperated with NATO since the establishment of the Alliance. The essence and meaning of this cooperation have changed and it has now become a decisive factor in ensuring Sweden’s national security. There is increasing talk about joining the Alliance. The topic that has long been a taboo has entered the programmes of political parties.
ICDS – Riina Kaljurand – 22nd April 2019
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Why Belgium (still) exists
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Germany and Norway are considering building a hydrogen pipeline linking the two nations to reduce Europe's dependence on Russian energy supplies
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Europe’s largest brain drain and lost startups
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One Vladimir Putin move and behold: West’s unity tightens overnight
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The plot to destroy Ukraine
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Putin’s wager in Russia’s standoff with the West
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Belgium wants to make it easier for gay men to donate blood
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Northvolt rolls out Europe's first gigafactory-era car battery – Swedish plant ramps up lithium ion cell production in race to profit from growing electric car demand
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For centuries, indigenous groups in north-east India have crafted intricate bridges from living fig trees. Now this ancient skill is making its way to European cities.
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More than just a 'mystery' train, the Orient Express whisked the elite across Europe in luxury and style
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Is Denmark Europe's most sustainable wine destination?
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Evidence for European presence in the Americas in AD 1021
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Europe’s energy crisis is coming for the rest of the world, too
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Iceland elects Europe's first female majority parliament – but Katrín Jakobsdóttir's future as PM looks to be in doubt after her party lost several seats
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Uh Oh - Nintendo 64 Online may be 50hz in Europe
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Norway agrees to increase natural gas exports to the rest of Europe as prices soar – increase corresponds to nearly 2% of Norway's annual pipeline gas exports
8 votes -
Winter is coming and Europe is running scarily low on gas
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Why many cities suck (but Dutch cities don’t)
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Europe – The Final Countdown (1986)
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The mystery of Denmark's vanishing wolf pack – are hunters to blame?
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Denmark is set to adopt legislation enabling it to open asylum centres outside Europe where applicants would be sent to live
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Denmark's secret service helped the US spy on European politicians including German Chancellor Angela Merkel from 2012 to 2014
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The end is nigh for AstraZeneca’s vaccine in Belgium
4 votes -
EEAS special report update: Short assessment of narratives and disinformation around the COVID-19 pandemic
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European Super League confirmed as Premier League ‘Big Six’ clubs join breakaway competition as founders
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5G: The outsourced elephant in the room
12 votes -
Denmark has ceased giving the Oxford-AstraZeneca Covid vaccine amid concerns about rare cases of blood clots, the first European country to do so fully
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Ukraine turns to Turkey as Russia threatens full-scale war
10 votes -
I'm moving, in the EU, from Hungary to The Netherlands. Any tips?
Inspired by (or if you prefer, ripping off) @spit-evil-olive-tips ' moving thread. I'm a US expat with Hungarian citizenship, moving with two native Hungarian friends (plus a dog and 2 cats), to...
Inspired by (or if you prefer, ripping off) @spit-evil-olive-tips ' moving thread.
I'm a US expat with Hungarian citizenship, moving with two native Hungarian friends (plus a dog and 2 cats), to The Hague. We have an apartment there, all 3 animals are chipped and vaccinated (and we 3 are not...). My cousin will be driving us there in about a month.
We already have an appointment, a couple days after the move, to register our BRPs and BSNs at the local govt office. Sooner would be better, but it must be done in person, and right now, I don't relish the idea of a 2nd trip across the EU just to get registered a bit faster.
I'm primarily looking for tips on smoothly integrating into Dutch society ... utilities, banking, health care, whatever else I'm forgetting to worry about. But I'm open to any tips regarding any aspect of moving between countries in the EU, in the middle of a poorly-managed global pandemic.
Side-note for the entrepreneurs: In the US, you can rent a car, truck or trailer anywhere, drive it to anywhere else ... and leave it there. I appreciate the added complexities of an int'l version of that service, but if anyone can be the first to resolve those challenges in the EU ... $$$. Or rather, €€€.
ETA: Any advice posted to @spit-evil-olive-tips thread need not be repeated here.
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How Netflix is creating a common European culture
9 votes -
Europeana contains over ten million digitalised artifacts from across Europe
8 votes -
Why vaccine safety experts put the brakes on AstraZeneca’s COVID-19 vaccine
19 votes -
AstraZeneca NL factory is not producing any vaccines. People are trying to figure out why.
@Dave Keating: Some astonishing new revelations here.The #AstraZeneca facility in Netherlands isn't producing any vaccines for EU because AZ hasn't submitted paperwork to start.With the UK contract blocking export from the 2 UK sites, EU is getting supply from only 1 of the 4 sites promised https://t.co/9UboEcdold
19 votes -
COVID-19 in Belgium | February 2021 edition
Today, Belgium announced no changes in current protection measures. After a fairly successful handling of the first wave (all things considered, especially the fact it was actually unprecedented...
Today, Belgium announced no changes in current protection measures.
After a fairly successful handling of the first wave (all things considered, especially the fact it was actually unprecedented at the time), Belgium's handling of the pandemic has been getting progressively worse. All countries have suffered their fair share of incompetence during this crisis, but today, we'll talk about Belgium (and a bit about the EU), because I live there.
Context and restrictions
Belgium works a little bit like a miniature version of the USA: Three regions (Flanders, Wallonia and Brussels) which function somewhat independently as states, with a federal government overseeing all three. Flanders is primarily flemish (dutch-speaking), Wallonia is primarily french, and Brussels is a mix but mainly french.
Excellent article detailing restrictions: https://www.politico.eu/article/belgium-coronavirus-lockdown-rules-restrictions-overview/ -- Some highlights below.
- A 10PM curfew is in place since October 2020 in Brussels and Wallonia; Midnight for Flanders.
- Bars, cafes, restaurants are closed to non-takeout business since October 2020. All alcohol sales prohibited after 8pm.
- Museums, swimming pools, hairdressers, are currently open.
- Remote work is mandatory.
- Belgium is currently forbidding non-essential travel outside of the country, much to the EU's dismay.
- There is a complicated social bubble system which tells you how many people you are allowed to see every week.
The "long lockdown"
Like most other western countries, Belgium experienced its first wave between March and May. We strictly locked down in March, reopened in June. The lockdown was successful at reducing the number of cases for all summer. A new lockdown happened in October but this time, driven by the fear of being "too strict", Belgium instead adapted a long checklist of a variety of measures, evolving more or less weekly, so that some things can be allowed. Most importantly, Belgium did not close schools at all.
The effects of this by comparison can be marveled at here: https://twitter.com/NikoSpeybroeck/status/1365257345941520385/photo/1
In essence: Belgium plateau'd high. So for October, November, December, January, February and now March, the country has been suffering nearly all the casualties of a normal lockdown… instead of a 10 week, slightly stricter lockdown (like countries such as South Korea are able to achieve), we're getting what looks to be a 24+ week, slightly less strict, highly-damaging lockdown.
The importance of consistency
The #1 complaint from everyone I've talked to about the rules are their inconsistencies. Because when you impose rules that affect people negatively, their first reaction will be: "Why are you forbidding X, which affects me, but allowing Y, which is worse and doesn't?"
You all know I'm a skater. For me it's the swimming pools: I'm at a loss why safe ice rinks are closed, but swimming pools are open. Something something chlorine. But there are plenty of examples that affect the general population; the one I hear most often as a comparison point is: "Why are we allowing people to be packed like sardines in the metro and in buses?" (And yes, people really are packed up in there at peak hours, I'm sure it's one of the primary transmission vectors)
Or: "Why are you forcing me to work remotely, when you are keeping the schools open? " -- Most countries did notice how much of a transmission vector schools and campuses are, especially with teenagers not exactly being incentivized to take precautions. Belgium, throughout the whole soft lockdown, has kept schools open for nearly the entire time they were going to be on a normal year.
Inconsistencies drive people to distrust the rules, and those making the rules. They make the rules feel arbitrary, which makes them feel irrelevant as a whole. It gets people thinking: "If this is not logical, then the explanation is that they don't know what they're talking about, and I can't trust what they say about COVID".
The importance of simplicity
What are the current measures? (official government website)
Now, I think info-coronavirus.be is one of the better-organized and well-marketed successes of Belgium's handling of the pandemic. Unfortunately it also nicely showcases how complex the rules are when there are sections such as "Can dog groomers remain open?" and "Can hunting continue?".
Belgium's social bubble system is easily the most complicated part of it and the people I know who do follow the rules, don't actually necessarily understand them and end up accidentally either being too strict, or breaking the rules. I can't tell you what it is myself without looking it up, as the rules around it change regularly; what I know is that you're more-or-less allowed to see 4 people per week. There is a "cuddle-contact" rule that dictates how many people you're allowed to be intimately close with each week. The rules are different based on your age, based on whether you live alone, based on whether you tend to people in certain groups…
Over winter, the rules got utterly ridiculous and I've written about this before, with a checklist of exceptions, ifs-and-buts for Christmas and New Years, dictating different rules for whether you're outside, inside, how many people can go to the toilet in your home, etc.
I cannot stress how much this has negatively impacted the population. It is neither learned nor widely followed, but as an ever-present high-impact rule in people's day to day life, is a constant reminder of how arbitrary the measures are.
Simpler rules, whether they're stricter or looser, will be followed more widely and will be overall perceived less negatively.
The importance of a risk-impact balance
For every single additional rule created, people's patience is tested. Of course, stricter rules are a tougher test to go through, but the more rules, the more you test their patience as well.
So there is a careful balance to strike: When introducing a rule, it has to actually be useful. You want to maximize how much you are reducing hospitalizations, with as few rules as possible. Getting to zero is not the goal, getting to a manageable number is.With some exceptions, people don't have an understanding of the impact most rules on the final numbers. So it's rare that people take into account how useful the rules are when evaluating whether they should respect them. More to the point, a good amount of people will take an "all or nothing" approach, where the moment they stop respecting some rules, they'll stop respecting most or even all of them.
So it is critical to limit the rules to those that have the highest impact in the final numbers, and enforce those; rather than have far looser enforcement of a lot of rules that may, on paper, be more effective.
People aren't machines and will not function perfectly. I have yet to hear experts and politicians take the simplest questions into account:
- Will this rule be respected?
- Will people who stop respecting this rule cause them to stop respecting other rules?
- Will people distrust vaccines as a result of distrusting rules?
- How does this affect the numbers when taking the above into account?
Something to keep in mind when taking arbitrary decisions such as forbidding outdoors lake skating when, after a winter of sports being inaccessible, lakes finally freeze in Belgium.
Vaccinations
Yes, vaccines, let's talk about them.
Now it's no secret that the EU has really botched vaccine supplies. And yet, Belgium is proudly and loudly "slightly ahead of the initial vaccination timetable".
You'd think this is good news, but what it means is that Belgium's vaccination timetable is horribly pessimistic. Distributing vaccines is the one thing getting us out of this mess, and it's being prioritized like a 4am car alarm. One example, which was eventually backtracked on, is how COVID nurses and caregivers were going to be in the second phase of vaccinations, only given the shot after all care homes had been vaccinated. Which means that in that awful timetable, they'd start receiving their shots… next week, as of the time I'm writing this.The US quickly figured out that Pharmacies need to be involved. Now, here's a fun fact you can throw out at parties: Belgium has the most pharmacies per capita in the world, sitting at around ~5000 pharmacies in total for 11.5M people.
Guess which country has yet to even talk about involving pharmacies in the distribution of the vaccines?
I talked about this with my MD this week. He was on the floor. He keeps telling government officials: "Give me a box of 20 vaccines per day, I'll have them distributed to patients and I can follow prioritization strategies". They refuse.
There are 73% non-respondants to vaccine invitations in Brussels. The Heysel vaccination center alone is wasting 750 vaccination slots per day, instead of taking a page from what airlines learned and overbooking to keep all slots as close to full as possible.
This disorganized mess is costing millions of euros every day. It's lengthening a stressful period which will have lasting effects on the population. It causes distrust of governments, distrust of systems, distrust of scientists. The butterfly effect of fucking this up is unfathomable.
Masks
And now we get to the latest fuckup. Masks. One of the most effective, highest-impact, easiest-to-comply-with measures.
Belgian government says to stop wearing the free cloth masks they distributed ‘as a precaution’
Last summer, Belgium distributed free reusable cloth masks to the population. And yesterday, they warned that nanoparticles of silver are present in the mask and can be breathed in, warning to stop wearing them as a precaution measure.
I have no word for the amount of distrust this causes. Not just in Belgium but worldwide. Criminal incompetence.
And again, we are not talking about that. We're not talking about the fact that anti-maskers now have these huge talking points and are easily able to convince a fed-up population that COVID is harmless, wearing masks is a bad idea, vaccines are evil, and we should all just say "fuck it".
In the midst of such an enraging news, the Belgian government has decided that things are fine as-is, and measures should not be relaxed.
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African decolonization explained
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European Court of Human Rights upholds rights to self-determination around gender
@Paul Johnson: Very important trans rights case in ECtHR today. The case concerns the situation of two trans people who were refused recognition of their gender identities because they had not undergone gender reassignment surgery.The Court held this to be a violation of the ECHR (Art 8). pic.twitter.com/9bUvYg156L
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On streets across Europe, a secret organisation of artists who go by the name AnonyMouse have been creating little places for mice to use
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Sex without consent is rape, but the principle is lacking in many legal frameworks in countries across Europe – Denmark is seeking to change this
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The father of modern warfare – the military reforms of Gustavus Adolphus' changed the face of European warfare
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Atheists are sometimes more religious than Christians
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Question for the European contingent regarding teenage/minor nudity
I'm aware of the more relaxed approach to sexuality and bare breasts among some European countries as compared to elsewhere in the world, but how is this viewed when it comes to teens? I've...
I'm aware of the more relaxed approach to sexuality and bare breasts among some European countries as compared to elsewhere in the world, but how is this viewed when it comes to teens? I've watched a few series in the past few months (e.g. Dark, Les Revenants, La Casa de Papel) that featured topless characters in the 15-17 age range participating in sex scenes, and while I knew the actors were definitely older than 18, I couldn't help feeling a little squicky since they were ostensibly portraying minors. Is this considered at all controversial? I imagine cultural factors like lower ages of consent or Romeo and Juliet laws might have some relevance here? I can't really draw on any examples besides those three series... I know that Mignonnes had its fair share of controversy in the US (despite not showing any actual nudity AFAIK) as it seemed to be a story on the sexualization of pubescent girls, but I never followed how it was received in France.
As a matter of fact, I'm interested in hearing from other parts of the world too.
16 votes -
The forgotten number system of the Cistercians
9 votes